Russia Warns “Will Have To Respond” For US Sanctions

 It appears, given comments from Foreign Minister Lukashevich, that things are about to get ugly again…

"we will have to respond…if provoked by rash and irresponsible actions by Washington… and not necessarily symmetrically."

 

Via Reuters,

Russia said on Tuesday that it would retaliate if the United States imposed sanctions over Moscow's actions in Ukraine.

 

"We will have to respond," Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said in a statement. "As always in such situations, provoked by rash and irresponsible actions by Washington, we stress: This is not our choice."

And Interfax adds:

  • RUSSIA WILL HAVE TO RESPOND TO POSSIBLE U.S. SANCTIONS, "AND NOT NECESSARILY SYMMETRICALLY" – RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY

Given that Russian boots remain on the ground in Ukraine and that the US (and the west – ex-UK) are still pressing for crushing sanctions against Russia; one has to wonder whether Putin's carefully worded "annexation" comment did nothing but enable exits for oligarchs… What really changed?


    



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Russell 2000 Up Most Since 2011

Volume is around 35% below yesterday's pro-rata but none of that matters. The S&P 500 is at record highs but it is the "most shorted" and most notably the Russell 2000 that is just exploding higher with a massive gap. Up over 3% on the day, smashing to new record highs, this is the best day in over 26 months. This is the biggest rise in stocks since October 2011 (when global central banks came to a co-ordinated rescue). Bear in mind that the Fed already noted small-cap multiples were over-extended (5% below here)… but BTFATH anyway.

Just an incredible surge in the Small Caps…

.

 

Which has ramped the Russell to play year-to-date catch up with the Nasdaq…

 

And the big winner since we the "most shorted" on 2/21… is the "most shorted"

It's just that kinda market – Thank You Janet


    



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What Student Loans Are Really Used For: The Depressing Case Studies

Some of our readers may have missed our post from September 2012 in which we showed that far from being used for their generally accepted purpose, student loans – now well over $1 trillion and more than the total credit card debt outstanding – in numerous instances are instead abused to fund virtually everything else besides paying for tuition. Recall: “Robert Thomas Price Jr. borrowed about $105,000 for his tuition at Harrisburg Area Community College from 2005 and 2007, federal authorities say. It doesn’t cost anywhere near that much to study at HACC, though. So Price, 45, of Newport, is facing federal student loan fraud and mail fraud charges. A U.S. Middle District Court indictment alleges that Price spent much of the loan money on crack cocaine, cars, motorcycles, jewelry, tattoos and video games.

At the time many derided this case study as an isolated example of fund abuse by an isolated individual. Nearly two years later, a study by the WSJ confirms what most have known: far from an isolated incident, “student” loans have become a primary source of funding for an every greater portion of the US population, and that when looking at total credit creation in the US economy, non-revolving student debt has as much if not more relevance than mere revolving credit, when it comes to determining how pays for what.

The WSJ takes on a more conservative tone when it says that “some Americans caught in the weak job market are lining up for federal student aid, not for education that boosts their employment prospects but for the chance to take out low-cost loans, sometimes with little intention of getting a degree.”

Unfortunately, its examples demonstrate a pervasive culture of monetary abuse, which has become as rampant, if at a much lesser scale, as what the TBTF banks have been acused of doing in order to perpetuate the illusion that they are solvent – indirectly taking from taxpayers to fund an unsustainable lifestyle. Taxpayers, who will end up with massive losses on their involuntary “investment” in either case.

Take Ray Selent, a 30-year-old former retail clerk in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. He was unemployed in 2012 when he enrolled as a part-time student at Broward County’s community college. That allowed him to borrow thousands of dollars to pay rent to his mother, cover his cellphone bill and catch the occasional movie.

 

 

Tommie Matherne, a 32-year-old married father of five in Billings, Mont., has been going to school since 2010, when he realized the $10 an hour he was making as a mall security guard wasn’t covering his family’s expenses. He uses roughly $2,000 in student loans each year to stock his fridge and catch up on bills. His wife is a stay-at-home mother who also gets loans to take online courses.

 

We’ve been taking whatever we can for student loans every year, taking whatever we have left over and using it to stock up the freezer just so we have a couple extra months where we don’t have to worry about food,” says Mr. Matherne, who owes $51,600 in federal loans.

 

Some students end up going deeper into debt. Early last year, when Denna Merritt lost her long-term unemployment benefits, the 49-year-old Indianapolis woman enrolled part-time at the Art Institute of Pittsburgh’s online program, aiming for a degree in graphic design. She took out $15,000 in federal loans, $2,800 of which went to catch up on unpaid bills, including utilities, health-insurance premiums and cable.

 

“Obviously, it’s better not to use it that way if you can help it, because you’re just going to owe that much more later,” says Ms. Merritt, a former bookkeeper.

The logic for why “students” (or not) chose the easy way out? “The only way I feel I can survive financially is by going back to school and putting myself in more student debt,says Mr. Selent, who has since added $8,000 in student debt from living expenses. Returning to school also gave Mr. Selent a reprieve on the $400 a month he owed from previous student debt because the federal government doesn’t require payments while borrowers are in school.

In other words, running away from insolvency by adding on more debt. And not just any debt, but Federal debt, which has no liens on any assets, aside from converting the obligor into a non-dischargeable, indentured debt slave indefinitely, with wage garnishment rights afforded to the government. Of course, the borrowers know all about this, but that too is a bridge to be crossed in due course. For now, someone has to pay for the rent and the food, even if that someone is once again the US taxpayer.

Expect stories like these to continue. Here’s why:

College officials and federal watchdogs can’t say exactly how much of the U.S.’s swelling $1.1 trillion in student-loan debt has gone to living expenses. But data and government reports indicate the phenomenon is real. The Education Department’s inspector general warned last month that the rise of online education has led more students to borrow excessively for personal expenses. Its report said that among online programs at eight universities and colleges, non-education expenses such as rent, transportation and “miscellaneous” items made up more than half the costs covered by student aid.

 

The report also found the schools disbursed an average of $5,285 in loans each to more than 42,000 students who didn’t log any credits at the time. The report pointed to possible factors such as fraud in addition to cases of people enrolling without serious intentions of getting a degree.

 

Capella Education Co., which runs online schools, examined student costs and debt at institutions?public and private?in Minnesota and concluded that between a quarter and three-quarters of loans taken out by students were for non-education expenses. At one of Capella’s master’s programs, the typical graduate left with about $30,200 in student debt even though tuition, fees and book costs totaled roughly $18,800. Borrowers are prohibited under federal law, except in rare instances, from discharging student debt through bankruptcy.

 

The share of student borrowers taking out the maximum amount of loans—$12,500 a year for undergraduates—has risen since the recession. In the 2011-12 academic year, federal Education Department data show, 68% of all undergraduate borrowers hit the annual loan ceiling, up from 60% in 2008.

When one averages out the numbers, how many students are said to abuse their loans and use the proceeds to fund “other” uses? “About a quarter.”

Research suggests a fair chunk of that is going to non-education expenses. In 2011-12, about a quarter of student borrowers took out loans that exceeded their tuition, after grants, by $2,500, according to research by Mark Kantrowitz, a higher-education analyst and publisher of the education site Edvisors.com.

And the one take home paragraph that summarizes this latest capital misallocation clusterfuck which has Fed bailout written all over it:

Mr. Selent, of Fort Lauderdale, knows he is getting himself deeper in a hole but prefers that to the alternative of making minimum wage. In his 20s, he earned a bachelor’s degree in communications from a local for-profit school but couldn’t find a job in the field after graduating and began falling behind on his student-loan bills. He is now taking courses for a degree in theater so he can become an actor.

What else is there to add? Maybe just the chart of student debt.

 

And this chart, showing where all the newly created money is really going:


    



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The Debt Bubble Expands As Auto Loan Amounts Hit A New Record

Submitted by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

Is anyone surprised that the poorest and least credit worthy of Americans are being saddled with piles of debt in order to buy new cars? It’s not enough that a generation of our citizens will toil pointlessly to pay off more than $1 trillion of student loans, we may as well add some other form of debt burden on top of it.

It’s hard to even imagine this is happening so shortly after the last credit bubble train wreck, but happening it is. Creative ways for people to purchase cars they can’t afford have been on my radar screen for some time now, and if you recall, I posted an article last April titled: Just Keep Dancing: Introducing the 97-Month Auto Loan.

Well the dancing has continued, and now we have Americans borrowing at all-time record levels to buy cars. USA! USA!

From CNBC:

A combination of higher prices for new cars and relatively low rates for auto loans means Americans are borrowing a record amount to pay for their new rides.

 

According to Experian Automotive, which tracks millions of auto loans written each quarter, the average amount borrowed by car buyers last quarter climbed above $27,000 for the first time ever.

 

According to Experian, the average auto loan in fourth quarter 2013 was $27,430—an increase of $739 compared with the same period of 2012. The average used car loan was $345 higher, coming in at $17,974.

 

Those with non-prime credit ratings—or credit scores between 620 and 679—had the highest average auto loan. For these borrowers, the average new car loan rose more than $1,500, to a new high of $29,385.

 

Not surprisingly, those with subprime credit ratings—credit scores between 550 and 619—had the highest average monthly payment, of $499.

Yep, no doubt this will turn out just peachy.

The payments are rising despite an increasing number of car buyers opting to stretch their loans over six or seven years. According to Experian, a record 20 percent of all new car auto loans in the fourth quarter were more than six years in length.

 

J.D. Power said last week that February was on track to have one-third of new car auto loans last at least six years.

Oh, and in case you forgot, we are also bringing back subprime home loans.

Full article here.


    



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Obama’s $3.9 Trillion Budget Predicts Fastest GDP Growth Since 2005

Having destroyed any credibility that this budget could possibly have yesterday, President Obama has outdone himself with the predictions in this $3.9 trillion budget

But apart from that, yeah, "nailed it"

As WSJ reports,

President Barack Obama proposed a $3.9 trillion budget package Tuesday peppered with new taxes on upper-income Americans and businesses, plus numerous spending initiatives aimed at bolstering education, research and low-income work programs.

 

The president's spending plan for the fiscal year that begins Oct. 1 doesn't rest on new or lofty policy goals, reflecting a town hibernating from budget exhaustion and girding for midterm elections in November. Instead, it offers targeted and familiar proposals, including an overhaul of corporate taxes, which it says would boost job growth and make U.S. businesses more competitive.

 

 

Many of the proposals are likely to meet a cool reception on Capitol Hill, where both parties are preparing for November elections that could change the balance of power on Capitol Hill.

As Bloomberg adds,

President Obama proposed raising $104b over next 10 yrs in his fiscal plan for 2015 with new restrictions and taxes on multinational cos. that weren’t included in last yr’s budget.

 

* Changes would affect digital goods, deductions for “excessive” interest and so-called hybrid arrangements that can lead to income not taxed in any country, according to budget; Obama also wants to make it harder for cos. to expatriate

 

* In all, Obama’s budget wants to raise $276b over next 10 yrs from international tax changes, 75% more than it sought last yr

 

* Wants to dedicate revenue to lowering corporate tax rate to 28%

 

 

 


    



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Official in Charge of Guidelines for British Internet Porn Filters Arrested on Child Porn Charges

Last summer, I wrote an article titled: How Internet in the UK is “Sleepwalking into Censorship.” That post detailed how plans in the UK to unveil default internet filters, sold to the public under the guise of “blocking child porn” and all sorts of other unethical and illegal activities, would actually provide a backdoor to censoring the internet.

Well it turns out it is even worse than that. Apparently, Patrick Rock, an official who helped draw up guidelines on Internet porn filters, has been arrested for child porn. You can’t make this stuff up.

From Raw Story:

A senior aide to British Prime Minister David Cameron has resigned after being arrested on suspicion of child pornography offenses, Downing Street confirmed Monday.

Patrick Rock, 62, was arrested by officers from the National Crime Agency last month.

continue reading

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John Kerry To Explain How Ukraine Is Fixed – Live Feed

Having "condemned Russia's incredible act of aggression" which markets now appear to have forgotten about, we wonder just what Secretary of State John Kerry will have to say in this speech. Markets appear to think it's all over and east and west Ukraine can all sing Kumbayah with Putin leading the melody but other leaders continue to call for "crushing" sanctions against Europe's largest gas supplier. We are sure Kerry will clear it all up and explain where the line that was not crossed is… and for goodness' sake don't mention the Russian boots on the ground in Crimea.

 

Group hug?

 

Mission Accomplished? Stocks at all time highs…

 

One wonders just what Victoria "Fuck The EU" Nuland whispered to Tymoshenko…

Live Feed (embed) via NBC

 

 

 

 

 


    



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Ukrainian, Russian Warships Cross Bosphorus, Enter Black Sea

The Bosphorus has been a busy place today where first a Russian ship, the Alligator Class landing ship 150 Saratov and the Ropucha class landing ship 156 Yamal have passed the Turkish strait in a northerly, Black Sea, direction, followed promptly by the Ukrainian frigate U130 Hetman Sahaydachniy. Full steam ahead to a Sevastopol rendezvous? Find out in a few hours.

Photos and captions courtesy of Bosphorus Naval News:

Saratov passing through Bosphorus on 4 March 2014. Photo TRT

 

Yamal passing through Bosphorus on 4 March 2014. Photo AA


Ukrainian frigate Hetman Sahaidachny is passing through Bosphorus with Ukrainian flag hoisted.

h/t @Saturn5_


    



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Another Bitcoin Bank “Loses” Its Deposits

Just six days after proudly proclaiming that it was unscathed by the Mt.Gox debacle, another Bitcoin bank – Flexcoin – has admitted that it will be forced to close after hackers stole 896 bitcoin, worth around $600,000, in an attack on Sunday. As The Guardian reports, the company shut its website and posted a statement on Tuesday morning detailing the loss…”as Flexcoin does not have the resources, assets, or otherwise to come back from this loss, we are closing our doors immediately.”

 

Six days ago:

 

 

 

And today:

 

 

 

Via The Guardian,

“On March 2nd 2014 Flexcoin was attacked and robbed of all coins in the hot wallet,” the statement read. “As Flexcoin does not have the resources, assets, or otherwise to come back from this loss, we are closing our doors immediately.”

 

Not all of the company’s assets were stolen. In line with best practices for running a bitcoin financial service, Flexcoin held some bitcoins in “cold storage”, keeping them on devices not connected to the internet. Those bitcoins are safe, but only users who explicitly requested their bitcoins be held in cold storage (and paid a 0.5% fee) benefit.

 

Users who put their coins into cold storage will be contacted by Flexcoin and asked to verify their identity,” the statement continues. “Once identified, cold storage coins will be transferred out free of charge. Cold storage coins were held offline and not within reach of the attacker. Flexcoin will attempt to work with law enforcement to trace the source of the hack.”

 

 

Flexcoin’s closure follows that of MtGox’s, blamed on hackers stealing 750,000 bitcoins by exploiting a bug known as “transaction malleability”. Several other bitcoin businesses, both high- and low-profile, have gone under. Services including Bitcoinica, Inputs.io and MyBitcoin have all been hacked, each losing thousands of bitcoins.


    



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To Celebrate Detente Russian Navy Blocks Channel Between Crimea And Russia

It took just a few short hours after Putin’s Cold War 2.0 “detente” overtures for Russia to show that there is a difference between actions and words. In this case, and as always, the former continue to outperform the latter, and Reuters reports that Russian navy ships have blocked off the Kerch Strait which separates Ukraine’s Crimea region and Russia.

According to the news service, which however cites Ukraine border guards so it must be taken with a large grain of salt as last seen during yesterday’s “ultimatum” escalation, the border guards have said that Russian servicemen are in control of the Crimean side of the narrow channel and that Russian armored vehicles have been sighted on the Russian side.

“The Kerch Strait is blocked by two Russian ships – from the north and from the south,” Pavel Shishurin, the deputy head of the border guards, told reporters.

The Russian military has not confirmed his comments.

But as long as Putin contemplates whether or not to put troops in the Crimea, as in more, all is well. At least according to the “markets.”


    



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