Masks and the Law: An Unusual Twist

From Magistrate Judge Robert W. Lehrburger’s decision today in Webber v. Dash (S.D.N.Y.), a libel and copyright case against Damon Dash, a controversial music and film industry figure (he had been a business partner of Jay-Z, a romantic partner of Aaliyah, and husband of designer Rachel Roy) (emphasis added):

Once again, Defendant Dash has frustrated completing his deposition, and the fact that he was the only person involved in the deposition who could not be clearly heard is highly suspect.

That said, the Court cannot conclude from the transcript submitted, the videographer’s affidavit (which is not notarized) and Plaintiff’s affidavit (also not notarized), that the problems with Dash’s audibility were intentionally caused by Dash purposefully speaking in a low voice behind the two masks he was wearing. The transcript reflects several instances where Dash’s testimony is recorded, where Dash directly answered the question asked, and where Dash apparently brought the microphone in closer proximity to his face.

There also are no recorded instances where Dash expressed his desire to be elsewhere or that he did not have time to be at the deposition. Accordingly, the motions for terminating sanctions are denied without prejudice. Defendants’ request for sanctions is denied. The parties shall cooperate to complete Mr. Dash’s deposition by March 10, 2021. The burden is on Dash to make sure that the deposition is completed without incident. Failure to comply with this order may result in sanctions, including termination sanctions.

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This Draconian Bill Would Turn Millions of Peaceful Gun Owners Into Felons

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A gun control bill that Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D–Texas) recently introduced gives you an idea of what Democrats might do if they did not have to worry about the Second Amendment. The Sabika Sheikh Firearm Licensing and Registration Act would establish a national database that is supposed to include every gun in the country, make it a felony to own a firearm or ammunition without a license from the Justice Department, ban magazines that hold more than 10 rounds and “ammunition that is 0.50 caliber or greater,” and criminalize possession of a “military-style weapon” without a special license. Violating the bill’s provisions would be punishable by hefty fines and long minimum prison sentences, which Lee ordinarily claims to oppose.

The registration requirement applies to both currently owned firearms and guns purchased after the bill takes effect. The bill would give current owners three months to report “the make, model, and serial number of the firearm, the identity of the owner of the firearm, the date the firearm was acquired by the owner, and where the firearm is or will be stored” as well as “the identity of any person to whom, and any period of time during which, the firearm will be loaned to the person.” New buyers would have to report that information on the date of purchase. Failure to comply would be punishable by a minimum fine of $75,000, a minimum prison sentence of 15 years, or both.

Licenses would be limited to people 21 or older who pass a criminal background check, undergo a “psychological examination,” complete at least 24 hours of training, and pay an $800 “fee” for liability insurance. The examination, which may include assessing “other members of the household in which the individual resides,” would be conducted by a government-approved psychologist charged with determining whether the applicant is “psychologically unsuited to possess a firearm.”

The psychologist would be required to interview “any spouse of the individual, any former spouse of the individual, and at least 2 other persons who are a member of the family of, or an associate of, the individual to further determine the state of the mental, emotional, and relational stability of the individual in relation to firearms.” Denial of a license would be mandatory if the applicant has ever been “hospitalized” because of “conduct that endangers self or others,” a “brain disease” such as “dementia or Alzheimer’s,” or a “mental illness, disturbance, or diagnosis,” including (but not necessarily limited to) depression, homicidal ideation, suicidal ideation, attempted suicide, and addiction to a controlled substance or alcohol.

That disqualification goes far beyond the psychiatric restrictions that federal law currently imposes on gun ownership, which are already overly broad but apply only to people who have undergone court-ordered treatment. Lee is saying that anyone who has ever been treated in a hospital for any of these conditions, whether voluntarily or involuntarily, should never be allowed to own a gun, no matter how long ago it was and regardless of his current mental state.

In addition to those mandatory disqualifications, the attorney general “may” deny a gun license to someone who “has a chronic mental illness or disturbance, or a brain disease,” is addicted to drugs or alcohol, has attempted suicide, or has “engaged in conduct that posed a danger to self or others,” as determined by “prior psychological treatment or evaluation.” That casts the net even wider, since it includes people who were never hospitalized for these reasons and leaves open the question of how the government determines that someone is “addicted” or has a “mental illness or disturbance.” According to some estimates, nearly half of Americans qualify for a psychiatric diagnosis at some point in their lives, which gives you a sense of how expansively “mental illness” is defined but is hardly a sound basis for denying people their Second Amendment rights.

If an applicant does not survive this gauntlet, it would be a felony for him to possess a firearm, punishable by the same fines and prison sentences as failure to register. That applies to current owners as well as new buyers. People who have been licensed for less than five years would have to renew their licenses every year; people who have been licensed five years or longer would be eligible for three-year licenses. If a gun owner neglects to renew his license, he would be subject to the same fines and prison time as someone who never got a license.

Lee lists a bunch of specific models that qualify as “military-style weapons,” a.k.a “assault weapons.” The definition also includes semi-automatic rifles that accept detachable magazines and have two or more of these features: “a folding or telescoping stock,” “a pistol grip that protrudes conspicuously beneath the action of the weapon,” a “bayonet mount,” a “flash suppressor or threaded barrel designed to accommodate a flash suppressor,” or a “grenade launcher.”

That last feature is not much use without grenades, which are banned as “destructive devices” under federal law, and the rest have nothing to do with rate of fire, muzzle velocity, or ammunition caliber. A rifle without these features is just as lethal as a rifle with them. Lee nevertheless wants to require a special license for “military-style weapons,” requiring completion of “a training course, certified by the Attorney General, in the use, safety, and storage of the weapon, that includes at least 24 hours of training and live fire training.” Except for specifying “live fire training,” this is the same as the requirement for a standard gun license. The main point seems to be identifying owners of “military-style weapons,” in case Congress later decides to ban them.

Lee is not waiting to ban large-caliber ammunition and magazines that hold more than 10 rounds, which are standard for many popular handguns and rifles. Possessing the former would be punishable by a minimum fine of $50,000, a minimum prison term of 10 years, or both. Possessing the latter would be punishable by a minimum fine of $10,000, at least a year in prison, or both.

Any gun possessed by someone who has failed to register it or does not have a current federal license likewise would be subject to confiscation. That person could then be prosecuted and sent to prison for at least 15 years.

These are odd prescriptions for an avowed critic of mandatory minimums to offer. Here is what Lee said when she introduced a sentencing reform bill in 2015:

We come together today armed not only with the knowledge that our criminal justice system is deeply flawed, but with the commitment to fix these flaws. The cost of this system is incredibly high, not just in dollars spent, but also in dollars lost. Every person taken out of a community and placed into a prison is a person who cannot contribute to a family, a community, and our society. Worse, this system takes an incredible human toll, with the cycle of incarceration in a constant state of destruction. Today, with this legislation, we unify to reject a system that is often more effective at creating criminals and collateral damage than actual justice.

Yet Lee now wants to transform millions of Americans into felons, threatening them with long prison terms for peaceful conduct that violates no one’s rights. A clearer example of how readily partisans forsake their supposed principles when they prove inconvenient is hard to imagine.

Lee’s bill is named after Sabika Sheikh, a foreign exchange student from Pakistan who was murdered in the 2018 mass shooting at Santa Fe High School in Texas. The perpetrator of that attack was 17, meaning it was already illegal for him to possess the .38-caliber revolver he used (except for temporary possession in specified circumstances, such as hunting or target shooting). In addition to the revolver, he had a 12-gauge shotgun. Neither would qualify as a “military-style weapon” under Lee’s bill. In other words, her legislation has nothing to do with the crime she invokes to justify it, which is par for the course with anti-gun politicians.

The system Lee imagines is completely impractical, since gun owners would be understandably reluctant to identify themselves and their firearms so they could be entered in a federal database and required to apply for licenses. Politicians pursuing far less ambitious gun registration schemes have found that voluntary compliance is the exception rather than the rule. Since the Justice Department would not have the resources to go after millions of recalcitrant gun owners even if it knew who they were, the result would be random application of Lee’s draconian penalties to the few who happened to attract the government’s attention.

Who would those people tend to be? As a legislator who decries racial bias in policing, Lee ought to know. Current restrictions on gun ownership already disproportionately hurt African Americans, who are more likely than whites to have felony records that permanently bar them from possessing firearms for self-defense, no matter the nature of the offense or how long ago it happened. Lee’s bill would only compound that problem. Call that what you want, but it is manifestly not an attempt to fix a “deeply flawed” criminal justice system that is “often more effective at creating criminals and collateral damage than actual justice.”

It should go without saying that violent criminals will be even less motivated to comply with Lee’s requirements than the average gun owner. They already obtain, possess, and use guns illegally. They will not be fazed by another layer of criminality.

Lee’s bill so far has no cosponsors, and it is unlikely to make much progress. But it reflects a broader mindset in the Democratic Party, which used to at least pay lip service to the Second Amendment but lately talks and acts as if it does not exist. After promising to respect the Second Amendment in 2004, 2008, and 2012, the Democrats erased the constitutional provision from their 2016 platform, although they did mention “the rights of responsible gun owners.” The  2020 platform omitted even that phrase.

President Joe Biden does occasionally mention the Second Amendment, which he says he respects. “It’s within our grasp to end our gun violence epidemic and respect the Second Amendment, which is limited,” his campaign website said. How limited?

We know that Biden’s Second Amendment does not cover guns he does not like. He concedes that the federal ban on “assault weapons,” which was part of what he has proudly called “the 1994 Biden Crime Bill” but expired in 2004, had no impact on the lethality of legal firearms. Yet he supports a new and supposedly improved version, including a magazine ban similar to Lee’s and a requirement that current owners of the targeted firearms either surrender them to the government or follow the same tax and registration requirements that apply to machine guns.

During an argument with a Detroit autoworker last year, Biden suggested that the Second Amendment no more protects the right to own “assault weapons” than the First Amendment protects the right to falsely cry “Fire!” in a crowded theater. And although the Supreme Court has described handguns as “the quintessential self-defense weapon,” possession of which for home protection is indisputably protected by the Constitution, Biden thinks shotguns are better for that purpose. While Biden has not said his preference should be enforced by law, his policy prescriptions might be different if the Court had not ruled so clearly on the issue. His explanation of why he is willing to let people own guns, which focuses on hunting rather than self-defense, does not inspire much confidence that his avowed respect for the Second Amendment is based on a clear understanding of its function.

Proposals like Lee’s help make Biden’s gun control agenda look moderate and reasonable by comparison. But his attitude, like hers, shows that Democrats would be perfectly happy to expurgate the Bill of Rights if only the courts would let them.

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Clarice Explores What Happens After Hannibal Lecter’s Story Ends

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Clarice. CBS. Thursday, February 11, 10 p.m.

So, who do we love more? Hannibal Lecter, the cannibal gourmet and charming psychopath? Or Clarice Starling, his hillbilly protégé from the other side of the law who channels Lecter’s murderous expertise into more civilized purposes? When the two first appeared together in Jonathan Demme’s Silence of the Lambs, their work won five Oscars and grossed $273 million. The American Film Institute named Lecter the greatest villain in film history and Starling the greatest heroine. Together and separately, they’ve appeared in four novels, five films and, with CBS’ new Clarice, two television series.

Well, that question won’t be answered in Clarice. Not only is Lecter not present, his name literally can’t be even be spoken due to some tangle over legal rights to the characters. Hannibal’s fans will have to be satisfied by a single reference, a crack made by a snotty FBI shrink who contemptuously notes to Starling that her last therapist was an inmate in the Baltimore Hospital for the Criminally Insane who, you know, ate his patients.”

If that remark seems to you to imply that Starling is seeing an analyst, which in turn implies that Lecter is not the only one in their peculiar relationship who’s a brick or two shy of a full load, you’re onto the central premise of Clarice: A year after she, with Lecter’s aid, tracked down a monstrous serial killer who was sewing the skin of his female victims into a costume, the young Starling (she was only a year out of the FBI academy at the time of The Silence of the Lambs) is suspected of suffering burnout. Or “PTSD of the most egregious kind,” as her bullying FBI therapist puts it in a sneering declaration that sounds less like a diagnosis than an accusation.

Along with the suspicion of burnout, Starling is being crushed by the vituperative jealousy of FBI officials—most of them older men—who resent the success of her serial-killer investigation and all the publicity that went with it. Declares one boss—who, not coincidentally, had led the investigation in an appallingly wrong direction: “I think you got lucky.” (Clarice‘s relentless portrait of an FBI dominated by envious backbiting and sabotage may seem overdrawn, but it’s actually depressingly accurate, going clear back to the 1930s, when Melvin Purvis—the agent who oversaw the takedowns of John Dillinger, Pretty Boy Floyd and Baby Face Nelson, the second-most admired man in America in a Literary Digest poll—was reassigned to inspections of backwater offices in FBI Siberia by J. Edgar Hoover and his spiteful nomenklatura.)

The poisonous stew of resentment and medical slander have all but buried Starling, who has been removed from the field and now shuffles files in the basement of the FBI’s behavioral science unit. But the FBI’s swirling political winds blow her back into the agency’s forefront when several savagely mutilated bodies of women are fished out of the Potomac River. The new attorney general, appointed as part of a crackdown on violent crime, decides making Starling the public face of a task force assigned to find the new serial killer—even if it means she’ll be working with men who despise her—will be a masterful publicity stunt.

Clarice‘s reconception of Starling—as damaged, as a political sock puppet, and as an intelligent but not particularly gifted detective now that she’s deprived of the counsel of the necrophiliac genius Lecter—gives the show, which is otherwise a simple if dark crime procedural, some serious punch. So does another wrinkle: Starling really does have some psychological kinks stemming from her first serial killing investigation. When the FBI therapist accuses her of covering up her problems—”Clarice, you’ve been deflecting like a pro for a full year now”—his motives may be reptilian, but he’s not wrong.

Aiding Clarice considerably is the performance of Australian actress Rebecca Breeds (Pretty Little Liars) as Starling. Breeds wisely patterns her diffident, even shy, Clarice after that of Jody Foster in Silence of the Lambs, cloaking her intellectual capacity in bashful humility toward authority that sometimes cracks open to reveal repressed rage. Starling’s venomous male FBI enemies—particularly Michael Cudlitz (The Walking Dead) as her supervisor and Shawn Doyle (House Of Cards) as her supervisor—are all maddeningly hateful, while Devyn A. Taylor brings some piquant comic relief as another embattled female agent who keeps a journal titled “People I’m Sending To Hell.” They aren’t all criminals.

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Bitcoin Is Protecting Human Rights Around the World

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Bitcoin has won over some of America’s best-known billionaires, and institutions worldwide are treating it as a serious financial asset. But bitcoin’s rising price is only one part of the story.

Whether they know it or not, people who buy bitcoin are strengthening a tool for protecting human rights. This still relatively new form of electronic money is censorship-resistant, seizure-resistant, borderless, permissionless, pseudonymous, programmable, and peer-to-peer.

In bitcoin, transactions don’t go through banks or financial intermediaries. They travel directly from one person to another.

Payment processing is done not by a regulated company such as Visa or Mastercard but by a decentralized global software network. Storage is handled not by a bank but by the users themselves.

Bitcoin issuance isn’t determined by central bankers. The currency’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, set it to have an ultimate limit of 21 million. No one can ever print more.

Bitcoin transactions can’t be stopped, and you don’t need to reveal your name or address or telephone number to participate. You just need internet access.

In 2017, the economist Paul Krugman described bitcoin as “some fancy technological thing that nobody really understands. There’s been no demonstration yet that it actually is helpful in conducting economic transactions. There’s no anchor for its value.”

Krugman lives in a sheltered environment in a liberal democracy with constitutional protections. His native currency is globally dominant and relatively stable. It’s easy for him to open a bank account, to use a mobile app to pay bills, or to grow his wealth by investing in real estate or stocks.

But not everyone has that level of privilege. Around 4.2 billion people live under authoritarian regimes that use money as a tool for surveillance and state control. Their currency is often debased, and they are, for the most part, cut off from the international system that Krugman enjoys. For them, saving and transacting outside the government’s purview isn’t shady business. It’s a way to preserve their freedoms.

In China, if you type or utter one wrong word, the Communist Party might eliminate your financial services. This devastating outcome creates a chilling effect for dissidents and creative minds, who are forced to use the country’s increasingly centralized digital economy.

In Hong Kong or Russia, donors to human rights organizations can see their bank accounts suspended and funds seized.

Over the past few months in Belarus and Nigeria, nationwide protests have broken out against tyranny and corruption. In both places, activists raising money to support the democracy movement have had their bank accounts frozen.

Just a few days ago, in Burma’s latest coup, the military shut down the banking system and turned off the ATMs.

For activists living under state repression, bitcoin provides a way to preserve their money in cyberspace, locked away by encryption, safe from devaluation, in a network that has never been hacked. For them, it’s digital cash and digital gold rolled into one.

And in Cuba, Nigeria, China, Pakistan, Venezuela, Russia, Turkey, Argentina, Palestine, Zimbabwe, and elsewhere, bitcoin is catching on and helping people escape tyranny and currency collapse.

In the past few months, Belarusian activists have used bitcoin to defy the regime by sending more than 3 million dollars of unstoppable money directly to striking workers, who then convert it locally to rubles in peer-to-peer marketplaces to feed their families as they protest the country’s dictatorship.

In October, a feminist coalition in Nigeria raised the equivalent of tens of thousands of dollars in bitcoin to buy gas masks and protest equipment as activist bank accounts were being turned on and off.

In Russia, the opposition politician Alexei Navalny has raised millions in bitcoin as Vladimir Putin maintains strict control over the traditional financial system. Putin can do a lot of things, but he can’t freeze a bitcoin account.

In Iran and Palestine and Cuba, individuals face sanctions or embargoes because of the misdeeds of their corrupt rulers. Bitcoin gives them a lifeline for earning income or receiving remittances from abroad.

Some Venezuelans, having watched their country’s currency evaporate due to hyperinflation, are converting their resources to bitcoin’s digital format and then escaping. With their savings secured by a password that can be stored on a flash drive, phone, or even memorized, they’ve started new lives in other countries, taking advantage of a technology that refugees throughout history could only dream about.

The citizens of democracies also face financial controls, deplatforming, and an ever-expanding surveillance state. But those lucky enough to live in open societies can vote, sue, protest, and write, and those methods might allow them to protect their financial freedom and privacy. The billions who live under authoritarian governments don’t have the same options.

Unlike democracy, bitcoin is universally available. You don’t need to have a particular passport or bank card or voting status to use it. No government can turn off your bitcoin if it’s threatened by your ideas.

We are in the middle of a great digital transformation, a time when cash, one of the last bastions of privacy and freedom, is disappearing. People rely increasingly on easily surveilled apps such as Apple Pay and AliPay—and, perhaps soon, central bank–issued digital currencies as their primary medium of exchange.

Bitcoin provides an alternative to our increasingly centralized financial system. It gives any activist or journalist a way to raise funds without censorship, a way to save despite the corrosive impact of excessive money printing, and a way to teleport value without permission.

Bitcoin wasn’t as powerful five years ago, before it had global liquidity. But today, exchanges have popped up in every region, daily trading volume exceeds that of Apple and other popular stocks, and peer-to-peer marketplaces such as Paxful and LocalBitcoins have extended their reach, enabling users to sell bitcoin for local currency almost anywhere in the world.

Maybe you don’t need bitcoin. Maybe you don’t understand bitcoin. Maybe PayPal, Venmo, or your bank account serves your needs just fine.

But don’t write off bitcoin as simply a vehicle for financial speculation. For millions of people around the world, it’s an escape hatch from tyranny—nothing less than freedom money.

Written and narrated by Alex Gladstein. Motion graphics by Lex Villena. Sound design by Isaac Reese and Regan Taylor.

Music: “Countdown” and “2049” by Synthwave Goose.

Photo Credits: Aristidis Vafeiadakis Zuma Press/Newscom, Vernon Yuen Zuma Press/Newscom, ID 12085637© Artem Samokhvalov| Dreamstime.com, ID 10620275© EmeraldUmbrellaStudio| Dreamstime.com, ID 53155927© Emma Frater Dreamstime.com, Photo 29566579 © Breakers Dreamstime.com, Roman Camacho Zuma Press/Newscom, ID 170668499© Michael Vi Dreamstime.com, ID 41034616© Bigapplestock| Dreamstime.com, ID 204283371© Brett Hondow| Dreamstime.com, ID 78877294© Jlcst| Dreamstime.com

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America Will Welcome More Refugees as Biden Lifts Trump’s Misguided Restrictions

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President Joe Biden on Thursday issued an executive order undoing his predecessor’s dramatic cuts to the number of refugees admitted to the United States each year.

Starting with the fiscal year that begins on October 1, the United States will accept up to 125,000 refugees annually, Biden announced during a foreign policy speech delivered at the State Department. The Trump administration had slashed the number of refugees accepted each year. This year the cap is set at just 15,000, the lowest single-year total since the Refugee Act of 1980 standardized the admission process. Reversing those cuts, and then some—the refugee cap was 110,000 in the final year of the Obama administration—was a signal of America’s “moral leadership” in the world, Biden said.

“We shined the light of liberty on oppressed people,” Biden said. “We offered safe havens for those fleeing violence or persecution. And our example pushed other nations to open wide their doors as well.”

In addition to raising the caps, the executive order Biden signed Thursday also revokes two Trump-era executive orders and one presidential memo imposing additional security vetting on would-be immigrants who applied for refugee status. The order gives the State Department 90 days to provide the White House with a report on the effectiveness of those screening procedures, as well as recommendations for which practices should remain in place when the higher refugee caps take effect in October.

While the Trump administration framed the overall reduction in refugee admissions and the enhanced security screening procedures (what Trump liked to call “extreme vetting“) as being matters of national security, they were really nativist political maneuvers meant to reduce the number of people allowed to enter the country legally.

The idea that refugees are a uniquely dangerous national security threat is simply not based in reality. Since 1975, a grand total of 20 refugees have been convicted of terrorism-related offenses in the United States—in plots that have cumulatively killed three Americans, according to research from Alex Nowrasteh, director of immigration studies for the Cato Institute, a libertarian think tank. Trump’s slashing of the overall refugee numbers also included a complete ban on admitting refugees from Syria, despite the fact that there has never been a terror attack on U.S. soil carried out by a Syrian refugee. Native-born Americans and foreigners with tourist visas are statistically far more likely to engage in terrorism on U.S. soil, if history is any guide.

Refugees are also not a threat to America’s economic success or a drain on the country’s resources. Quite the contrary: “Refugees and asylees not only contribute to the economic health of their new country but increase their economic contributions considerably over time,” David Bier, an immigration policy analyst at Cato, concluded in a 2019 review of a leaked government report that the Trump administration tried to conceal from the public.

But while Trump’s actions did little to materially improve American national security, his anti-immigrant agenda did successfully mangle the process for admitting refugees to the country. Beyond the short-term harm to individual immigrants awaiting resettlement, Trump’s reductions undermined the institutional infrastructure at the nine nonprofit agencies that work with the U.S. government to resettle refugees. More than 100 resettlement offices were closed during the Trump years.

Raising the refugee caps and abolishing the “extreme vetting” that slowed the resettlement process to a crawl are good steps toward fixing that. And Biden making a commitment to greater openness may send a signal to the rest of the world too.

“The US needs to fix its own reputation and incentivize other rich countries by welcoming refugees in greater numbers, after record lows during the Trump administration,” Hans van de Weerd, vice president of the International Rescue Committee, one of those nine resettlement agencies operating in the United States, said in a statement. In fact, van de Weerd noted, refugee resettlement slots decreased by half in the world’s wealthiest nations over the past four years.

Ultimately, the refugee resettlement caps are a great example of arbitrary executive branch rule-making that’s subject to presidential whim. The federal government will always have a role to play when it comes to immigration, of course, but setting more permanent guidelines for how America will deal with refugees should be part of any immigration reform legislation that Congress might pursue.

For now, however, Biden is right to lift those caps and begin undoing the damage that the Trump administration caused to score cheap political points at the expense of legal immigrants and America’s reputation.

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Toxic Politics Are Smothering America. Could David Hogg’s Progressive Pillows Be the Solution?

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The creeping politicization of every aspect of American life is causing more than a few people to want to bury their faces in a pillow and scream out their frustrations. Soon enough, even that might not be an option for aspiring apoliticos.

On Thursday, gun control activist and Parkland shooting survivor David Hogg announced that he would be starting his very own pillow company to combat the influence and reach of rabidly pro-Trump MyPillow founder and CEO Mike Lindell.

Hogg, via Twitter, said that he would be teaming up with software developer William LeGate to prove to the world that “progressives can make a better pillow, run a better business and help make the world a better place while doing it.”

These progressive pillows are intended as a counter to Lindell, a longtime acolyte of former President Donald Trump who has gained notoriety in recent months for spreading the theory that the 2020 election was stolen for President Joe Biden via Chinese hacks of Dominion voting machines.

That conspiracy theorizing has cost his cushion company both customers and a Twitter account. It even got Lindell censored during an all-too-hilarious Newsmax interview.

Into this opening comes Hogg, who wants to free liberal America from having to choose between its values and a good night’s sleep.

Hogg’s plan is to launch his pillow company within six months and sell one million units within the first year of operation, according to Axios. The name of the company is being kept under wraps until all the necessary copyright issues are resolved, says Hogg.

The teen activist has said that he wants his pillow product to be sustainable, domestically manufactured, and union-made, although that last goal appears to be causing him some trouble.

Even before Hogg’s announcement, partisan pillow fights were already getting out of control, with conservative firebrand Dinesh D’Souza hocking MyPillow products, and right-wing activists holding in-person demonstrations at Bed Bath & Beyond to protest the retailer’s decision to remove the company’s product from its shelves.

It’s understandable then that people would greet Hogg’s announcement for more political pillows with a mix of exasperation and depression. Yet for all their transparent ridiculousness, his business plans may come with a silver lining: the potential for softer, gentler politics.

This might seem counterintuitive given that Hogg has shown himself to be little more than a shallow, partisan demagogue during his brief career in public life. Yet it’s for that very reason that we should be thankful for his new dream of starting a line of liberal linens.

Prior to this, Hogg has used his minor celebrity to push a number of dubious gun control policies—from banning large-capacity magazines to creating a national director of gun violence prevention—that will likely have little impact on gun violence while eroding the liberty and privacy of gun owners. Those who disagree with those policy proposals are liable to be accused by Hogg of being paid shills of the gun lobby willfully abetting mass murder.

Anyone who cares about a robust Second Amendment or the fate of civil discourse can only find his brand of activism to be a net negative on the world.

Hogg’s pillow company need not be so toxic. Indeed, there’s every reason to think it won’t be. While certainly politicized, Hogg’s plan is to start a company that will, hopefully, sell people a product they enjoy at a price they can afford. Rather than pushing for zero-sum, liberty-crushing gun control policies—where Hogg’s success can only come at the expense of gun owners and those who disagree with him—he will instead be devoting his energies to making profitable, mutually beneficial exchanges.

Should he make a good enough product, he might even win over a few conservative customers who would never be reached by polarizing activism.

Even if Hogg fails in that, he has nevertheless stumbled upon a productive outlet for his political passions that forgoes the raw pursuit of power, and instead focuses on the creation of consumer convenience and brand loyalty.

Already our politics seem to have become much less about policy, and more about crushing the other side by whatever means necessary. So long as that remains to be the case, wouldn’t it be better if more partisans spent their energies providing creature comforts for their comrades in lieu of vandalizing businesses or storming the Capitol?

Lindell’s decision to become politically active saw him go from being a successful entrepreneur to a discredited hack. His activism has made our politics, and his company, worse off as a result. Hogg is, interestingly enough, looking to make the opposite transition. Hopefully, that will create the opposite effect.

So roll your eyes at Hogg’s pillow dreams if you must, but recognize that with that progressive padding comes the possibility of more peaceful politics.

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Biden’s Press Secretary Says Social Distancing and Masks Will Be ‘Essential’ Even After Vaccination

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White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki told reporters at a briefing on Thursday that the president expects the public to continue to practice the full gamut of mitigation measures—masks, social distancing, etc.—even after they receive the vaccine.

“Obviously, [the vaccine] is an incredible medical breakthrough and we want every American to have one. But even after you’re vaccinated, social distancing and wearing masks are going to be essential, and we’ll need to continue communicating about that.”

This is a demoralizing and excessively cautious point to keep emphasizing. It’s critical to vaccinate as many people as possible, and the government should be doing everything it can to encourage vaccination while making the process easier. Preparing people for disappointment seems like a bad approach. After all, young folks don’t have nearly as much to fear from COVID-19 as older Americans; for this former group, one of the major selling points of vaccination is the prospect of returning to normal life. Some might decide that their extremely low odds of negative health consequences from COVID-19 coupled with the unpleasant potential side effects of the vaccine means they should hold off on getting it if they will still have to practice aggressive social distancing anyway.

While certain precautions will still be necessary in large public settings until widespread vaccination has brought the pandemic under control, health officials are at risk of criminally underselling the miracle of the vaccines, which appear to reduce life-threatening COVID-19 cases to nearly zero. It’s true we can’t say for certain that vaccinated people are incapable of spreading COVID-19 to non-vaccinated people even if they are no longer susceptible to the disease themselves, but scientists have good reason to expect that the vaccines will also reduce transmission. An early study of the forthcoming AstraZeneca vaccine found promising evidence of a substantial reduction in transmission by as much as two-thirds.

There will still be some risks, though these risks should dramatically shrink over time as a majority of the population becomes vaccinated and herd immunity kicks in. In any case, we don’t need to wait until that day to wean ourselves off the harshest social distancing measures. People who have been vaccinated for the requisite time period can mingle once again. They can have parties and go to restaurants. They can hug and kiss their vaccinated grandparents.

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In First Tie-Breaking Vote, Kamala Harris Helps Senate Dems Pass Budget Resolution

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Budget resolution passage bodes well for Biden’s $1.9 billion stimulus package. Concluding a 15-hour voting spree that began Thursday afternoon, the U.S. Senate on Friday approved a budget resolution backed by Democrats and decried by Republicans. The vote was 50 to 50, necessitating that Vice President Kamala Harris cast her first tie-breaking vote to give the budget resolution the edge it needed to pass.

What does it all mean?

“With passage of this budget resolution, Dems can now pass a Covid relief bill with a simple majority, no GOP votes needed,” points out Politico congressional reporter Andrew Desiderio.

“President Joe Biden’s $1.9 billion COVID-19 relief bill is one step closer to becoming law,” notes CNN.

The resolution that passed early this morning was not itself the COVID-19 package; it merely lays the groundwork for that by ensuring that Democrats can use the budget reconciliation process to get around needing any GOP votes. Politico called it “the first step Friday toward sidelining their Republican colleagues in the stimulus process.”

Passage of the budget resolution came after senators spent the night voting on amendments to the budget resolution. While most Republican amendments were rejected, “the process also highlighted some bipartisan consensus,” CNN reports:

One of the more significant amendments came from a bipartisan group of senators, led by Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Republican Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, that would prevent “upper income taxpayers” from being eligible to receive $1,400 Covid relief checks. While the amendment was adopted 99-1, it is not binding and does not mean that the eligibility requirements will be changed in the final Covid relief bill. But it expresses broad consensus to make the changes.

On one closely watched issue, Republican Sen. Joni Ernst of Iowa offered an amendment to prevent a hike in the minimum wage to $15 an hour during a pandemic. Democrats want to include a $15 minimum wage in the Covid relief bill, but her measure could have been complicated for centrist members—like Manchin, who has a different position than most of his caucus and supports a more modest increase in the minimum wage.

But before a roll call vote was called, Sen. Bernie Sanders, the Vermont Independent who is the chair of the Budget Committee and a champion of the $15 minimum wage, intervened and said his proposal would actually make the jump to $15 over five years, not right away as Ernst had formulated in her amendment. With that, her amendment was quickly adopted by unanimous consent.


FREE MINDS

Gender reassignment bill in Kansas unlikely to get a hearing. Kansas Republicans are pushing a bill that would make it a felony crime for a doctor, under any circumstances, to provide a “gender reassignment service”—including prescribing puberty blockers—to someone under 18 years old. Violators would face eight months in prison and lose their medical license. “Kansas is among at least eight states where lawmakers are considering such a measure,” notes ABC News. But the bill is “unlikely to get a hearing, the head of the committee to which it has been assigned said Thursday.”


FREE MARKETS

A pandemic housing bubble? Having lived through one previous recession, during which a housing market crash was central, it’s still peculiar to me to see home sales and prices in the U.S. continue to climb during the pandemic and resulting nationwide economic woes. Of course, it makes sense, what with home—and the new requirements and possibilities for what that means—being a defining feature of the current crisis. But pressing demand for new housing may be driving a housing bubble. “Home prices are 5.5% overvalued nationally as of the fourth quarter of 2020,” MarketWatch noted yesterday, reporting on a new analysis from Fitch Ratings. “Through November, home prices were up some 8.9% nationally since the start of the year.”

Rapidly rising home prices are driving overvaluation, they say, and reflect more demand for housing than supply.

To some extent, this is a reflection of the fact that many homeowners are reluctant to list their homes for sale amid the pandemic. The imbalance between supply and demand is also the result of homebuilding activity remaining muted following the Great Recession and the preceding housing bubble.

Some housing markets are far more overvalued than others, the report noted. Fitch estimates that around 25% of metropolitan statistical areas (meaning major cities) around the U.S. are more than 10% overvalued.

Among the 20 largest metro areas nationwide, Las Vegas was the most overvalued, with Fitch estimating that home prices were overvalued by approximately 28%. Dallas–Fort Worth was next, with Fitch projecting that prices were overinflated between 20% and 24%.

Comparing states, the analysts found that Idaho had the most overvalued home prices. Other states with highly inflated home prices included Arizona, Texas, Kansas, and North Dakota. Just four states—Connecticut, Illinois, Michigan, and New Jersey—were judged to have an undervalued housing market, while 17 “were found to have housing markets where homes were sustainably priced,” MarketWatch points out.


QUICK HITS

• In Yemen, “war has to end,” said Biden on Thursday. “And to underscore our commitment, we’re ending all American support for offensive operations in the war in Yemen, including relevant arm sales.”

• New York has repealed a law against “loitering for the purpose of engaging in a prostitution offense,” which many detractors referred to as the “walking while trans” law. The law allowed police to arrest people as suspected sex workers for merely being in public and doing anything a cop deemed to manifest an intent to sell sex.

• Rep. Bennie Thompson (D–Miss.), House Homeland Security Committee chair, tells tech companies to censor more content or else.

• Columbus, Ohio, police officer Adam Coy has been arrested and charged with felony murder, felonious assault, and dereliction of duty over the fatal shooting of Andre Hill. Coy shot Hill “four times after responding to a call about a suspicious vehicle. When he and another officer arrived at the scene, Mr. Coy found Mr. Hill in a garage and opened fire within seconds.”

• A Minnesota lab “has run 20,000 flu tests—10 times as many as it processed the season before—and zero have come back positive,” notes Katherine J. Wu at The Atlantic. “‘It’s absolutely remarkable,’ [Matt] Binnicker, the Mayo Clinic’s director of clinical virology, told me. ‘I fully expected there to be a typical influenza season this year.'”

• Keith “Malik” Washington, chief editor of the San Francisco Bay View paper and an incarcerated resident of a GEO Group halfway house, “says when he told a colleague from the local news website 48 Hills about a COVID-19 outbreak in the center, the prison corporation retaliated,” reports the San Francisco Examiner. Washington is suing the Federal Bureau of Prisons.

• It looks like they’re basically planning to throw every bad, overly broad, federal criminal statute possible at the people who stormed the U.S. Capitol. The latest rumor is Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO) charges.

• “Dennis A. White, the commissioner of the Boston Police Department, was put on leave Wednesday — just two days after he was sworn in — as allegations of past domestic abuse prompted the city to begin an investigation,” reports The New York Times.

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Americans Shouldn’t Be Treated Like ISIS Insurgents

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Members of the political class are buying into burgeoning fantasies about a second civil war, indulging visions about sparring with parts of their own subject populations. In the wake of recent conflicts culminating in the Capitol riot, prominent figures have been extrapolating from our violent polarization to a dystopian future of insurgency within our borders. Officialdom seems dead set on fanning the sparks of existing political strife into something resembling a national house fire.

“The challenge facing us now is one of counterinsurgency,” Robert Grenier, former CIA station chief for Pakistan and Afghanistan and later director of the CIA Counterterrorism Center, insists in The New York Times. “Though one may recoil at the thought, it provides the most useful template for action.”

The danger, Grenier adds, lies in “a large, religiously conservative segment of the population, disproportionately (though not entirely) rural and culturally marginalized.” He doesn’t believe that the entire segment is violent, but it constitutes “a mass of citizens—sullen, angry and nursing their grudges—among whom the truly violent minority will be able to live undetectably, attracting new adherents to their cause.”

In a subsequent NPR interview he elaborated, “I think what is most important is that we drive a wedge between those violent individuals and the people who may otherwise see them as reflecting their interests and fighting on their behalf.”

Days earlier, former CIA director John Brennan had similarly claimed that the Biden administration is focusing on “what looks very similar to insurgency movements that we’ve seen overseas,” consisting of “an unholy alliance” of “religious extremists, authoritarians, fascists, bigots, racists, Nativists, even libertarians.”

Brennan added that officialdom is “doing everything possible to root out what seems to be a very, very serious and insidious threat to our democracy and our republic.”

While neither Grenier nor Brennan are currently in government, both are well-connected and influential. Tellingly, the same day that Grenier’s Times screed appeared, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) issued a terrorism bulletin that read like a sales brochure for the former CIA officials’ desired domestic policies.

“The Acting Secretary of Homeland Security has issued a National Terrorism Advisory System (NTAS) Bulletin due to a heightened threat environment across the United States, which DHS believes will persist in the weeks following the successful Presidential Inauguration,” warned the bulletin. “Information suggests that some ideologically-motivated violent extremists with objections to the exercise of governmental authority and the presidential transition, as well as other perceived grievances fueled by false narratives, could continue to mobilize to incite or commit violence.”

As the DHS bulletin suggests, worries about violence and “insurgency” are rooted in reality. The Capitol really was stormed by Americans convinced, despite the evidence, that the presidential election was stolen from Donald Trump. People died in the violence. The Republican Party around which they’ve coalesced has largely become a cult of personality venerating the former chief executive.

But few members of the rural and conservative segment of the population that troubles insurgency war-gamers are QAnon devotees, and only a tiny sliver had anything to do with the Capitol riot. If they come to support “violent individuals” because they “see them as reflecting their interests and fighting on their behalf,” it will be because of deeper divisions and resentments that brought them to that point.

And those resentments really are deep. According to January YouGov polling, 53 percent of Democrats, 56 percent of Republicans, and 57 percent of Independents “think that the biggest threat to their way of life comes from domestic enemies.”

The best way to calcify those perceptions of “domestic enemies” is for a government in the hands of one political faction to start treating its opponents as insurgents. That will inevitably entail the excesses and abuses that come with turning the security services loose not just on those who have committed crimes against others, but on whole segments of society viewed as potential threats.

“Overreactions give people an incentive to become terrorists—not only by creating grievances but also by reducing the relative risks of turning to violence,” Northeastern University’s Max Abrahms, a professor of public policy, recently cautioned in Reason. “A standard assumption in political science is that terrorists are rational actors. Many people decide against becoming terrorists because they know that the costs to them will be severe. But if the government is going to treat innocent people like terrorists anyway, then no additional risk is incurred.”

Writing before Grenier’s call for counterinsurgency efforts, Abrahms pointed out that John Brennan “did not distinguish between those who use extreme tactics and those with whom he disagrees politically. For Brennan, both are enemies worthy not only of contempt, but action or at least government scrutiny.”

Grenier, for his part, wants to adopt tactics used in Afghanistan and Iraq, but neither country is exactly doing spectacular 20 years after the U.S. invaded and began battling insurgents. Iraq’s capital city recently suffered two suicide bombings and the Biden administration is poised to, again, delay the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan because of escalating fighting in the country. Do we really want to inflict comparable counterinsurgency campaigns on our own country and risk similar outcomes?

That doesn’t mean that we’re helpless against politically motivated violence. Grenier rightly suggests that we “investigate and bring to account those who commit crimes.” It makes sense to target people for harming others rather than for belonging to suspect groups. If he’d stopped there without talking about counterinsurgency efforts against whole communities, his column would have been unobjectionable.

We also should do something about Americans’ perception of each other as “domestic enemies.” We can’t make people like each other, but we can pry their hands from each other’s throats by decentralizing governance so that decisions are made as close as possible to affected individuals. Then, hostile communities couldn’t use the reins of power to torment each other and would have fewer grounds for conflict.

Giving Americans less reason to hate and battle each other sounds a lot more promising than deploying counterinsurgency tactics at home and risking making a bad situation much worse.

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Josh Hawley Forgest to Put the First Things First

Before he was a politician, Josh Hawley was briefly a law professor at the University of Missouri. Not all of Senator Hawley’s former colleagues are fans of his political career. Some, such as Frank Bowman, have been quite critical.

This week, Hawley’s former colleague Thom Lambert posted a twitter thread on Senator Hawley’s political turn more in sorrow than in anger. It it very much worth a read. It begins:

 

 

As they say, read the whole thing.

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