White House Previews Today's "Lower Than Anticipated" Obamacare Enrollment Announcement – Live Webcast

Press Secretary Jay Carney is desperate to manage expectations ahead of Secretary Sebelius’ announcement of the Obamacare enrollment data in an hour:

  • CARNEY SAYS ENROLLMENT FIGURES WILL BE LOWER THAN ANTICIPATED

To watch him squirm under a press corps unwilling to take their foot off his throat (for now)… Maybe we can read into this…

  • REID SAYS HAVING FULL CAUCUS TOMORROW ON HEALTH CARE
  • REID SAYS WHITE HOUSE INVITED TO HEALTH-CARE CAUCUS

…just how bad it is!

 

And as a reminder:

 


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/r4PspyE_I1U/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Russian Lawmaker Who Believes The Antichrist Is Coming, Proposes Bill To Ban Dollars In Russia

Attracting some attention in Russian media today is proposed legislation by State Duma lawmaker Mikhail Degtyarev of Vladimir Zhirinovsky’s controversial Liberal Democratic Party and former candidate for mayor of Moscow (where he got 2.86% of the vote), who seeks to ban dollar deposits and transactions at Russian banks warning that the U.S. dollar is on the brink of collapse. As Moscow Times reports, “Mikhail Degtyaryov said the dollar will collapse in 2017 if U.S. national debt continues to grow at the current rate, and he cautioned that countries with a high dependence on the currency would suffer an economic disaster… In light of this, the fact that confidence in the dollar is growing among Russian citizens is extremely dangerous,” he said in an explanatory note attached to the bill, according to Interfax.

Degtyarev’s proposed anti-USD capital controls would impose the ban within a year of its passage, and the holder of a dollar account would need to spend the money, convert it into another currency, or see the bank convert the account into rubles at the average rate for the previous year.

Russians could still buy and sell dollars while abroad, hold dollar deposits in foreign banks, and engage in e-commerce.

 

The legislation would not apply to the Central Bank, the government, the Foreign Ministry, the Defense Ministry, the Foreign Intelligence Service, the Federal Security Service and the Federal Treasury.

 

It was unclear when the bill might come up for a first hearing and whether it would find enough support in the pro-Kremlin legislature to be passed into law.

But before anyone scrambles to convert all their dollars into crisp rubles, keep in mind this is the same candidate who previously proposed banning gay and bisexual men from donating blood, paid days off for menstruating women, and has said he believes Russia will lead the world in vanquishing the Antichrist.

But that’s just the beginning. FP recently did a full profile on Degtyarev:

Meet the man who not only would like to lead Moscow in battle against Satan, but would also like to give women two days leave from work every month during menstruation.

For Degtyarev, the battle between good and evil is one that plays out in intensely nationalist terms. “I can say as a believer that I believe in the apocalypse from the point of view of faith. And I think we must prepare,” Degtyarev said on Friday. “I believe that we’ll defeat the Antichrist — I’m sure of it — and that Russia will lead the fight against the Antichrist.”

 

But Degtyarev has no patience for the portended apocalypses of other religions. Late last year, he launched a campaign to stop Russian media from reporting on the possibility that the end of the Mayan calendar foretold the end of the world. “In our compatriots’ interests, we ask you to pay attention to the dissemination of pseudo-scientific information about the end of the world in your media,” he said in addressing the coverage.

 

Incidentally, Degtyarev serves as the deputy head of the science and technology committee in the Duma.

 

But Degtyarev isn’t just a kooky crusader for Christ. He’s perhaps best known for his initiative to give women paid leave during menstruation. Last month, he introduced a bill in the Duma that would require employers to provide their female employees two days off every month during what he called their “critical days.”

 

“In this period, the majority of women experience psychological and physical discomfort,” Degtyarev said at the time. “Often the pain for the fair sex is so intense that they are forced to call an ambulance.”

 

The language of that legislation reads like something of an homage to male condescension: “Strong pain induces heightened fatigue, reduces memory and work-competence and leads to colorful expressions of emotional discomfort. Therefore scientists and gynecologists look on difficult menstruation not only as a medical, but also a social problem.”

 

Degtyarev’s nationalism was on full display earlier this week during a visit to a traditional Russian bath house, where he made a shirtless appearance before the cameras clad only in a towel and a traditional Russian hat. In an interview, which you can view below, he declared that when the plague struck Europe, Russians were largely immune to the effects of the disease because of the restorative properties of the banya. Such are the powers, Degtyarev claims, of traditional Russian culture.

 

In other words, it is safe to assume the dollar will be widely used in Russia for a quite a while longer.

More importantly, the erosion of the dollar’s credibility will not take thanks to the efforts of fringe lunatics abroad, but thanks to America’s very own non-fringe lunatics, especially those located in the Marriner Eccles building.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/krai83vOyF8/story01.htm Tyler Durden

UST 10yr Auction Post Mortem

The UST market grinded higher today, right into the 1pm (ET) 10yr auction. The 10yr auction came at the EXACT high print of the day on the current 10yr note @ 2.75%.   This is uncommon for a low volume day (i was expecting a tail…instead the auction came on-the-screws, at the high of the day).

Typical trading volumes for a 10yr auction day are around 450bln 10yr equivs. Today we are at 240bln 10yr equivs (asof 1pm), and on target for a 360bln 10yr equiv day…so on track for an 80% volume day.

The USD index (DX) was weak today, which typically creates strength for US Treasuries. This held true today, and probably explains a portion of the bid in the UST market going into the 10yr auction.

(pictured are 10yr futures vs inverse DX futures)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

While there is no use crying over spilt milk (most traders go into the auctions short, and then bid to cover that short, hoping for a Dutch treat), lets start to think about what this means for tomorrow’s 30yr bond auction.

We know there was a large-ish UST short position initiated after NFP on Friday.  I can only surmise that this aggregate short position (combined with general USD weakness) is responsible for the strength in todays 10yr auction.  With the treasury market still sticking at the highs of the day (in fact making a new high as i am writing this), it feels safe to assume that there is more short covering to be done.

This is the backdrop as we now begin our approach into tomorrow’s 30yr bond auction.  30yr bonds have underperformed on the curve today, which tells us that a short 30yr setup has already begun (possibly outright..possibly on the curve).  We will have more clarity on that point tomorrow.

Trading volumes were very low going into the 10yr auction..and are still low 30 minutes after the auction.  It feels like a significant sized group of market participants are not participating in the US Treasury market.

More later on twitter

 

http://govttrader.blogspot.com/


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/MXa2mEey9iQ/story01.htm govttrader

S&P 500 Spikes To New Intraday Record High

On the back of yet another VIX smashing and “most shorted” squeeze, amid the glory of a news-less, macro-data-less day, the S&P 500 has managed to get back above its record intraday highs at 1775.22 ignited by some minor EURJPY momentum sparks.

S&P blew through the old record high 1775.22…

 

Shorts squeezed… again

 

It seems “something” keeps changing when Europe closes…

 

Of course, here’s what matters…


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/s2u5aAospws/story01.htm Tyler Durden

S&P 500 Spikes To New Intraday Record High

On the back of yet another VIX smashing and “most shorted” squeeze, amid the glory of a news-less, macro-data-less day, the S&P 500 has managed to get back above its record intraday highs at 1775.22 ignited by some minor EURJPY momentum sparks.

S&P blew through the old record high 1775.22…

 

Shorts squeezed… again

 

It seems “something” keeps changing when Europe closes…

 

Of course, here’s what matters…


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/s2u5aAospws/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Head Of Recently Shuttered "World's Largest FX Hedge Fund" On Hook For Firm's Debt

It’s been a tough year for John Taylor – cursed by the CNBC Squawk Master monicker – but it appears to be getting worse. As Hedge Fund Alert reports, less than a year before his currency-trading shop filed for bankruptcy, the FX Concepts founder personally guaranteed a chunk of the debt his firm owes to its largest creditor. AMF, the Credit Suisse hedge fund incubator, is owed $34.4 million with Taylor on the hook for $5 million and “is going to clearly try to get the money out of John,” but, “by any stretch of the imagination, it’s not there.” Recent court documents suggest the fund was in even worse shape than previously understood as the liquidation of FX Concepts’ four main assets is ongoing but as a whole, however, the trading programs probably are worth little, one source said. “If their models worked, they would have produced returns,” he said. “Their brand has no value, unless you want to advertise negative returns.”

 

Via Hedge Fund Alert,

Less than a year before his currency-trading shop filed for bankruptcy, FX Concepts founder John Taylor personally guaranteed a chunk of the debt his firm owes to its largest creditor.

 

Asset Management Finance, a Credit Suisse unit that has invested in a number of prominent hedge fund-management firms in the past decade, provided $40 million of debt financing to FX Concepts via two revenue-sharing agreements in 2006 and 2010. But in December 2012, as opportunities in the currency market continued to fade and redemptions mounted, Taylor was forced to renegotiate the financing package. The Credit Suisse unit agreed to defer eight quarterly revenue-sharing payments in exchange for Taylor’s personal guarantee for those obligations. As of Oct. 17, when the firm filed for Chapter 11, FX Concepts owed Asset Management Finance $34.4 million, with Taylor on the hook for $5 million of the total.

 

“AMF is going to clearly try to get money out of John,” a source said. “By any stretch of the imagination, it’s not there.”

 

 

The liquidation of FX Concepts’ assets is being handled by restructuring specialist CDG Group, which has begun reaching out to some 40 other currency managers, as well as to current and former FX Concepts executives. On the block are four assets: trading technology encompassing 148 distinct programs; a database covering 30-plus years of currency prices and other historical data; a daily newsletter that Taylor has published since 1981; and the FX Concepts trademark. Among the trading programs is the firm’s flagship Global Currency Program, which was down 13.9% this year through August. Other programs have been more profitable — with one automated-trading model generating a 50% gain through September.

 

As a whole, however, the trading programs probably are worth little, one source said. “If their models worked, they would have produced returns,” he said. “Their brand has no value, unless you want to advertise negative returns.”

 

 

What’s known is that the proceeds of the 2010 financing package were paid out to Taylor as an advance on his equity in the business. He used the money to buy his condo, reportedly paying $22 million — or $4.5 million more than the asking price. At the same time, Taylor has spent significant amounts of his own money funding research into hemophilia, which afflicts one of his children.


Read more here…

 

Sadly, it seems once again that the inverse correlation between hedge fund performance and frequency of appearance on CNBC has proved itself…


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/x8vwu_MxHtE/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Head Of Recently Shuttered “World’s Largest FX Hedge Fund” On Hook For Firm’s Debt

It’s been a tough year for John Taylor – cursed by the CNBC Squawk Master monicker – but it appears to be getting worse. As Hedge Fund Alert reports, less than a year before his currency-trading shop filed for bankruptcy, the FX Concepts founder personally guaranteed a chunk of the debt his firm owes to its largest creditor. AMF, the Credit Suisse hedge fund incubator, is owed $34.4 million with Taylor on the hook for $5 million and “is going to clearly try to get the money out of John,” but, “by any stretch of the imagination, it’s not there.” Recent court documents suggest the fund was in even worse shape than previously understood as the liquidation of FX Concepts’ four main assets is ongoing but as a whole, however, the trading programs probably are worth little, one source said. “If their models worked, they would have produced returns,” he said. “Their brand has no value, unless you want to advertise negative returns.”

 

Via Hedge Fund Alert,

Less than a year before his currency-trading shop filed for bankruptcy, FX Concepts founder John Taylor personally guaranteed a chunk of the debt his firm owes to its largest creditor.

 

Asset Management Finance, a Credit Suisse unit that has invested in a number of prominent hedge fund-management firms in the past decade, provided $40 million of debt financing to FX Concepts via two revenue-sharing agreements in 2006 and 2010. But in December 2012, as opportunities in the currency market continued to fade and redemptions mounted, Taylor was forced to renegotiate the financing package. The Credit Suisse unit agreed to defer eight quarterly revenue-sharing payments in exchange for Taylor’s personal guarantee for those obligations. As of Oct. 17, when the firm filed for Chapter 11, FX Concepts owed Asset Management Finance $34.4 million, with Taylor on the hook for $5 million of the total.

 

“AMF is going to clearly try to get money out of John,” a source said. “By any stretch of the imagination, it’s not there.”

 

 

The liquidation of FX Concepts’ assets is being handled by restructuring specialist CDG Group, which has begun reaching out to some 40 other currency managers, as well as to current and former FX Concepts executives. On the block are four assets: trading technology encompassing 148 distinct programs; a database covering 30-plus years of currency prices and other historical data; a daily newsletter that Taylor has published since 1981; and the FX Concepts trademark. Among the trading programs is the firm’s flagship Global Currency Program, which was down 13.9% this year through August. Other programs have been more profitable — with one automated-trading model generating a 50% gain through September.

 

As a whole, however, the trading programs probably are worth little, one source said. “If their models worked, they would have produced returns,” he said. “Their brand has no value, unless you want to advertise negative returns.”

 

 

What’s known is that the proceeds of the 2010 financing package were paid out to Taylor as an advance on his equity in the business. He used the money to buy his condo, reportedly paying $22 million — or $4.5 million more than the asking price. At the same time, Taylor has spent significant amounts of his own money funding research into hemophilia, which afflicts one of his children.


Read more here…

 

Sadly, it seems once again that the inverse correlation between hedge fund performance and frequency of appearance on CNBC has proved itself…


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/x8vwu_MxHtE/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Strong Auction Sells $24 Billion In 10 Year Par-Priced Paper

Today’s $24 billion in new 10 Year paper, with a 2.75% cash coupon, sold with a perfect par, or 100.000, price, for a yield of 2.75%, which stopped through the 2.754% When Issued. The auction was strong in every aspect: the Bid To Cover was a solid 2.70, higher than last month’s 2.58, the second highest of the past 6 months, and just a fraction below the TTM average of 2.73. The Primary Dealers took down 33.8%, as there was a scramble by the Indirects to buy paper, leaving them with 47.7% of the takedown, well above the 38.3% TTM average, and the second highest going back all the way to November 2011. Directs were therefore left with 18.6%, modestly less than the 22.52% TTM. Overall, a solid auction which added some much needed collateral to an otherwise very illiquid market.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/UWJRDRxhXm4/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Nick Gillespie and Matt Welch on George Will's Libertarian Evolution

Nick Gillespie and Matt Welch
interview George Will, the nation’s most widely syndicated
columnist. Will talks about political philosophy, drugs,
isolationism, optimism, and his political development over four
decades in Washington. Recently Will has become a frequent champion
of libertarianism, both in print and on the air, praising the likes
of Liberty Movement stalwart Rep. Justin Amash (R-Mich.) while
puncturing the balloons of big-government conservatives like Sen.
John McCain (R-Ariz.).

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/13/nick-gillespie-and-matt-welch-on-george
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Nick Gillespie and Matt Welch on George Will’s Libertarian Evolution

Nick Gillespie and Matt Welch
interview George Will, the nation’s most widely syndicated
columnist. Will talks about political philosophy, drugs,
isolationism, optimism, and his political development over four
decades in Washington. Recently Will has become a frequent champion
of libertarianism, both in print and on the air, praising the likes
of Liberty Movement stalwart Rep. Justin Amash (R-Mich.) while
puncturing the balloons of big-government conservatives like Sen.
John McCain (R-Ariz.).

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/13/nick-gillespie-and-matt-welch-on-george
via IFTTT