COVID-19 Mortality Rate ‘Ten Times Worse’ than Seasonal Flu, Says Dr. Anthony Fauci

The World Health Organization declared that the COVID-19 outbreak is now a pandemic. The global health agency defines pandemic as the worldwide spread of a new disease. The spread of COVID-19 caused by the new coronavirus qualifies since it has now been detected in 114 countries infecting nearly 120,000 people and killing about 4,300 of them. The number of diagnosed cases in the U.S. has swelled to more than 1,000.

So how bad will it get? Two days ago President Trump in a tweet compared the current number of deaths from COVID-19 to those stemming from the seasonal flu outbreak. As more data is coming in, the initial hopes that the public health consequences of the spreading coronavirus pandemic would be comparatively mild and similar to the death rates associated with seasonal influenza are fading.

The delay in rolling out a more comprehensive testing regime means that undiagnosed cases are rising. Estimates vary from a few thousand to as many as 50,000 infections among Americans.

At a Congressional hearing this afternoon, Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, suggested that COVID-19 is is considerably more dangerous than run-of-the-mill flu. He observed, “The flu has a mortality rate of 0.1 percent. This has a mortality rate of 10 times that. That’s the reason I want to emphasize we have to stay ahead of the game in preventing this.”

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimate that between 20,000 to 52,000 Americans have succumbed to influenza this season. If Fauci’s assessment is correct, that implies that an unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic would end up killing between 200,000 and 520,000 Americans. Consider for comparison that just over 2.8 million Americans died in 2018.

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/2wMZ4Jp
via IFTTT

COVID-19 Mortality Rate ‘Ten Times Worse’ than Seasonal Flu, Says Dr. Anthony Fauci

The World Health Organization declared that the COVID-19 outbreak is now a pandemic. The global health agency defines pandemic as the worldwide spread of a new disease. The spread of COVID-19 caused by the new coronavirus qualifies since it has now been detected in 114 countries infecting nearly 120,000 people and killing about 4,300 of them. The number of diagnosed cases in the U.S. has swelled to more than 1,000.

So how bad will it get? Two days ago President Trump in a tweet compared the current number of deaths from COVID-19 to those stemming from the seasonal flu outbreak. As more data is coming in, the initial hopes that the public health consequences of the spreading coronavirus pandemic would be comparatively mild and similar to the death rates associated with seasonal influenza are fading.

The delay in rolling out a more comprehensive testing regime means that undiagnosed cases are rising. Estimates vary from a few thousand to as many as 50,000 infections among Americans.

At a Congressional hearing this afternoon, Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, suggested that COVID-19 is is considerably more dangerous than run-of-the-mill flu. He observed, “The flu has a mortality rate of 0.1 percent. This has a mortality rate of 10 times that. That’s the reason I want to emphasize we have to stay ahead of the game in preventing this.”

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimate that between 20,000 to 52,000 Americans have succumbed to influenza this season. If Fauci’s assessment is correct, that implies that an unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic would end up killing between 200,000 and 520,000 Americans. Consider for comparison that just over 2.8 million Americans died in 2018.

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/2wMZ4Jp
via IFTTT

Do You Have a First Amendment Right to a Slayer-Themed License Plate?

There are few things more intimate than a personalized license plate. Yet California’s Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) rejects tens of thousands of applications for individualized plate slogans each year for being offensive to “good taste and decency.”

Yesterday, the Pacific Legal Foundation (PLF), a public interest law firm, filed a lawsuit against state DMV director Steve Gordon alleging his department’s license plate policy violates the First Amendment’s free speech protections. The DMV, they are arguing, is using a dangerously expansive definition of “government speech” to unconstitutionally censor motorists’ expression.

“Our lawsuit is about vague laws that give government bureaucrats unbridled discretion to regulate speech, and that inevitably leads to arbitrary results,” says Wen Fa, an attorney with PLF. “It’s basically at the DMV’s whims what might be offensive and what isn’t.”

In 2018, the state DMV rejected 30,000 of the roughly 249,000 personal plate applications they received. PLF is representing five people who’ve similarly had their plate applications rejected.

That includes Paul Ogilvie, an army veteran, who wanted to combine his military nickname ‘OG’ with childhood nickname ‘Woolf’ to make an ‘OGWOOLF’ license plate. The DMV rejected this for supposedly being offensive.

They did the same thing to Amrit Kohli, a gay computer programmer and musician, whose application for a license plate saying “QUEER”—a reference to Kohli’s own identity—was rejected for being “insulting, degrading, or expressing contempt for a specific group or person,” according to the PLF complaint.

James Blair is also suing the DMV after being told that his proposed “SLAAYRR” plate—a reference to the metal band Slayer—was “threatening, aggressive, or hostile” and therefore violated the department’s prohibition on offensive plates.

In addition, PLF is representing English pub owner Paul Crawford, whose proposed “BO11LUX” license plate was turned down for being too sexual, and motorcycle enthusiast Andrea Campanile for a rejected “DUK N A” license plate (a reference to Ducati motorcycles and her first name).

This is not the first time California’s personal plate regulations have come under attack. Last year PLF sued the department on behalf of university professor Jon Kotler who’d likewise had his application for a personalized plate rejected.

The state DMV argued in that case that because it was the one issuing the plates, it was the government speaking, and not the private citizen requesting the plates. Therefore, it was up to the discretion of the department which messages it would allow.

A judge for the  U.S. District Court for the Central District of California rejected this argument in denying a government motion to dismiss the case, writing that it “it strains believability to argue that
viewers perceive the government as speaking through personalized vanity plates.”

That case was resolved in January 2020 when the DMV decided to issue Kotler the initially rejected plate. However, the department has kept its regulations about offensive plates on the books, prompting PLF to file a second lawsuit.

“The government speech doctrine has very wide implications for free speech in general. The government is increasingly relying on that doctrine to say individuals have no free speech rights at all, and therefore the government can ban speech it finds offensive or hateful,” says Fa. “If the DMV’s logic were correct, then the government could censor offensive speech in public parks, which is also government property.”

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/2Q5A8DV
via IFTTT

Do You Have a First Amendment Right to a Slayer-Themed License Plate?

There are few things more intimate than a personalized license plate. Yet California’s Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) rejects tens of thousands of applications for individualized plate slogans each year for being offensive to “good taste and decency.”

Yesterday, the Pacific Legal Foundation (PLF), a public interest law firm, filed a lawsuit against state DMV director Steve Gordon alleging his department’s license plate policy violates the First Amendment’s free speech protections. The DMV, they are arguing, is using a dangerously expansive definition of “government speech” to unconstitutionally censor motorists’ expression.

“Our lawsuit is about vague laws that give government bureaucrats unbridled discretion to regulate speech, and that inevitably leads to arbitrary results,” says Wen Fa, an attorney with PLF. “It’s basically at the DMV’s whims what might be offensive and what isn’t.”

In 2018, the state DMV rejected 30,000 of the roughly 249,000 personal plate applications they received. PLF is representing five people who’ve similarly had their plate applications rejected.

That includes Paul Ogilvie, an army veteran, who wanted to combine his military nickname ‘OG’ with childhood nickname ‘Woolf’ to make an ‘OGWOOLF’ license plate. The DMV rejected this for supposedly being offensive.

They did the same thing to Amrit Kohli, a gay computer programmer and musician, whose application for a license plate saying “QUEER”—a reference to Kohli’s own identity—was rejected for being “insulting, degrading, or expressing contempt for a specific group or person,” according to the PLF complaint.

James Blair is also suing the DMV after being told that his proposed “SLAAYRR” plate—a reference to the metal band Slayer—was “threatening, aggressive, or hostile” and therefore violated the department’s prohibition on offensive plates.

In addition, PLF is representing English pub owner Paul Crawford, whose proposed “BO11LUX” license plate was turned down for being too sexual, and motorcycle enthusiast Andrea Campanile for a rejected “DUK N A” license plate (a reference to Ducati motorcycles and her first name).

This is not the first time California’s personal plate regulations have come under attack. Last year PLF sued the department on behalf of university professor Jon Kotler who’d likewise had his application for a personalized plate rejected.

The state DMV argued in that case that because it was the one issuing the plates, it was the government speaking, and not the private citizen requesting the plates. Therefore, it was up to the discretion of the department which messages it would allow.

A judge for the  U.S. District Court for the Central District of California rejected this argument in denying a government motion to dismiss the case, writing that it “it strains believability to argue that
viewers perceive the government as speaking through personalized vanity plates.”

That case was resolved in January 2020 when the DMV decided to issue Kotler the initially rejected plate. However, the department has kept its regulations about offensive plates on the books, prompting PLF to file a second lawsuit.

“The government speech doctrine has very wide implications for free speech in general. The government is increasingly relying on that doctrine to say individuals have no free speech rights at all, and therefore the government can ban speech it finds offensive or hateful,” says Fa. “If the DMV’s logic were correct, then the government could censor offensive speech in public parks, which is also government property.”

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/2Q5A8DV
via IFTTT

Oral Arguments at the Supreme Court with no spectators

The Supreme Court chamber holds (by my count) about 200 people. Currently, the Court has twelve oral argument days remaining on the schedule. The Supreme Court very well may consider some form of “social distancing.” That is, holding oral arguments without spectators. (The NBA is already moving in that direction.)

The Court could select minimum essential personnel. The Court would admit the arguing attorneys, and their co-counsel. Maybe a few journalists who could file pool reports. But no public seating. All bar admissions will be postponed. And the Court’s exhibits and cafeteria (with a buffet) would be shut down. There is no reason to maintain the staff needed to handle an influx of guests if those guests are not admitted in.

Eugene has blogged that several courts have adopted closure rules. The Supreme Court very well may be next.

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/38HRNYz
via IFTTT

Oral Arguments at the Supreme Court with no spectators

The Supreme Court chamber holds (by my count) about 200 people. Currently, the Court has twelve oral argument days remaining on the schedule. The Supreme Court very well may consider some form of “social distancing.” That is, holding oral arguments without spectators. (The NBA is already moving in that direction.)

The Court could select minimum essential personnel. The Court would admit the arguing attorneys, and their co-counsel. Maybe a few journalists who could file pool reports. But no public seating. All bar admissions will be postponed. And the Court’s exhibits and cafeteria (with a buffet) would be shut down. There is no reason to maintain the staff needed to handle an influx of guests if those guests are not admitted in.

Eugene has blogged that several courts have adopted closure rules. The Supreme Court very well may be next.

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/38HRNYz
via IFTTT

The White House Made Coronavirus Meetings Classified. That’s Idiotic.

Federal health officials’ coronavirus meetings should be treated as classified, according to a White House order first reported by Reuters.

As a result, relevant health experts who lack the necessary security clearances have been kept out of meetings since January. This is a serious, idiotic act of self-sabotage on the part of the Trump administration. It will not only hamper transparency—it will compromise the efficacy of the government’s coronavirus prevention strategizing.

Four Trump officials told Reuters that dozens of coronavirus meetings have been held in a high-security room at the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), and that “staffers without security clearances, including government experts, were excluded from the interagency meetings, which included video conference calls.”

As a result, “some very critical people who did not have security clearances” were kept out of the meetings.

The HHS coronavirus meetings are held in a Sensitive Compartmentalized Information Facility (SCIF), a type of secure room where cell phones and cameras are forbidden. SCIFSs are typically used for government officials to discuss sensitive intelligence reports or plan military operations.

The coronavirus pandemic originated in China, and thus it does carry national security implications. But secrecy should not be a higher priority than expediency. The slower the government’s response, the more widely the disease will spread throughout the U.S. Lives are quite literally on the line. Quite obviously, the Trump administration should not be putting up obstacles for federal health experts to overcome, and yet the classification order came “directly from the White House,” according to Reuters.

A National Security Council spokesperson disputed this characterization of the meetings, and HHS voiced support for greater transparency:

An NSC spokesman did not respond to questions about the meetings at HHS. But he defended the administration’s transparency across federal agencies and noted that meetings of the administration’s task force on the coronavirus all are unclassified. It was not immediately clear which meetings he was referring to.

“From day one of the response to the coronavirus, NSC has insisted on the principle of radical transparency,” said the spokesman, John Ullyot. He added that the administration “has cut red tape and set the global standard in protecting the American people under President Trump’s leadership.”

A spokeswoman for the HHS, Katherine McKeogh, issued a statement that did not address questions about classified meetings. Using language that echoed the NSC’s, the department said it that it agreed task-force meetings should be unclassified.

In that case, the administration should clarify immediately that all coronavirus meetings are unclassified, and all relevant personnel should participate in them. Nothing is made better by pointless red tape. The government’s knee-jerk impulse to conceal information from the public is a bad habit in the worst of times; at present, it’s an actual threat to public safety.

Unfortunately, as Reason‘s Ron Bailey pointed out in a recent post, federal agencies have also thwarted an infectious disease researcher’s early efforts to detect the coronavirus in Seattle. These missteps by the government are embarrassing, and among the many reasons why The Atlantic‘s absurd straw-man contention that “There Are No Libertarians in an Epidemic” is self-evidently wrong: It is precisely in times of crisis that the incompetence of large and unwieldy federal bureaucracies is most evident. (Read Reason‘s Eric Boehm for more on this subject.)

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/2w1P0fF
via IFTTT

The White House Made Coronavirus Meetings Classified. That’s Idiotic.

Federal health officials’ coronavirus meetings should be treated as classified, according to a White House order first reported by Reuters.

As a result, relevant health experts who lack the necessary security clearances have been kept out of meetings since January. This is a serious, idiotic act of self-sabotage on the part of the Trump administration. It will not only hamper transparency—it will compromise the efficacy of the government’s coronavirus prevention strategizing.

Four Trump officials told Reuters that dozens of coronavirus meetings have been held in a high-security room at the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), and that “staffers without security clearances, including government experts, were excluded from the interagency meetings, which included video conference calls.”

As a result, “some very critical people who did not have security clearances” were kept out of the meetings.

The HHS coronavirus meetings are held in a Sensitive Compartmentalized Information Facility (SCIF), a type of secure room where cell phones and cameras are forbidden. SCIFSs are typically used for government officials to discuss sensitive intelligence reports or plan military operations.

The coronavirus pandemic originated in China, and thus it does carry national security implications. But secrecy should not be a higher priority than expediency. The slower the government’s response, the more widely the disease will spread throughout the U.S. Lives are quite literally on the line. Quite obviously, the Trump administration should not be putting up obstacles for federal health experts to overcome, and yet the classification order came “directly from the White House,” according to Reuters.

A National Security Council spokesperson disputed this characterization of the meetings, and HHS voiced support for greater transparency:

An NSC spokesman did not respond to questions about the meetings at HHS. But he defended the administration’s transparency across federal agencies and noted that meetings of the administration’s task force on the coronavirus all are unclassified. It was not immediately clear which meetings he was referring to.

“From day one of the response to the coronavirus, NSC has insisted on the principle of radical transparency,” said the spokesman, John Ullyot. He added that the administration “has cut red tape and set the global standard in protecting the American people under President Trump’s leadership.”

A spokeswoman for the HHS, Katherine McKeogh, issued a statement that did not address questions about classified meetings. Using language that echoed the NSC’s, the department said it that it agreed task-force meetings should be unclassified.

In that case, the administration should clarify immediately that all coronavirus meetings are unclassified, and all relevant personnel should participate in them. Nothing is made better by pointless red tape. The government’s knee-jerk impulse to conceal information from the public is a bad habit in the worst of times; at present, it’s an actual threat to public safety.

Unfortunately, as Reason‘s Ron Bailey pointed out in a recent post, federal agencies have also thwarted an infectious disease researcher’s early efforts to detect the coronavirus in Seattle. These missteps by the government are embarrassing, and among the many reasons why The Atlantic‘s absurd straw-man contention that “There Are No Libertarians in an Epidemic” is self-evidently wrong: It is precisely in times of crisis that the incompetence of large and unwieldy federal bureaucracies is most evident. (Read Reason‘s Eric Boehm for more on this subject.)

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/2w1P0fF
via IFTTT

Would Italian-Style Lockdowns to Curtail the Spread of Coronavirus Pass Legal Muster in the U.S.?

Worrying that “countries have done too little, too late to contain the [COVID-19] epidemic,” an editorial in The Lancet suggests that “China’s vigorous public health measures,” which have included quarantines and travel restrictions affecting hundreds of millions of people, offer a model for other governments to follow. While “other nations lack China’s command-and-control political economy,” the eminent British medical journal says, “there are important lessons that presidents and prime ministers can learn from China’s experience.” The editorial also describes Italy’s now-nationwide “lockdown,” which officially requires that people remain in their homes except for work, medical care, and “necessities” such as grocery shopping, as a policy that initially “shocked European political leaders” but looks wise in retrospect.

Although it seems unlikely that the United States would copy either China’s approach or the milder but still draconian Italian model, the extent of state and federal quarantine powers is surprisingly unsettled. Unlike in China, there are statutory and constitutional limits on the use of force to curtail the spread of communicable diseases in the U.S. But exactly what those limits are remains largely untested.

When asked whether Americans might see Italian-style lockdowns in response to COVID-19, Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told Fox News Sunday host Chris Wallace: “It’s possible….You don’t want to alarm people, but given the spread we see, you know, anything is possible. And that’s the reason why we’ve got to be prepared to take whatever action is appropriate to contain and mitigate the outbreak.”

Federal quarantine authority is based on the power to regulate interstate and international commerce. The Public Health Service Act empowers the secretary of health and human services to “to make and enforce such regulations as in his judgment are necessary to prevent the introduction, transmission, or spread of communicable diseases from foreign countries into the States or possessions, or from one State or possession into any other State or possession.”

State quarantine authority is based on the general “police power” retained by the states under the 10th Amendment. In the landmark 1824 Commerce Clause case Gibbons v. Ogden, a unanimous Supreme Court “stated unequivocally that enacting quarantine laws is among the powers reserved to the states,” Cornell law professor Michael C. Dorf notes. But that quarantine power is not unlimited.

In 2014, Kaci Hickox, a nurse who had treated Ebola patients in Sierra Leone, was detained for 80 hours after arriving at Newark Liberty International Airport, then sent back to her home state of Maine under an order by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Although Hickox had no Ebola symptoms and had tested negative for the virus, Maine Gov. Paul LePage ordered her to remain at her home in Fort Kent for three weeks. Hickox, who defied that order by going for a bike ride, successfully challenged LePage’s edict in state court.

Charles C. LaVerdiere, chief judge of the Maine District Courts, ruled that any potential threat posed by Hickox could be adequately addressed by “direct active monitoring” aimed at detecting the onset of symptoms should she become ill. Since Hickox “currently does not show any symptoms of Ebola and is therefore not infectious,” LaVerdiere said, forcibly isolating her at her home was not justified.

To obtain the court order it sought, the state had to present “clear and convincing evidence” that Hickox posed a “public health threat” and that a 21-day quarantine was “the least restrictive measure” to deal with it. LaVerdiere concluded that “the State has not met its burden at this time to prove by clear and convincing evidence that limiting Respondent’s movements to the degree requested is ‘necessary to protect other individuals from the dangers of infection.'”

In Washington, the first state to experience an outbreak of COVID-19, a court order enforcing a quarantine lasting longer than 10 days likewise is supposed to be based on “clear, cogent, and convincing evidence” that “quarantine is necessary to prevent a serious and imminent risk to the health and safety of others.” But judges are required to approve shorter quarantines if there is “a reasonable basis to find that isolation or quarantine is necessary to prevent a serious and imminent risk to the health and safety of others.”

In New York City, the health commissioner is authorized to order the detention of “a case, contact or carrier, or suspected case, contact or carrier of a contagious disease” when he believes there is “clear and convincing evidence” that the individual “may pose an imminent and significant threat to the public health resulting in severe morbidity or high mortality.” After three days, the subject of a quarantine order can challenge his detention in court. To justify the continued detention of “a person or group,” the commissioner “shall prove the particularized circumstances
constituting the necessity for such detention by clear and convincing evidence.”

That “clear and convincing” standard is consistent with the due process requirements that the Supreme Court has applied to involuntary psychiatric treatment. In a 2018 SMU Law Review article, public health professor Michael Ulrich and law professor Wendy Mariner, both of Boston University, argue that the analogy, which state courts have applied in quarantine cases, is apt. “Civil commitment is a form of preventive detention, a measure generally disfavored in the United States,” they write. “Whereas criminal confinement may stem from voluntary criminal acts known to violate the law, an individual’s civil commitment may result through no fault of their own.”

The implication, Ulrich and Mariner say, is that quarantine orders, like involuntary psychiatric treatment, require “appropriate procedural due process,” including, “at a minimum,” these safeguards: “(1) the right to legal counsel; (2) adequate written notice of the grounds for commitment; (3) adequate notice of the hearing and opportunity for discovery; (4) an expeditious hearing by an independent judiciary to avoid unnecessary confinement; (5) the right to be present, confront witnesses, and present witnesses; (6) clear and convincing standard of proof; and (7) the
right to a transcript for use on appeal.” They argue that the 2017 federal regulations issued in response to the Ebola scare fell notably short of meeting this standard.

COVID-19 is more readily transmitted than Ebola but far less deadly, and both of those factors are relevant in determining whether someone poses, e.g., “a serious and imminent risk to the health and safety of others” (under Washington’s rules) or “an imminent and significant threat to the public health resulting in severe morbidity or high mortality” (under New York City’s). But Ulrich and Mariner note that the danger a potential carrier poses hinges not only on the nature of the disease but also on his likely behavior:

In its civil commitment cases, the U.S. Supreme Court has recognized that the state has no cognizable interest in confining individuals who have not committed any crime unless the individual, by reason of mental illness, is essentially unable to control his own dangerous behavior so that he is likely to harm other people….

The principles in these cases provide the doctrinal structure for laws authorizing involuntary civil commitment for individuals with a contagious disease who are likely to spread it to others. The mere presence of the contagious disease, like the mere presence of mental illness, does not by itself constitute a likelihood of harming others. In both cases, the potential harm comes from the person’s behavior. In the case of contagious disease, the behavior may be deliberate or inadvertent—contact with other people that could actually infect them. This is analogous to the harm that could be inflicted by a person who cannot control behavior because of a mental illness. It is for this reason that both elements—contagious disease and actions that place other people at risk of harm—are necessary to justify involuntary confinement. There is no reason—and no constitutional justification—for confining people who are able to control their behavior and avoid putting others at risk of being harmed. Therefore, both the characteristics of the disease and the characteristics of the individual must be examined to determine whether involuntary confinement is warranted.

In Kaci Hickox’s case, Judge LaVerdiere noted that she “has been cooperating with Direct Active Monitoring and intends to continue with her cooperation,” a fact that figured in his conclusion that home confinement was not justified. Washington’s quarantine regulations likewise favor cooperation over coercion, saying a local health officer should not order a quarantine unless he or she has made “reasonable efforts, which shall be documented, to obtain voluntary compliance” or else determined, “in his or her professional judgment,” that “seeking voluntary compliance would create a risk of serious harm.” The rules also specify that “isolation or quarantine must be by the least restrictive means necessary to prevent the spread of a communicable or possibly communicable disease to others.”

If Ulrich and Mariner are right, it is hard to see how broad confinement orders affecting large groups of potential disease carriers, the vast majority of whom are not actually infected, can be squared with due process. But as they note, the Supreme Court “has not heard a case involving the involuntary quarantine or isolation of an individual to prevent the spread of disease.”

Responding to questions from Vox‘s Brian Resnick, Lindsay Wiley, a health law professor at Washington College of Law, said “a mandatory geographic quarantine” would “probably be constitutional.” But the issue has never been squarely addressed.

“As a matter of constitutional law,” Wiley said, “the courts would typically require government officials to try voluntary measures first, as a way of proving that mandatory measures are actually necessary. Furthermore, any mandated measures would have to be narrowly tailored and backed by evidence….To pass constitutional muster, an order not just urging but requiring all people within a particular area to stay home would have to be justified by strong evidence that it was absolutely necessary and that other, less restrictive measures would be inadequate to slow the spread of disease.”

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/2W40dqA
via IFTTT

Would Italian-Style Lockdowns to Curtail the Spread of Coronavirus Pass Legal Muster in the U.S.?

Worrying that “countries have done too little, too late to contain the [COVID-19] epidemic,” an editorial in The Lancet suggests that “China’s vigorous public health measures,” which have included quarantines and travel restrictions affecting hundreds of millions of people, offer a model for other governments to follow. While “other nations lack China’s command-and-control political economy,” the eminent British medical journal says, “there are important lessons that presidents and prime ministers can learn from China’s experience.” The editorial also describes Italy’s now-nationwide “lockdown,” which officially requires that people remain in their homes except for work, medical care, and “necessities” such as grocery shopping, as a policy that initially “shocked European political leaders” but looks wise in retrospect.

Although it seems unlikely that the United States would copy either China’s approach or the milder but still draconian Italian model, the extent of state and federal quarantine powers is surprisingly unsettled. Unlike in China, there are statutory and constitutional limits on the use of force to curtail the spread of communicable diseases in the U.S. But exactly what those limits are remains largely untested.

When asked whether Americans might see Italian-style lockdowns in response to COVID-19, Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told Fox News Sunday host Chris Wallace: “It’s possible….You don’t want to alarm people, but given the spread we see, you know, anything is possible. And that’s the reason why we’ve got to be prepared to take whatever action is appropriate to contain and mitigate the outbreak.”

Federal quarantine authority is based on the power to regulate interstate and international commerce. The Public Health Service Act empowers the secretary of health and human services to “to make and enforce such regulations as in his judgment are necessary to prevent the introduction, transmission, or spread of communicable diseases from foreign countries into the States or possessions, or from one State or possession into any other State or possession.”

State quarantine authority is based on the general “police power” retained by the states under the 10th Amendment. In the landmark 1824 Commerce Clause case Gibbons v. Ogden, a unanimous Supreme Court “stated unequivocally that enacting quarantine laws is among the powers reserved to the states,” Cornell law professor Michael C. Dorf notes. But that quarantine power is not unlimited.

In 2014, Kaci Hickox, a nurse who had treated Ebola patients in Sierra Leone, was detained for 80 hours after arriving at Newark Liberty International Airport, then sent back to her home state of Maine under an order by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Although Hickox had no Ebola symptoms and had tested negative for the virus, Maine Gov. Paul LePage ordered her to remain at her home in Fort Kent for three weeks. Hickox, who defied that order by going for a bike ride, successfully challenged LePage’s edict in state court.

Charles C. LaVerdiere, chief judge of the Maine District Courts, ruled that any potential threat posed by Hickox could be adequately addressed by “direct active monitoring” aimed at detecting the onset of symptoms should she become ill. Since Hickox “currently does not show any symptoms of Ebola and is therefore not infectious,” LaVerdiere said, forcibly isolating her at her home was not justified.

To obtain the court order it sought, the state had to present “clear and convincing evidence” that Hickox posed a “public health threat” and that a 21-day quarantine was “the least restrictive measure” to deal with it. LaVerdiere concluded that “the State has not met its burden at this time to prove by clear and convincing evidence that limiting Respondent’s movements to the degree requested is ‘necessary to protect other individuals from the dangers of infection.'”

In Washington, the first state to experience an outbreak of COVID-19, a court order enforcing a quarantine lasting longer than 10 days likewise is supposed to be based on “clear, cogent, and convincing evidence” that “quarantine is necessary to prevent a serious and imminent risk to the health and safety of others.” But judges are required to approve shorter quarantines if there is “a reasonable basis to find that isolation or quarantine is necessary to prevent a serious and imminent risk to the health and safety of others.”

In New York City, the health commissioner is authorized to order the detention of “a case, contact or carrier, or suspected case, contact or carrier of a contagious disease” when he believes there is “clear and convincing evidence” that the individual “may pose an imminent and significant threat to the public health resulting in severe morbidity or high mortality.” After three days, the subject of a quarantine order can challenge his detention in court. To justify the continued detention of “a person or group,” the commissioner “shall prove the particularized circumstances
constituting the necessity for such detention by clear and convincing evidence.”

That “clear and convincing” standard is consistent with the due process requirements that the Supreme Court has applied to involuntary psychiatric treatment. In a 2018 SMU Law Review article, public health professor Michael Ulrich and law professor Wendy Mariner, both of Boston University, argue that the analogy, which state courts have applied in quarantine cases, is apt. “Civil commitment is a form of preventive detention, a measure generally disfavored in the United States,” they write. “Whereas criminal confinement may stem from voluntary criminal acts known to violate the law, an individual’s civil commitment may result through no fault of their own.”

The implication, Ulrich and Mariner say, is that quarantine orders, like involuntary psychiatric treatment, require “appropriate procedural due process,” including, “at a minimum,” these safeguards: “(1) the right to legal counsel; (2) adequate written notice of the grounds for commitment; (3) adequate notice of the hearing and opportunity for discovery; (4) an expeditious hearing by an independent judiciary to avoid unnecessary confinement; (5) the right to be present, confront witnesses, and present witnesses; (6) clear and convincing standard of proof; and (7) the
right to a transcript for use on appeal.” They argue that the 2017 federal regulations issued in response to the Ebola scare fell notably short of meeting this standard.

COVID-19 is more readily transmitted than Ebola but far less deadly, and both of those factors are relevant in determining whether someone poses, e.g., “a serious and imminent risk to the health and safety of others” (under Washington’s rules) or “an imminent and significant threat to the public health resulting in severe morbidity or high mortality” (under New York City’s). But Ulrich and Mariner note that the danger a potential carrier poses hinges not only on the nature of the disease but also on his likely behavior:

In its civil commitment cases, the U.S. Supreme Court has recognized that the state has no cognizable interest in confining individuals who have not committed any crime unless the individual, by reason of mental illness, is essentially unable to control his own dangerous behavior so that he is likely to harm other people….

The principles in these cases provide the doctrinal structure for laws authorizing involuntary civil commitment for individuals with a contagious disease who are likely to spread it to others. The mere presence of the contagious disease, like the mere presence of mental illness, does not by itself constitute a likelihood of harming others. In both cases, the potential harm comes from the person’s behavior. In the case of contagious disease, the behavior may be deliberate or inadvertent—contact with other people that could actually infect them. This is analogous to the harm that could be inflicted by a person who cannot control behavior because of a mental illness. It is for this reason that both elements—contagious disease and actions that place other people at risk of harm—are necessary to justify involuntary confinement. There is no reason—and no constitutional justification—for confining people who are able to control their behavior and avoid putting others at risk of being harmed. Therefore, both the characteristics of the disease and the characteristics of the individual must be examined to determine whether involuntary confinement is warranted.

In Kaci Hickox’s case, Judge LaVerdiere noted that she “has been cooperating with Direct Active Monitoring and intends to continue with her cooperation,” a fact that figured in his conclusion that home confinement was not justified. Washington’s quarantine regulations likewise favor cooperation over coercion, saying a local health officer should not order a quarantine unless he or she has made “reasonable efforts, which shall be documented, to obtain voluntary compliance” or else determined, “in his or her professional judgment,” that “seeking voluntary compliance would create a risk of serious harm.” The rules also specify that “isolation or quarantine must be by the least restrictive means necessary to prevent the spread of a communicable or possibly communicable disease to others.”

If Ulrich and Mariner are right, it is hard to see how broad confinement orders affecting large groups of potential disease carriers, the vast majority of whom are not actually infected, can be squared with due process. But as they note, the Supreme Court “has not heard a case involving the involuntary quarantine or isolation of an individual to prevent the spread of disease.”

Responding to questions from Vox‘s Brian Resnick, Lindsay Wiley, a health law professor at Washington College of Law, said “a mandatory geographic quarantine” would “probably be constitutional.” But the issue has never been squarely addressed.

“As a matter of constitutional law,” Wiley said, “the courts would typically require government officials to try voluntary measures first, as a way of proving that mandatory measures are actually necessary. Furthermore, any mandated measures would have to be narrowly tailored and backed by evidence….To pass constitutional muster, an order not just urging but requiring all people within a particular area to stay home would have to be justified by strong evidence that it was absolutely necessary and that other, less restrictive measures would be inadequate to slow the spread of disease.”

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/2W40dqA
via IFTTT