Seattle’s Socialist City Council Member Thinks Housing Is a Human Right—Unless it Comes at the Expense of Music Venues

Seattle City Councilmember Kshama Sawant favors raising more money for affordable housing, except when she doesn’t.

A few months ago, Sawant was fighting for the “Amazon tax,” a literal tax on jobs that would have raised some $75 million annually to fund affordable housing and services for the homeless. Now, however, the one self-identified socialist on the Seattle City Council is doing her best to kill a proposed downtown building that would provide 442 apartments and $5 million for the city’s affordable housing fund from the project’s developer, the Canadian company Onni.

Sawant is willing to forgo that money because the apartment building would replace a music venue that currently occupies the spot, Seattle’s iconic Showbox. “If we let the Showbox be demolished, then everything else is moot,” Sawant warned Bloomberg last week.

The fight for the Showbox, where performers such as Duke Ellington and Pearl Jam have appeared, began in late July, when it was first reported that Onni’s project would require the venue’s demolition. A petition calling for the preservation of the concert hall netted nearly 100,000 signatures and the endorsement of famous Seattle artists such as Macklemore, Guns and Roses bassist Duff McKagan, and Death Cab for Cutie singer Ben Gibbard. The cause was quickly picked up by Sawant, who introduced legislation last week to declare the Showbox part of the nearby Pike Place Market Historical District, which would essentially kill Onni’s project.

On Monday, the city council unanimously passed a temporary, 10-month expansion of the historical district, while it mulls whether to make the change permanent. That move prevents Onni from going forward with its planned apartment building for the time being and ensures that any zoning changes can be imposed retroactively.

Helping to kill off a housing project that would add hundreds of new units to the overpriced city in order to save one of Seattle’s many music venues might seem slightly hypocritical coming from Sawant. She has called housing a “human right,” a right she is now subordinating to preservation of a concert hall. She supported a “linkage fee” that new developments would pay into the affordable housing fund but is now ready to pass up the $5 million offered by Onni.

Last year Sawant voted to rezone the land on which the Showbox sits, which is what made Onni’s proposed apartment building possible in the first place. Now she is having second thoughts.

Sawant insisists her Showbox-saving efforts will not cost the city affordable housing. “This is not about affordable housing, and I don’t think we should accept councilmembers who say this is about affordable housing,” Sawant said during last week’s city council meeting. “It is about the community going up against a big developer.”

The Stranger quotes Sawant as saying, “We will succeed in saving the Showbox, but…this could be the catalyst for the future struggle for affordable housing. Maybe we can win the Amazon tax that was repealed; maybe we can win a tax on big businesses. Why should we stop with just saving the Showbox?”

The idea that saving a music venue will ultimately lead to more affordable housing seems far-fetched. The city is obviously out the $5 million fee that would have subsidized new housing. And while the apartments that Onni wants to build would not necessarily be affordable for low-income renters, killing the project will only serve to raise rents further across the city as the tenants who otherwise would have lived in the new building bid up prices for the existing housing units.

There is also a concern that the city council’s flipflopping on the Showbox site will set a bad precedent that will further constrain the housing supply in Seattle. “The council has shown that they will overturn major land-use policy decisions that took years to develop in response to concerted public pressure from vocal interest groups,” observes Erica Barnett at the Seattle housing blog The C is for Crank, noting that there is little to stop the city council from bending to public pressures on future developments.

I think that’s a fair concern. The 10-month pause may prompt Onni, which does not yet own the site, to walk away from the project. It’s also possible the current owner will sue the city for the reversing the rezoning, arguing that it’s a taking of his property without due process. Sawant has suggested the city might buy and operate the Showbox. Whatever happens with the concert hall, it looks increasingly unlikely that Seattle will see new housing on the site anytime soon.

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Carnage… Everywhere Except Bonds & Bitcoin

So much for the “all is well” signal from yesterday’s markets that we pointed out had the stink of a dead-cat-bounce about it…

Big trouble in tech china combined with a major QT redemption day sparked carnage across global markets.

So where to start…

Despite constant imploring that there is no contagion, Commodities (blue), EM FX (orange), Global Systemic Banks (red), World Stocks (grey), & FANG/TATS (pink) all got clubbed like a baby seal…

 

The only bid in the world was for bonds and bitcoin…

 

Here are the details.

STOCKS

Global Stocks tumbled to 6-week lows and broke below all key moving averages…

 

China stocks were a bloodbath after Tencent earnings crushed global hopes…

 

And while FANGs fell today, TATS (Tencent, Alibaba, Taiwan Semi, Samsung) were crushed…

 

European stocks suffered as Turkey tensions remain…with all major indices now red on the year…

 

And EU banking stress sent stocks into a bear market…

 

Global bank stocks are down 23% from their highs…

 

EM Stocks entered a bear market…

 

US Futures show yesterday’s dead cat bounce best and the instant reaction to Tencent’s earnings… of course the afternoon (with the rest of the world shut) saw the machines ramp stocks on the back of a Turkey headline that did nothing for the lira…

 

Trannies managed gains intraday but faded into the close, Small Caps and Nasdaq were worst…

 

Nasdaq bounced off its 50DMA…

 

The Dow also bounced too…

 

VIX spiked to almost 17 intraday before pulling back to 15.00…

 

Tesla tumbled after SEC subpoeana headlines (among other things)…

 

 

BONDS

Bunds, JGBs, and USTs were all bid…

 

The entire UST curve rolled over, with yields now lower on the week…

 

10Y Treasury yields tumbled to one-month lows…

 

The UST yield curve plunged back to cycle lows today…

And while the Lira rebounded today, Turkish bonds did not…

 

CURRENCIES

The dollar index hit a new cycle high…

 

Back to the same level as the day of the Trump election…

 

The Turkish Lira bounced (with 3 impulses) but was unable to sustain any trend…

 

In EM FX, The Rand, Ruble, Real, and all the pesos were pummelled…

Ugly day…

 

The Argentine Peso was ugly early on but after 3 auctions by CBRA of $781 million (offered over $1.5 billion – “funding secured” by The IMF), they managed to stabilize it, barely…

But it was the Yuan that everyone was watching…

 

Crashing the Renminbi awfully close to 7.00…

 

Finally, as chaos spread across global currencies, cryptos rallied (for a change)…

 

With Bitcoin surging back above $6500…

 

COMMODITIES

The dollar surge hammered commodities…

 

Gold and silver were monkeyhammered…

Silver hit a 9 year low on very heavy volume…

 

Silver at its weakest to gold since Feb 2016…

 

But Gold futures were panic-traded in Turkey…

 

Industrial metals were crushed…

 

Dr. Copper entered a bear market… (NOTE we forget about Copper’s PhD in economics when it collapses)…

 

Finally, before everyone starts on with the “yeah but the US economy is awesome” bullshit… it’s not…

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US Unit Labor Costs Slump Most In 4 Years… ‘Spark’ Productivity Gains

Great news America – US worker productivity jumped in Q2 by 2.9% QoQ, the best gain since Q1 2015. However, unit labor costs (what Americans are being paid to be productive) tumbled 0.9% QoQ in Q2, the biggest slump since Q3 2014.

So, do you want the good news… or the bad news?

As Bloomberg notes, the data indicate that the lift to growth in the quarter from Republican-backed tax cuts also came with a boost to productivity. That gives President Donald Trump another economic point to cheer, though many analysts are skeptical that the administration’s policies will deliver a large, sustained acceleration in efficiency.

The latest advance in productivity compares with a 1.3 percent average pace over the period spanning 2007 to 2017, and a 2.7 percent average from 2000 to 2007.

However, what Americans made from all that ‘improved efficiency’ tumbled 0.9% QoQ – the worst drop since Q3 2014 – and well; below the +1.4% QoQ average of the last 10 years

 

So take your pick – celebrate the surge in productivity, or face the reality of doing more for less.

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Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey Explains Alex Jones Suspension, “Timeouts” 

In the latest media pit stop, Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey sat down with NBC News Lester Holt, where he defended the company’s decision to put Infowars’ Alex Jones under a seven-day timeout over an offensive tweet linking to a video in which Jones encourages his audience to “act on the enemy before they do a false flag,” and to get “battle rifles” ready. 

Dorsey said that despite calls to ban Jones last week amid a seemingly coordinated multi-platform blacklisting, he resisted until now. 

“We can’t build a service that is subjective just to the whims of what we personally believe,” Dorsey told Holt, while saying he believes a suspension can be an effect deterrent which can change user behaviors. 

“I feel any suspension, whether it be a permanent or a temporary one, makes someone think about their actions and their behaviors,” Dorsey added – though he admitted he has no idea if Jones’ timeout will result in any changes in behavior. 

“Whether it works within this case to change some of those behaviors and change some of those actions, I don’t know,” Dorsey said. “But this is consistent with how we enforce.”

Jones was banned or restricted from using the services of at least 10 tech companies this month, including Facebook and YouTube. Twitter had been the most high-profile holdout, until it announced on Tuesday that Jones was suspended from posting for seven days.

Dorsey later clarified on Twitter that he was “speaking broadly about our range of enforcement actions” with regards to the company’s use of timeouts.

in a follow-up question on weighing the importance of Twitter’s rules versus its moral obligation, Dorsey said the company has “to put the safety of individuals first in every single thing that we do, and we need to enforce our rules and also evolve our rules around that.”NBC News

“I don’t assume everyone will change their actions. Enforcement gets tougher with further reported violations,” Dorsey said over Twitter. 

As CNET first reported on Wednesday, Jones’ account was put in “read only” mode and will be blocked from posting on Twitter for seven days because of an offending tweet, the company said. While Twitter declined to comment on the content that violated its policies, a Twitter spokesperson told CNN the content which prompted the suspension was a video published Tuesday in which he said, “now is time to act on the enemy before they do a false flag”

Dorsey also told Holt that “Election integrity is our first priority this year.” 

A big part of that effort has been combatting bots, which are automated accounts used to manipulate the discourse on Twitter. The company is using technology to fight back, and it is showing progress. Last month, Twitter said its technology was capable of identifying more than 9.9 million potential spam accounts per week and shutting them down.

Dorsey said the system is still being improved and noted that the company is considering other solutions as well. –NBC News

“We need to make sure that we are considering not just policy changes, but also product changes to help alleviate some of these concerns,” Dorsey said.

When Holt asked Dorsey if conservative rhetoric was more extreme than that from liberals, the Twitter CEO deflected – and instead said it was important to focus more on actions than words. 

“We need to look at behaviors, when people are trying to shut down the voices of others,” Dorsey said. “People are trying to harass others. And that’s independent of a viewpoint.”

***
Last week, Dorsey defended the company’s decision to not suspend Infowars and Jones from the platform, claiming they had not violated Twitter policies.  As Apple removed links to some Infowars podcasts and YouTube terminated some of its channels, Twitter’s CEO Jack Dorsey said refused to follow in their footsteps:

“We’re going to hold Jones to the same standard we hold to every account, not taking one-off actions to make us feel good in the short term, and adding fuel to new conspiracy theories,” Dorsey said in a tweet last week. He later added that it was critical that journalists “document, validate and refute” accounts like those of Mr. Jones, which “can often sensationalize issues and spread unsubstantiated rumors.”

Still, after a CNN report identifying numerous past tweets from Infowars and Jones that did violate Twitter’s rules, those posts were deleted. Tweets by Infowars and Jones deleted last week included posts attacking transgender and Muslim people; a claim that the 2012 shooting massacre at Sandy Hook Elementary School was a hoax perpetrated by “crisis actors”; and a video calling David Hogg, a survivor of the Parkland, Fla., high-school shooting, a Nazi.

Dorsey finally caved overnight, with a “temporary suspension”, which will likely become permanent upon Jones’ next violation.

As Rolling Stone notes, while Jones and his sympathizers have cried censorship following the actions of YouTube, Facebook, Apple and others, internet-content platforms specifically reserve the right to suspend users or delete content found to violate of their guidelines — indeed, Infowars’ own terms of service includes such a provision.

Twitter’s crackdown came more than a week after technology companies, including Apple, YouTube and Facebook removed content from Jones and his site, Infowars. As the WSJ notes, the actions against Infowars intensified a growing debate over what role tech companies play in policing controversial content on their platforms while they simultaneously support the principle of free speech.

It is unclear if the ongoing censorship of Alex Jones is having the desired effect: as we noted over the weekend, Silicon Valley’s coordinated purge of all things Infowars from social media has had an unexpected result; website traffic to Infowars.com has soared in the past week, according to Amazon’s website ranking service Alexa

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16 Billion Reasons Why Turkey’s Currency Crisis Will Become A Debt Crisis

Earlier this week, when the Turkish lira imploded over the weekend, plunging by the most on record in two consecutive days, bonds of Turkish banks tumbled amid concerns that lira’s slump this year would makes it extremely difficult for lenders to repay dollar-denominated debts or rollover maturities. As a result, numerous bonds issued by Turkish banks tumbled to record lows on Monday: bonds of Yapi Kredi Bankasi AS were among the hardest hit, losing almost 30 cents on the dollar in the past week.

The reason for the prompt liquidation were investors fears that Turkish lenders would struggle to find the capital to repay about $34.4 billion of bonds sold during a decade of rapid economic growth and historically low global borrowing costs. Turkish banks alone have to service $7.6 billion in USD-denominated debt by the end of 2019.

“The material level of foreign currency borrowings among Turkish institutions makes them vulnerable,” said BNP Paribas analysts, while a Goldman report dropped the hammer on panicked bondholders with the claim that if the Turkish Lira tumbled to 7.1, then the excess capital in the Turkish bank sector would be wiped out.

Yet while the market has already punished Turkish banks, they are not the only culprits behind the nation’s ravenous dollar-denominated debt binge, and there are no less than 16 billion reasons why the Turkish currency crisis, unless arrested early, would morph into a debt/rollover crisis.

According to Bloomberg calculations, major Turkish companies, financial institutions and the government are facing a “bond wall” of at least $16 billion in bonds denominated in foreign currency that are due by the end of next year.

The amount due by the end of next year is mostly composed of debt issued by Turkish financial institutions, and includes conventional bonds and Islamic sukuk bonds valued at a minimum of $100 million at the time of issuance.

Investors will be closely watching if banks and corporations – not to mention the government – will be able to maintain access to the foreign funding they need not only to keep economic activity humming as the country’s currency plunges, but rollover maturity debt. The alternative would mean mass defaults for the companies that make up the core of Turkey’s economy.

“So far, a currency crisis has not turned into a debt crisis,” analysts at Exotix Partners wrote in a report, although that is largely due to the lack of imminent debt maturities: the longer the crisis plays out and the lower the lira drops, the greater the likelihood of a catastrophic outcome. Meanwhile, the country’s low public debt, at 28% of GDP, “might be some comfort, and the country has ammunition in the form of $98 billion in official reserves,” they wrote, although here too the bigger wildcard is how the country will be able to maintain the critical inflow of foreign capital to keep its current account funded.

“The next time a bank approaches the wholesale markets for funding via a structured repo or syndicated loan, it will be interesting to see if those lines are still in place in a similar size and what pricing is offered to the Turkish banks,” said Mohammed Elmi, an emerging-market portfolio manager at Federated Investors U.K. in London.

One answer may be imminent: according to Bloomberg, Coca-Cola Icecek AS is first up with a senior unsecured note of $500 million maturing on Oct. 1. The company refinanced the securities last September to extend the maturity to 2024 at cheaper rates than previously, and now has “more than sufficient hard-currency cash” to meet its obligations, CCI said in a statement Tuesday. Fitch Ratings affirmed the company at BBB- this week, but kept its outlook negative in line with that of the sovereign, while pointing out all of CCI’s operations are based in emerging markets.

But it’s not until next year that the big hitters emerge: 2019 has a heavy concentration of bonds maturing for Turkish issuers, Lender Turkiye Garanti Bankasi AS has $1.4 billion in three bonds maturing between February and October. The Turkish government has a sukuk of $1.25 billion that’s due in October, plus three bonds denominated in U.S. dollars and euros, nominally valued at $4.4 billion in total, that will mature between March and November.

A list of major upcoming USD-denominated bond maturities in Turkey is shown below.

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John Mackey and Conscious Capitalism Have Won the Battle of Ideas With Everyone but Libertarians

Thirteen years ago in the pages of Reason, John Mackey, co-founder and CEO of Whole Foods Market, debated Milton Friedman, the Nobel-winning economist famous for declaring that “the social responsibility of business is to increase its profits,” and T.J. Rodgers, the CEO of Cypress Semiconductor who was (rightly!) famous for publicly telling buttinsky activist-investor nuns that they had no understanding of how to create jobs (the Catholic schoolboy in me still thanks Rodgers every night during my evening prayers).

Mackey argued an early version of a business philosophy that he would later codify in a 2013 book, Conscious Capitalism, and a nonprofit organization of the same name. Contrary to Freidman’s Ahab-like focus on shareholder value, Mackey said,

The enlightened corporation should try to create value for all of its constituencies. From an investor’s perspective, the purpose of the business is to maximize profits. But that’s not the purpose for other stakeholders—for customers, employees, suppliers, and the community. Each of those groups will define the purpose of the business in terms of its own needs and desires, and each perspective is valid and legitimate.

Friedman and Rodgers toed the standard libertarian line: Take care of profits and shareholders, and good things will follow. Markets are set up in such a way that profits happen only when what a business does is valuable and wanted; the business can keep making money only if it uses resources wisely and efficiently, which includes paying good wages to keep talented people around. The intricate interplay of investors, entrepreneurs, employees, raw materials, competition, and so forth guarantees that if a company is doing right by its financial backers, it will be doing right by its workers, customers, and society.

According to this view, any discussion of the “social responsibility of business” to do anything other than earn a buck (such as Whole Foods’ support of charities picked by local store workers) is either cheap P.R. or a dangerous invitation to all sorts of new expectations and regulations layered on top of the already brutally hard business of keeping the lights on at your store, factory, or hot dog stand. (As Joseph Schumpeter noted in his 1942 book Democracy, Capitalism, and Socialism, in any given year more businesses go tits up than make a profit.) “Mackey’s philosophy demeans me as an egocentric child because I have refused on moral grounds to embrace the philosophies of collectivism and altruism that have caused so much human misery, however tempting the sales pitch for them sounds,” Rodgers complained, even as Mackey insisted that “my argument should not be mistaken for a hostility to profit.”

Today that 2005 debate reads like it’s from the distant past, if not from a different planet. Friedman is dead, of course, and Rodgers retired in 2016 after helming Cypress for 34 years. Whole Foods is now part of Amazon and, more important, helped to transform the stodgy, old grocery business so fundamentally that my local Kroger store in Oxford, Ohio, has two Asian guys making sushi in plain sight eight hours a day and enough organic produce on every shelf that the local food co-op, a fixture in college towns, is barely scraping by. Walmart is not simply the largest seller of guns and ammo in America; it moves more organic produce than anybody else.

And here’s the thing: Mackey’s call for businesses to explicitly care about more than revenue per square foot or investors’ earnings has effectively won the argument with just about everyone but libertarians.

“In the last 13 years, more and more people are beginning to see it our way,” Mackey told me in a just-released podcast that was recorded last month at FreedomFest, the annual gathering of 2,000 libertarians in Las Vegas. “Honestly, I get the biggest pushback when I come to FreedomFest. I’d say the hardcore libertarians don’t believe it, though people who run businesses tend to believe it….The enemies of business and the enemies of capitalism have put capitalism and business in a very narrow box, where it’s all about greed, it’s all about selfishness, it’s all about just money, money, money…..There’s a deep cynicism out there about business and businessmen, and economists fall into the trap. They say, ‘Yeah, it is all about money. Get over it!’ But I’ve known lots of entrepreneurs in my life—hundreds of them—and very few of them started their businesses simply to make money. They had some kind of dream or vision they wanted to realize.”

It’s not that America’s business class has been magically transformed from uptight, Robert McNamara types in towering corporate skyscrapers or cigar-chomping, baby-stomping, tuxedo-wearing pigs into turtleneck-clad hippies who use organic deodorant or everyday-is-casual-Friday-clad hipsters riding penny-farthings to work. But there’s no question that the firms and start-ups that define the cutting edge of contemporary capitalism—everything from Apple to Chipotle to WeWork—grok a Whole Foods vibe much more than they do, say, the ethos of General Electric, which was just dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average after a 100-year run.

People want to work for companies that not only have social commitments but live them every day in the office or store. Many customers willingly pay a premium by patronizing companies that express similar values or employ practices that accord with various environmental, philosophical, or social views. These companies (the successful ones, anyway) don’t use such commitments as an excuse to deliver shitty service or products. It’s more of a giveaway, like the toy in a McDonald’s Happy Meal. And they face real wrath when they contravene their own stated commitments. Chipotle, which prided itself on using local organic ingredients and being transparent about its operations, is still struggling with fallout from a 2016 e. coli outbreak. People aren’t just scared to eat there; they feel betrayed. In 1993, the fast-food chain Jack in the Box served food that killed four and injured 178 others. Its rehabilitation was simply about making customers feel safe to eat there, which is an easier lift.

As we move further into a post-scarcity economy, one in which our basic material needs are completely taken care of, we move into a world where our choices will be guided by more than simple questions of cost, availability, or even quality. Consumption has always been a symbolic activity as well as a starkly pragmatic one. Take it from a long-dead economist whom we can safely assume never wore sandals to work or called for team building via goat yoga or paintball outings:

“Choosing determines all human action,” wrote the eminent Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises more than 50 years ago, sounding more like Jean-Paul Sartre than Adam Smith. “In making his choice, man chooses not only between various materials and services. All human values are offered for option. All ends and all means, both material and ideal issues, the sublime and the base, the noble and the ignoble, are ranged in a single row and subjected to a decision which picks out one thing and sets aside another.”

In a world where supermarket shelves are crammed with endless choices, commerce is about speaking to consumers’ moral and ethical values every bit as much as their plummeting blood-sugar levels. The same goes for workers: Given a choice between working for a company that offers a compelling, holistic vision of the world that aligns with your own and one that doesn’t, which are you more likely to sign up with?

This needn’t be a totalizing vision, in which everything we do every minute of every day must have deep ethical and spiritual meaning. Many of us may want to fully separate work from play or personal life. But as work becomes more artisanal and expressive (even cake baking is now seen as akin to painting the Mona Lisa), it seems likely that the fusion of work and personal values will be increasingly taken for granted. You can call it virtue signaling, but since when is signaling a shameful activity, especially among free-market libertarians, anarchists, and fellow travelers? All things being equal (or even just most things being equal), why wouldn’t you want to work and shop at places that share your values?

Libertarians who reflexively recoil from ideas like conscious capitalism seem to do so mostly because they think it’s an attempt to get with the cool kids on the left or because they view it as a betrayal of foundational values, insights, and axioms developed by Friedman and others under very different circumstances. Friedman made his original statement about corporate social responsibility in 1970, at a time when belief in what John Kenneth Galbraith called “the new industrial state” was at its zenith. Through a mix of market power and cronyism, massive corporations such as IBM, Xerox, Philip Morris, and GM had supposedly tamed the vicissitudes of the marketplace. They were immune from the ups and downs of smaller, less-efficient, poorly managed firms. These companies would exist forever and would provide cradle-to-grave employment, health care, and retirement for us all, taking over many basic functions of government.

Friedman recognized how wrong that consensus was: The great mid-century monopolists of the U.S. economy were already falling apart due to mismanagement, growing global competition, and failure to adapt and innovate. He understandably bridled at the idea that businesses should be concerned with more than their bottom line. They were about to go out of business, and here they were, talking about all sorts of things completely unrelated to profit. Politicians and activists had their hands in the supposedly bottomless pockets of America’s leading corporate citizens.

But nearly 50 years later, we live in a very different world. Despite all sorts of ups and downs and a global recession, we are infinitely wealthier and better off. We live in a world of super-abundance that is provided not by governments but by endlessly churning, innovative businesses that change the world and then die off or limp along as zombie versions of their formerly great selves, barely remembered even by their biggest fans. There is just one Blockbuster video store left only a couple of decades after the chain changed all our viewing habits. Anyone remember just how great BlackBerry’s phones were?

If the idea that where you buy and work should reflect your core values is ascendant, there’s still a much tougher task for Mackey and his nonprofit, Conscious Capitalism. In the podcast, I also talked with Alexander McCobin, the CEO of Conscious Capitalism (and the founder of Students for Liberty). The group hopes to pull together companies and startups that share the vision that businesses should care about more than shareholder value. One goal is create a vibrant community that can share experiences and promote best practices, especially for novice entrepreneurs. Another goal is to change the way the world thinks about business.

“We don’t want to just help the businesses out” by sharing advice and building networks, says McCobin. “We want to make sure we’re sharing their stories with the world to change the narrative about business and society. We want to highlight all these businesses and business leaders who are making the world a better place, why business is a force for good, and to encourage people to go into business to make the world a better place.”

The idea that businesses make the world a better place is a point on which virtually all libertarians wholeheartedly agree. It’s common to hear libertarians say that Bill Gates (or Ted Turner, John D. Rockefeller, Henry Ford, etc.) did far more for humanity during his days as a rapacious, profit-driven businessman than he has done as a philanthropist. Isn’t creating cheap, ubiquitous, good-enough software or driving the price of home heating oil down to nearly zero worth more than free money for libraries?

That way of thinking reflects a disconnect that libertarians should engage with and work to resolve within our movement. We aspire to create a world in which individuals are free to pursue happiness in whatever peaceful way they want. We recognize that commerce and work, every bit as much as art, music, and writing, are expressive. Yet we can’t quite celebrate entrepreneurs and titans of industry who change our world unless they admit they’re in it only for the money.

Here’s the full podcast with Mackey and McCobin. Go here to subscribe via RSS, iTunes, and more.

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Corporate Profitability Under Pressure As Empire Fed Shows New Orders Slide Further

Despite a headline beat on the back of ‘hope’ rising, Empire Fed data shows two disturbing trends – slowing new order growth and collapsing margins as price pressure bites.

Empire Fed New Orders were unable to reach the peak of 2017 and have now faded lower for two straight months…

Additionally, Bloomberg notes that the spread between the New York Fed prices paid index minus the prices received index widened in August for the first time in three months, a sign firms remain under considerable profitability pressure, according to today’s Empire State Survey.

Profitability typically suffers when companies experience a lag between prices paid for inputs and prices received for finished products. The data also show businesses are expecting future prices paid to remain elevated.

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A Peal Jam Poster Sets Off a New Dead President Controversy

|||Roberto Silvino/ZUMA Press/NewscomPearl Jam is at the center of the latest provocation causing outrage among supporters of President Trump.

The Associated Press reports that the band performed in Missoula, Montana, on Monday night for a Rock2Vote concert in support of Sen. Jon Tester (D), who is running for re-election against Republican challenger Matt Rosendale. Bassist Jeff Ament, who is from Montana, collaborated with an artist named Bobby Brown to create a promotional poster for the event. The poster depicts a burning White House and an eagle picking at what many believe to be Trump’s corpse.

Rosendale and the National Republican Senate Committee (NRSC) compared the poster to comedian Kathy Griffin’s 2017 video in which she held a bloodied head modeled after Trump’s. Not only did Griffin lose several gigs, but Americans were subjected to weeks of commentary on what does and does not count as a threat against the president.

“In a state Trump won by 20 points, Senator Tester’s silence…is quickly showing Montanans there’s no stoop too low for him when it comes to attacking President Trump and his supporters,” NRSC spokesperson Calvin Moore said in a statement.

“This poster from Pearl Jam is disgusting and reprehensible,” Rosendale tweeted. “It depicts a dead President Trump and a burning White House. It’s time for [Tester] to denounce this act of violence and blatant display of extremism!”

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Trump Revokes Security Clearance Of Former CIA Director John Brennan

Three weeks after we reported that Trump may revoke the security clearance for several former Obama officials over politicized statements, including John Brennan, James Clapper, Susan Rice, Peter Strzok, Michael Hayden and Bruce Ohr – White House White House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders announced moments ago that Trump has decided to revoke former CIA Director John Brennan’s Security Clearance.

Of note, fired FBI Director James Comey and his deputy Andrew McCabe no longer have clearance. 

In justifying the revocation, the White House asserted that Brennan – who has been highly critical of President Trump, including on Twitter and as an NBC News and MSNBC analyst – “has history that calls into question his objectivity and credibility.”

Commenting on the revocation, Sanders said that “such access is particularly inappropriate when former officials have transitioned into highly partisan positions and seek to use real or perceived access to sensitive information to validate political attacks.”

Sanders also said that the security clearance of Clapper, Yates and Comey remains under review.

Brennan’s “Stripping”  took place just one day after the former CIA chief tweeted the following:

It’s astounding how often you fail to live up to minimum standards of decency, civility, & probity. Seems like you will never understand what it means to be president, nor what it takes to be a good, decent, & honest person. So disheartening, so dangerous for our Nation.

Predictably there were immediate comments from both sides of the aisle, with CNN security reporter Jim Sciutto summarizing that there is one thing all those named above share: “they criticized the president.”

Glenn Greenwald took a more sarcastic approach:

Is there a GoFundMe campaign yet for John Brennan? Seeing liberals electronically transfer money to a former CIA Director – someone who advocated torture and rendition durng Bush/Cheney and lied about drone killings for Obama – is the final #Resistance frontier.

Developing

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Barclays Trader Blows Up After Turkish Bond Fiasco

After years of being conditioned to BTFD in any and every asset, one London-based Barclays credit trader is licking his wounds this week after major losses in Turkish bonds.

Bloomberg reports a senior Barclays trader has faced losses of about 15 million pounds ($19 million) on Turkish bonds over the past few days, according to people familiar with the matter.

Tolga Kirbay, a London-based credit trader, was caught on the wrong side of what appears to be a BTFD-bet that 10Y Turkish yields would be capped around 20% over three trading days starting from Thursday, said the people, who asked not to be identified as the details aren’t public.

While the loss may be modest compared to Barclays overall size, it is noteworthy given that Barclays generally makes up to $100 million in revenue each year trading emerging-market corporate bonds in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, according to the people.

“Barclays has an established and diversified credit business with all our trading positions hedged across the business,” the bank said in an emailed statement. The Turkish trading operation “represents a very small part of our overall credit business.”

Bloomberg reports that Kirbay joined Barclays earlier in the year from French lender BNP Paribas SA, and is one of a number of hires the British bank has made for its credit business in the past year and a half as it seeks to take on more risk to chase higher returns. He traded bonds of Turkish corporates and banks at BNP Paribas, as well as sovereign debt, according to a person familiar with the matter.

While bonds (and the lira) have recovered modestly in the last couple of days, we note Turkey CDS is spiking back towards recent highs today…

Is the fantasy of easy money from BTFD-trading starting to crack? We suspect it will take a lot more pain for that ‘conditioned’-response to finally be erased.

 

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