Real Corporate Profits Are Now The Lowest Since The Financial Crisis

Real Corporate Profits Are Now The Lowest Since The Financial Crisis

Ask any Wall Street analyst why stocks are at all time highs and the instant answer will be because profits and net income are similarly at or near all time highs, which means that the multiple needed to justify an S&P around 3,150 is not all that egregious. But is that really the case in a world where virtually everything is fake or otherwise “adjusted” to fit a given narrative?

First, consider that one of the more surprising revelations in the aftermath of WeWork’s “community adjusted EBITDA debacle is that there is never just one cockroach and that virtually all companies are just as guilty of aggressively abusing GAAP accounting standards. Case in point, a few weeks ago, the WSJ reported that nearly all big companies now use at least one non-GAAP financial metric. In fact, last year 97% of S&P 500 companies used non-GAAP metrics, up from 59% in 1996, according Audit Analytics.

Last week, Factset picked up on this point in a report showing that while all publicly traded U.S companies report EPS on a GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) basis, most US companies also choose to report EPS on a non-GAAP basis.

To be sure, we have reported in the past that there are “mixed opinions” in the market about the use of non-GAAP EPS. Supporters of the practice – typically the very management teams that hope to paint their results in a far stronger light – argue that it provides the market with a more accurate picture of earnings from the day-to-day operations of companies, as items that companies deem to be one-time events or non-operating in nature are typically excluded from the non-GAAP EPS numbers.

On the other hand, critics of the practice including such iconic names as Warren Buffett (even though his own companies aggressively engage in non-GAAP fudges), argue that there is no industry-standard definition of non-GAAP EPS, and companies can take advantage of the lack of standards to exclude items that (more often than not) have a negative impact on earnings to boost non-GAAP EPS. WeWork’s “community adjusted” EBITDA is just one example:

Others include serial abusers IBM (whose recent GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation is shown below)…

… and Alcoa, which every quarter roughly double their non-GAAP net income by recurringly adding back “one-time, non-recurring items.

Here a quick case study: now that Q3 earnings season is over, what percentage of the companies in the Doe Jones reported non-GAAP EPS for Q3 2019? What was the median difference between non-GAAP EPS and GAAP EPS for companies in the DJIA for Q3 2019? How did these differences compare to recent quarters?

An analysis we conducted not too long ago of GAAP vs non-GAAP EPS showed a dramatic divergence between the two series, with the former peaking in 2013 and declining every since, even as non-GAAP profits have continued to rise.

Fast forward to today, when FactSet points out that since 2016, 73% of companies in the DJIA have reported non-GAAP EPS in addition to GAAP EPS on average. Of these 20 companies, it will not come as a surprise to anyone that since 2016, 75% of companies in the DJIA reported non-GAAP EPS that exceeded GAAP EPS on average. The median difference between non-GAAP EPS and GAAP EPS companies was 7.7%. Since 2016, the median difference between non-GAAP EPS and GAAP EPS has been 10.9%.

While the median number may not be so shocking, the top 5 outliers surely are. Indeed, when looking at the five biggest non-GAAP adjusters in the DJIA, Factset found that in Q3 2019, the average difference between GAAP and Non-GAAP EPS is about 100%, with Walt Disney the most flagrant abuser, pumping up its GAAP EPS of $0.43 into a non-GAAP EPS of $1.07, some 149% higher!

Of course, corporations adjust their results not only when reporting earnings – for many of them, a stronger adjusted EBITDA also means the difference between locking in that much needed loan or bond offering or facing insolvency. It is here that the abuse of GAAP reality is even more dramatic: the following chart from S&P LCD showing the percentage of new issue loans that come with EBITDA adjustments speaks for itself.

Fine, so most companies are “putting lipstick on themselves” and lying about how financially viable they really are. That is hardly a surprise – what is far more surprising is that this practice continues unabated, and that “adjusters” continue to get full credit for their EBITDA adjustments. Interestingly, such flagrant adjustments as “community-adjusted EBITDA” continue to take place long after the SEC launched a crack down on non-GAAP accounting gimmicks. As we reported back in 2016, the SEC’s chief accountant said that “we are going to look harder at the substance of what companies are presenting, rather than what the measures are called.”

Alas, after looking, the SEC appears to have done nothing because it was just a few months ago that WeWork’s “community adjusted” EBITDA farce was still gracing the pages of its financial presentations in order to justify its $47 billion valuation. And more shockingly, nobody on Wall Street cared, until a few weeks ago when the collective psychosis suddenly ended, and WeWork went from one of the world’s most valuable companies to insolvent, and needing a bailout from SoftBank in a matter of days.

Ok, but there has to be some measure of corporate profitability that avoids all these non-GAAP adjustments and one-time addbacks. After all, profits are the lifeblood of a nation’s GDP.

Conveniently, there is precisely such a data set tracking corporate profitability without the benefits of non-GAAP adjustments, and it is reported by the BEA in its purest form as Corporate profits with inventory valuation (IVA) and Capital Consumption (CCAdj) adjustments. Such operating profits, or profits from current production, are the purest form of corporate earnings since this series puts all firms on the same accounting framework – it avoids non-GAAP adjustments – and the profit numbers are not adjusted for the number of shares outstanding.

Yet even here something shocking took place this past July, when a wholesale revision of the economic data revealed something shocking: according to the annual GDP revisions operating profits for 2017 were lowered by $93 billion, or 4.4%, and profits for 2018 were reduced by a whopping $188 billion of 8.3%.

As we first pointed out a few months ago, the revised numbers of corporate profits show that operating profits peaked in Q3 2014 and have been moving sideways even since. Operating profits in the GDP accounts and S&P 500 operating profits over the long run track fairly close to one another, although there can be large differences in any given year. Yet, a flat trend for 5 years in operating profits should not be overlooked or ignored especially since during this period S&P 500 share prices have increased over 50%.

However, an even more accurate way of showing the above data is not in nominal terms, but as a share of GDP: after all, US corporations generate profits not only to boost the pockets of their shareholders but to stimulate the US economy. It is here that something shocking emerges – as the following chart shows, corporate profits (after tax with IVA and CCAdj) as a % of GDP have not only tumbled to the lowest level this decade, but are in fact lower than where they were when the US was sliding into the 2007-2009 financial crisis and when the US entered the 2007 recession!

There is yet another way to show the above: for those corporate finance purists who refuse to bow down to the BEA definitions, one can also look at adjusted EBITDA margins but split on a tech vs non-tech basis. What it shows is just as stunning: whereas EBITDA margins for tech companies are near or at all time highs, margins for the rest of the US corporate universe is fast approaching its financial crisis level. In other words, just the tech sector has account for all of the EBITDA margin improvement since the financial crisis!

Yet even this is becoming a problem, because as Credit Suisse wrote in its 2020 year ahead outlook, margins within some tech subsectors, such as semis and tech hardware, have started to sag under pressure and it’s only a matter of time before this solitary margin outlier mean reverts.

Whether or not tech succumbs to gravity and finally catches down with the rest of the economy – something that is virtually assured if some of the biggest tech monopolies are broken down in the coming years – is of secondary importance. What is more relevant is that if one looks at the real profits numbers, stripped of all adjustments, revisions and addbacks, a very ugly picture emerges, one where US corporate profitability is the worst since the financial crisis.

Why does this matter? Because as Joseph Carson put it in July, “the argument being used by equity analysts and strategists that the equity market is cheap or inexpensive relative profits appears to be dubious in light of revised data on operating profits, and it suggests that the “actual ” market multiple is a lot higher than what is being reported by analysts.


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 15:30

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Thanksgiving And The Birth Of American Free Enterprise

Thanksgiving And The Birth Of American Free Enterprise

Authored by Richard Ebeling via The American Institute for Economic Research,

Once more it’s that time of the year when most Americans gather with family and friends to celebrate the Thanksgiving holiday. The turkey is carved, the stuffing and sweet potatoes are passed around, and many slices of pumpkin pie are happily consumed. But how many of us know or appreciate that Thanksgiving really celebrates the failure of socialism and the birth of free enterprise in America? 

With all the calls for a “democratic” socialism to be established in the United States, it is worth remembering the first attempt to put in place a form of economic collectivism in that early period of American history, and the disastrous consequences it brought for the Pilgrim Fathers after they settled in Plymouth, Massachusetts.

The English Puritans, who left Great Britain and sailed across the Atlantic on the Mayflower in 1620, were not only escaping from religious persecution in their homeland. They also wanted to turn their back on what they viewed as the materialistic and greedy corruption of the Old World.

Plymouth Colony Planned as Collectivist Utopia

In the New World, they wanted to erect a New Jerusalem that would not only be religiously devout but be built on a new foundation of communal sharing and social altruism. Their goal was the communism of Plato’s Republic, in which all would work and share in common, knowing neither private property nor self-interested acquisitiveness.

What resulted is recorded in the diary of Governor William Bradford, the head of the colony. The colonists collectively cleared and worked the land, but they brought forth neither the bountiful harvest they hoped for, nor did it create a spirit of shared and cheerful brotherhood.

The less industrious members of the colony came late to their work in the fields and were slow and easy in their labors. Knowing that they and their families were to receive an equal share of whatever the group produced, they saw little reason to be more diligent in their efforts. The harder working among the colonists became resentful that their efforts would be redistributed to the more malingering members of the colony. Soon they, too, were coming late to work and were less energetic in the fields.

Collective Work Created Individual Resentment

As Governor Bradford explained in his old English (though with the spelling modernized):

“For the young men that were able and fit for labor and service did repine that they should spend their time and strength to work for other men’s wives and children, without recompense. The strong, or men of parts, had no more division of food, clothes, etc. then he that was weak and not able to do a quarter the other could; this was thought injustice. The aged and graver men to be ranked and equalized in labor, and food, clothes, etc. with the meaner and younger sort, thought it some indignant and disrespect unto them. And for men’s wives to be commanded to do service for other men, as dressing their meat, washing their clothes, etc. they deemed it a kind of slavery, neither could husbands brook it.”

Because of the disincentives and resentments that spread among the population, crops were sparse and the rationed equal shares from the collective harvest were not enough to ward off starvation and death. Two years of communism in practice had left alive only a fraction of the original number of the Plymouth colonists.

Private Property as Incentive to Industry

Realizing that another season like those that had just passed would mean the extinction of the entire community, the elders of the colony decided to try something radically different: the introduction of private property and the right of the individual families to keep the fruits of their own labor.

As Governor Bradford put it:

“And so assigned to every family a parcel of land, according to the proportion of their number for that end . . .This had a very good success; for it made all hands very industrious, so as much more corn was planted than otherwise would have been by any means the Governor or any other could use, and saved him a great deal of trouble, and gave far better content. The women now went willingly into the field and took their little ones with them to set corn, which before would allege weakness, and inability; whom to have compelled would have been thought great tyranny and oppression.”

The Plymouth Colony experienced a great bounty of food. Private ownership meant that there was now a close link between work and reward. Industry became the order of the day as the men and women in each family went to the fields on their separate private farms. When the harvest time came, not only did many families produce enough for their own needs, but they had surpluses that they could freely exchange with their neighbors for mutual benefit and improvement.

In Governor Bradford’s words:

“By this time harvest was come, and instead of famine, now God gave them plenty, and the face of things was changed, to the rejoicing of the hearts of many, for which they blessed God. And the effect of their planting was well seen, for all had, one way or other, pretty well to bring the year about, and some of the abler sort and more industrious had to spare, and sell to others, so as any general want or famine hath not been amongst them since to this day.”

Rejecting Collectivism for Individualism

Hard experience had taught the Plymouth colonists the fallacy and error in the ideas that since the time of the ancient Greeks had promised paradise through collectivism rather than individualism. As Governor Bradford expressed it:

“The experience that was had in this common course and condition, tried sundry years, and that amongst the Godly and sober men, may well convince of the vanity and conceit of Plato’s and other ancients; — that the taking away of property, and bringing into a common wealth, would make them happy and flourishing; as if they were wiser than God. For this community (so far as it was) was found to breed confusion and discontent and retard much employment that would have been to their benefit and comfort.”

Was the realization that communism was incompatible with human nature and the prosperity of humanity to be despaired or be a cause for guilt? Not in Governor Bradford’s eyes. It was simply a matter of accepting that compulsory altruism and collectivism were inconsistent with the nature of man, and that human institutions should reflect the reality of man’s nature if he is to prosper. Said Governor Bradford:

“Let none object this is man’s corruption, and nothing to the curse itself. I answer, seeing all men have this corruption in them, God in his wisdom saw another course fitter for them.”

The desire to “spread the wealth” and for government to plan and regulate people’s lives is as old as the utopian fantasy in Plato’s Republic. The Pilgrim Fathers tried and soon realized its bankruptcy and failure as a way for men to live together in society.

Instead, they accepted man as he is: hardworking, productive, and innovative when allowed the liberty to follow his own interests in improving his own circumstances and that of his family. And even more, out of his industry result the quantities of useful goods that enable men to trade to their mutual benefit.

Giving Thanks for the Triumph of Freedom

In the wilderness of the New World, the Plymouth Pilgrims had progressed from the false dream of communism to the sound realism of capitalism. At a time when too many in America are insisting on a massive turn toward more government with Green New Deal central plans, confiscatory redistributions of wealth, and imposed political paternalism on all we say and do in our associations with others, we need to hark back to the harsh and sometimes horrible lessons to be learned from past attempts to impose socialist systems on society

The First Thanksgiving is one of those lessons. This year, when we sit around our dining table with our family and friends, let us also remember that what we are really celebrating is the birth of free men and free enterprise in that New World of America. The real meaning of Thanksgiving, in other words, is the triumph of Capitalism over the failure of Collectivism in all its forms.


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 15:00

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/34taT3j Tyler Durden

DOJ Watchdog Expected To Downgrade ‘Spying’ On Trump Campaign To ‘Typical Law Enforcement Activities’

DOJ Watchdog Expected To Downgrade ‘Spying’ On Trump Campaign To ‘Typical Law Enforcement Activities’

In late September, RealClearInvestigations Paul Sperry suggested that Inspector General Michael Horowitz – tasked with investigating and exposing wrongdoing at the highest levels – was feared to be pulling punches in order to protect establishment darlings in his upcoming report on the Russia investigation.

Now we learn that Horowitz, who volunteered on several Democratic political campaigns while in college and is married to a former liberal political activist, Obama donor and CNN employee, is expected to conclude that the FBI didn’t spy on the Trump campaign.

Instead, when longtime FBI / CIA asset Stephan Halper and his undercover FBI ‘assistant’ named “Azra Turk” befriended George Papadopoulos, it was nothing more than “typical law enforcement activities,” according  the New York Times.

Mr. Horowitz found no evidence that Mr. Halper tried to infiltrate the Trump campaign itself, the people familiar with the draft report said, such as by seeking inside campaign information or a role in the organization. The F.B.I. also never directed him to do so, former officials said. Instead, Mr. Halper focused on eliciting information from Mr. Page and Mr. Papadopoulos about their ties to Russia.

Mr. Trump and his allies have pointed to some of the investigative steps the F.B.I. took as evidence of spying, though they were typical law enforcement activities. –NYT

Recall that the Obama administration had paid Halper over $1 million over a several years, with nearly half of it surrounding the 2016 election.

The report is also expected to conclude that Maltese professor Joseph Mifsud – who fed Papadopoulos the rumor that Russia had dirt on Hillary Clinton – is not an FBI informant. Mifsud, a self-described member of the Clinton Foundation, has been painted by Western media as a Russian asset.

Except, nobody claimed Mifsud was an FBI informant. As The Conservative Treehouse notes, “The concern has always been Mifsud was a western intelligence asset, perhaps CIA.”

Moreover, Horowitz will conclude that while the FBI was ‘careless and unprofessional’ in pursuing a wiretap on Trump campaign adviser Carter Page, and that a ‘front-line lawyer’ Kevin Clinesmith, 37, fabricated evidence to support a FISA spy warrant renewal against Page, that the underlying justification to go after page remained intact.

In other slaps on the wrist, Horowitz is expected to criticize DOJ official Bruce Ohr for failing to inform his bosses about his extensive contacts with ‘Steele Dossier’ author Christopher Steele.

And the icing on the cake – last week The Times also reported that while Horowitz will criticize the FBI for how they handled the Trump investigation, “he made no finding of politically biased actions by top officials Mr. Trump has vilified like the former F.B.I. director James B. Comey.”

No wonder Comey and team have been so smug!

The report is expected December 9, while Horowitz is scheduled to testify in front of the Senate days later.

Of course, while Horowitz may or may not give key FBI officials a pass in his report, its only one component of the ongoing efforts by the DOJ.


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 14:30

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Nation’s Progressives Give Thanks That They Have So Much To Be Angry About This Year

Nation’s Progressives Give Thanks That They Have So Much To Be Angry About This Year

Via BabylonBee.com,

In honor of Thanksgiving week, the nation’s progressives have begun to give thanks that they have so much to be angry and offended about this year.

“Thank you, unspecified deity who may or may not exist, for giving us so much stuff to be outraged about,” said Staci Walder, 42, of Portland, as she prepared her vegan, kale-wrapped turkey.

“I’m truly humbled that you’ve blessed me with the Trump presidency, the patriarchy, the laws of economics, and biological facts to rage against.

“Every year, it’s important to pause and recognize how much we have to be angry about.”

“A lot of people struggle with gratitude, but I’m deeply thankful that the universe has given us a veritable cornucopia of things to be mad about,” agreed Mary Wallace, 27, of New York.

“I know that I come from a place of privilege, and when I think about those poor people who have absolutely nothing to be mad about, I utter a prayer of thanks to goddess.”

Many progressives partake in an annual tradition of writing down all the things they’re thankful to be mad about:

  • White people

  • Pronouns

  • Personal responsibility

  • Satire that does not affirm their viewpoint

  • Billionaires

  • Old tweets

  • 32-ounce sodas

  • Plastic straws

  • People who hold a steady job

  • Appropriating other cultures

  • Excluding other cultures

  • Bush

  • Obama

  • Trump

  • Babies

  • Kanye West

  • America

“If we’d all just remember to count our outrages, we’d have a much worse attitude all the time,” Wallace said as she looked over her own list of offensive things that dare to exist.

“We should live our lives as though it’s Outrage Thanksgiving every day.”


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 14:00

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2L4EM2j Tyler Durden

Analysts Stunned After Lagarde Demands “Key Role” For The ECB In Climate Change

Analysts Stunned After Lagarde Demands “Key Role” For The ECB In Climate Change

Having failed miserably to “trickle down” stock market wealth for a decade as was their intention, something Ben Bernanke made clear in his Nov 4, 2010 WaPo op-ed, central banks have moved on to more noble causes.

Over the weekend Minneapolis Fed chair Neil Kashkari suggested it was time to allow central banks to directly decide how to redistribute wealth, stating unironically that “monetary policy can play the kind of redistributing role once thought to be the preserve of elected officials”, apparently failing to realize that the Fed is not made up of elected officials but unelected technocrats who serve the bidding of the Fed’s commercial bank owners.

Failing to decide how is poor and who is rich, central bankers are happy to settle with merely fixing the climate.

Overnight, Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda joined his European central banking peers by endorsing government plans to compile a fiscal spending package for disaster relief and measures to help the economy stave off heightening global risks. Kuroda said that natural disasters, such as the strong typhoon that struck Japan in October, may erode asset and collateral value, and the associated risk may pose a significant challenge for financial institutions, Kuroda said.

In short, it’s time for central banks to target global warming climate change:

“Climate-related risk differs from other risks in that its relatively long-term impact means that the effects will last longer than other financial risks, and the impact is far less predictable,” he said. “It is therefore necessary to thoroughly investigate and analyse the impact of climate-related risk.”

Kuroda’s crusade to tame climate came just hours after the ECB’s new chief, Christine Lagarde pushed for climate change to be part of a strategic review of the European Central Bank’s purpose, “spearheading a global drive to make the environment an essential part of monetary policymaking.”

As the FT put it, the plan “underlines Ms Lagarde’s declared goal as president to make climate change a “mission-critical” priority for the central bank. It comes as European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, whose team on Wednesday was officially endorsed by the European Parliament, is about to unveil her first landmark climate policy package.

“We have reached the point where the reputational risk of doing nothing is large enough that they will have to announce something at the end of the review — the big question is what,” said Stanislas Jourdan, head of Positive Money Europe, a campaign group.

Funny Jourdan should bring up reputational risk: after all he was referring to the criminally convicted former IMF head, who recently incinerated tens of billions in IMF bailout funds in Argentina. The same former IMF head who in April 2016 admitted that for the IMF to “thrive”, the world has to “go downhill”, and that the IMF “to be sustainable” it needs to be “very in touch with our client base” while adding that “when the world goes well and we’ve had years of growth, as was the case back in 2006 and 2007, the IMF doesn’t do so well both financially and otherwise.”

Naturally, Lagarde’s attempt to hijack the ECB’s mission from one of failing to hit an inflation target for years, diverting from Mario Draghi’s disastrous bubble legacy, and from making the wealth divide between the rich and poor the widest it has ever been, and to one of virtually unlimited debt monetization and MMT under the virtue-signalling guise of monetizing fiscal deficits to “save the climate” was promptly frowned upon by real central bankers such as Bundesbank president Jens Weidmann, who said last month that he would view “very critically” any attempt to redirect ECB monetary policy actions to tackle climate change. Then again, as has long been the case, the general public is by now well aware of Weidmann’s “bad cop” act – when push comes to shove, the German always folds, he will fold again.

It wasn’t just Weidmann who was appalled by Lagarde’s mission creep. Overnight, Rabobank’s Michael Every wrote that “just 24-hours after the Daily made the joke that said central banks will be adding a CO2 target to their CPI target, we see the Financial Times report that ECB President Lagarde wants a key role for climate change in the upcoming ECB review; this is apparently being opposed by the Germans, who believe that central banks are only supposed to focus on not-getting CPI right.”

To be sure, Lagarde’s half-baked strategy prompted even more questions the answers. Here is Every again:

Is Lagarde suggesting the ECB’s balance-sheet expansion will only be targeted at firms who meet green criteria? That’s going to cause a rapid liquidity crunch if so. Or is it that the ECB will back de facto fiscal expansion provided the scheme address global warming? “Cli(MM)a(T)e crisis”. I am not taking a side on that debate by the way, which is literally life or death if you believe the science: I am just asking how this is not something that elected politicians shouldn’t be front-running – does central-bank independence now run into the meteorological? And very sadly, commentary in Nature today suggests we might already be past the tipping point on the climate anyway – which would ironically be par for the course for central banks, who are always fighting the last war and failing to meet their targets.

And on the “let’s reduce inequality” front the Fed’s Kashkari recently floated as another focus for central banks, are we perhaps to see the Fed’s balance-sheet expansion channelled to low-income housing, or to firms who help #MAGA? “#M(MMT)AGA” springs to mind if so. Or are they going to keep things simple and merely tell banks they have to charge rich people more in order to give subsidised loans to poor people?

None of this really suggests higher rates or yields, of course.

That was nothing, however, compares to full-on rant unleashed by Shard Capital’s Bill Blain in his latest daily letter:

US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was recently asked what he thought about tax cuts, and replied it was not the Fed’s job to comment on political initiatives – he made clear the US Central Bank will stick to the data to deliver on its mandate of price control and employment. Simple Stuff and Very Focused.

Compare and contrast to the situation in Europe.  New ECB head Christine Lagarde is demanding a key role for the ECB in Climate Change. I thought the ECB was a central bank?  Silly me. Bravo for her strident virtue signalling of her impeccable climate change credentials. I would propose a round of applause – but let’s give her Jazz Hands in case it offends anyone.

The gods of unintended consequences are going to have a fantastic time!

I was also under the impression The ECB was an element within some form of democracy at the centre of Europe where elected governments would determine policy. Apologies if I misunderstood.

Just how will the ECB address climate change? Will it impose punitive capital costs on banks lending to borrowers they deem non-climate worthy? Will it jail bankers and financiers that have the temerity to offer terms to Oil, Gas and Coal companies?  Will the Bank only buy bonds issued by green borrowers who pass their tests? How will the bank police its green lending – for instance creating a Ministry of Financial Climate Control and basing it in Luxembourg…?  How will it address Greenwashing? (By selling its own Green label perhaps?) What incentives and punishments will it have at its command?

The potential for market distortion is multiple and serious.

I would suggest the remit of the ECB might stick with the knitting – like how to get European agreement on the obvious stuff like Banking Union, how to address the need for Fiscal policy, rather than trampling all over National State’s rights to address climate change themselves.

No Matter. Lagarde is French and Europe belongs to Macron.  

Any company that is well run, efficient and has positive cash flow, but is tarred by some Not Green badge, is going to be a screaming buy if you legislate against it – because it will be a good and cheap company.  Giving a company a green badge does not make it a good company. It means it got a gold star – nothing more.

Blain’s punchline: “why stop at protecting the environment. Go the whole hog and give the ECB oversight of ESG in its entirety. Give the ECB responsibility for determining which companies have done enough in terms of gender and transgender diversity, social inclusiveness, and which support the European dream most enthusiastically…”

Well, Bill, if we wait just a few years you will surely get your wish.

Finally, just in case Every and Blain’s sarcasm was lost on someone, here is Cantillon’s Sean Corrigan pointing out that what central bankers are currently pushing is “backdoor, globalist imposition of anti-democratic #Green tyranny, nothing less 2.0C + 2.0CPI = CCCP2.0.”

He is, of course right.


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 13:30

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Universities Teach Students How To “Decolonize” Their Thanksgiving

Universities Teach Students How To “Decolonize” Their Thanksgiving

Authored by Brittany Slaughter via The College Fix,

As college students across the nation arrive home for Thanksgiving, they’re armed with the knowledge of how to “decolonize” their holiday.

There was no one way to impart this instruction, as educators took different approaches, with events such as “How You Can Eat Your Turkey and Decolonize Thanksgiving Too” and “Thanks But No Thanks-Giving: Decolonizing an American Holiday.”

“By taking a decolonizing approach to teaching about Thanksgiving, teachers and families reject the myths of Thanksgiving and harmful stereotypes about Native peoples,” Professor Lindsey Wieck wrote in an article for Medium in which she encouraged parents to send letters to their children’s schools to “advocate for a more inclusive approach to discussing Thanksgiving.”

Wieck, an assistant professor of history St. Mary’s University, did not respond to requests from The College Fix seeking further comment. But due to her stance, it’s unlikely she would have been in opposition to some of the activities campuses hosted in recent weeks given the article’s headline: “Decolonizing Thanksgiving: A Toolkit for Combating Racism in Schools.”

Montana State University’s “indigenous dinner” on Nov. 13 dinner included locally and tribally sourced foods with various stations offering natural Native American dishes.

“The dinner has two missions: to educate patrons about foods they may not have realized are indigenous to this country and to help people understand what it was like to eat prior to the colonization of the Americas,” said KayAnn Miller, executive sous chef for Miller Dining Commons, in a university news release.

But university’s spokesperson Carly Toalson declined to comment to The College Fix about the event.

Meanwhile at the University of Oregon, it hosted “Thanks But No Thanks-giving: Decolonizing an American Holiday.”

The Nov. 21 event reminded students that “Thanksgiving is, foundationally speaking, a celebration of the ongoing genocide against native peoples and cultures across the globe,” according to the university’s website.

With that, the event focused “on ways in which we can continue to show gratitude while raising our critical consciousness and identifying ways to decolonize the holiday.”

A University of Oregon spokesperson declined to comment to The College Fix about the event.

Over at the Indiana University of Pennsylvania, it played host to a “Decolonize Thanksgiving Information Table” on Nov. 14.

“Stories told about the first Thanksgiving often perpetuate harmful stereotypes and racism. Decolonize your Thanksgiving to go beyond the harmful ‘pilgrims and Indians’ narrative and focus on common values: generosity, gratitude, community, and good food,” the university’s website states.

Abigail Adams, chairperson for IUP’s Native American Awareness Council, told Campus Reform the event included copies of “The suppressed speech of Wamsutta James” and a poster addressing the “myth of Thanksgiving.”

Meanwhile, over at Missouri Southern State University, a panel it recently played host to was titled “How You Can Eat Your Turkey and Decolonize Thanksgiving Too.” It was led by Tehya Deardorff, of the Quapaw Nation, and Kristen Fidler, of the Cherokee Nation. Organizers did not respond to repeated requests for comment.

The panel was part of a larger event called “The Whole Story: A Decolonial Cross-Cultural Day,” reports the Joplin Globe. Other topics the event aimed to decolonize included language, fashion and science.

Materials provided to the Globe by event founder Rebecca Mouser, an assistant professor in the English and philosophy department and president of the faculty senate, noted that “colonization has taken place all over the globe through the stealing of lands; the raping of women; the taking of slaves; the breaking of bodies through fighting, labor, imprisonment and genocide; the stealing of children; the enforcement of religion; (and) the destruction or attempts to destroy spiritual ways of life.”

“All of these things have left a psychological, spiritual and physical impact on indigenous peoples and a governmental ruling system that we did not create, that was not made for us. These are the things we need to heal from, where we need to start reclaiming. This is where organizing and decolonizing comes in.”


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 13:00

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“That’s How Business Works”: Burisma Board Member Admits Hunter Biden Was Picked “Because Of His Name”

“That’s How Business Works”: Burisma Board Member Admits Hunter Biden Was Picked “Because Of His Name”

Former Polish president Aleksander Kwasniewski  – a current board member for Ukrainian gas company Burisma, admitted to AP that Hunter Biden was picked to sit on the company’s board because of his name, and that’s ‘just how the world works.’

Still, he insists that the younger Biden never leveraged his relationship with his father to further the company’s interests – such as the time Joe threatened to withhold $1 billion in US aid unless Ukraine’s top prosecutor, who was investigating Burisma, was fired.

“I understand that if someone asks me to be part of some project it’s not only because I’m so good, it’s also because I am Kwasniewski and I am a former president of Poland. … Being Biden is not bad. It’s a good name,” he said.

Hunter and his ‘good name’ was recently revealed to have fathered a child out of wedlock with an Arkansas stripper – notably at a different strip club than he is accused of smoking crack in, neither of which were the club where he’s also accused of having someone run out to get a dildo “so the gals could use it” on him, according to Page Six.

Then there was the time Hunter returned a Hertz rental car to an Arizona with a crack pipe, and the number of a local colon hydrotherapist called the next day to let the rental agency know the keys were in the gas cap.

Great name indeed!


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 12:30

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Your Social Justice Warrior Guide “To Challenge Bigoted Relatives” During The Holidays

Your Social Justice Warrior Guide “To Challenge Bigoted Relatives” During The Holidays

Authored by Jennie Taer via SaraACarter.com,

Holiday season is not just about spending quality time with friends and family, now, according to Teen Vogue, it’s about confronting your “bigoted relatives”…

That’s right and not only that, but it’s also about breaking the “safe space” your white relatives have created to openly discuss “racist, transphobic, queer antagonistic, mysogynistic, and generally ugly ideas.”

In the magazine’s recent column, Jenn M. Jackson argues that its “our responsibility to challenge” our “bigoted relatives” this holiday season.

 “Some white people who see themselves as nonracist will just play nice instead of clapping back directly at these problematic family members. This year, consider doing something different,” Jackson argues.

Further, she says that although discriminatory laws have been deemed unconstitutional, white people are still quietly participating in acts of segregation. They continue to “isolate” themselves from nonwhite populations through “white flight” and comprise their social groups of only other white people.

“Neighborhood segregation means that many white Americans don’t see many nonwhite people as members of their communities, and certainly not as their next-door neighbors,” Jackson notes.

The holiday meal will be the social justice warrior’s ground zero for ending white privilege. It’s time to mobilize.

“Quietly forking away at your yams and green beans while Aunt Susan spews hateful messages about Black people, immigrants, or gender nonconforming people won’t do anything to change the status quo,” Jackson wrote.

“It’s just another way of allowing these toxic ideas and beliefs to permeate throughout generations and social networks every day. How about stepping up to do something about it?”

Consistent with their latest column, the magazine published a glowing piece on Karl Marx earlier this year. They introduced him to readers, mostly young girls, as “the man, the meme, the legend” of communism.

Speaking to academic experts on the subject of Marxist theory, it was clear that Teen Vogue hoped to inspire the next proletariat overthrow of the bourgeoisie class.


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 12:05

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“No Thanks!” – Nightmare Storms Continue To Disrupt Travel

“No Thanks!” – Nightmare Storms Continue To Disrupt Travel

Holiday travelers are relieved that the first storm, which moved across the Central and Midwest regions earlier this week, has left the coast of New England on Thursday.

Though the storm has left behind gusty winds across the Mid-Atlantic and North East states for Thanksgiving, from North Carolina to New York City, wind advisories have been posted, reported ABC News.

Winds in New York City could reach 35 to 40 mph during Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade — it appears that some of the floats will still fly, despite earlier reports, the floats could be canceled due to high winds.

From Northern California to Michigan, dozens of states are under winter storm advisories and warnings as wintery participation fell into the late week, from a second storm.

There were even reports of blizzard-like conditions in Spokane, Washington, which on Tuesday, led to a massive pileup involving more than 100 cars. 

Pictures of the pileup circulated around social media on late Tuesday. Authorities said six were injured with no deaths. 

Other reports show the storm unleashed blizzard-like conditions in southern Oregon and northern California. Parts of the I-5 were shut down on Tuesday for an extended period of time, stranding hundreds of drivers. 

Winter Storm Warnings have been posted for the Sierras to the Central and Southern Rockies, where 2-4 feet of snow is expected by Friday evening.

The winter storm will track east into the Plains by the Weekend.

Montana to Michigan could be slammed with dangerous blizzard conditions. Currently, the storm is crossing the Southwest and Southern Plains.

By Saturday, the storm is expected to move into Central US, from the Northern Plains to the Gulf Coast. Severe weather is expected for states in those regions.

Blizzard conditions are expected across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest on Saturday, with damaging winds and isolated tornadoes across Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.

The storm will arrive in the Northeast by Sunday, could produce a mix of rain and snow for some areas.

From coast to coast, it appears travel during this holiday season could be widely disrupted as several storms unleash a mix of volatile weather.


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 11:40

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8 Charts To Give Thanks For

8 Charts To Give Thanks For

Authored by Bilal Hafeez via MacroHive.com,

Today sees Americans celebrate Thanksgiving. It’s a holiday that brings families together, celebrates harmony, and recognizes the bounty of harvest. So what better time to remind ourselves that despite headlines crying out otherwise, not all is bad in the world.

Here are 8 charts with an optimistic take:

(1) Goldilocks Economic Conditions. 

In the 1970s, the scourge of industrialised economies was high unemployment and high inflation. The sum of both indicators made the ‘misery index’. Today, low unemployment rates and equally low inflation have brought that index close to its lowest level ever for the major economies.

(2) US Jobs Market is Great Again for Neglected Demographics.

For all the rhetoric of increasing polarisation and discrimination in today’s society, one indicator at least has moved in the right direction: the unemployment rates for Women, Black, and Latino segments of the US population. These are at all at low levels – and most at their lowest on record.

(3) China Finding Balance. 

For too long China has relied on investment to generate growth. And often, it’s uneconomic bank lending financing this. Today the picture is different. 2019 has seen the lowest investment contribution to growth for years. And importantly, Chinese bank balance sheets have stopped expanding.

(4) UK Saw Growth Turnaround in 2019. 

The UK has been in the doldrums since the Brexit vote. But this year saw every other industrialised economy hit by a trade-war-affected decline in the global cycle. Who bounced back during this decline? The UK.

(5) The Simplest Investment Strategy Delivered Double Digit Returns. 

While VC returns, smart beta, and macro hedge funds struggled in 2019, the plain vanilla 60:40 strategy came good. It delivered returns of over 15%.

(6) Many Countries are Expected to See a Pick-up in Growth in 2020. 

Global narratives can easily bog you down – seeing the whole world shifting one way or another. Instead, look at individual country growth forecasts. There we find many countries expecting higher growth next year compared with 2019: Argentina, Singapore, Mexico, Hong Kong, and standing out especially, Turkey.

(7) Italy is Fiscally Responsible. 

Everyone was worried that an anti-EU populist government in Italy would break all the fiscal rules. But looking at the actual numbers, Italy has been the exemplar of fiscal prudence.

(8) Equity Investors See Value in Europe. 

It’s easy to dislike the Euro-area: stagnant growth, weak banks, and a lack of innovation. However, equity investors are less dismissive. After selling Euro-area equities in 2018, they have entered the region with force. Clearly they see something others are missing.

Optimism? How long will that last?


Tyler Durden

Thu, 11/28/2019 – 11:15

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