And Today's Other Anniversary…

With all eyes glued to the anniversary of the assassination of JFK 50 years ago, we thought it worth noting that the death of another important American figure – the USDollar – began exactly 100 years ago. Today in 1910 Sen. Aldrich, 1 yr after introducing an amendment to establish an income tax, convened the first secret meeting at Jekyll Island.

 

 

So what changed? [Hint: it rhymes with Schederal Schmeserve]

(h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer)

For those who still are unfamiliar with the origins of the Federal Reserve, below is the first chapter of the Secrets of the Federal Reserve:

"The matter of a uniform discount rate was discussed and settled at Jekyll Island."–Paul M. Warburg

On the night of November 22, 1910, a group of newspaper reporters stood disconsolately in the railway station at Hoboken, New Jersey. They had just watched a delegation of the nation’s leading financiers leave the station on a secret mission. It would be years before they discovered what that mission was, and even then they would not understand that the history of the United States underwent a drastic change after that night in Hoboken.

The delegation had left in a sealed railway car, with blinds drawn, for an undisclosed destination. They were led by Senator Nelson Aldrich, head of the National Monetary Commission. President Theodore Roosevelt had signed into law the bill creating the National Monetary Commission in 1908, after the tragic Panic of 1907 had resulted in a public outcry that the nation’s monetary system be stabilized. Aldrich had led the members of the Commission on a two-year tour of Europe, spending some three hundred thousand dollars of public money. He had not yet made a report on the results of this trip, nor had he offered any plan for banking reform.

Accompanying Senator Aldrich at the Hoboken station were his private secretary, Shelton; A. Piatt Andrew, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury, and Special Assistant of the National Monetary Commission; Frank Vanderlip, president of the National City Bank of New York, Henry P. Davison, senior partner of J.P. Morgan Company, and generally regarded as Morgan’s personal emissary; and Charles D. Norton, president of the Morgan-dominated First National Bank of New York. Joining the group just before the train left the station were Benjamin Strong, also known as a lieutenant of J.P. Morgan; and Paul Warburg, a recent immigrant from Germany who had joined the banking house of Kuhn, Loeb

Six years later, a financial writer named Bertie Charles Forbes (who later founded the Forbes Magazine; the present editor, Malcom Forbes, is his son), wrote:

"Picture a party of the nation’s greatest bankers stealing out of New York on a private railroad car under cover of darkness, stealthily hieing hundred of miles South, embarking on a mysterious launch, sneaking onto an island deserted by all but a few servants, living there a full week under such rigid secrecy that the names of not one of them was once mentioned lest the servants learn the identity and disclose to the world this strangest, most secret expedition in the history of American finance. I am not romancing; I am giving to the world, for the first time, the real story of how the famous Aldrich currency report, the foundation of our new currency system, was written . . . . The utmost secrecy was enjoined upon all. The public must not glean a hint of what was to be done. Senator Aldrich notified each one to go quietly into a private car of which the railroad had received orders to draw up on an unfrequented platform. Off the party set. New York’s ubiquitous reporters had been foiled . . . Nelson (Aldrich) had confided to Henry, Frank, Paul and Piatt that he was to keep them locked up at Jekyll Island, out of the rest of the world, until they had evolved and compiled a scientific currency system for the United States, the real birth of the present Federal Reserve System, the plan done on Jekyll Island in the conference with Paul, Frank and Henry . . . . Warburg is the link that binds the Aldrich system and the present system together. He more than any one man has made the system possible as a working reality."

The official biography of Senator Nelson Aldrich states:

"In the autumn of 1910, six men went out to shoot ducks, Aldrich, his secretary Shelton, Andrews, Davison, Vanderlip and Warburg. Reporters were waiting at the Brunswick (Georgia) station. Mr. Davison went out and talked to them. The reporters dispersed and the secret of the strange journey was not divulged. Mr. Aldrich asked him how he had managed it and he did not volunteer the information."

Davison had an excellent reputation as the person who could conciliate warring factions, a role he had performed for J.P. Morgan during the settling of the Money Panic of 1907. Another Morgan partner, T.W. Lamont, says:

"Henry P. Davison served as arbitrator of the Jekyll Island expedition."

From these references, it is possible to piece together the story. Aldrich’s private car, which had left Hoboken station with its shades drawn, had taken the financiers to Jekyll Island, Georgia. Some years earlier, a very exclusive group of millionaires, led by J.P. Morgan, had purchased the island as a winter retreat. They called themselves the Jekyll Island Hunt Club, and, at first, the island was used only for hunting expeditions, until the millionaires realized that its pleasant climate offered a warm retreat from the rigors of winters in New York, and began to build splendid mansions, which they called "cottages", for their families’ winter vacations. The club building itself, being quite isolated, was sometimes in demand for stag parties and other pursuits unrelated to hunting. On such occasions, the club members who were not invited to these specific outings were asked not to appear there for a certain number of days. Before Nelson Aldrich’s party had left New York, the club’s members had been notified that the club would be occupied for the next two weeks.

The Jekyll Island Club was chosen as the place to draft the plan for control of the money and credit of the people of the United States, not only because of its isolation, but also because it was the private preserve of the people who were drafting the plan. The New York Times later noted, on May 3, 1931, in commenting on the death of George F. Baker, one of J.P. Morgan’s closest associates, that "Jekyll Island Club has lost one of its most distinguished members. One-sixth of the total wealth of the world was represented by the members of the Jekyll Island Club." Membership was by inheritance only.

The Aldrich group had no interest in hunting. Jekyll Island was chosen for the site of the preparation of the central bank because it offered complete privacy, and because there was not a journalist within fifty miles. Such was the need for secrecy that the members of the party agreed, before arriving at Jekyll Island, that no last names would be used at any time during their two week stay. The group later referred to themselves as the First Name Club, as the last names of Warburg, Strong, Vanderlip and the others were prohibited during their stay. The customary attendants had been given two week vacations from the club, and new servants brought in from the mainland for this occasion who did not know the names of any of those pre
sent. Even if they had been interrogated after the Aldrich party went back to New York, they could not have given the names. This arrangement proved to be so satisfactory that the members, limited to those who had actually been present at Jekyll Island, later had a number of informal get-togethers in New York.

Why all this secrecy? Why this thousand mile trip in a closed railway car to a remote hunting club? Ostensibly, it was to carry out a program of public service, to prepare banking reform which would be a boon to the people of the United States, which had been ordered by the National Monetary Commission. The participants were no strangers to public benefactions. Usually, their names were inscribed on brass plaques, or on the exteriors of buildings which they had donated. This was not the procedure which they followed at Jekyll Island. No brass plaque was ever erected to mark the selfless actions of those who met at their private hunt club in 1910 to improve the lot of every citizen of the United States.

In fact, no benefaction took place at Jekyll Island. The Aldrich group journeyed there in private to write the banking and currency legislation which the National Monetary Commission had been ordered to prepare in public. At stake was the future control of the money and credit of the United States. If any genuine monetary reform had been prepared and presented to Congress, it would have ended the power of the elitist one world money creators. Jekyll Island ensured that a central bank would be established in the United States which would give these bankers everything they had always wanted.

As the most technically proficient of those present, Paul Warburg was charged with doing most of the drafting of the plan. His work would then be discussed and gone over by the rest of the group. Senator Nelson Aldrich was there to see that the completed plan would come out in a form which he could get passed by Congress, and the other bankers were there to include whatever details would be needed to be certain that they got everything they wanted, in a finished draft composed during a onetime stay. After they returned to New York, there could be no second get together to rework their plan. They could not hope to obtain such secrecy for their work on a second journey.

The Jekyll Island group remained at the club for nine days, working furiously to complete their task. Despite the common interests of those present, the work did not proceed without friction. Senator Aldrich, always a domineering person, considered himself the chosen leader of the group, and could not help ordering everyone else about. Aldrich also felt somewhat out of place as the only member who was not a professional banker. He had had substantial banking interests throughout his career, but only as a person who profited from his ownership of bank stock. He knew little about the technical aspects of financial operations. His opposite number, Paul Warburg, believed that every question raised by the group demanded, not merely an answer, but a lecture. He rarely lost an opportunity to give the members a long discourse designed to impress them with the extent of his knowledge of banking. This was resented by the others, and often drew barbed remarks from Aldrich. The natural diplomacy of Henry P. Davison proved to be the catalyst which kept them at their work. Warburg’s thick alien accent grated on them, and constantly reminded them that they had to accept his presence if a central bank plan was to be devised which would guarantee them their future profits. Warburg made little effort to smooth over their prejudices, and contested them on every possible occasion on technical banking questions, which he considered his private preserve.

"In all conspiracies there must be great secrecy."

The "monetary reform" plan prepared at Jekyll Island was to be presented to Congress as the completed work of the National Monetary Commission. It was imperative that the real authors of the bill remain hidden. So great was popular resentment against bankers since the Panic of 1907 that no Congressman would dare to vote for a bill bearing the Wall Street taint, no matter who had contributed to his campaign expenses. The Jekyll Island plan was a central bank plan, and in this country there was a long tradition of struggle against inflicting a central bank on the American people. It had begun with Thomas Jefferson’s fight against Alexander Hamilton’s scheme for the First Bank of the United States, backed by James Rothschild. It had continued with President Andrew Jackson’s successful war against Alexander Hamilton’s scheme for the Second Bank of the United States, in which Nicholas Biddle was acting as the agent for James Rothschild of Paris. The result of that struggle was the creation of the Independent Sub-Treasury System, which supposedly had served to keep the funds of the United States out of the hands of the financiers. A study of the panics of 1873, 1893, and 1907 indicates that these panics were the result of the international bankers’ operations in London. The public was demanding in 1908 that Congress enact legislation to prevent the recurrence of artificially induced money panics. Such monetary reform now seemed inevitable. It was to head off and control such reform that the National Monetary Commission had been set up with Nelson Aldrich at its head, since he was majority leader of the Senate.

The main problem, as Paul Warburg informed his colleagues, was to avoid the name "Central Bank". For that reason, he had decided upon the designation of "Federal Reserve System". This would deceive the people into thinking it was not a central bank. However, the Jekyll Island plan would be a central bank plan, fulfilling the main functions of a central bank; it would be owned by private individuals who would profit from ownership of shares. As a bank of issue, it would control the nation’s money and credit.

In the chapter on Jekyll Island in his biography of Aldrich, Stephenson writes of the conference:

"How was the Reserve Bank to be controlled? It must be controlled by Congress. The government was to be represented in the board of directors, it was to have full knowledge of all the Bank’s, affairs, but a majority of the directors were to be chosen, directly or indirectly, by the banks of the association."

Thus the proposed Federal Reserve Bank was to be "controlled by Congress" and answerable to the government, but the majority of the directors were to be chosen, "directly or indirectly" by the banks of the association. In the final refinement of Warburg’s plan, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors would be appointed by the President of the United States, but the real work of the Board would be controlled by a Federal Advisory Council, meeting with the Governors. The Council would be chosen by the directors of the twelve Federal Reserve Banks, and would remain unknown to the public.

The next consideration was to conceal the fact that the proposed "Federal Reserve System" would be dominated by the masters of the New York money market. The Congressmen from the South and the West could not survive if they voted for a Wall Street plan. Farmers and small businessmen in those areas had suffered most from the money panics. There had been great popular resentment against the Eastern bankers, which during the nineteenth century became a political movement known as "populism". The private papers of Nicholas Biddle, not released until more than a century after his death, show that quite early on the Eastern bankers were fully aware of the widespread public opposition to them.

Paul Warburg advanced at Jekyll Island the primary deception which would prevent the citizens from recognizing that his plan set up a central bank. This was the region
al reserve system. He proposed a system of four (later twelve) branch reserve banks located in different sections of the country. Few people outside the banking world would realize that the existing concentration of the nation’s money and credit structure in New York made the proposal of a regional reserve system a delusion.

Another proposal advanced by Paul Warburg at Jekyll Island was the manner of selection of administrators for the proposed regional reserve system. Senator Nelson Aldrich had insisted that the officials should be appointive, not elected, and that Congress should have no role in their selection. His Capitol Hill experience had taught him that congressional opinion would often be inimical to the Wall Street interests, as Congressmen from the West and South might wish to demonstrate to their constituents that they were protecting them against the Eastern bankers.

Warburg responded that the administrators of the proposed central banks should be subject to executive approval by the President. This patent removal of the system from Congressional control meant that the Federal Reserve proposal was unconstitutional from its inception, because the Federal Reserve System was to be a bank of issue. Article 1, Sec. 8, Par. 5 of the Constitution expressly charges Congress with "the power to coin money and regulate the value thereof.". Warburg’s plan would deprive Congress of its sovereignty, and the systems of checks and balances of power set up by Thomas Jefferson in the Constitution would now be destroyed. Administrators of the proposed system would control the nation’s money and credit, and would themselves be approved by the executive department of the government. The judicial department (the Supreme Court, etc.) was already virtually controlled by the executive department through presidential appointment to the bench.

Paul Warburg later wrote a massive exposition of his plan, The Federal Reserve System, Its Origin and Growth7 of some 1750 pages, but the name "Jekyll Island" appears nowhere in this text. He does state (Vol. 1, p. 58):

"But then the conference closed, after a week of earnest deliberation, the rough draft of what later

became the Aldrich Bill had been agreed upon, and a plan had been outlined which provided for a ‘National Reserve Association,’ meaning a central reserve organization with an elastic note issue based on gold and commercial paper."

On page 60, Warburg writes, "The results of the conference were entirely confidential. Even the fact there had been a meeting was not permitted to become public." He adds in a footnote, "Though eighteen [sic] years have since gone by, I do not feel free to give a description of this most interesting conference concerning which Senator Aldrich pledged all participants to secrecy."

B.C. Forbes’ revelation of the secret expedition to Jekyll Island, had had surprisingly little impact. It did not appear in print until two years after the Federal Reserve Act had been passed by Congress, hence it was never read during the period when it could have had an effect, that is, during the Congressional debate on the bill. Forbes’ story was also dismissed, by those "in the know," as preposterous, and a mere invention. Stephenson mentions this on page 484 of his book about Aldrich.

"This curious episode of Jekyll Island has been generally regarded as a myth. B.C. Forbes got some information from one of the reporters. It told in vague outline the Jekyll Island story, but made no impression and was generally regarded as a mere yarn."

The coverup of the Jekyll Island conference proceeded along two lines, both of which were successful. The first, as Stephenson mentions, was to dismiss the entire story as a romantic concoction which never actually took place. Although there were brief references to Jekyll Island in later books concerning the Federal Reserve System, these also attracted little public attention. As we have noted, Warburg’s massive and supposedly definite work on the Federal Reserve System does not mention Jekyll Island at all, although he does admit that a conference took place. In none of his voluminous speeches or writings do the words "Jekyll Island" appear, with a single notable exception. He agreed to Professor Stephenson’s request that he prepare a brief statement for the Aldrich biography. This appears on page 485 as part of "The Warburg Memorandum". In this excerpt, Warburg writes, "The matter of a uniform discount rate was discussed and settled at Jekyll Island."

Another member of the "First Name Club" was less reticent. Frank Vanderlip later published a few brief references to the conference. In the Saturday Evening Post, February 9, 1935, p. 25, Vanderlip wrote:

"Despite my views about the value to society of greater publicity for the affairs of corporations, there was an occasion near the close of 1910, when I was as secretive, indeed, as furtive, as any conspirator. . . . Since it would have been fatal to Senator Aldrich’s plan to have it known that he was calling on anybody from Wall Street to help him in preparing his bill, precautions were taken that would have delighted the heart of James Stillman (a colorful and secretive banker who was President of the National City Bank during the Spanish-American War, and who was thought to have been involved in getting us into that war) . . . I do not feel it is any exaggeration to speak of our secret expedition to Jekyll Island as the occasion of the actual conception of what eventually became the Federal Reserve System."

In a Travel feature in The Washington Post, March 27, 1983, "Follow The Rich to Jekyll Island", Roy Hoopes writes:

 "In 1910, when Aldrich and four financial experts wanted a place to meet in secret to reform the country’s banking system, they faked a hunting trip to Jekyll and for 10 days holed up in the Clubhouse, where they made plans for what eventually would become the Federal Reserve Bank."

Vanderlip later wrote in his autobiography, From Farmboy to Financier:

"Our secret expedition to Jekyll Island was the occasion of the actual conception of what eventually became the Federal Reserve System. The essential points of the Aldrich Plan were all contained in the Federal Reserve Act as it was passed."

Professor E.R.A. Seligman, a member of the international banking family of J. & W. Seligman, and head of the Department of Economics at Columbia University, wrote in an essay published by the Academy of Political Science, Proceedings, v. 4, No. 4, p. 387-90:

"It is known to a very few how great is the indebtedness of the United States to Mr. Warburg. For it may be said without fear of contradiction that in its fundamental features the Federal Reserve Act is the work of Mr. Warburg more than any other man in the country. The existence of a Federal Reserve Board creates, in everything but in name, a real central bank. In the two fundamentals of command of reserves and of a discount policy, the Federal Reserve Act has frankly accepted the principle of the Aldrich Bill, and these principles, as has been stated, were the creation of Mr. Warburg and Mr. Warburg alone. It must not be forgotten that Mr. Warburg had a practical object in view. In formulating his plans and in advancing in them slightly varying suggestions from time to time, it was incumbent on him to remember that the education of the country must be gradual and that a large part of the task was to break down prejudices and remove suspicion. His plans therefore contained all sorts of elaborate suggestions designed to guard the public against fancied dangers and to persuade the country that the general scheme was at all practicable. It was the hope of Mr. Warburg that with the lap
se of time it might be possible to eliminate from the law a few clauses which were inserted largely at his suggestion for educational purposes."

Now that the public debt of the United States has passed a trillion dollars, we may indeed admit "how great is the indebtedness of the United States to Mr. Warburg." At the time he wrote the Federal Reserve Act, the public debt was almost nonexistent.

Professor Seligman points out Warburg’s remarkable prescience that the real task of the members of the Jekyll Island conference was to prepare a banking plan which would gradually "educate the country" and "break down prejudices and remove suspicion". The campaign to enact the plan into law succeeded in doing just that.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/Bt8P-VdgOYU/story01.htm Tyler Durden

WTF Chart Of The Day: Margin Expectations Edition

Analysts are forecasting the highest fraction of companies to post year-over-year margin expansion in our data history, despite the already near-record profit levels today. The only thing one can say when looking at this chart of expectations (apart from – imagine the job losses needed to achieve this) is WTF?!

 

 

Chart: Morgan Stanley


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/QEzlDpWu79M/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Eric Holder Condemns Mass Incarceration (Again)

Yesterday Attorney
General Eric Holder reiterated the concerns about mass
incarceration that he
expressed
when he unveiled his “Smart on Crime” initiative last
August. Speaking at a conference of public security officials in
Medellin, Colombia, Holder
reflected
on America’s dubious achievements in the field of
locking people in cages:

The path we are currently on is far from sustainable.  As
we speak, roughly one out of every 100 American adults is behind
bars.  Although the United States comprises just five percent
of the world’s population, we incarcerate almost a quarter of the
world’s prisoners.  While few would dispute the fact that
incarceration has a role to play in any comprehensive public safety
strategy, it’s become evident that such widespread incarceration is
both inadvisable and unsustainable. It requires that we routinely
spend billions of dollars on prison construction—and tens of
billions more, on an annual basis, to house those who are convicted
of crimes.  It carries both human and moral costs that are too
much to bear.  And it results in far too many Americans
serving too much time in too many prisons—and beyond the point of
serving any good law enforcement reason.

Drug Policy Foundation Executive Director Ethan Nadelmann
comments:

I have to admit it’s a strange feeling, at once wonderful and
wary, when the attorney general of the United States tells an
audience of security ministers—at a conference in a foreign
country—that there’s something fundamentally wrong with
incarcerating so many people in his own country. The Obama
administration’s rhetorical shift can be criticized as too little
and too late, but its historic significance cannot be denied. 
Let’s just hope that this new rhetoric truly translates into new
policies.

I expressed similar sentiments in a column
last summer.

Today the
Brennan Center for Justice released a
report
that suggests one way of curbing the over-incarceration
that Holder deplores: by reforming the Edward Byrne Memorial
Justice Assistance Grant Program, the biggest source of federal aid
to local law enforcement agencies, so that it does not encourage
cops to measure their success by arrests:

Current measures inadvertently incentivize unwise policy
choices. Federal officials ask states to report the number of
arrests, but not whether the crime rate dropped. They measure
the amount of cocaine seized, but not whether arrestees were
screened for drug addiction. They tally the number of cases
prosecuted, but not whether prosecutors reduced the number of
petty crime offenders sent to prison. In short, today’s JAG
performance measures fail to show whether the programs it
funds have achieved “success:” improving public safety without
needless social costs. These measures send a signal to states
and localities that the federal government desires more
arrests, more cocaine busts, and more prosecutions at the
expense of other more effective activities.

The report says the Obama administration could make meaningful
changes without new legislation by revising the criteria for
assessing grant recipents’ performance. It does not mention that
Barack Obama, who as a presidential candidate worried about the
size of our prison system and the racially disproportionate impact
of the war on drugs, nevertheless has been a big
booster
of the Byrne grant program, which has fueled the
incarceration of nonviolent drug offenders and funded the regional
task forces behind racially tinged law enforcement scandals in
places such as Tulia, Texas.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/22/eric-holders-condemns-mass-incarceration
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2014 Obamacare Enrollment Postponed Until After Elections, California Ignores Latest Obamacare “Fix,” CBS Orders Copyright Takedown of Walter Cronkite JFK Assassination Coverage: P.M. Links

  • whose copyright?Next year’s enrollment period for Obamacare has
    already been
    postponed
    until after the November 2014 elections. California
    has decided to
    ignore
    President Obama’s “fix” allowing insurance companies to
    extend coverage banned under Obamacare through next year. Oregon’s
    beleaguered state insurance exchange is
    adding
    fax lines to deal with incoming paper applications.
  • News agencies are
    complaining
    that the White House is limiting access to the
    president for photographers, choosing to distribute its own
    carefully selected photos instead. A group of liberal journalists,

    meanwhile
    , had an off-the-record sit down with the president,
    reportedly to talk about Obamacare.
  • Democrat Tom Harkin
    suggests
    the Senate should alter the rules on the filibustering
    of legislation next.
  • A clandestine unit of the FBI
    helps
    the NSA to spy on Americans.
  • A federal appeals court
    decided
    not to overturn a ruling suspending stop and frisk in
    New York City.
  • CBS is
    apparently
    ordering video clips of Walter Cronkite’s
    announcement that John F. Kennedy was shot be taken down over
    copyright violations. A photo engineer who analyzed the Zapruder
    film, which caught the Kennedy assassination, is
    tired
    of the conspiracy theories surrounding it, and says the
    CIA should have never treated the film as top secret to begin with.
    That footage was captured 50 years ago today.
  • Joe Biden
    borrowed
    ten dollars from an aide to buy lunch for his weekly
    meeting with the president.
  • Two firms are
    planning
    to launch prospecting missions to passing asteroids in
    the next three years.

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can also get the top stories mailed to
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from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/22/2014-obamacare-enrollment-postponed-unti
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David Harsanyi Addresses Arne Duncan’s Attack on Common Core Critics

Secretary of Education Arne DuncanCommon Core, the initiative that claims to more
accurately measure K-12 student knowledge in English and math, also
encourages children to step up their “critical thinking.” That
didn’t stop Education Secretary Arne Duncan, one of Common Core’s
salesmen, from telling a group of school superintendents last week
that it is “fascinating” to see opposition to the initiative coming
from “white suburban moms who—all of a sudden, their child isn’t as
brilliant as they thought they were, and their school isn’t quite
as good as they thought they were.” Duncan’s comments, writes David
Harsanyi, overlook a very real achievement gap in American
education, and were part of a pattern of undermining innovation and
attacking choice.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/22/david-harsanyi-on-arne-duncans-attacks-o
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David Harsanyi Addresses Arne Duncan's Attack on Common Core Critics

Secretary of Education Arne DuncanCommon Core, the initiative that claims to more
accurately measure K-12 student knowledge in English and math, also
encourages children to step up their “critical thinking.” That
didn’t stop Education Secretary Arne Duncan, one of Common Core’s
salesmen, from telling a group of school superintendents last week
that it is “fascinating” to see opposition to the initiative coming
from “white suburban moms who—all of a sudden, their child isn’t as
brilliant as they thought they were, and their school isn’t quite
as good as they thought they were.” Duncan’s comments, writes David
Harsanyi, overlook a very real achievement gap in American
education, and were part of a pattern of undermining innovation and
attacking choice.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/22/david-harsanyi-on-arne-duncans-attacks-o
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Philadelphia Becomes First City To Ban 3D-Printed Gun Manufacturing

Yesterday, the Philadelphia City Council approved
a ban on the manufacturing of guns with a 3D printer.

Philadelphia magazine
reports
that councilman Kenyatta Johnson, who crafted the
legislation, is unaware of any actual 3D gun manufacturers in
the city, and in a surprisingly earnest statement Johnson’s office
explained that “It’s all pre-emptive. It’s just based upon internet
stuff out there.”

The
legislation
, which bans anyone without a federal firearms
manufacturing license from producing 3D-printed guns, was passed
unanimously by 10-member council. If the mayor approves the bill,
Philadelphia will be the first city to implement this kind of
ban.

Johnson, who is a longtime
advocate
of restrictions on gun ownership and use, previously
said “You can use certain types of plastics and certain types of
other material to replicate anything,” a power that if honed by 3D
gun enthusiasts could be “catastrophic.” He hopes that restricting
these firearms will be curtail violent crime in Philadelphia.

It’s an ambitious goal. The Department of Homeland Security, for
example, has suggested that stopping the production of 3D-printed
weapons is a
virtually impossible task
. And criminals may have little
incentive to buy or build plastic 3-D printed guns like the

Liberator
, which is likely to complete just a few shots before
breaking. The production of
metal
3-D printed guns may change that, but as
Philadelphia magazine notes, the equipment needed to
manufacture one of these firearms can set you back $8000, whereas a
good old-fashioned black market handgun may cost as little as $300.
If a criminal is looking to inflict the catastrophic damage that
Johnson fears, they would not need an expensive, futuristic gun,
but as Reason‘s J.D. Tuccille
highlights
, a coffee mug, few dollars worth hygienic
products, and a working knowledge of basic chemistry.

There also remains question as to how well the bill will hold
up, as Pennsylvania law states
that “no county, municipality or township may in any manner
regulate the lawful ownership, possession, transfer or
transportation of firearms, ammunition or ammunition components
when carried or transported for purposes not prohibited by the laws
of this Commonwealth.”

Johnson countered this,
telling
Phily.com that “the prohibition that city ordinances
can’t overcome as it relates to state legislation is primarily
ownership, transfer of a firearm. This goes to manufacturing.” He
assured that “We believe that if there is a challenge in the court
system, it will be something we’ll be able to defeat.”

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/22/philadelphia-becomes-first-city-to-ban-3
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The Time To Hike Rates Is Now According To The Beveridge Curve

In addition to being a sanity, and manipulation, check to the non-farm payrolls number where “drift” occasionally gets so profound even the BLS is forced to cower in shame for openly making up numbers, the monthly JOLTS survey also includes, as part of its graphs and highlights addendum, a very useful chart laying out the Beveridge Curve of the US labor force. It shows the relationship between unemployment and the job vacancy rate or the number of unfilled jobs expressed as a proportion of the labor force. Fewer openings imply a higher unemployment rate.

We have been tracking the Beveridge Curve for years: one of the first times which showed the peculiarity of the New Normal was in early 2011 when we observed that it had entered the “twilight zone.” Back then few, and certainly not the Fed, had even considered the implications of the plunging labor force and the soaring number of Americans who have exited the labor pool entirely.

This is what we said…

Thanks to the Department of Central Planning, the Beveridge Curve has recently entered the twilight zone. According to the latest job opening rate, the unemployment rate should be around 6.5%. In reality, when accounting for the record 6.6 million persons not in the labor force who want a job now, not to mention the millions of others who are not even counted in the labor force, the true jobless rate (U-3) is somewhere around 12%! In fact, if one were to represent the data in a fashion that captures reality, the curve would start resembling that of a volatility smile, which is odd now that the only Put in the market is that of one Rudolf von Bernankestein. But such are the vagaries of data reporting in a regime whose only purpose is to represent the positive side effects of 1,000% RDA consumption of hopium.

… And showed this chart:

Today’s update merely confirms that the rabbit has never been deeper in the New Normal unemployment Twilight Zone than now:

The assessment on the above chart is very simple: as Stone McCarrthy puts it “this is an indication of an increase in structural unemployment.”

That statement is obvious to the millions of Americans who have been out of a job for years since the Lehman collapse, and have been unable to find a new job despite the plethora of “job openings.”

However, that’s not all.

That the New Normal labor market is broken beyond repair is obvious. But what the implied unemployment rate based on the current level of Job Openings is, is even worse – because it is precisely at the 5.5% level where the Fed would not only taper, not only end QE but begin tightening!

Which begs the question: courtesy of the record 91 million Americans out of the labor force, is the structural unemployment level now esentially curve shifted by some 2%? Because if indeed so, this is prima facie evidence that the Fed is now openly blowing the biggest bubble in pursuit of a futile cause since the effective unemployment rate target, which has now been lowered to 5.5% according to Yellen’s “Optimal Control” goalseeking, will never be reached due to the now structural unemployment and the Fed will be stuck inflating the stock market, the only tangible it can now manipulate, in perpetuity.

Alternatively, if it is the vacancy rate component of the Beveridge curve that is accurate, and there is a structural excess slack in the economy, then the implied unemployment rate now is 5.5%. Which just happens to be the Fed’s signal to begin tightening.

Incidentally it is a good bet that something that not even the Fed expects will happen shortly before perpetuity is hit.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/i9YCZ7sTPA0/story01.htm Tyler Durden

S&P Closes Above 1800, Posts 7th Consecutive Weekly Increase: Longest Streak Since 2007

The S&P 500 has now managed the longest weekly winning streak (7 weeks) since May 2007 (when it managed a 9% gain). Off the recent lows, the current run is an impressive 9.6% (for the S&P) with Trannies up 12.5% in the same period. (we hesitate to mention that May 2007's run-up was halted by the first of the structured credit funds imploding) On the week, Trannies and NASDAQ ended back practically unch, Russell 2000 outperformed but the afternoon melt-up in stocks (on the back of more shorts being squeezed) held the S&P above 1,800 close for the first time ever. Bonds rallied (recovering a lot of their mid-week losses), the USD was offered in general (led by EUR strength) but AUD's 2% loss was notable. VIX was manhandled to 12.25% into the close to maintain the headline-grabbing 1,800 as gold and silver clung to their lows.

 

The 7-week winning streak of the S&P 500 in 2007 marked the top…

 

A glance at the lower pane in the following week of data for the S&P 500 says all you need to know… the selling days are heavy volume and the buy days are thin, low volume illiquid meltups…

 

The NASDAQ crept back to unch on the week, Trannies underperformed but the small cap Russell went on another high beta trip to infinity… Just look at the dip-buying frenzy in small caps (blue) after the FOMC minutes were digested…!!

 

As "most shorted" names were tossed around like rag dolls… with the afternoon meltup in broad indices driven by yet further squeezes…

 

 

Led by the all-important EURJPY carry trade… come the fuck on!!!!

 

Treasuries were bid back in the last 2 days recovering most ofthe FOMC minutes losses…

 

The more hedged and saturated credit guys finally threw in the towel and capitulated the last 2 days…

 

Precious metals had a tough week – as oil and copper rose (Fed off, growth on? – not in the data but whatever)…

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: The Only chart that counts

 

Bonus Bonus Chart: A glimpse of the future for the US perhaps? Or are we witnessing the birth of the CaracasCoin (Venezuela's stock index surged 56% in 21 days, then collapsed 20.2% in 10 days and has now spiked 9.75% in the last 2 days…)

 

Is there a CNBC Venezuela?

 


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/_bAiJxVnsdo/story01.htm Tyler Durden

S&P Closes Above 1800, Posts 7th Consecutive Weekly Increase: Longest Streak Since 2007

The S&P 500 has now managed the longest weekly winning streak (7 weeks) since May 2007 (when it managed a 9% gain). Off the recent lows, the current run is an impressive 9.6% (for the S&P) with Trannies up 12.5% in the same period. (we hesitate to mention that May 2007's run-up was halted by the first of the structured credit funds imploding) On the week, Trannies and NASDAQ ended back practically unch, Russell 2000 outperformed but the afternoon melt-up in stocks (on the back of more shorts being squeezed) held the S&P above 1,800 close for the first time ever. Bonds rallied (recovering a lot of their mid-week losses), the USD was offered in general (led by EUR strength) but AUD's 2% loss was notable. VIX was manhandled to 12.25% into the close to maintain the headline-grabbing 1,800 as gold and silver clung to their lows.

 

The 7-week winning streak of the S&P 500 in 2007 marked the top…

 

A glance at the lower pane in the following week of data for the S&P 500 says all you need to know… the selling days are heavy volume and the buy days are thin, low volume illiquid meltups…

 

The NASDAQ crept back to unch on the week, Trannies underperformed but the small cap Russell went on another high beta trip to infinity… Just look at the dip-buying frenzy in small caps (blue) after the FOMC minutes were digested…!!

 

As "most shorted" names were tossed around like rag dolls… with the afternoon meltup in broad indices driven by yet further squeezes…

 

 

Led by the all-important EURJPY carry trade… come the fuck on!!!!

 

Treasuries were bid back in the last 2 days recovering most ofthe FOMC minutes losses…

 

The more hedged and saturated credit guys finally threw in the towel and capitulated the last 2 days…

 

Precious metals had a tough week – as oil and copper rose (Fed off, growth on? – not in the data but whatever)…

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: The Only chart that counts

 

Bonus Bonus Chart: A glimpse of the future for the US perhaps? Or are we witnessing the birth of the CaracasCoin (Venezuela's stock index surged 56% in 21 days, then collapsed 20.2% in 10 days and has now spiked 9.75% in the last 2 days…)

 

Is there a CNBC Venezuela?

 


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/_bAiJxVnsdo/story01.htm Tyler Durden