World Ready to Jump into Bed with China

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President Obama, the US federal government shutdown, the omnipotence of the National Security Agency and the anger of the world at just how much the USA flouts the laws that we thought we might have lived by. These are all reasons and more for the rest of the world to turn their backs on the most powerful country in the world and play a role in its demise. What the USA has not realized is that when the going gets tough, the rest of the world which just turn their backs on them and jump into bed with China. That’s happening right now, but is there actually anyone (except the billions of people that live outside the country) in the USA that believes that this is going to happen? It may not happen tomorrow and it’s certainly not going to happen overnight. But, the necessary groundwork is being laid down and the demise of the USA is in sight already. But, there are probably still 313.9 million people that are under the belief that it will never happen. How wrong they will be. Or have they just been sheepled into a complacent state of acceptance?

Snowden Affair and the NSA

The governments and the leaders of the countries around the world may have serenely played a role in the spying tactics of the NSA. But, now that the citizens of those countries have finally been told what the NSA and those very same leaders that they voted into office were actually up to, the people are ready to perhaps not revolt (although they should), then at least condemn and use the only power that they actually might have left. The leaders of those countries will now do anything they have to, out of fear that the people will exercise their last right (now that democracy has been proved to have gone well and truly into oblivion): the right to vote in and out of office. The people know one thing: those that are attracted to power will do everything or anything (or both at the same time) to get into office and they will do even more to stay there with the bonuses, privileges and power-rush that they get given every time they stand in front of the mike to give a press conference and get whisked away in their chauffeur-driven cars.

As Angela Merkel reels from the revelations that she was also under scrutiny by the USA, the Germans are asking for Snowden to be allowed asylum in Germany. To believe that Edward Snowden might be comfortable in Russia right now is nothing on what he could be in the Germany. It would mean an added victory for the man that has finally had the gumption to reveal that 70.3 million communications were tapped in France, that over 60 million were also listened into in Spain and that Germany was a prime target as a leading industrial nation in the EU and the world.

Please don’t tell us that we are benefiting from the fact that the NSA has taken away a fundamental right that they had no right to actually remove. Harping on about how many terrorists have been caught and how many lives have been saved for the common good of all is nothing more than a smack in the face with a king-size portion of lies (sometimes a splattering of ketchup is thrown in for good measure).  Please don’t be so condescending as to believe that the French would pop their champagne corks if they knew what good the NSA was doing. Please don’t tell us that they are all doing it. Just because everyone does it to their own populations doesn’t mean the US can do it too.

German intellectual Hans Magnus Enzensberger said that “the American dream is turning into a nightmare”. TheAmerican dream is long gone.

Enzensberger said that the UK has become “a US colony” and the British people might be thinking quite the same right now as they are lauded and condemned in the EU today for digging their own grave by siding with the Yanks.

Towards the end of August 2013 the partner of Glenn Greenwald (The Guardian reporter who wrote the majority of the Snowden revelations) was arrested and detained at Heathrow airport for nine hours under anti-terrorism laws. British government officials ordered hard drives at British newspapers to be destroyed or face legal action. Prime Minister of the UK David Cameron used veiled threats last week to say that he would have to resort to “other tougher measures” against newspapers that carried out such investigative journalism. Now, there are 70 international human-rights organizations that have condemned his comments. The British public might have had enough and Cameron will be forced to fall in line with what they have to say. Although, does that mean that it will all come to a halt? Probably not, but, the people need to at least believe that they are living in a country that allows freedom of the press and speech.

Heiner Geisser (former secretary to Angela Merkel and the Christian Democrats) said: “Snowden has done the western world a great service. It is now up to us to help him”.

Although it is doubtful if Germany would actually go that far, it will certainly increase the leverage that Merkel has in the world and it will certainly mean that she will have greater clout in the face of the US. One man’s power declines, another (wo)man’s weight increases.

China

When it comes to making money, the world will turn their backs on the USA as soon as they have to. The problem is that the USA still believes that it won’t happen. They have had decades of believing that they will always be top of the roost. But, the wheel turns and fortunes will change. Nobody stays at the top all the time, not even dictators. The USA has been dictating for far too long and now it’s someone else’s turn. The wonderful thing about dictatorships is that you are only a dictator just as long as the people allow you to be one. The Master only exists because the Slave allows him to. So, who’s the real Master?

China has liberalized its industry and it is starting to gear up for liberalization of its finances today. China is talking of its economic ‘masterplan’ today. Next weekend there will be the third plenum of the Communist Party and it will focus on the economy of China and the changes that need to be made. It is suspected that it will be quality and not quantity that is the order of the day in the manufacturing sector. It is believed that the Renminbi will be allowed to operate in a wider trading band and that there will be the possibility of banks going fully into private ownership. Cross-border capital flow will therefore become much easier. China has savings of $4 trillion today and the opening up and liberalization of the financial market would mean that any country would be vying for a piece of that cake. Why would George Osborne, Chancellor of the Exchequer in the UK, have flown to Beijing last week to try to convince the Chinese that London was the place to trade the Renminbi in the future? The UK and others will turn their backs (or at least they will turn over and move to the other side of the bed) if they can get some of that pie.

Bye Bye Miss American Pie: this is the day that the US died

The rest of the world is ready to jump into bed with China. There may or may not be a divorce between the USA and its old lover, but at least right now the world is ready to play around with China just for the thrill of it, before the USA gets home. But, by the time it wakes up from its shutdown, its self-centered talk on budget ceilings and Quantitative Easing and when it finally comes clea
n about its illegal and reprehensible eavesdropping on the entire world in a bout of power-struggle that dates back to another era, then it will realize that it has been spending too much time working at the office and the world has had enough of being neglected, down-trodden and ill-treated. Yes, the world is ready to jump into bed with China and it will more than likely be a far better lover. At least we expect China to eavesdrop on us, at least the West expects them to be subversive in their dealings and fake it when they are with us. But, we know all that and so expect it. With the USA the world thought that they were getting something better.

The USA might have been in bed with China in the past, but that’s going to change in the future. It will be the others.

It’s not ‘Game Over’ that will echo from the good old land of Uncle Sam as more than one has told the world before, this time, it’s the honeymoon that’s over, guys!

Originally posted: World Ready to Jump into Bed with China

 

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via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/r47Ag_atRDQ/story01.htm Pivotfarm

Pimco’s Total Return Fund Loses World’s Largest Mutual Fund Title To Vanguard

In what is the biggest black eye for Bill Gross and the largest bond manager in the world, moments ago Bloomberg reported that the title of the world’s largest mutual fund has just changed hands:

  • PIMCO TOTAL RETURN LOSES LARGEST MUTUAL FUND TITLE TO VANGUARD
  • GROSS’S PIMCO TOTAL RETURN BECAME LARGEST MUTUAL FUND IN 2008
  • PIMCO TOTAL RETURN HAD $247.9 BILLION IN ASSETS AS OF OCT. 31

This comes on the heels of what Reuters reports is the sixth consecutive month of outflows for the TRF, with $4.4 billion withdrawn in October, while on the other side Vanguard, now at $251 billion, has more than tripled in size since the end of 2008 as the scramble for equities in Bernanke’s new normal has become the only game in town.

Which begs the question: a few months ago, the BOE’s Andy Haldane stated explicitly that central bankers have “intentionally blown the biggest government bond bubble in history.” So with this symbolic shift away from bonds and into stocks, is the bubble now well and truly just an equity phenomenon?


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/l0Hr5uZCQ24/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Pimco's Total Return Fund Loses World's Largest Mutual Fund Title To Vanguard

In what is the biggest black eye for Bill Gross and the largest bond manager in the world, moments ago Bloomberg reported that the title of the world’s largest mutual fund has just changed hands:

  • PIMCO TOTAL RETURN LOSES LARGEST MUTUAL FUND TITLE TO VANGUARD
  • GROSS’S PIMCO TOTAL RETURN BECAME LARGEST MUTUAL FUND IN 2008
  • PIMCO TOTAL RETURN HAD $247.9 BILLION IN ASSETS AS OF OCT. 31

This comes on the heels of what Reuters reports is the sixth consecutive month of outflows for the TRF, with $4.4 billion withdrawn in October, while on the other side Vanguard, now at $251 billion, has more than tripled in size since the end of 2008 as the scramble for equities in Bernanke’s new normal has become the only game in town.

Which begs the question: a few months ago, the BOE’s Andy Haldane stated explicitly that central bankers have “intentionally blown the biggest government bond bubble in history.” So with this symbolic shift away from bonds and into stocks, is the bubble now well and truly just an equity phenomenon?


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/l0Hr5uZCQ24/story01.htm Tyler Durden

…And Markets Break Again

UPDATE: 10 minutes later – *BATS EXCHANGES REVOKE SELF-HELP AGAINST NYSE EXCHANGES

It’s Monday morning and stock “markets” are open for trading… well some of them…

  • *BATS EXCHANGES DECLARE SELF-HELP AGAINST NYSE
  • *NYSE AND NYSE MKT REVIEWING TRADES MARKED AS SOLD

Of course, as CNBC once said, we are all getting used to this now (and stocks are going higher) – so it doesn’t matter.

 

From BATS:

 

and from NYSE:


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/Ph5HSEXQRco/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Bubble Watch: Twitter Raises IPO Price By 25%

Just days ahead of the most-anticipated IPO of the year, and despite the constant calming language from the mainstream media, as the WSJ notes, investors are stampeding into initial public offerings at the fastest clip since the financial crisis, fueling a frenzy in the shares of newly listed companies that echoes the technology-stock craze of the late 1990s. October was the busiest month for U.S.-listed IPOs since 2007, and while ‘everyone’ is convinced that the Twitter IPO will be different from Facebook, the early exuberant demand suggests otherwise:

  • *TWITTER SEES IPO PRICE $23-$25, HAD SEEN $17-$20

So a 25% rise in the offering price perhas best contextualizes the comments of one broker: “When I hear intelligent investors asking me not which companies are good to invest in, but which IPOs can I get into, it scares the heck of me.”

 

But it’s not all rainbows and unicorns:

  • TWITTER INC UPDATES RISK FACTOR IN IPO FILING; TWITTER RECENTLY GOT LETTER FROM IBM ALLEGING THAT CO INFRINGE ON AT LEAST 3 US PATENTS HELD BY IBM
  • TWITTER INC – PATENTS SPECIFICALLY IDENTIFIED BY IBM INCLUDED PATENT ON ‘METHOD FOR PRESENTING ADVERTISING IN AN INTERACTIVE SERVICE’ – SEC FILING

 

But of course, none of that matters – as the flow has to go somwehere, and the VC has to get paid…

 

Via WSJ,

October was the busiest month for U.S.-listed IPOs since 2007, with 33 companies raising more than $12 billion.

 

 

The rush to buy shares of newly public companies is the latest sign of investors’ thirst for assets with potential upside, at a time when relatively safe investments are generating scant income due to tepid economic growth and Federal Reserve policies that have kept a lid on U.S. interest rates.

 

Many of these companies aren’t profitable. But investors increasingly are willing to roll the dice, particularly on technology firms that they say have the potential to “disrupt” the industry.

 

 

So far this year, 61% of companies selling U.S.-listed IPOs have lost money in the 12 months preceding their debuts, according to Jay Ritter, professor of finance at the University of Florida. That is the highest percentage since 2000, the year the Nasdaq Composite Index roared to its all-time high of 5048.62.

 

 

Many IPOs this year have raised funds to pay back debt to private-equity owners rather than to invest in corporate expansion,

 

 

“These are good companies,” said John Bichelmeyer, co-manager of the $450 million Buffalo Emerging Opportunities Fund, the top small-cap growth mutual fund by three-year performance, according to Morningstar. “It’s just, you’re pricing in all the growth on day one.”


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/QlruZHz9REI/story01.htm Tyler Durden

America's Income – Who Has It?

 

America’s tax system and the major social programs (Medicaid and Obamacare) are driven by income. The Social Security Administration has put out a report on income in America. The data covers all wage earners (153.6 million workers and the $6.5 Trillion they earned). The Following is a pic of the report (link), if you’re working, you’re somewhere on this page:

 

#12#3

 

Let’s start at the top of the pile, those that are making the really big bucks. For example, consider the number of people who made $50m in 2012 (the 0.0001%). There are 166 people in this group. Who are these folks? Basketballer Lebron James made the list, so did actors/performers Robert Downey Junior, Beyonce, Cameron Diaz and Christian Bale. From the corporate side we have Disney’s Robert Iger and Apple’s Tim Cooke.

 

celebpic

 

Who are the wealthy in America? Anyone making over a million bucks a year is certainly on the list. The plus $1M set totaled 119,400 people (0.08%). These lucky few earned a total of $170b (3% of all income). How much should these folks be paying in taxes? Let’s go hog wild and nail them with a tax of 90%. The incremental revenue (they already are taxed at 39.6%) would be $85b, but sadly, that only covers five weeks of Social Security benefits.

 

The IRS defines ‘rich’ as an individual with annual income of $200k ($250k per couple). This income level marks the 1%:

 

Screen Shot 2013-11-04 at 7.50.30 AM

 

1.6m workers (1% of total) earned $900b (14% of all income). This is the measure of US income inequality. The 1% earn 14% of the pie. If the federal tax rate were increased to 75% (double current), it would increase revenue for Uncle Sam by about $150B. That does not fill a $1 trillion bucket, and it would be an economic disaster to set tax levels at French rates. Bottom line – the notion that taxing the rich is a solution is all wet.

 

Now consider the bottom. In the case of Medicaid, the cut off for availability is equal to 138% of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL). For a single person the number is $16,600, for a couple it’s $22,000, for a family of four it’s $33,000. The average income for all individuals/families that might qualify for Medicaid is about $25,000. If you look that up on the SS chart you see that a whopping 46% of all income earners can qualify for Medicaid.

 

poverty #3

 

And then there is the Affordable Care Act (AKA Obamacare). To be eligible for Federal subsidies, one must have an income of less than 400% of FPL. Depending on family size, subsides are available up to $90,000 of income, but the average income where the subsidies are significant is closer to $50K. Again, look up that income level on the SS chart. 73% of all workers make less than $50k! 7out of 10 workers are eligible for subsidies? That blows my mind. No wonder the Democrats love ACA so much – freebies have always translated into votes

 

aca

 

So who is left in the middle? There were 41m workers (23% of total) who made more than $50k and less than $250k. This group earned $3.5T (52% of total income). So the middle is where the money is; a quarter of all workers earn half of all income.

 

If Washington needs more revenue, it must come from the folks in the middle. But the reality is that the middle is already taxed from every direction (they also pay state income taxes, Social Security and other payroll taxes, property and sales taxes. So once again, raising taxes as a way of balancing the nation’s ledger seems to be a very difficult task.

 

 

What to make of all these numbers? Something is clearly wrong when 47% of workers earn a poverty level income. Similarly, there is something wrong when 1% of workers earn 14% of all income. The obvious solution is to tax those on the top and transfer it down to the bottom. But that is what we are already doing; more of the same is not going to change the outcome.

 

My conclusion is that America is not the ‘rich’ country that people think it is. And there ain’t a hell of lot that can be done about that.

 

eat-the-rich


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/69EjZGP5-J0/story01.htm Bruce Krasting

America’s Income – Who Has It?

 

America’s tax system and the major social programs (Medicaid and Obamacare) are driven by income. The Social Security Administration has put out a report on income in America. The data covers all wage earners (153.6 million workers and the $6.5 Trillion they earned). The Following is a pic of the report (link), if you’re working, you’re somewhere on this page:

 

#12#3

 

Let’s start at the top of the pile, those that are making the really big bucks. For example, consider the number of people who made $50m in 2012 (the 0.0001%). There are 166 people in this group. Who are these folks? Basketballer Lebron James made the list, so did actors/performers Robert Downey Junior, Beyonce, Cameron Diaz and Christian Bale. From the corporate side we have Disney’s Robert Iger and Apple’s Tim Cooke.

 

celebpic

 

Who are the wealthy in America? Anyone making over a million bucks a year is certainly on the list. The plus $1M set totaled 119,400 people (0.08%). These lucky few earned a total of $170b (3% of all income). How much should these folks be paying in taxes? Let’s go hog wild and nail them with a tax of 90%. The incremental revenue (they already are taxed at 39.6%) would be $85b, but sadly, that only covers five weeks of Social Security benefits.

 

The IRS defines ‘rich’ as an individual with annual income of $200k ($250k per couple). This income level marks the 1%:

 

Screen Shot 2013-11-04 at 7.50.30 AM

 

1.6m workers (1% of total) earned $900b (14% of all income). This is the measure of US income inequality. The 1% earn 14% of the pie. If the federal tax rate were increased to 75% (double current), it would increase revenue for Uncle Sam by about $150B. That does not fill a $1 trillion bucket, and it would be an economic disaster to set tax levels at French rates. Bottom line – the notion that taxing the rich is a solution is all wet.

 

Now consider the bottom. In the case of Medicaid, the cut off for availability is equal to 138% of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL). For a single person the number is $16,600, for a couple it’s $22,000, for a family of four it’s $33,000. The average income for all individuals/families that might qualify for Medicaid is about $25,000. If you look that up on the SS chart you see that a whopping 46% of all income earners can qualify for Medicaid.

 

poverty #3

 

And then there is the Affordable Care Act (AKA Obamacare). To be eligible for Federal subsidies, one must have an income of less than 400% of FPL. Depending on family size, subsides are available up to $90,000 of income, but the average income where the subsidies are significant is closer to $50K. Again, look up that income level on the SS chart. 73% of all workers make less than $50k! 7out of 10 workers are eligible for subsidies? That blows my mind. No wonder the Democrats love ACA so much – freebies have always translated into votes

 

aca

 

So who is left in the middle? There were 41m workers (23% of total) who made more than $50k and less than $250k. This group earned $3.5T (52% of total income). So the middle is where the money is; a quarter of all workers earn half of all income.

 

If Washington needs more revenue, it must come from the folks in the middle. But the reality is that the middle is already taxed from every direction (they also pay state income taxes, Social Security and other payroll taxes, property and sales taxes. So once again, raising taxes as a way of balancing the nation’s ledger seems to be a very difficult task.

 

 

What to make of all these numbers? Something is clearly wrong when 47% of workers earn a poverty level income. Similarly, there is something wrong when 1% of workers earn 14% of all income. The obvious solution is to tax those on the top and transfer it down to the bottom. But that is what we are already doing; more of the same is not going to change the outcome.

 

My conclusion is that America is not the ‘rich’ country that people think it is. And there ain’t a hell of lot that can be done about that.

 

eat-the-rich


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/69EjZGP5-J0/story01.htm Bruce Krasting

Fed's Bullard: Bubbles Are "Blindingly Obvious"

In a stunning series of lies, damned lies, and twisted statistics, the Fed’s Jim Bullard unleashed a torrent of self-agrandizing comfort-speak on CNBC this morning. From his comment that “bubbles, such as housing and dot-com, were blindingly obvious at the time,” despite Bernanke’s (and Greenspan’s) insistence at the time that they were not to his comments about the size of Fed Treasury holdings (and monetization) as being “average” based on some statistic, the Fed president gave himself one more out as he admonished:

  • *BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN’T WANT TO SUPPORT ‘FISCAL RECKLESSNESS’

Oh no, you’d never want to do that… With an administration lying to the American people’s face over Obamacare and now the even more powerful Fed incapable of the truth, what hope is there that anyone gets out of this debacle in tact.

 

On the “blindingly obvious” bubbles of the past:

Bullard today (with his hindsight glasses on): “Bubbles, such as housing, were blindlingly obvious at the time…”

 

Bernanke at the time: “U.S. house prices have risen by nearly 25% over the past two years, noted Bernanke, currently chairman of the president’s Council of Economic Advisers, in testimony to Congress’s Joint Economic Committee. But these increases, he said, “largely reflect strong economic fundamentals,” such as strong growth in jobs, incomes and the number of new households. “

But perhaps the most important question is about how much of the debt issued by Jack Lew is monetized by the Fed: The Fed president squirms uncomfortably at around the 1 minute mark when CNBC’s Joe Kiernan asks about just how much of the Treasury’s issuance, the Fed holds (and by implication monetizing) what follows is a very disingenuous bristling, namely that it is no more than during prior episodes.

 

Which is simply a lie because Bullard of all people should know full well, the Fed’s holdings are expressed not in notional amounts but in 10 Year equivalents, and as the chart below shows, the line is now very steeply vertical…

And in percentage terms, is now 33% of the entire bond market!

The Fed has never held so much of the US Treasury issuance – ever – in the only terms that matter, namely 10 Year equivalents, despite Bullard’s claims.

Finally on the most meaningless issue of all, the Taper:

  • *BULLARD SAYS ECONOMY HAS TO DRIVE FED POLICY
  • *BULLARD SAYS `WE DON’T HAVE TO BE IN ANY HURRY’ ON TAPERING
  • *FED’S BULLARD SAYS QE HAS BEEN EFFECTIVE
  • *FED’S BULLARD SAYS UNEMPLOYMENT IS A GOOD MEASURE
  • *FED’S BULLARD SEES `CUMULATIVE PROGRESS’ IN LABOR MARKET
  • *BULLARD: NEXT 2 JOBS REPORTS WILL GIVE AN IDEA OF LABOR MARKET


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/qUzn-D0tC2s/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Fed’s Bullard: Bubbles Are “Blindingly Obvious”

In a stunning series of lies, damned lies, and twisted statistics, the Fed’s Jim Bullard unleashed a torrent of self-agrandizing comfort-speak on CNBC this morning. From his comment that “bubbles, such as housing and dot-com, were blindingly obvious at the time,” despite Bernanke’s (and Greenspan’s) insistence at the time that they were not to his comments about the size of Fed Treasury holdings (and monetization) as being “average” based on some statistic, the Fed president gave himself one more out as he admonished:

  • *BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN’T WANT TO SUPPORT ‘FISCAL RECKLESSNESS’

Oh no, you’d never want to do that… With an administration lying to the American people’s face over Obamacare and now the even more powerful Fed incapable of the truth, what hope is there that anyone gets out of this debacle in tact.

 

On the “blindingly obvious” bubbles of the past:

Bullard today (with his hindsight glasses on): “Bubbles, such as housing, were blindlingly obvious at the time…”

 

Bernanke at the time: “U.S. house prices have risen by nearly 25% over the past two years, noted Bernanke, currently chairman of the president’s Council of Economic Advisers, in testimony to Congress’s Joint Economic Committee. But these increases, he said, “largely reflect strong economic fundamentals,” such as strong growth in jobs, incomes and the number of new households. “

But perhaps the most important question is about how much of the debt issued by Jack Lew is monetized by the Fed: The Fed president squirms uncomfortably at around the 1 minute mark when CNBC’s Joe Kiernan asks about just how much of the Treasury’s issuance, the Fed holds (and by implication monetizing) what follows is a very disingenuous bristling, namely that it is no more than during prior episodes.

 

Which is simply a lie because Bullard of all people should know full well, the Fed’s holdings are expressed not in notional amounts but in 10 Year equivalents, and as the chart below shows, the line is now very steeply vertical…

And in percentage terms, is now 33% of the entire bond market!

The Fed has never held so much of the US Treasury issuance – ever – in the only terms that matter, namely 10 Year equivalents, despite Bullard’s claims.

Finally on the most meaningless issue of all, the Taper:

  • *BULLARD SAYS ECONOMY HAS TO DRIVE FED POLICY
  • *BULLARD SAYS `WE DON’T HAVE TO BE IN ANY HURRY’ ON TAPERING
  • *FED’S BULLARD SAYS QE HAS BEEN EFFECTIVE
  • *FED’S BULLARD SAYS UNEMPLOYMENT IS A GOOD MEASURE
  • *FED’S BULLARD SEES `CUMULATIVE PROGRESS’ IN LABOR MARKET
  • *BULLARD: NEXT 2 JOBS REPORTS WILL GIVE AN IDEA OF LABOR MARKET


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/qUzn-D0tC2s/story01.htm Tyler Durden