Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot Says Teachers Must Go Back to School: ‘Enough Is Enough’

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Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot pleaded with the city’s public school teachers to return to classrooms at a press conference Thursday morning.

“We are ready to welcome our students back,” said Lightfoot. “Frankly, they have been ready for some time.”

Chicago schools were prepared to reopen on Monday of this week, but members of the Chicago Teachers Union (CTU) voted to stay at home. The city and the union have negotiated all week, but the union has yet to accept Lightfoot’s proposal. Chicago parents are thus in the stressful position of spending all day, every day, not sure whether their child’s school will be open tomorrow. This likely creates massive disruptions for working families, but CTU has shown no interest whatsoever in reaching a deal with the city to reopen schools.

“We’ve extended ourselves beyond measure,” said Lightfoot. “We need our kids back in school. We need our parents to have that option. It should not be that CPS parents are, of all the schools in our city, the only ones that don’t have the option for in-person learning. It cannot be that a public school denies parents that right.”

The mayor stressed that remote learning works for some students, but it “absolutely does not work for everyone.” She noted that many students were suffering from depression and isolation, and their grades are plummeting.

The press conference also included statements from Janice K. Jackson, the CEO of Chicago Public Schools, and Allison Arwady, the city’s public health commissioner. Both expressed incredible frustration with CTU: Jackson said that she didn’t think any company or employer in the private sector would tolerate the sort of behavior teachers are engaged in, while Arwady pointed out that all available science supports the safe reopening of schools.

“Settings with positivity rates five times higher than what we have, they have been able to reopen schools,” said Arwady.

Nearly everything Lightfoot, Jackson, and Arwady said about schools was reasonable and well-supported by the evidence. It is crystal clear that the policy they are advocating—get kids back in their classrooms—is in the best interest of students and their families, and poses minimal risk to the safety of teachers. And it is equally clear that CTU just doesn’t care.

San Francisco’s city attorney, with the support of Mayor London Breed, is now suing the school district to force schools to reopen. Lightfoot has ruled out taking such action in Chicago, but she may wish to reconsider. It’s hard to imagine the unions backing down, short of an explicit legal order, as individual teachers have essentially taken the position that they would prefer to remain at home until COVID-19 presents no danger whatsoever.

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What Can Mickey Mouse Can Teach Us About COVID-19? Lockdowns Fail.

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The happiest place on Earth has been mostly closed for about 10 months and probably won’t be re-opening anytime soon.

California isn’t allowing theme parks to re-open until the counties they’re located in have fewer than one COVID-19 infection per 100,000 residents for seven consecutive days. In Orange County, the current rate exceeds that amount by about 90 fold.

“We’re going to be stubborn about it,” California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) said in October of 2020.

Newsom’s stubbornness is unique. Every other Disney property in the world has re-opened. (In California, some of Disney’s retail and dining are open, but the rides and attractions remain closed.)

The city of Anaheim, where the Mouse provides 78,000 jobs and is the center of the local economy, looks like a ghost town.

Disney World in Orlando opened in July of 2020 as Florida’s case rate was climbing.

“The reopening amounts to a breathtaking effort by a corporation to prove that it can safely operate…at a highly dangerous time,” The New York Times observed at the time.

YouTubers created dark parodies, mocking the idea that the re-opening would cause outbreaks, which never came to pass.

This is the tale of two very different approaches to managing the pandemic and their impact on local economies. There’s no evidence that Newsom’s lockdowns have substantially stopped the spread of COVID-19.

The media savaged Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) when he and a handful of Southern GOP governors pushed to re-open most businesses in early summer 2020. DeSantis’s strategy from the get-go had been to shield seniors by issuing executive orders to temporarily ban nursing home visitations and prohibit re-admission of COVID-positive patients. (New York’s Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo, in contrast, forced nursing homes to accept COVID-19 patients).

A couple of months later, with case rates falling, National Review editor Rich Lowry asked, “Where Does Ron DeSantis Go to Get His Apology?”

But when cases surged over the summer, Los Angeles Times columnist Michael Hiltzik delivered on the requested apology: “Sorry, you’re even worse than I imagined,” he wrote.

By the end of the summer, however, cases were falling in Florida, and rising in areas of the country that were in full or partial lockdown.

California, which had the nation’s most stringent policies related to COVID-19, began to experience a massive second wave in November. Florida was also seeing a spike in cases and deaths, though it was less severe.

While the California and Florida approaches to COVID-19 were vastly different, their outcomes began to look remarkably similar.

If some in the media had been too quick to condemn DeSantis, others had also been too quick to declare victory for Newsom. In April, the Atlantic had extolled California’s “dramatic success in containing the coronavirus pandemic.”

What is clear about the impact of Newsom’s policies is that they’ve taken a devastating toll on working-class California residents.  The Golden State shed eight percent of its jobs (compared to five percent in Florida). It also experienced the fifth-highest drop in GDP among U.S. states and a much higher drop in tax revenue.

California now has more total cases per capita and is approaching Florida’s total deaths per capita despite having a younger population.

California residents have been flouting the lockdowns and challenging them in court. A recall petition for Gov. Newsom has gathered more than three-quarters of the required 1.5 million signatures to make the ballot.

“There are probably 50,000 people in a three-square-mile [radius] that are unemployed right now due to the governor’s order,” says Fred Brown, who has been the general manager of Desert Palms Hotel in the literal shadow of Disneyland for 24 years. So far, he has had to lay off 80 employees, including his own daughter.

“If we don’t have guests, I don’t know how long some of these hotel owners are going to be able to last without throwing in the towel and going into bankruptcy,” says Brown.

Mike Afram shut down his shuttle company in March, laid off 100 employees, and has been unable to re-open since.

“I don’t think the state of California has done the best job keeping businesses afloat,” says Afram.

Trevor O’Neil, an Anaheim City Council member, says tourism accounts for almost $100 million of annual tax revenue for Anaheim.

“This is a death knell for tens of thousands of jobs. These are working-class jobs and hundreds of small businesses in and around the resort,” says O’Neil. “[Newsom] is usurping precious freedoms away from the private sector and increasing our residents’ and our workers’ reliance on government just to get by.”

Disney is known for its expert handling of logistics, and the company drew widespread praise when it brought back the NBA Playoffs here in Florida by creating a so-called “NBA bubble” that successfully prevented any players or staff from contracting the coronavirus over a two-month span.

California is also home to Universal Studios and Six Flags, in addition to smaller amusement parks with no giant corporate backer to float them through a 10-month shutdown.

The contrast between California and Florida reflects growing evidence that lockdowns are not an effective strategy for managing a viral respiratory epidemic, despite early studies suggesting otherwise.

A June 2020 paper in Nature claimed that lockdowns would save 3-4 million lives worldwide, but it assumed that as they stretched on, lockdowns would remain just as effective as in the early days of the pandemic. After it was published, places with stringent lockdowns, including California, the United Kingdom, and Italy, experienced second waves.

A possible reason is that lockdowns become less effective over time because the public grows weary of the social isolation and starts gathering in private households on a more frequent basis.

According to contact tracing data in New York, 74 percent of cases were contracted inside people’s homes.

Big city mayors who promoted aggressive lockdowns are beginning to change tack even amidst large caseloads. Chicago’s Lori Lightfoot and Washington, D.C.’s, Muriel Bowser have pushed for re-opening restaurants for indoor dining, and San Francisco and L.A.’s mayors have allowed outdoor dining to resume.

A January 5 study by a research team at Stanford compared countries that shut down “non-essential” businesses with ones that took less restrictive public health measures, like only banning large events and discouraging international travel. It found “no evidence that … [more stringent] lockdowns” contributed substantially to bringing down the case rate.

Economist Lyman Stone told Reason in May of 2020 that his study of the lockdowns reveals no correlation between the timing of a state or nationwide stay-at-home order and the spread of the virus

Stone’s early findings are consistent with the Stanford study, which found that exposure to information about the virus and its risks was “a stronger driver of anti-contagion behaviors than the specific nature of the [government restrictions].”

Neither California’s statewide restrictions nor Florida’s more laissez-faire approach have proven effective at suppressing the virus. But various Asian governments and Australia have, for now, mostly accomplished that feat—and not primarily through lockdowns.

For instance, the densely populated city of Hong Kong has experienced fewer than 200 COVID-19 deaths in a population that exceeds 7 million. But the authorities there imposed only one short-lived lockdown in a single neighborhood experiencing an outbreak in mid-January. Stone attributes the overall low case rate to the city-state’s aggressive travel restrictions and targeted public health measures such as early mask recommendations and centralized quarantine of the sick.

Newsom lifted his stay-at-home order on January 25 on the grounds ICUs will have the required capacity in several weeks, but the state has withheld some of the data they used to make that projection. Theme parks will remain closed.

In the meantime, Disneyland has opened one of its parking lots as Orange County’s largest vaccination site.

So far, California has had one of the slowest vaccine rollouts in the nation.

“Without the rollout of the vaccine… proving not to be the best rollout as compared to the other states, maybe there’s a way we can responsibly sooner open up so that we can get back to business and back to surviving,” says Afram.

Produced by Zach Weissmueller. Graphics by Isaac Reese. Additional camera by John Osterhoudt. 

Photo credits: Pool/ABACA/Newscom; JIM RUYMEN/UPI/Newscom; Jeff Gritchen/ZUMAPRESS/Newscom Jeff Gritchen/ZUMA Press/Newscom Daniel Ceng Shou-Yi/ZUMAPRESS/Newscom; Kim Klement/TNS/Newscom; Rafael Ben-Ari/Rafael Ben Ari/Newscom; Jose M. Osorio / Chicago Tribune/TNS/Newscom; Anthony Behar/Sipa USA/Newscom; JIM RUYMEN/UPI/Newscom; Image of Sport/Newscom; Watchara Phomicinda/ZUMA Press/Newscom; Greg Lovett/ZUMA.

Music credits: “Happy Gypsy” by Max H.; “Floating Point” by Roei Shpigler; “No Longer Afraid,” “Shadows Rise,” “Dawn Drift” by Doug Kaufman licensed through Artlist. 

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In a Year of Wild Conspiracy Theories, Super Bowl Sex Trafficking Is a Classic

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The Super Bowl shows how truly mainstream sex trafficking conspiracy theories are. With Super Bowl LV coming up this Sunday, the now-routine round of warnings about sex trafficking around the big game has once again surfaced. (There’s even an art awareness project that involves goats, and special spot-a-trafficker training for Uber drivers.)

So, here is your annual reminder that there’s no truth to the idea that forced and underage prostitution pick up around the Super Bowl (or other big sporting events), nor that “human traffickers” will descend on the city where it takes place. Tampa can rest easy (at least about that), and we can all marvel at the persistence and audacity of this myth.

The idea that violence against women picks up around the Super Bowl started gaining steam in the 1980s, though back then the specific claim was that domestic violence picked up during sporting events generally and that wife-beating was epidemic on Super Bowl day.

The domestic violence/Super Bowl claim was tied more to advocacy and legislation around protecting “battered women” by intensifying policing and punishment of their abusers (see this story I wrote on President Joe Biden and the Violence Against Women Act for more on that misguided and hyper-carceral bipartisan crusade) than it was to credible evidence. But it caught on nonetheless, capturing news headlines. And like its more current iteration, this myth refused to fade away for many years after being discovered as fake news. (“This myth was debunked three days after it first broke in the media in 1993, but seven years later it’s still making the rounds,” complained a fact-checker in 2000.)

At some point early this century, the claim shifted to sex trafficking (i.e., prostitution involving people under age 18 and/or fraud, coercion, or force).

The Super Bowl sex trafficking claim—and wild human trafficking claims more generally—is based in part on desires to stamp out all sex work by conflating consensual exchanges with violence and abuse.

“Alleged attempts to tackle #humantrafficking in response to mega sporting events are too often based on conflating #sexwork in general with the separate issue of trafficking within that sector, & using that to crack down on consensual sex workers trying to make a living,” tweets U.K. writer Emily Kenway, author of the new book The Truth About Modern Slavery.

Super Bowl sex trafficking claims also seem to have gained steam as using terrorism to justify all manner of militarized policing and surveillance grew less politically popular in many factions. Saving children and vulnerable women from sexual monsters, real or imagined, never goes out of style. This means claims of an influx of Super Bowl sex traffickers has helped the feds put a positive spin on security theater around the event, while giving local cops an excuse to do vice stings and call them rescue missions.

Without fail, however, the “Super Bowl sex trafficking” stings almost exclusively lead to more misdemeanor prostitution arrests, ensnaring sex workers and their would-be customers. These stings tend to take place throughout Super Bowl weekend and the week or even full month or more before.

“The consequences of criminalization are devastating,” said Alex Andrews, who runs the nonprofit Sex Workers Outreach Project (SWOP) Behind Bars. “The public has been led to believe that increased resources for law enforcement efforts will go to ‘saving’ victims of sexual exploitation, when in fact arrests only hurt those they claim to help.”

SWOP Behind Bars is running a bail fund to assist sex workers arrested in these stings with getting out of prison after police have seized all their cash. (The group has also put out a very good guide to what should be done instead of our current approach: “On the Super Bowl, Safety and Solidarity.”) Partnering with the Woodhull Freedom Foundation, Metro Inclusive Health, LIPS Tampa, and Big John’s Bail Bonds, Andrews’ group  “has set up a bail and legal assistance fund for sex workers detained by ‘anti trafficking’ stings around this year’s Big Game.”

“Already 71 people have been arrested,” SWOP Behind Bars reports:

While many will be released on their own recognizance (ROR), repeat offenders can face up to one year in prison in the state of Florida. Sex worker advocates will show up for first appearance hearings to bond out those not granted ROR. Additional volunteers will meet people once they are released from jail to connect them with services.

Meanwhile, local news and mainstream outlets (including the Associated Press) keep churning out bullshit warnings about the Super Bowl being a magnet for sex traffickers, even though dozens of news outlets have challenged the idea (I rounded up some of them last year here), academic researchers have debunked it, and even government mouthpieces like the Polaris Project say it’s inaccurate.

“Before 2018, 76% of U.S. print media helped propagate the myth of spiking numbers of sex trafficking during the Super Bowl,” report researchers from the University of Texas at Austin and the University of Minnesota.

While online ads for sex work may increase around large events, including the Super Bowl, it doesn’t follow that sexual exploitation or even the number of discrete sex workers in an area has increased, they say. In fact, “the evidence showed a reduction in the availability of clients during some sporting events, such as the Olympics, which may shrink commercial sex markets.”

“Our main finding was that available empirical evidence did not support a causal or correlative link between Super Bowls and sex trafficking,” said study co-author Lauren Martin, an associate professor at Minnesota, in a 2019 news release.

It’s fashionable these days to gawk at believers of QAnon conspiracy theories, which posit that Democrats, celebrities, and rich elites are trafficking children. But while QAnon puts a partisan and next-level whacko spin on sex trafficking panic, it’s hardly just rooted in far-right fever dreams and unstable minds. For more than two decades now, we have seen the U.S. media and political establishment work in tandem with radical feminists, Christian morals groups, and federal crime, security, and intelligence agencies to spread the idea that sex trafficking, especially of children, is out of control and overlooked.

For 20 years, the left, right, and center have been pushing out-of-thin-air claims like that hundreds of thousands of American children are trafficked for sex each year, or that sex trafficking is a $9.5 billion business, or that the average age of entry into prostitution is 13 years old, or that “68,000 victims are trafficked right in front of our eyes, often on commercial flights.

QAnon is a product of mainstream culture and politics as much as anything else, and the persistence of Super Bowl sex trafficking myths provides a perfect illustration of this.


FREE MINDS 

A reminder that censorship backfires, even when it’s for allegedly noble aims:


FREE MARKETS

“Performance prostitution” ban being considered in Casper, Wyoming. “A City Council vote in Casper, Wyoming was delayed [Tuesday], after a council member pointed out that a newly phrased legislative proposal criminalizing ‘performance prostitution’ would affect local online sex workers, particularly those with an OnlyFans account,” reports Gustavo Turner at XBiz.

The proposal changed the ordinance to create the new crime of “performance prostitution,” which it defined as “any touching, manipulation or fondling of the sex organs and/or aerola [sic] by one person upon themselves or by one person upon the person of another, whether by touch of the physical use of other items, for the purpose of sexually arousing or sexually gratifying the person who paid for and/or financed the sexual arousal or sexual gratification.”

But at yesterday’s meeting, Council Member Kyle Gamroth pointed out that the definition would criminalize online sex work in the city.

“I was just curious,” Gamroth asked, “would that make somebody, like, if they were using an OnlyFans account or something to generate some revenue on the side, would that make that illegal.”

“You know, if they were using that sort of phone application? Because I would be very hesitant to support something that, you know, criminalized someone using an OnlyFans account to generate some money on the side,” he added.


QUICK HITS

  • The House will vote on whether to strip Rep. Marjorie Taylor-Greene (R–Ga.) of her committee assignments:

• Law professor Thom Lambert, who describes Sen. Josh Hawley (R–Mo.) as “a friend,” takes aim at Hawley “lying” about GameStop.

• We are never getting out of Afghanistan.

• The “cop-free library movement” is calling on cities to reexamine the relationships between public libraries and police.

  • This is going nowhere good fast:

• On a Biden administration “reality czar.

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How Biden Is Repeating Trump’s Mistakes

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One of the recurring themes after the election of Joe Biden to the presidency has been that it would bring a radical change from Donald Trump’s presidency. To be sure, these men have very different backgrounds and personalities. However, when it comes to public policy, in many areas, Biden is decisively following in Trump’s footsteps.

I’m not the only one to notice. The Babylon Bee, a satirical newspaper, joked, “In a stunning repudiation of Trump’s COVID plan, Biden has announced he will throw out masking, vaccinations, and travel bans and replace them with masking, vaccinations, and travel bans.” To be fair, the federal government thankfully has only limited room to act in a centralized and national way to respond to the pandemic, which means that adjustments will only be made at the margin.

Yet take the Biden administration’s self-proclaimed “ambitious goal” to administer 100 million vaccine doses by the end of its first 100 days. That target, my friends, is no more and no less than the trajectory the Trump administration was already headed toward on its way out. Also, while the Biden administration wants to spend large amounts of cash to speed up the distribution, there is evidence that this will do nothing to help—and may even slow down the process—if the money comes with mandates or other strings attached.

The second area where Biden is pursuing moves similar to Trump is with his abuse of executive powers. Here the irony is quite noticeable since Biden’s imitation of his predecessor is done in the name of erasing as many of Trump’s policies as possible. But in this case, the student is surpassing the master, so much so that even The New York Times felt the need to editorialize on the issue by reminding Biden that “this is no way to make law….These directives, however, are a flawed substitute for legislation…and they are not meant to serve as an end run around the will of Congress.”

Another area where Biden is emulating Trump is in his protectionism. For all the complaints and laments coming from Democrats and from Biden himself, when Trump was playing Tariff Man by pursuing policies catering to politically connected special interests such as steel producers, the new administration has not yet changed the course set by its predecessor. For instance, Trump’s “national security” steel tariffs on our European trading partners are still in place, which is disappointing to say the least.

Worse, the new president is doubling down on the counterproductive “Buy American” mandate, which even The Washington Post observes is “awful economics.” That’s correct. Among other things, “Buy American” provisions force the government to pay more for the services and goods it buys, thus increasing taxes or borrowing, which results in less money available in the private sector to be invested.

When it comes to China, the Biden White House also seems to be committed to emulating many Trump policies, such as the industrial policy. This would be a terrible mistake, as Cato Institute’s Scott Lincicome has documented in a fantastic new paper called “Manufactured Crisis: ‘Deindustrialization,’ Free Markets, and National Security.”

Biden’s China policy is set to look very much like Trump’s. Take the misguided notion that the crony Export-Import Bank can be used as an effective weapon against China. This is unlikely. Based on my long experience studying this export credit agency, it’s devoted to a set of companies such as Boeing and Pemex, which makes it resistant to reform and, hence, to being part of a coherent China strategy. In fact, despite much bluster from its leadership, ever since this strategy was mandated by Congress in 2019, there’s been no fundamental change in the way Ex-Im Bank operates or in the identities of the companies to which Ex-Im Bank extends financing backed by American taxpayers.

However, Biden’s potentially most look-alike Trump behavior has to do with his misleading the American people. Remember all the calls for unity and bipartisanship on the campaign trail and in the inauguration speech? They will all prove untrue if Biden fails to prevent Democrats from pushing a gigantic COVID-19 relief bill through budget reconciliation, and hence, around Republicans.

I could go on and on about the similarities between Trump’s and Biden’s policies. In other words, the more things change, the more they seem to stay the same.

COPYRIGHT 2021 CREATORS.COM

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Biden Says His Immigration Policy Will Be Better Than Obama’s

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“We made a mistake,” Joe Biden said of his former boss’s immigration policies during the final presidential debate in October 2020. “It took too long to get it right. I’ll be president of the United States, not vice president of the United States.”

While Donald Trump may have implemented the most cruel and aggressively anti-immigration policy of any modern president, his predecessor’s record was nothing to brag about either. President Barack Obama’s government deported more people than any other administration in history, enlisted local police departments to assist the feds in carrying out immigration raids, and built the chain-link holding pens that became the defining image of Trump’s inhumane “zero tolerance” family separation policy. Restoring some semblance of mercy to U.S. immigration policy won’t be easy.

Obama used an executive order, rather than working with a divided Congress, to create the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, which shielded residents who came to the U.S. as children from deportation. Trump rescinded that order while using the same unilateral approach to implement more than 400 other immigration policy changes, according to a November report from the Migration Policy Institute. He slashed refugee pathways, forced asylum seekers to “remain in Mexico” while their cases were processed, and allowed the Justice Department to prosecute good Samaritans as criminals for providing food, water, and shelter to immigrants crossing the most dangerous section of the U.S.-Mexico border.

What can President Joe Biden do to improve this mess? He has said he will reinstate DACA, deprioritize deportations of immigrants without criminal records, and allow asylum applicants to enter the U.S. while they await hearings. He says much of that will happen in his first six months. But immigration policy experts are skeptical that Biden can quickly or easily undo Trump’s handiwork, let alone fix the larger system.

“The majority of the Trump administration immigration reforms will be difficult to address immediately,” Leon Fresco, an immigration attorney who worked in the Obama administration, told Politico in December, “either because of legal rule-making barriers, practical realities on the ground, or a lack of bandwidth given how many priorities the Biden administration has in contrast to the singular focus on immigration” that the Trump administration had.

Another obstacle is the COVID-19 pandemic, which the Trump administration cited to justify further restricting immigration. While the ongoing crisis has bought Biden a bit of time to calculate how he will handle a post-pandemic influx of immigrants, it’s unclear whether he will continue to prosecute border crossings as criminal offenses, as both Obama and Trump did.

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Brickbat: Let Him Sleep It Off

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When Adam Phillips didn’t respond to texts or phone calls from family, his girlfriend asked Clearwater, Florida, police to do a welfare check. Cpl. David Nugent and an officer who wasn’t named by the media entered Phillips’ apartment and shouted several times for him. They found him lying in bed, but rather than actually enter the bedroom and check on him, Nugent tossed a magazine that landed on Phillips arm. Phillips did not respond. Nugent called the girlfriend and told her Phillips was at home and breathing but she should find another boyfriend. The next day other officers did a second welfare check and found Phillips dead in his bed with the magazine still where it had landed. An autopsy found he died from an accidental overdose of medicine he was prescribed for chronic pain. The department issued a reprimand to Nugent for failing “to conduct the appropriate inquiries commonly done for such a call.”

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Classes #6: Does the First Amendment protect tortious speech? and The Bundle of Sticks

First Amendment Class #6: Does the First Amendment protect tortious speech?

  • New York Times Co. v. Sullivan (1409-1415) / (681-688)
  • Snyder v. Phelps (1421-1430) / (693-702)
  • Supplement: Chapter 55

Property I Class #6: The Bundle of Sticks

  • The Right to Exclude and its Limits, 205
  • Jacque v. Steenberg Homes, 205-207
  • State v. Shack, 207-209
  • Notes, 209-211 (skip note 4)

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Defining a Theory of “Public” and “Private” Offenses for Impeachment

[This post was co-authored by Josh Blackman and Seth Barrett Tillman]

Introduction.

The Constitution enumerates three categories of offenses that warrant impeachment: “Treason,” “Bribery” and “other high Crimes and Misdemeanors.” During President Trump’s first impeachment trial, his counsel took the position that only established crimes—such as those codified in the U.S. Code—could be “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” for purposes of the impeachment process. We disagreed. At the time, we did not have the occasion to explain in what circumstances impeachment could be premised on allegations other than established crimes, such as an “abuse of power.” 

The situation is now different. President Trump’s second impeachment has reopened that question. And here, we will sketch an answer to that question. We approach this question with some caution. The original meaning of the phrase “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” in the Constitution is of uncertain scope. And the materials we have from the Philadelphia Convention, the state conventions, and the public ratification debates do not provide clear answers to the precise question we face today. Likewise, past impeachments provide inconclusive, and at times, conflicting precedents. Our writings here should be viewed in the same light as our prior writings on the First Amendment: Senators, acting in good faith, could come to conclusions which diverge from our own. We put these views out to start a conversation, not to authoritatively settle one. 

Some commentators may believe that the phrase “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” in the Constitution had no fixed meaning circa 1788. So, they would contend, that phrase extends to whatever allegations a majority of the House and 2/3 of the Senate choose to act upon. For these commentators, this phrase assigns to the House and Senate an unlimited discretion that is akin to a parliamentary vote of no confidence, though, administered through a Senate supermajority. Proponents of this view have not offered any systematic or reasoned basis in support of this position. And we reject this view for the reasons discussed below.

I. Distinguishing Public Offenses and Private Offenses: An Introduction.

Historically, the phrase “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” in the Constitution has been understood to flow from two significantly different types of purported wrongs. First, under the traditional view, there are public offenses. And second, as part of a more modern consensus understanding, there are private offenses. Some commentators believe only one of these two views is correct; others believe both views can support an impeachment charge. We take no position here: we explain both views for analytical purposes.

First, an article of impeachment can allege that a defendant committed a public offense. Here, the defendant allegedly violated the duties that flow from his public station, office, or position. These duties are akin to the equitable duties that a fiduciary owes his principals. The precise scope of these duties is not strictly tied down to positive law, such as statutes. Rather, the impeachment process based on a public offense can be based on broader established principles akin to fiduciary law. 

Second, an article of impeachment can allege that a defendant committed a private offense. Here, the defendant is not charged with violating any duties that flow from his public station, office, or position. Rather, with private offenses, the impeached officer is alleged to have violated a duty that the defendant shares in common with all other citizens. Such wrongs are defined by established positive law, such as statutes. In the impeachment process where a private offense is charged, the broader principles of established fiduciary law are not relevant. Why? Because the charged officeholder was not acting in his role as a fiduciary or officeholder. He did not use confidential information that came to his attention as a result of his public station. Nor did the charged officeholder use government property or personnel. And the charged officeholder did not use powers that were his to administer by virtue of holding his public station, office, or position. In such cases, we think the impeachment proceedings should align with the same body of substantive law that all other citizens face. Specifically, the charged officer should be able to rely on the full body of established substantive law. And that law includes the elements of the offense, its mens rea, and defenses available to otherwise similarly situated non-officeholders. The category of private offenses includes federal felonies. We assume most such felonies are of sufficient gravity to amount to a “high Crime and Misdemeanor,” but we acknowledge the possibility that some felonies might fall short of that standard. 

II. The House’s and Senate’s Law-making Role: Public and Private Offenses.

When a person assumes an office, he accepts certain fiduciary-like duties. And under the Constitution, certain officeholders can be impeached for violating those duties. These violations are public offenses. The House and Senate have some flexibility or leeway in defining “fiduciary” violations, just as courts with equitable jurisdiction have when adjudicating fiduciary duty claims. In the impeachment process, when adjudicating such public offenses, the House and Senate have something akin to a law-making role, though that role is not unlimited.

Alternatively, an officeholder, as a citizen, is still subject to all other laws. If he violates those other laws, he can be tried in a court of competent jurisdiction. And the officeholder can be impeached by the House and tried by the Senate for that same conduct. (Again, we table the question of whether the legal violation associated with a private offense is of sufficient gravity to warrant impeachment proceedings.) But if the House seeks to impeach the officeholder for such a private offense—the same sort of offense that all other citizens are subject to—the House and Senate should rely on the established law for that private offense. We suggest that the only basis to impeach an officeholder for a private offense is the established law that governs that private offense. And that established law includes the offense’s elements, its mens rea, and defenses available to otherwise similarly situated non-officeholders. The House should not be able make up standards for private offenses, ex post and ad hoc. And if there is no established law governing that purported wrong, then there is no private offense. When impeaching for private offenses, the House and Senate generally cannot engage in creative law-making. But we do recognize one important exception to this general rule. Federal statutes that establish an offense were intended to guide adjudications in Article III or other courts. But these statutes were not designed for adjudications in the impeachment process. As a result, the House’s and Senate’s law-making power extends to issues governing procedure. And those bodies can use this power to modify procedure (widely understood) to accommodate a House prosecution and a Senate forum. But this power would not extend to the substantive law defining the wrong. 

In short, the House and Senate have a limited law-making role in impeachment proceedings. And we will explain our view of the nature and limits of that role in greater detail below. Here we make two preliminary points. First, an impeachment based on speech-related wrongs poses peculiar challenges. With a conduct-based wrong, Congress can assess the acts committed. But with a speech-related wrong, as a general matter, Congress must make a judgment about what consequences or results the speaker intended with his speech. In this regard, speech-related wrongs bear similarities to inchoate crimes in criminal proceedings. In such situations, we look to evidence as to what the defendant said or wrote, in order to determine whether the speaker had the requisite intent to violate the law and to bring about proscribed consequences. 

The 1799 Blount proceedings, our nation’s first impeachment, was based on such a speech-related wrong. Moreover, the primary evidence against Blount was a letter, purportedly signed by Blount. In this letter, Blount sought to promote a plan to have Britain seize Spanish territory in the New World. Blount’s motive seems to have been in connection with adventure and commercial gain. Blount did not hold himself out as a representative of the United States government. As a result, Logan Act principles and policies were not at issue. The House ultimately adopted five articles of impeachment against Blount. Each article of impeachment made allegations that Blount’s conduct was criminal, or involved conspiracies, or violated the laws of the United States. In Blount, a case charging a speech-related wrong, the House did not vote to impeach absent allegations that the defendant violated established law. (We do not opine whether the House was correct in alleging that Blount violated any actual laws of the United States.)

We raise a second point concerning the House’s and Senate’s law-making roles in impeachment proceedings. The Constitution assigned the House the power of impeachment and assigned the Senate the power to try impeachments. The Constitution did not assign these roles to each body in order to create a law-making role in either one for use during such proceedings. Each house was assigned its role in the impeachment process for other reasons—unrelated to “legislation” or law-making broadly understood. For example, in Federalist No. 65, Hamilton considered potential venues other than the Senate to conduct an impeachment trial. Ultimately, however, Hamilton defended the Constitution’s choice of the Senate. Hamilton rooted his argument in a variety of motives and purposes. He relied on history and precedents drawn from Britain and the states, costs or economy, as well as pragmatism. In explaining why the Senate was assigned the role of trying impeachments, Hamilton-Publius stated: 

“Where else than in the Senate could have been found a tribunal sufficiently dignified, or sufficiently independent? What other body would be likely to feel CONFIDENCE ENOUGH IN ITS OWN SITUATION, to preserve, unawed and uninfluenced, the necessary impartiality between an INDIVIDUAL accused, and the REPRESENTATIVES OF THE PEOPLE, HIS ACCUSERS?” 

Hamilton expressed a bona fide concern: the regular courts, including the Supreme Court, might be poorly positioned to try an impeachment. They could lack the “confidence” to remove elected officials or great officers of state. Moreover, they might be unable to effectuate the removal of those officeholders. We see no evidence that the House and Senate were assigned their roles in the impeachment process in order to facilitate their creating novel legal theories on which to impeach officeholders. These structural arguments further illustrate why the House should rely on established legal standards. 

III. The Hamilton-Story Duty-Centric Model of Impeachment.

The traditional view is that a President or other officeholder, in certain circumstances, may be impeached for a public offense: an offense that is not grounded in established law. But in the impeachment process, public offenses should be treated differently from private offenses. Here, we sketch out our position in greater detail regarding how to distinguish public offenses from private offenses. Our position begins with Alexander Hamilton’s famous discussion of impeachment in Federalist No. 65. Publius explained:

A well-constituted court for the trial of impeachments is an object not more to be desired than difficult to be obtained in a government wholly elective. The subjects of its jurisdiction are those offenses which proceed from the misconduct of public men, or, in other words, from the abuse or violation of some public trust. They are of a nature which may with peculiar propriety be denominated POLITICAL, as they relate chiefly to injuries done immediately to the society itself. (emphasis added).

Joseph Story described the impeachment process in a similar fashion. In his celebrated Commentaries on the Constitution, Story wrote that “[t]he jurisdiction [in impeachment] is to be exercised over offenses which are committed by public men in violation of their public trust and duties.” 

Hamilton and Story did not suggest that every wrong by a “public m[a]n” falls within the “jurisdiction” of the impeachment power. Rather, the phrase “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” in the Impeachment Clause has some outer bounds. Contrary to what Gerry Ford suggested, the House does not have carte blanche to define any wrong as a “high Crime[] and Misdemeanor[].” Rather, according to Hamilton, this phrase embraces those wrongs by officeholders that “violat[e] . . . some public trust.” Or, as Story put it, wrongs that violate “their . . . duties.” The Hamilton-Story view is the canonical restatement of impeachment. Some early commentators expressly contended that the whole scope of “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” was limited to offenses based on the violation of duties arising in connection with the defendant’s public station, office, or position. For example, this duty-centric view was adopted by William Rawle, who wrote one of the most prominent antebellum commentaries on the Constitution. In 1825, Rawle, the former U.S. District Attorney for Pennsylvania wrote “In general those offences which may be committed equally by a private person as a public officer, are not the subjects of impeachment. Murder, burglary, robbery, and indeed all offences not immediately connected with office, except the two expressly mentioned [ie, bribery and treason], are left to the ordinary course of judicial proceeding ….”

Nevertheless, the modern consensus view is that Hamilton’s list was under-inclusive. That is, the bounds of “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” are broader than the Hamilton-Story duty-centric view. Here, we assume the modern consensus view is correct: there are other “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” that do not “violate[e] . . . some public trust” or an officeholder’s “duties” that can still support an article of impeachment. The impeachment inquiry thus raises two challenging interpretive issues. First, what type of public conduct violates “some public trust”? Second, what type of private conduct—that is, conduct that does not violate “some public trust”—is still sufficient to support an impeachment?

The House may argue that any wrong by the President violates the “public trust.” In other words, a violation of the “public trust” is whatever a House majority says it is. Or, the House may argue that any legal violation, even if unconnected to the duties of the presidency, violates the “public trust.” Hamilton referred to a “violation of some public trust.” The modifier “some” suggests that the term “public trust” has some particularized limits. What are those limits? Likewise, Story wrote that impeachment extends to a “violation [of] duties” by public men. Not everything is a duty. What are those duties? 

Let’s consider a hypothetical. During a holiday, President Burr stays at Burr Tower, his private residence in New York City. After he finishes the day’s public business, he walks onto Fifth Avenue carrying his privately-owned pistol, and shoots a random person with the intent to kill. Under the modern consensus view, Burr could be impeached and removed from office for murder. Yet, this offense does not squarely fit within the Hamilton-Story duty-centric understanding of an impeachable offense. Does this egregious offense amount to an “abuse or violation of some public trust”? Is there a violation of a duty flowing from his holding the presidency? You may be inclined to say “Yes!” But the term “public trust,” according to some scholars, reflects the law of fiduciary duty law. Generally, a person can breach that trust through the abuse of his office—or, to use the language from Trump’s first impeachment, an “abuse of power.” We think an officeholder abuses “some public trust” if he uses government information, property, personnel, or powers that are entrusted to him by virtue of his public station, office, or position. But in our hypothetical, Burr did not use the powers of his office to commit murder. He did not use any government resources. He was staying in his private residence, and used a privately-owned weapon. Burr’s misconduct does not relate to his specific duties as President. Rather, Burr breached the duties that he shared in common with all other citizens. On these facts, he did not violate “some public trust” or the specific “duties” connected to his position. Burr’s murdering a person, in this way, would be a private offense, and not a public offense. In this hypothetical, an impeachment based on murder would not fit the Hamilton-Story duty-centric model. 

Now, let’s change the hypothetical. Again, President Burr stays at Burr Tower in New York City during a holiday. After he finishes the day’s public business, he walks onto Fifth Avenue. There, he tells his gathered constituents that the mayoral election was rigged. Burr encourages his supporters to “peacefully and patriotically” walk down Broadway to City Hall to protest the Mayor’s “corrupt” administration. His supporters, and others who did not hear the speech, make the four-mile walk. Other people were already waiting at City Hall before Burr even made his speech. Then, a group of people violently break into city hall and kill the Mayor. In this hypothetical, Did Burr use the powers of his office to commit his offense? Or, is this offense closer to the murder on Fifth Avenue? We do not think the identity of the victim—a random person or the mayor—changes the analysis. Nor do we think the motive for the killing changes the analysis—for example, if Burr gave the speech for a partisan end. His speech did not violate any duty that flows from his office. He did not run afoul of “some public trust.” In this hypothetical, like the prior Fifth Avenue hypothetical, Burr’s speech to his constituents would be, at most, a potential private offense, and not a public offense.

We recognize that critics may counter that any wrongdoing by the President, whether public or private, violates the “public trust,” in light of the President’s oath of office. That is, the President must always comport himself according to his oath of office. But that inquiry is circular. What exactly does the oath of office require? Does every private wrong run afoul of that oath? Adultery, where that offense is proscribed by law? Jaywalking? Or, does Congress get to define the contours of that oath? We do not think the President has to hold himself to the exacting standards as determined by a majority of the House of Representatives ex post and ad hoc. And the concept of the public trust is linked to the duties that flow from the President’s office. Egregious conduct, such as murder, may still be impeachable. But if the President does not violate the duties that flow from his office, he cannot be said to violate his oath of office or the public trust. For such egregious crimes, he would commit a private offense, and not a public offense.

Other critics may make a related argument: everything the President does is a public act. We agree with Professor Daphna Renan that the President has “two bodies”: a public body and a personal body. (And in some cases, he has three bodies; see pp. 7-10.) There is a distinction between the President’s private acts, and those public acts performed with the powers of his office. When Hamilton speaks of “some public trust,” we think he was referring to the latter concept. And Story’s use of “duty” likewise refers to the duties attached to his position as President, not the generalized duties to obey the law, which he shares in common with all other citizens.

Under the modern consensus view, the President can be impeached for public and private offenses. When Congress seeks to impeach the president for violating “some public trust,” the articles of impeachment can rely on something akin to the established body of fiduciary law. And that law is more flexible than substantive federal criminal law. Fiduciary law is highly fact-dependent, and its causes of action and defenses were judge-made in their inception and, largely, remain judge-made in terms of their modern development. These public offenses concern breaches of the specific duties of officeholders. For public offenses, the House and Senate have some significant latitude in characterizing the applicable law when impeaching officeholders.

A different standard should apply when a public official commits some impeachable wrong that is not a violation of the “public trust.” With a private offense, the officeholder does not transgress any of the specific duties flowing from the position he holds. In those circumstances, an article of impeachment for a private offense should make reference to established law. When the President commits a private wrong in his personal “body,” we think the impeachment proceedings should follow the same body of substantive law, including the elements, mens rea, and defenses, that would govern proceedings for other similarly situated citizens. We think this body of substantive law should apply, even if it is usually applied and because it is usually applied to other citizens tried in a judicial forum. Indeed, we are hard pressed to rationalize any sort of impeachment for a private “wrong” that lacks a basis in established law. And, accordingly, we cannot even characterize such a wrong as an “offense.” 

Finally, some commentators may argue that Congress can make law when identifying impeachable wrongs, ex post and ad hoc. In other words, that the House and Senate can identify impeachable wrongs without regard to the President’s specific duties and without regard to established law. We think the substantial defense that this position would require has yet to be made. 

IV. Private Offenses in the Johnson and Clinton Impeachments.

The Johnson impeachment helps to illustrate this dichotomy between public and private offenses. There were eleven articles lodged against Johnson. Several of them concerned Johnson’s dismissal of Secretary of War Edwin Stanton. We think these purported Stanton-related offenses would fit within the Hamilton-Story duty-centric model. In other words, the wrongs alleged by the House were violations of “some public trust” or violations of “duties” connected to the President’s position. Specifically, Article 1 charged Johnson was “unmindful” of his oath of office, and he failed to take care that the laws were faithfully executed, by intentionally violating the Tenure of Office Act. There was no positive law that defined the consequences of the President intentionally disregarding a statute. The Tenure of Office Act merely established a legal obligation on the President; it did not purport to define the remedy for breaching that obligation. (We leave aside the constitutionality of the statute.) More importantly, the duty imposed by the Act on the President was not one he shared with other citizens. That duty extended only to the President. Thus, the allegation in Article 1 was fiduciary in nature. And under traditional fiduciary law, it is a violation of a fiduciary’s duty of loyalty  to intentionally violate the duties associated with his position. The longstanding body of established fiduciary law afforded the House some latitude to craft this fact-specific article of impeachment. 

However, Article 10 differed from Article 1. The former concerned speeches in which Johnson criticized Congress. For these speeches, Johnson was speaking to his constituents, without using government information or property. These speeches were not made pursuant to any government edict, program, or statutory duty. Johnson did not violate any duties that flowed from his office. Here, Johnson was merely communicating with his constituents. The President, an elected official and party leader, is expected to give such political speeches. And these speeches do not flow from the President’s duties. We think the House erred by impeaching Johnson on these grounds. The Senate did not convict on this basis, and we think the Senate acted correctly. If the speeches did not violate “some public trust” or the specific “duties” associated with the presidency, then the impeachment process must be based on established law. As such, we think that Johnson should have been afforded the widest latitude of established free speech protections—the same protections that any other similarly situated citizen would benefit from. 

The Clinton impeachment also illustrates this dichotomy. Bill Clinton had extramarital relations. And he committed those acts on, and with government property. Moreover, he arguably used the prestige and power of his office to form that relationship. But we do not think that conduct, assuming it was consensual, violated “some public trust” or the specific “duties” associated with the presidency, as the law stood at that time. It was—as we were reminded for years—a “personal” act that did not reflect on Clinton’s office. The President has a right to have a private life, even while living in the White House. When he takes the oath of office, he does not take an oath to be scrupulously moral as a majority of a subsequently elected House may determine morality. Likewise, where a President is charged with perjury, he should be burdened with and benefit from the same substantive law of perjury—that is, its elements, mens rea, and defenses—that any other defendant charged with perjury would face. The fact that a President is impeached and tried in a different forum from other citizens is not a reason to vary the substantive law of perjury. In an impeachment proceeding, the House and Senate should not be empowered to make new law, that is, perjury-lite law, for a single occasion and a single defendant.

This history brings us forward to President Trump’s first impeachment. In 2019, Trump was impeached based on a telephone call he made to the President of the Ukraine. That call was made pursuant to Trump’s official duties as President. He was discussing foreign relations, a core power of the presidency. The call was made using government property and information. Other government officers listened to the call. In short, that conduct implicated the “public trust” and Trump’s “duties” as President. To the extent there was an impeachable offense, it can be fairly characterized as a public, and not private offense. (We argued there was no merit to the charge, because the conduct did amount to impeachable bribery.) 

V. The Draft and Final Article of Impeachment: An Analysis. 

Now, let’s turn to the text of the sole article of impeachment adopted in January 2020, titled “Incitement of Insurrection.” The House did not allege that Trump committed “Bribery” or “Treason.” (Though, some commentators urged the House to charge Trump with the latter offense.) Therefore, it would seem to follow that “Incitement of Insurrection” was intended to be a “high Crime[] and Misdemeanor[].” Is “incitement” an established crime? Of course. 18 U.S.C. § 2101 makes it a crime to “incite a riot.” Likewise, 18 U.S.C. § 2283 makes it a crime to “incite . . . any rebellion or insurrection against the authority of the United States.” There are other potentially relevant statutes. Yet, the article of impeachment does not cite these statutes, or any others, to define the elements of “Incitement of Insurrection.” Rather, as best as we can tell, the House fashioned a novel standard out of whole cloth. Indeed, the House amended its early draft article of impeachment to eliminate any reference to established law about incitement.

On January 8, Rep. David Cicilline of Rhode Island circulated a draft version of the article. It included this passage:

On January 6, 2021, pursuant to the Twelfth Amendment of the United States Constitution, the Vice President of the United States, the House of Representatives, and the Senate met at the United States Capitol for a Joint Session of Congress to count the votes of the Electoral College. Shortly before the Joint Session commenced, President Trump addressed a crowd of his political supporters nearby. There, he reiterated false claims that “we won this election, and we won it by a landslide’. He also willfully made statements that encouraged—and foreseeably resulted in—imminent lawless action at the Capitol. Incited by President Trump, a mob unlawfully breached the Capitol, injured law enforcement personnel, menaced Members of Congress and the Vice President, interfered with the Joint Session’s solemn constitutional duty to certify the election results, and engaged in violent, deadly, destructive, and seditious acts.

This passage includes five relevant components. First, the passage focuses solely on Trump’s conduct on January 6, “[s]hortly before the joint session.” The draft article did not look at Trump’s actions in the months and weeks leading up to January 6. Why was this discussion so time-limited? Because second, the drafters invoked an established legal standard that required imminence. Here, the drafters adopted something close to the standard announced in Brandenburg v. Ohio: that Trump “willfully made statements that encouraged—and foreseeably resulted in—imminent lawless action at the Capitol.” This language does not track Brandenburg precisely, but it is fairly close. Brandenburg held that the government can punish speech that is “directed to inciting or producing imminent lawless action and is likely to incite or produce such action.” The draft article focused on conduct from January 6 because that date would be the relevant time period for Brandenburg‘s “imminence” analysis. Third, by invoking Brandenburg, the draft article afforded President Trump an important defense. He could argue that his statements did not “encourage . . . imminent lawless action.” Fourth, this established law provides the burdens of proof the managers must meet. And, accordingly, the Senators can determine whether the managers met their burden of proof. Fifth, and most importantly, the choice to reference established law supports the legitimacy of the charge. Here, the drafters used established law, which was developed by the courts for future cases unknown. The drafters did not adopt a novel legal standard developed uniquely for the specific defendant and the specific case before Congress. This standard was tethered to precedent and established law. Such an approach was not subjected to manipulation by the President’s opponents. 

In our January 8 blog post, we recognized this potential defense based on a lack of imminence. At the time, we did not know what precise language the House would adopt, but we had seen Rep. Cicilline’s draft article. If that draft had been adopted, the abstract legal issue of whether the First Amendment applies to the impeachment process really would not have mattered. Had the draft article been adopted with a standard akin to the Brandenburg test, the House would have effectively imported that First Amendment standard into the impeachment process. (Indeed, the House managers may decide, at trial or in post-trial briefing, to import the First Amendment standards into the impeachment process. This post does not address the recently-filed House brief.) Again, the House’s draft article made use of established First Amendment law. 

However, the language from the draft article would change. The text of the adopted article of impeachment provides: 

On January 6, 2021, pursuant to the 12th Amendment to the Constitution of the United States, the Vice President of the United States, the House of Representatives, and the Senate met at the United States Capitol for a Joint Session of Congress to count the votes of the Electoral College. In the months preceding the Joint Session, President Trump repeatedly issued false statements asserting that the Presidential election results were the product of widespread fraud and should not be accepted by the American people or certified by State or Federal officials. Shortly before the Joint Session commenced, President Trump, addressed a crowd at the Ellipse in Washington, DC. There, he reiterated false claims that “we won this election, and we won it by a landslide”. He also willfully made statements that, in context, encouraged—and foreseeably resulted in—lawless action at the Capitol, such as: “if you don’t fight like hell you’re not going to have a country anymore”. Thus incited by President Trump, members of the crowd he had addressed, in an attempt to, among other objectives, interfere with the Joint Session’s solemn constitutional duty to certify the results of the 2020 Presidential election, unlawfully breached and vandalized the Capitol, injured and killed law enforcement personnel, menaced Members of Congress, the Vice President, and Congressional personnel, and engaged in other violent, deadly, destructive, and seditious acts.

The five particularly significant components from the draft article were altered. First, the passage was no longer limited to the events of January 6. Rather, the article referred to “false statements” made in the “months preceding the Joint Session.” This first change ineluctably led to the second change: the reference to “imminent” lawless action was removed. The adopted article of impeachment no longer tracked Brandenburg. Indeed, it appears the House created a novel standard out of whole cloth. The House’s novel standard is that Trump “willfully made statements that, in context, encouraged—and foreseeably resulted in—lawless action at the Capitol.” The phrase “imminent lawless action” was shortened to just “lawless action.” There was no longer any temporal requirement. This statement is not the Brandenburg standard; it is not even comparable to the Brandenburg standard. As far as we know, the proponents of this standard have not put forward any arguments or precedents explaining establishing why the House’s legal test should be used.

Third, by eliminating any reference to established law, the House eliminated an important defense that Trump could raise. Even if Trump could show that there was no imminence, he could still be found guilty under the announced legal standard. On its face, the House’s revised test made it easier to convict Trump. The House accomplished this goal by eliminating any reference to established law. Fourth, because this standard is novel, the managers will not be able to rely on caselaw that explains how they must meet their burden. Likewise Senators will lack judicial guidance to determine whether the managers have met that burden. Fifth, the adopted article could no longer rely on the legitimacy afforded through an established legal standard. The House adopted a novel standard that was developed uniquely for the present facts, untethered to precedent and established law. Such an approach always risks manipulation by those supporting impeachment. The President’s attorneys should raise this argument.

We see five normative advantages to the first draft, which tracked the Brandenburg standard. And these advantages inure to the benefit of Trump, the House, the Senate, and the entire process First, under the Brandenburg standard, Trump, and all officeholders, are on fair notice of the boundaries of what conduct could give rise to impeachment. Had Trump, or other similarly situated persons, asked counsel for advice, they would have been able to explain where the courts have drawn this well-known line. In the criminal context, a defendant will sometimes be subjected to a new criminal statute that had never been adjudicated. Cases of first impression sometimes present difficult interpretive questions. But that novelty does not render the prosecution unfair or unconstitutional. However, with Trump, the offense was crafted after his conduct. In effect, the House is defining  impeachable private “offenses” after the fact, without reference to established law. If this view is correct, then there are no meaningful limits on the House’s impeachment power. In effect, the Constitution’s “high Crimes and Misdemeanors” language amounts to what any House majority and 2/3 of the Senate choose to act upon. To put it another way, the sole article of impeachment against President Trump reflects an ex post and ad hoc creation—it is a wholly novel private “wrong.” We refer to this conduct as a private “wrong,” rather than a private “offense,” because the charge does not appear to be founded on any established law. 

Second, there is a related normative advantage from the perspective of members of Congress. Had the House adopted the Brandenburg standard, members of both houses could determine whether Trump’s speech is protected under applicable law. 

Third, with the draft article, the House Managers would have had a basis in established law to facilitate meeting their burden of proof. They would have to plead all of the elements of incitement in light of Brandenburg, as they would in a criminal trial. And, the President’s counsel could assert that the managers failed to meet that burden, and could raise defenses available under established law. 

Fourth, after the trial concluded, Senators could assess the Manager’s arguments, the President’s defenses, in light of the established law. By rejecting Brandenburg, the House and Senate members are essentially flying blind. 

Fifth, by adopting an established body of law, the House managers would have immunized themselves against charges of partisanship, politicization, and gamesmanship. The House was simply following the law that everyone had long understood—including the House’s initial draftspersons. No new precedent would be set. Rather, the Senate would be following settled practice. Of course, the House rejected the standard announced by the Supreme Court. And the decision to create a novel standard led to an unintended consequence: the President’s defenders now can argue that the wrong legal standard was selected. Thus, even if the facts alleged are true, the President should not be convicted. The President’s defenders may choose to acquit so as not to establish a precedent that unduly burdens the free speech rights of political officeholders and future presidents. And Senators can charge that the House engaged in unfair partisan gamesmanship: they invented a novel standard to convict the President. This argument may become more attractive to some senators because Trump is out-of-office. Even if it is believed that Trump was a wrongdoer, he does not pose a current threat. In this case, the risk of a bad precedent may weigh more heavily with the Senators.

Conclusion.

Given the facts we know today, Trump’s January 6 speech at the Ellipse is better characterized as a private offense. On January 6, President Trump spoke to his constituents at a rally held at the White House Ellipse. But the rally was not actually on White House property. Despite its name, the Ellipse is outside White House grounds. The rally was organized by private parties. Trump was not speaking there pursuant to any duty of his office. This speech was a political speech, much like speeches he gave at many of his other rallies. Here, we think Trump was speaking with his “personal” body. 

Based on our reading of Hamilton and Story, Trump’s speech at the Ellipse would not be a breach of “some public trust” or the specific “duties” that flow from the presidency. Trump’s conduct could still give rise to an article of impeachment. But in our view, that impeachment, for a private offense, should be premised on established law. And, that law is the Brandenburg standard, which had influenced the House’s initial draft. The House’s draft article of impeachment afforded Trump the opportunity to raise Brandenburg as a defense. But the adopted draft eliminated that reference to established law. With respect to Trump’s speech delivered at the Ellipse, the article for incitement of insurrection runs afoul of our position for what constitutes a “high Crime and Misdemeanor.” 

We take no position on whether Trump’s purported conduct beyond his January 6 speech at the Ellipse may amount to a public or private offense.

[Seth Barrett Tillman is a Lecturer at Maynooth University Department of Law, Ireland (Roinn Dlí Ollscoil Mhá Nuad).]

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