The Odyssey Hullabaloo

The Odyssey Hullabaloo

Authored by Victor Davis Hanson via American Greatness,

Acclaimed British filmmaker Christopher Nolan’s (The Dark Knight, Oppenheimer) newest film, The Odyssey, opens this week in the United States.

But controversy has already surrounded Nolan’s adaptation of Homer’s 2,700-year-old epic poem about Odysseus’s 10-year struggle to return home after the Achaian victory in the decade-long Trojan War.

Some of the film’s actresses have suggested that Nolan is offering a more feminist – and long-overdue – take on the ancient poem. Actress Lupita Nyong’o, in particular, has criticized Homer’s purported sexism.

Perhaps her misreading of Homer stems from her admission that, despite receiving degrees from elite Hampshire College and Yale, the 42-year-old actress had never even read the Odyssey until she was cast in the minor dual roles of Helen and her sister Clytemnestra.

The Odyssey was composed orally sometime around 750-700 B.C., contemporaneously with the rise of the Greek city-state. Along with Homer’s other epic, The Iliad, The Odyssey marks the inauguration of Western literature. Over the next three millennia, it came to be recognized as not only the earliest but also one of the most profound works of Western civilization.

Far from being sexist, Homer’s Odyssey offers a timeless and diverse panorama of powerful, independent, and savvy women.

Take Penelope, the wife of Odysseus and queen of Ithaca. Unquestionably loyal to her missing husband, she outsmarts the bloodthirsty suitors who seek to force her into marriage and seize the kingdom through her steadfast courage and cunning.

She confounds them through a series of brilliant ruses, ultimately enabling her husband’s revenge.

Far different, but equally independent and crafty, are the immortal sorceress Circe and the divine nymph Calypso, who both shelter, seduce, and eventually bond with Odysseus. Both ultimately release him to continue his tragic journey home. Together they serve as archetypes of unmarried women who choose to live magical lives on their own sexual, economic, and political terms.

Helen makes a cameo appearance in both the poem and the film. Her beauty is all-powerful and dangerously – even destructively – seductive. It prompts the Trojan boy toy Paris to kidnap her, win her over, and flee back to Troy, setting in motion the decade-long Greek expedition against Troy and the extraordinary effort to bring the beauty home to her cuckolded and vapid husband, King Menelaus of Sparta.

Without the help of the virgin goddess Athena – often regarded as the wisest, most stable, and most humane of the Olympian gods – Odysseus would never have reached home.

By the same token, among the kindest figures in the poem are Odysseus’s loyal nurse, Eurycleia, Penelope’s trusted confidante, and the young, innocent Phaeacian princess Nausicaa, who befriends Odysseus and ensures her parents’ goodwill toward him, eventually securing his safe return to Ithaca.

The monstrous, man-destroying female Scylla and the Sirens are every bit as deadly, but far more astute than the cannibalistic and dimwitted Cyclops Polyphemus.

Far from being sexist, then, The Odyssey offers the earliest – and one of the finest – gallery of capable women in Western literature.

Controversy also arose from Nolan’s casting of Kenyan-Mexican-American actress Lupita Nyong’o as a black Helen, contrary to the Spartan queen’s ethnicity in Homer’s poem.

Cultural appropriation is a heated but often inconsistently applied charge. (When white women wear dreadlocks, that is somehow deemed to be cultural appropriation; black women wearing blond wigs isn’t?)

Yet there is a long history of directors using marquee actors to play characters of different races or ethnicities. British actor Laurence Olivier achieved fame by brilliantly playing Shakespeare’s black Othello. Mexican-American and Irish Anthony Quinn portrayed a stunning Zorba the Greek. Burt Lancaster, Charles Bronson, and Audrey Hepburn all effectively portrayed Native American characters.

In the age of sophisticated makeup and costuming, great actors can believably play almost any role. Problems arise only when a literary or historical figure’s race or gender is so central to the character that it permeates the entire narrative of the film, novel, or poem.

No white actor could play a believable Martin Luther King Jr. or Muhammad Ali. Nor could a black actor be believable as Abraham Lincoln. Nor could a woman realistically play James Bond – Ian Fleming’s womanizing playboy and hypermasculine secret agent 007.

Now, in Nolan’s defense, Helen is a minor figure in both the poem and the film version of the Odyssey. That she was white in the poem and black in the film does not undermine the adaptation of Homer’s poem. But had Lupita Nyong’o perhaps played the key character of Penelope, then the glaring racial disparity might have introduced new and extraneous issues or distracted from the central narrative.

A final note.

The Odyssey is an embodiment of Hellenic culture – and still deeply revered in Greece as an iconic symbol of the ongoing national experience. Given the tradition of brilliant Greek actresses such as Irene Pappas or Melina Mercouri, Nolan might have employed at least one Greek actor or actress in an epic about the indomitable people of Greece.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 – 16:20

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American Naval Academy Cadets Prepare For War With Stoic Philosophy

American Naval Academy Cadets Prepare For War With Stoic Philosophy

Authored by Ret Admiral Cem Gürdeniz via Mavi Vatan Geopolitics,

The United States Naval Academy at Annapolis, which has trained officers for the U.S. Navy since 1845, reports directly to the Chief of Naval Operations (CNO). There is no separate Naval Education and Training Command within its chain of command. Today, Annapolis is not the Navy’s only source of commissioned officers. The U.S. Navy also commissions officers through the Officer Candidate School (OCS) and the Naval Reserve Officers Training Corps (NROTC) programs conducted at universities across the country.

Each year, the U.S. Navy commissions approximately 2,500-3,000 new officers, of whom roughly 1,000-1,100 graduate from Annapolis. Although the Academy provides only about one-third of the Navy’s annual officer intake, it produces a disproportionate share of its future strategic leaders, fleet commanders, and candidates for the position of Chief of Naval Operations (CNO).

In American naval culture, Annapolis graduates are known as “Ring Knockers.” Their distinctive class rings symbolize far more than a shared educational background. They represent the strategic tradition, institutional memory, and elite leadership culture of American sea power. It is therefore no coincidence that Annapolis graduates have historically occupied a dominant position within the U.S. Navy’s admiralty and its most critical command appointments.

The Foundation of Imperial Power Is Naval Power

Throughout its history, the backbone of American global and imperial power has been its navy. During the Second World War in particular, aircraft carriers, battleships, cruisers, destroyers, submarines, and millions of tons of ammunition produced by American industry on an unprecedented scale were employed by commanders educated at Annapolis in pursuit of U.S. political objectives. The naval supremacy achieved at the end of the war elevated the United States to global leadership not only in military terms but also economically and geopolitically.

Yet the strength of a navy cannot be measured solely by its ships, weapons, or technology. The decisive factor is the strategic culture, value system, and intellectual tradition that shape the officers entrusted with commanding that force. To understand American naval power, one must therefore examine the historical, philosophical, moral, and spiritual environment in which its officers are educated. This is precisely what makes Annapolis unique and significant.

Annapolis is more than a military academy; it reflects the American state, society, and strategic culture. For that reason, understanding the education provided there and the intellectual outlook of its graduates requires an examination of the political and social environment in which the Academy operates. In particular, the place of religion in American public life and its influence on politics constitute an important element of this broader cultural context.

Religion and Its Place in American Politics

Religion continues to play a significant role in American public life and politics and has become increasingly visible in recent years, particularly through conservative Christian circles and the evangelical movement. Unlike the stricter model of secularism found in much of Europe, the United States has traditionally adopted an approach that does not exclude religion from the public sphere. As a result, religious influence remains evident across many aspects of American society, from education to politics.

Following the strengthening of U.S.-Israel relations after 1967 – and especially during the period that gained momentum after the September 11 attacks – the influence of Christian Zionist circles, particularly evangelical Christians, on American policy toward Israel became increasingly pronounced. Especially within the Republican Party, support for Israel is viewed not only as a strategic necessity but also as a religious obligation rooted in biblical interpretation. During the recent Israel-Iran confrontation, religious services, sermons, and spiritual guidance provided by military chaplains in some U.S. military units reflected this broader trend.

The influence of religion is also visible at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis. The campus contains nine chapels and spiritual support centers serving different faith communities. These institutions function not only as places of worship but also as centers for character development, ethical leadership, spiritual resilience, and the cultivation of the will to fight. Their presence demonstrates that religion has not been excluded from institutional life within the U.S. Armed Forces, rather, it continues to be regarded as one of the elements that strengthen morale, cohesion, and resilience. To fully understand the cultural environment in which Annapolis educates America’s future military and political leaders, the continuing prominence of religion in American society must therefore be considered.

Stoic Training for American Naval Officer Candidates

In recent years, the U.S. Naval Academy has undergone a remarkable evolution in its educational philosophy. Alongside traditional military instruction, Stoic philosophy has been incorporated into officer education, introducing cadets to the works of Marcus Aurelius, Seneca, and Epictetus. The objective is not to promote a new belief system, but to develop leaders capable of making sound decisions under uncertainty, enduring hardship, mastering fear, exercising self-discipline, and demonstrating strength of character in combat.

This approach has moved well beyond theory. During the 2024 and 2025 Plebe Summer programs, the Academy introduced a six-week voluntary Stoicism course for incoming midshipmen. Participants learned to distinguish between what lies within their control and what does not; to regard adversity as an opportunity for character development; to confront the possibility of death and failure with composure; to value inner discipline over external recognition; and to judge events rationally rather than emotionally. In this context, Stoicism is taught not as an ancient philosophical tradition, but as practical preparation for the psychological demands of war.

This educational shift also reflects a broader transformation in the U.S. Navy’s concept of leadership. At a time when artificial intelligence and autonomous systems are becoming increasingly central to warfare, the Navy seeks to produce officers who are not only technologically proficient but also capable of preserving sound judgment, emotional stability, and psychological superiority under the extreme pressures of combat. In the wars of the future, victory will depend not only on superior technology, but also on the character, resilience, and moral strength of those entrusted to employ it.

Why Stoicism?

Originating more than 2,300 years ago, Stoicism is a philosophy of life that teaches individuals to master their own minds in the face of events beyond their control. No commander can know with certainty what an enemy will do, how a war will unfold, or when death may come. In the face of such uncertainty, Stoic philosophy seeks to replace fear with reason, anger with composure, and despair with a steadfast sense of duty. Stoicism is therefore not a doctrine of passive fatalism but a philosophy for cultivating warriors capable of preserving their will and judgment under the harshest conditions.

This is precisely why Annapolis has reintroduced Stoicism into its curriculum. The objective is not to teach ancient philosophy for its own sake, but to equip future naval officers with the mental discipline required to make sound decisions under pressure, demonstrate psychological resilience, and remain focused on their mission regardless of circumstances.

This educational choice also reflects the U.S. Navy’s evolving understanding of “spiritual readiness.” The Navy seeks to unite personnel from different religious traditions – as well as those with no religious affiliation – around a common ethic of character, duty, and leadership. In this context, Stoicism provides a secular, non-sectarian framework for moral and character development that can serve as common ground for all. States may adapt to changing patterns of religious belief within society, but military institutions cannot rely on a shared faith alone. To prevail in war, they require officers who share a common character rather than a common creed.

The broader message Annapolis seeks to convey is that the wars of the twenty-first century will not be decided solely by artificial intelligence, hypersonic weapons, or autonomous systems. They will also be contests of the human mind, resilience, and the will to fight. Technology remains only an instrument of war; victory ultimately belongs to those who can employ it wisely under pressure, hardship, and uncertainty.

Perhaps no quotation captures this philosophy better than the words traditionally attributed to the Stoic Roman Emperor Marcus Aurelius: “Be like the rock against which the waves continually break; it stands firm while the raging waters are stilled around it.” In war, what ultimately proves decisive is neither enemy fire nor violent storms, but the commander’s ability to preserve clarity of mind and firmness of will. At Annapolis, young officer candidates are therefore taught a simple but enduring principle: first master your mind, then fight.

Change in American Society

The U.S. Naval Academy’s renewed emphasis on Stoic philosophy represents more than an educational reform; it reflects the impact of profound sociological changes in American society over the past two decades on the nation’s military institutions. As affiliation with organized religion has steadily declined – particularly among Generation Z – the number of Americans who identify with no religious tradition, commonly referred to as the “Nones,” has grown rapidly. The leadership at Annapolis recognizes that a significant proportion of incoming midshipmen are no longer motivated by traditional religious references to the same extent as previous generations.

This trend is equally evident within the U.S. Navy itself. Approximately 40 percent of enlisted sailors do not identify with any religious tradition, while roughly 15 percent of newly admitted midshipmen at Annapolis report no religious affiliation. This demographic transformation has been one of the principal reasons for incorporating Stoicism into the Academy’s broader concept of “spiritual readiness.”

According to the U.S. Naval Academy, spiritual readiness is the inner resilience and moral strength that enable a warrior to perform his or her duty with honor under the most demanding circumstances. Rather than reinforcing a particular religious tradition, the Navy seeks to cultivate a shared ethic of character, duty, and commitment among personnel from diverse faiths – or from no faith at all. Consequently, Stoicism has become an integral component of the Academy’s spiritual readiness program rather than simply another subject within ethics education. Combat readiness is thus understood in holistic terms, encompassing not only physical endurance, technical competence, and tactical proficiency, but also psychological resilience, moral character, and spiritual strength.

One of the most influential symbols of this philosophy is Admiral James Stockdale. After being shot down during the Vietnam War, Stockdale endured seven and a half years of imprisonment, torture, and solitary confinement in Hanoi. He later explained that his ability to preserve his mental resilience owed much to the teachings of the Stoic philosopher Epictetus. For this reason, Stockdale’s experience continues to serve as one of the most powerful sources of inspiration for Stoic education at Annapolis.

This educational choice also reflects a broader feature of American strategic culture. As Samuel P. Huntington argued, military institutions cannot remain completely insulated from social change, yet they must preserve a distinct professional ethic if they are to retain their combat effectiveness. Annapolis’ rediscovery of Stoicism is one of the clearest contemporary expressions of this principle. The objective is not to replace or diminish religion, but to place a universal, non-sectarian philosophy of character at the center of officer development, thereby preserving the timeless military virtues required for war in an increasingly diverse and changing society.

Fighting in the Mud

One of the enduring truths of war is that a nation can bomb a country for months, destroy its infrastructure, and exploit overwhelming technological superiority. Yet if it truly intends to impose its political objectives, occupy territory, or establish a lasting order, it must eventually send its young soldiers into the mud. This memorable observation by the American military historian T. R. Fehrenbach, written about the Korean War, captures the timeless essence of warfare. The ultimate measure of military success is not technological superiority alone, but a society’s willingness to bear the human cost of war.

It is here that the fundamental distinction between a war for the homeland and an overseas geopolitical war becomes apparent. People are prepared to fight – and, if necessary, die – for their own land, their families, their nation, and their future. It is far more difficult to inspire the same level of sacrifice thousands of miles from home in pursuit of political objectives, energy routes, or geopolitical ambitions that are remote from their daily lives.

The great power competition of the twenty-first century will therefore not be determined solely by artificial intelligence, hypersonic missiles, or autonomous systems. It will also be a contest over how societies understand death, suffering, sacrifice, and the burden of prolonged war. The defining strategic question of the future is not simply who develops the most advanced technology, but which society remains willing to bear the costs of employing it over time. As throughout history, victory will ultimately belong not to those who possess the most sophisticated weapons, but to those whose people retain the determination to endure hardship, accept sacrifice, and, when necessary, continue fighting in the mud until the mission is accomplished.

Conclusion

The transformation taking place at Annapolis, US Naval Academy is far more than an educational reform. It reflects a profound shift in strategic thinking – one that recognizes technological superiority alone cannot guarantee victory in twenty-first-century warfare. The U.S. Navy is seeking to prepare the future warrior not merely as a master of artificial intelligence, hypersonic weapons, and autonomous systems, but as a leader capable of making sound decisions under uncertainty, maintaining psychological resilience, and remaining steadfast in the ethics of duty.

This transformation is driven not only by military necessity but also by the sociological evolution of American society. As affiliation with organized religion declines and individuals from diverse faiths – or from no faith at all – serve under the same uniform, the Navy seeks to cultivate a common will to fight based not on shared religious doctrine but on shared character and enduring values. In this context, Stoicism has regained relevance not as an ancient philosophical school, but as a secular framework for character formation suited to the demands of modern military leadership.

Ultimately, this reflects one of the timeless realities of war. Artificial intelligence may identify targets, autonomous systems may deliver firepower, and algorithms may accelerate decision-making. Yet none of them can overcome fear, embrace sacrifice, or choose to risk death in the fulfillment of duty. The decisive factor in future warfare will therefore remain not technology itself, but the mind, character, and fighting spirit of the human being who employs it.

Perhaps this is the true reason Annapolis has rediscovered Stoicism. The U.S. Navy is not simply developing new weapons; it is shaping the mindset of the future warrior. History has repeatedly demonstrated that victory belongs not to those who possess the most advanced technology, but to those who preserve their discipline, resilience, and will to fight under the harshest conditions.

Sources:

The Stoic Anchor: Expanding Spiritual Readiness at the U.S. Naval Academy, By Commander Matthew Krauz, U.S. Navy, and Marcus Hedahl, June 2026, USNI Proceedings

Improving Spiritual Readiness in the Navy, By Commander Matthew B. Krauz, U.S. Navy, December 2025, USNI Proceedings

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 – 15:40

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Iran Tells Houthis To Close Red Sea Energy Chokepoint If Trump Bombs Power Grid

Iran Tells Houthis To Close Red Sea Energy Chokepoint If Trump Bombs Power Grid

Yemen’s Houthis have long warned of their ability to close the Red Sea oil route, but have by and large stayed on the sidelines of the expanding Gulf regional conflict which is focused on Iran since Operation Epic Fury began.

Things began changing dramatically this month, however, after Saudi warplane incursions into Yemen – which bombed Sanaa International Airport on July 13 – in an effort to prevent an Iranian commercial jet from landing there.

via Marine Insight

The Houthis responded by sending missile and drones on Saudi Arabian airbases and infrastructure, opening up the possibility of renewed Saudi-Houthi war (hearkening back to the more intense war of the prior decade).

Houthi rhetoric is growing, related to the US-Israel war on Iran:

The leader of Yemen’s Houthi movement has denounced US and Israeli collaboration as the source of the problems in the Middle East.

In a televised address, Abdel-Malik al-Houthi also blamed Saudi leaders for advancing US and Israeli objectives in the region. “The United States and Israel are the source of evil and instability in the world,” al-Houthi said.

In a rare moment of the now long-running conflict, on Thursday reports have emerged that Tehran is actively requesting that the Houthis join the war in the scenario that Washington begins attacking Iran’s power infrastructure.

This is after President Trump told Fox News on Tuesday evening that “Next week it gets really bad for them because next week comes the power plants.”

“Next week comes the bridges. We’re going to knock out all their power plants. We’re going to knock out all their bridges unless they get to the table and negotiate,” he warned.

But according to Reuters, Iran still has another escalatory card of its own to play:

Iran has asked Yemen’s Houthi rebels to stand ready to close the Red Sea oil route if the United States strikes Iranian power infrastructure, three sources told Reuters on Thursday, posing a potent new threat to global energy supplies.

The idea has been discussed within the Islamic Republic’s leadership, and the message has been conveyed to Iran’s Houthi allies, two senior Iranian sources and a regional source familiar with the matter said, speaking on condition of anonymity. The sources said the Houthis had been informed recently of Tehran’s request, which has not been previously reported.

It’s long been reported that the Houthis have indeed been making preparations to attack shipping by deploying missiles and drones near Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which is the crucial entry point to the Red Sea.

This could obviously greatly exacerbate the global energy crisis – and would likely set off a new round of regional escalation – which might also see Houthi missiles once again targeting southern Israel, but also Saudi Arabia and the GCC allies.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 – 15:20

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Cameco And Brookfield Positioned To Lead New Jersey’s $24 Billion Nuclear Build Out

Cameco And Brookfield Positioned To Lead New Jersey’s $24 Billion Nuclear Build Out

New Jersey has launched a competitive procurement process for new nuclear capacity under the Power New Jersey Act signed last month. The framework targets at least 1,100 MW of electrical power (MWe) at pre-approved sites and carries an estimated $24 billion price tag

Westinghouse’s AP1000 reactor sits coincidentally at about ~1,200 MWe.

State officials are emphasizing shovel-ready locations and lessons learned from earlier projects to accelerate deployment. Federal financing tools that can cover up to 80% of costs are expected to play a central role, such as from the DOE’s Energy Dominance Financing Office.

This state move sits squarely inside the larger federal nuclear effort we have tracked since last fall. We reported in detail on the $80 billion strategic partnership between the U.S. government, Cameco, and Brookfield to advance up to 10 Westinghouse AP1000 reactors. Cameco leadership later indicated the combined opportunity across Department of Commerce and Department of Energy channels could reach as many as 20 AP1000 units

Several utility pairs already sit in advanced planning stages, with work progressing on long-lead items and financing models that range from federal build-own-operate structures to support for existing operators.

While state officials and the current procurement documents continue to describe the effort as targeting 1,100 MW, the underlying economics and signals from the federal side point to something larger

Cameco (and MIT) has been clear that meaningful cost reductions are likely to appear on the third and fourth AP1000 units, and the DOE’s broader program has consistently favored paired reactor deployments that allow shared infrastructure, long-lead procurement, and supply chain efficiencies. 

Given that the PSEG Early Site Permit already authorizes two units at the site, the publicly stated 1,100 MW floor may simply be the minimum the process is required to deliver while the actual project that clears the competitive negotiation ends up being a full two-reactor plant once the federal financing package and execution commitments are locked in.

Cameco and Brookfield bring distinct advantages into the New Jersey process. Their controlling stake in Westinghouse, combined with direct involvement in the federal large-reactor program and Brookfield’s separate partnership with The Nuclear Company to scale deployments, positions them to handle the capital intensity and leverage federal backstops at scale. 

The state’s preference for proven large-reactor execution over unproven SMR designs at this stage further aligns with their strengths.

Cameco shares have posted gains of roughly 24% over the past year as the nuclear investment case gained traction. Near-term trading has been more mixed, with some pullbacks coinciding with the momentum trade that nuclear has trended with over the past couple years.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 – 14:45

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The Six Vectors Of Gold Remonetization Revealed

The Six Vectors Of Gold Remonetization Revealed

Authored by Ronnie Stoeferle via VonGreyerz.gold,

A look at monetary history reveals that the question of “sound money” was never purely academic in nature but has always been of central importance for economic stability and social order. The past five decades of the pure fiat experiment are, measured against 5,000 years of monetary history, a brief anomaly. And anomalies tend to be corrected.

Our thesis of a remonetization of gold may seem bold at first glance, which makes a clear conceptual framework all the more important. Those waiting for the reintroduction of a classical gold standard will be disappointed: Governments have no incentive to voluntarily relinquish the fiscal and monetary flexibility that the fiat regime offers them. Rather, what is meant is a process in which gold regains monetary relevance. Not necessarily as money in the strict sense, but certainly as the ultimate reference asset for value, trust, and settlement.

This remonetization does not occur by decree, but through function; not through revolution, but through evolution; not a sudden fanfare, but a steadily rising crescendo. Paradigm shifts often creep in through customs, certainties, and economic necessities. Gold is not moving to the center of the system. Rather, driven by fiscal exhaustion, geopolitical fragmentation, and dwindling institutional trust, the system is moving toward gold.

What connects the following six vectors is a shared underlying structure: At each of these junctures, gold regains a key role as a store of value and a safe haven. Not all vectors will become reality simultaneously or in their entirety, but several parallel channels should suffice to sustainably strengthen gold’s monetary relevance. 

The six vectors

Vector I: Reserve Function & Sovereignty

Ever since the freezing of Russian reserves in 2022, it has become clear to many market participants that fiat reserves carry not only market risk but also political risk. Gold is the only major reserve asset without issuer risk. Repatriations in Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, and most recently France underscore this trend.

Vector II: Private Remonetization

Not only governments but also institutions are rediscovering gold as a store of value. Pension funds, family offices, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds have often held only minimal gold allocations to date. Even small shifts away from the global bond market could trigger enormous demand. Gold is thus evolving from a tactical allocation to a strategic liquidity reserve, from a “satellite” to a “core” investment.

Vector III: Accounting & Recapitalization

Gold functions not only as a reserve but also as an accounting lever. Since 1999, the Eurosystem has regularly valued gold at market prices; the resulting revaluation reserves effectively act as equity. In the US, too, the debate over revaluing gold reserves is gaining traction. In highly indebted countries, gold can thus become an instrument of silent recapitalization.

Vector IV: Anchoring Through Gold-Backed Bonds

Gold-backed government bonds could strengthen confidence and lower financing costs. Proposals such as those by Judy Shelton show that what is at stake is not a new gold standard, but a credibility standard. The difference between an unsecured government bond and a gold-backed one is similar to that between a promise and a pledge.

Vector V: Western Central Banks as Buyers

The major gold buyers in recent years have come primarily from emerging markets. The next phase could begin if Western central banks with low gold holdings—such as Canada, Japan, Australia, or the United Kingdom—replenish their gold reserves. Even moderate target reserves would generate demand equivalent to one year’s worth of mine production.

Vector VI: Digitalization

Tokenization could solve gold’s historical transaction problem. Gold-backed tokens combine physical scarcity with digital transferability. This positions gold as a competitor to fiat payment systems and CBDCs. The key factor remains whether ownership rights, backing, verifiability, and insolvency resilience are robustly structured.

The vectors described do not operate in isolation. A rising gold price improves central bank balance sheets, facilitates policy reassessments, strengthens the appeal of gold-backed bonds, and increases interest in tokenized forms of gold. It is precisely these feedback loops that make remonetization not a single event, but a self-reinforcing process.

Remonetization is taking shape

We are by no means the only analysts pointing to the possible evolution of the monetary system. Zoltan Pozsar had already elevated the debate on a new world monetary order to a new level in 2022 with his article “Bretton Woods III,” against the backdrop of sanctions on Russian currency reserves. He concluded his remarks with the following forecast: “From the Bretton Woods era backed by gold bullion, to Bretton Woods II backed by inside money (Treasuries with unhedgeable confiscation risks), to Bretton Woods III backed by outside money (gold bullion and other commodities).”

There is no question in our minds that we are irrevocably on a journey toward a new global (monetary) order. It will require an internationally recognized anchor of confidence. For several reasons, gold appears to be predestined for this role:

  • Gold is neutral – it knows neither flag nor ideology and is thus free from geopolitical manipulation.

  • Gold has no counterparty risk – unlike any claim or digital account entry, it exists independently, without relying on the promise of a third party.

  • Gold is liquid – with a daily trading volume of around USD 330bn, it ranks among the world’s most liquid assets.

  • Gold cannot be multiplied at will – gold reserves have been growing steadily by around 1.8% per year for decades. This geologically determined supply discipline is the fundamental difference from any fiat currency.

The composition of global currency reserves shows how far remonetization has already progressed. For decades, US Treasury bonds formed the backbone of official portfolios. Since the global financial crisis, the trend has reversed: The share of US bonds held by foreign central banks is declining, while gold is gaining significantly again. Despite significant purchases, emerging markets still hold considerably less gold than Western institutions.

What Connects the Six Vectors: Feedback Loops

As different as these six vectors may seem, they share a common underlying structure. In every case, gold regains monetary significance precisely where the existing system relies on trust, the quality of collateral, or political neutrality. Gold is not becoming more relevant because it has been modernized. It is becoming more relevant because the weaknesses of the alternatives are becoming apparent.

Feedback instead of addition

The key point is that the vectors do not act in isolation but reinforce one another. The cycle reads like a self-reinforcing engine:

  • Accumulation (Vector V) and private demand (Vector II) drive the gold price.

  • A rising gold price improves central banks’ balance sheets (Vector III).

  • Improved balance sheets reduce political resistance to gold-backed bonds (Vector IV).

  • Gold-backed bonds legitimize gold as a reserve asset (Vector I).

  • A higher, legitimized gold price makes tokenized gold products more attractive (Vector VI).

  • Tokenization, in turn, increases demand – and closes the loop.

This positive feedback loop is the actual catalyst. Once a critical mass is reached, the process accelerates on its own. Remonetization is thus not a binary event but a gradual phase transition. It can begin with reserves, gain traction through private portfolios, become politically relevant through balance sheet logic, and open up new areas of application through technological innovations. Those waiting for one big bang will overlook the crucial point: Systemic turning points are not heralded by decrees but by changing practices.

An Overview of the Vectors

 

Arguments against the concept – and why we remain convinced

 

However, there are also factors that argue against the remonetization of gold. The following structural objections deserve serious consideration:

  • The cash flow argument: Gold generates no current income. As long as government bonds are considered risk-free, the institutional incentive remains limited. Counterargument: It is precisely this status that is eroding – see Vector III.

  • The systemic risk argument: An erratic rise in the price of gold would destabilize the debt-based monetary system. Political resistance to this stems not from a conspiracy but from rational politics of interest. Counterargument: An orderly process like the Eurosystem model is in any case more attractive to policymakers than market chaos – the question is not if uncontrolled, but when controlled.

  • The substitution argument: Gold could lose its collateral function to other assets, such as Bitcoin or tokenized commodities. Counterargument: Complementarity is more likely than substitution (see the Bitcoin discussion in Vector III).

What would have to happen for the remonetization thesis to fail? Three scenarios are conceivable:

  • Significant debt reduction through real economic growth or fiscal consolidation

  • Substantial geopolitical détente with the lifting of all sanctions and a return to multilateral cooperation

  • A technological breakthrough in CBDCs that renders gold obsolete as an anchor of trust

Each of these scenarios is possible on its own. However, it is extremely unlikely that they would occur in combination. Remonetization would fail only if several secular trends were to reverse simultaneously.

The burden of proof has shifted

The real flaw in the current debate lies in what is considered normal. Over half a century of fiat regimes has clouded historical memory: The unbacked paper money system is now regarded as the norm, while gold is seen as a relic. Historically speaking, it is exactly the opposite. The past 54 years are the anomaly, and 5,000 years of monetary history are the proper frame of reference.

The burden of proof, therefore, does not lie with those who consider a gradual remonetization plausible. It lies with those who claim that a historically unique fiat regime will be able to function permanently without resorting to monetary anchors.

Back to the monetary future – this is also the title of the 20th-anniversary edition of the In Gold We Trust report 2026. It is not a nostalgic throwback. It is the sober realization that the history of money is longer and more cyclical than a single political cycle. Gold is not returning because it romanticizes the present. It is returning because the present can no longer keep its promises.

The shadow gold price

Should gold return to the center of the monetary system, the question of price consequences inevitably arises. An exact valuation is, by nature, impossible, but analytical approximations at least give us an idea of possible orders of magnitude. The best-known concept is the so-called shadow gold price.

The shadow gold price refers to the theoretical gold price at which the base money supply would be fully backed by gold. In other words: The shadow gold price is the price level at which a return to a fully backed gold currency would be mathematically possible. We do not consider such 100% backing of M0, as is sometimes advocated, to be necessary; it would currently imply a gold price of USD 20,900 per ounce. During the era of the gold standard, the market forced central banks to maintain coverage ratios between one-third and one-half, which corresponds to a current gold price between USD 7,000 and USD 10,400 per ounce.

Let’s take it a step further and look at the global level. The international shadow gold price corresponds to the gold price that would result if the central bank gold reserves were to cover the money supplies of the leading currency areas – the US, the euro area, the UK, Switzerland, Japan, and China – weighted by their share of GDP. The result reveals the extent of monetary expansion: With 100% coverage of the broad money supply M2, the gold price would be just under USD 250,000; even at a moderate 25%, it would be over USD 60,000.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 – 14:30

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NYC Council Grapples With Debate Over Bill To Ban Horse-Drawn Carriages

NYC Council Grapples With Debate Over Bill To Ban Horse-Drawn Carriages

Authored by Nicholas Zifcak via The Epoch Times,

The family of Romanch Mahajan delivered emotional testimony over video link and in person on July 15, during a New York City Council hearing about a law that would phase out carriage horse rides in Central Park.

Tearful aunts and uncles of the deceased 18-year-old urged city council to outlaw the horse-drawn carriage rides and spare other families the grief they are still struggling to cope with.

The law, renamed in honor of the teen from India who died on June 17, would stop the city from issuing new licenses and over two years phase out the horse-drawn carriage rides through Central Park by June 1, 2028.

Majahan was thrown from a carriage after the horse spooked and bolted during a ride with his family on June 17 during their visit to New York. At the time the carriage driver had stepped down to take a photo of the Mahajan family in the carriage. City law requires carriage drivers to hold the reins of horses at all times.

Testimony from the family was followed by city officials, animal rights activists, and the union representing carriage drivers, TWU Local 100.

On Tuesday, New York City Council Speaker Julie Menin announced her support for the bill in a video on X, calling the teen’s death “heartbreaking and infuriating,” and preventable. She said it’s time “to begin the transition away from horse-drawn carriages. “

Multiple past attempts to end the horse-drawn carriage rides in Central Park have failed. The previous bill, Ryder’s law, introduced in 2022, was blocked by then-Speaker Adrienne Adams, according to former council member Bob Holden, who introduced the bill and attended Wednesday’s hearing to testify.

City Council members focused on how to help the 208 drivers navigate a career change and how to make sure horses are not sold for meat or end up pulling a carriage somewhere else.

Dr. Gabriel Cook, a veterinarian who was hired by carriage owners to look after the health of their horses, said the bill would be a death sentence for the horses. He said many horse retirement sanctuary facilities struggle financially and are not necessarily a better environment for the horses than their current stables.

Council Member James Gennaro of Queens berated city officials for lax enforcement of city law, demanding to know how many carriage medallions were revoked or suspended for violations in recent years.

“What have you done to enforce?” asked Gennaro when questioning Carlos Ortiz, the deputy commissioner at the city’s Department of Consumer and Worker Protection. Ortiz said there have been suspensions but could not provide exact numbers.

Gennaro favors reforming the industry and introduced a bill on June 11 that would require the city to study ways to improve safety for horses by such improvements as allowing pitching posts in the park to tie horses up and allowing them to start working at 7 a.m., when temperatures are cooler.

Ashley Byrne of People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (PETA), echoed Gennaro’s argument of “little to no enforcement from the city,” leading to the injury and death of a long list of horses over the past several decades.

Gennaro challenged Byrne in a heated exchange about what PETA has done for horses after the death in June of carriage horse Deniz, which TWU Local 100 has said died from eating poisonous Japanese yew that the Central Park Conservancy had planted within reach of the carriage route. Gennaro said he organized a campaign and reached out to the Conservancy.

“What have I done about a plant?” Byrne shot back at Gennaro as the audience jeered the council member. But Gennaro’s allotted time was up.

Speaking on the topic on July 14, Mayor Zohran Mamdani expressed concern that adequate assistance be provided to carriage drivers, who would be put out of work.

“We support the spirit of the bill,” Mamdani told reporters, speaking at an unrelated press conference on July 14 in Inwood, Manhattan.

He suggested that the council do more to make sure drivers and stable hands employed in the industry find new employment.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/16/2026 – 13:45

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Journal of Free Speech Law: “Policing Expressive Governance: A Framework for Judicial Review of Executive Viewpoint Retaliation,” by Simona Grossi

The article is here; here’s the Introduction:

The gravest contemporary threats to expressive freedom do not always take the form of statutes or criminal sanctions. Increasingly, they take the form of procurement decisions, grant terminations, security-clearance revocations, and regulatory designations—the discretionary instruments of executive administration. When the executive deploys these instruments to penalize disfavored viewpoints while preserving the appearance of ordinary governance, it engages in what I have elsewhere called expressive governance. This phenomenon is doctrinally elusive precisely because it operates in domains where courts have long, and for sound institutional reasons, extended substantial deference to executive judgment.

A recent dispute crystallizes the problem. After a leading artificial intelligence company publicly maintained that its models could not be deployed for use in autonomous lethal weapons or the mass surveillance of citizens, and declined contract terms that would have required otherwise, the government designated the company a “supply-chain risk to national security”—a classification historically reserved for foreign adversaries—and moved to foreclose its commercial relationships across the federal defense ecosystem. The designation was framed as a national security judgment. But the sequence of events, the named targeting, and the disproportion of the response suggest a different object: retaliation for protected expression, accomplished through an administrative label. One might resist this inference, reading the episode as the disciplining of a difficult counterparty rather than retaliation for a viewpoint. The framework developed here does not foreclose that reading — it is designed to test it. Part IV takes up the objection directly.

Building on work I have developed elsewhere, this essay shows how the existing First Amendment doctrine supplies the governing principles to address expressive governance but lacks an administrable method calibrated to the low-visibility, discretion-cloaked form the problem now assumes. It then proposes such a method: a framework of three interlocking tools—a clear-statement requirement, a burden-shifting rule, and an evidentiary presumption of systemic distortion where the executive targets expressive intermediaries. The framework neither invents a new tier of scrutiny nor relaxes the deference that executive administration ordinarily warrants. Rather, it allocates proof and construes authority so that genuine managerial decisions remain insulated while viewpoint retaliation cloaked in discretionary form becomes detectable.

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Trump Media’s Lawsuit Against Wash. Post Over “Trust Linked to Porn-Friendly Bank Could Gain a Stake in Trump’s Truth Social” Thrown Out

From Trump Media & Tech. Group Corp. v. WP Co. LLC, decided today by Judge Tom Barber (M.D. Fla.):

In 2023, Defendant WP Company LLC (the “Post”) published an article titled “Trust linked to porn-friendly bank could gain a stake in Trump’s Truth Social,” which reported on the finances of Trump Media Technology Group (“TMTG”). After almost three years of litigation, the Post has now admitted that portions of the article included false information. Specifically, the Post admits its story incorrectly stated that TMTG paid a $240,000 referral fee in connection with an $8 million loan from an entity known as ES Family Trust. The Post now admits that no such payment was made and recently chose to publish a “Correction” to that effect {“Discovery in the ongoing litigation has established that Trump Media didn’t pay a loan referral fee of $240,000, as was stated in the article and was based on The Post’s reporting at the time of publication.”}. TMTG contends in this defamation lawsuit that the statements about the referral fee were false and defamatory and seeks almost $2 billion in damages resulting from the publication.

However, under controlling United States Supreme Court and Eleventh Circuit precedent following New York Times Co. v. Sullivan (1964), a jury will not have the opportunity to decide this case. To survive summary judgment, TMTG must show more than just that the Post’s statements were false and defamatory.

Current law requires that TMTG also establish that the Post acted with “actual malice,” that is, TMTG must prove that, at the time the Post published the statements, the Post either actually knew the statements were false or had serious doubt as to whether they were true or false. Further, to prevail under current law, TMTG must establish actual malice by evidence that goes beyond the “preponderance of the evidence” necessary in the usual civil case and adduce evidence on this issue that is clear and convincing.

These standards are exceedingly difficult for any plaintiff to meet, and TMTG has not met them here. TMTG’s evidence establishes beyond any doubt whatsoever that the Post published false information—the Post has admitted that. Under the facts presented here, reasonable minds could certainly conclude the Post acted unreasonably and should have conducted a better investigation before making the challenged statements. But under controlling precedent, such a showing is not sufficient to establish actual malice by clear and convincing evidence. Accordingly, the Court is required to grant summary judgment for the Post….

The circumstantial evidence adduced by TMTG certainly supports a jury finding that the Post acted unreasonably and should have done a more thorough investigation into the alleged payment of the finder’s fee. But it falls short of providing a basis for a jury finding that the evidence clearly and convincingly shows that the Post knew the story was false or published it with reckless disregard of whether it was false, that is, with serious doubt as to whether the story was true or false or with a high degree of awareness that the story was probably false.

First, there is no evidence that the Post fabricated the story that TMTG paid a finder’s fee, nor is there anything inherently implausible or even extraordinary about the story itself.

Second, the Post did not rely on anonymous tips, rumors, or other manifestly unreliable sources as is sometimes the case. It relied on information received from Wilkerson, an insider in position to know the truth, who was willing to go on the record, and who was providing information not only to the Post but also to other newspapers and government officials. The Post also relied on information from Wilkerson’s lawyers, whom the Post understood to be providing information on behalf of Wilkerson. See id. (affirming dismissal of defamation complaint where the story was not based on an unverified anonymous phone call).

[Reporter Drew] Harwell’s declaration asserts that Wilkerson’s lawyers told him that TMTG paid the fee. His contemporaneous notes confirm that assertion, as does a recording of an interview session involving not only the lawyers but Wilkerson himself. TMTG does not dispute Harwell’s assertions. Although Wilkerson’s deposition testimony might be slightly inconsistent with Harwell’s declaration and raise an issue of fact as to whether Wilkerson himself actually told Harwell that TMTG paid the fee, Wilkerson does not deny that his lawyers did so.

TMTG argues that Wilkerson was an unreliable source because TMTG suspended and then fired Wilkerson, giving him a motive to fabricate the story in retaliation. As the Court has previously observed, an employee’s termination does not necessarily cast doubt on negative information the employee provides about an employer.

Further, it is undisputed that Wilkerson did not “blow the whistle” after he had been fired. He was fired for “blowing the whistle,” i.e., for providing information to the press. Harwell’s declaration explains that he assessed Wilkerson’s credibility and concluded based on past experience with Wilkerson that Wilkerson was reliable. No record evidence casts doubt on that assertion.

Third, the Post investigated the story by reviewing documents provided by Wilkerson and his lawyers, including a draft fee agreement and an invoice for the fee apparently from Entoro Securities. These documents are fully consistent with the assertion by Wilkerson’s lawyers that TMTG paid the fee although they do not directly confirm it. They certainly do not contradict it. Harwell can be faulted for not pressing to obtain final documents or additional confirmation, but there is no evidence that

anyone or any document told Harwell the fee had not been paid. In the absence of an obvious reason to doubt the story, Harwell’s failure to seek additional confirmation does not suggest that he actually doubted the fee had been paid and purposefully sought to avoid the truth.

Fourth, prior to publishing, and consistent with his usual practice, Harwell sent to TMTG and others what the Post refers to as “no surprises” emails. These are sent to provide the subjects of an article an overview of information that may be included in the article, to give the subjects notice and a chance to comment or provide additional information. Harwell reached out to a number of different sources that included TMTG itself, TMTG CEO Devin Nunes, TMTG co-founders Wes Moss and Andy Litinsky, DWAC CEO Patrick Orlando, Entoro partner James Row, and the SEC. None responded with any information.

TMTG criticizes Harwell’s “no surprises” email on the ground that it referred only to the fee agreement rather than to payment of the fee, but the email’s express reference to the fee agreement and to “Entoro’s referral fee” is not what one would expect if the Post were trying to avoid the truth about the fee. If, as TMTG claims, the payment, not the agreement, is the critical fact, the Post’s “no surprises” email could be expected to elicit an explanation from TMTG that, regardless of any agreement, the fee had not been paid. The notion that the reference to the fee agreement in the “no surprises” emails was intended to distract attention from the subject of payment of the fee is speculative and insufficient to create a genuine issue of fact.

TMTG also argues that the Post sought confirmation from sources that it expected would not respond. While government agencies might be expected to decline comment on ongoing cases or investigations, that is not true of the many other sources noted above to whom the Post reached out.

TMTG argues that actual malice is demonstrated by the fact that the Post learned within a few days after publication that its own sources lacked proof of payment but did not issue a correction. But the crucial inquiry for actual malice is the Post’s state of mind at the time of publication. Assuming the Post’s failure to correct the story immediately upon learning that Wilkerson had no knowledge that payment had been made is relevant at all to the Post’s knowledge and state of mind at the time of publication, any inference from these post-publication facts to actual malice at the time of publication is speculative at best.

TMTG further argues that actual malice can be inferred from Harwell telling Professor Ohlrogge, an expert at New York University Law School that he consulted while developing the story, about an agreement to pay the fee but failing to inform him that the document the Post relied on as evidence of the agreement was an unsigned draft. However, Harwell stated in his declaration that he sent a copy of the draft agreement to Ohlrogge, and in any event, telling Ohlrogge there was an agreement or payment is perfectly consistent with Harwell’s belief that there was an agreement and payment; it is hardly evidence that Harwell knew or doubted those things were true.

In short, a source who was in a position to know the truth and was not obviously unreliable told the Post that TMTG paid a finder’s fee for the ES Family Trust loan. The idea that TMTG would pay such a fee is not inherently implausible. The source provided the Post with documents consistent with the assertion of payment although not directly confirming it. No person or document contradicted what the Post had been told. The Post reached out prior to publication to numerous sources, but none provided contrary information….

Although it is rooted in the First Amendment, which was adopted in 1791, the law applicable here was essentially invented by the U.S. Supreme Court in 1964 when it decided New York Times v. Sullivan. “Since 1964, however, our Nation’s media landscape has shifted in ways few could have foreseen.” Numerous justices, judges, and commentators have suggested that the law in this area needs to be revisited….

This Court shares many of [these] concerns, and if it were deciding this case on a clean slate, the result might be different. If the law did not require “clear and convincing evidence” of actual malice, it is likely the Post’s motion for summary judgment would have been denied, and a jury would have had the opportunity to weigh in on this matter. However, “until the Supreme Court reconsiders Sullivan, we are bound by it[.]” As explained above, under controlling law, TMTG’s evidence is insufficient to support a finding of actual malice under the clear and convincing standard, and summary judgment for the Post is therefore required….

Last year, Judge Barber had allowed the case to go forward based on the allegations in the Complaint, denying the Post defendants’ motion to dismiss. But now that there has been discovery, the judge concluded that Trump Media hadn’t introduced enough evidence to withstand a motion for summary judgment.

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Todd Blanche Describes the Huge, Unprecedented Favors Granted by Trump’s IRS ‘Settlement’ as ‘Typical’


Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche | Illustration: Adani Samat | Photo: Mira Agron/Andrew Thomas /CNP/Picture Alliance/Consolidated News Photos/Newscom

President Donald Trump’s brazenly corrupt “settlement” of his lawsuit against the IRS included a jaw-dropping order in which Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche purported to shield him and his family from liability for tax violations and any other federal offenses they may have committed prior to May 19. During his confirmation hearing on Wednesday, Blanche, who is seeking Senate approval of his nomination as attorney general, repeatedly misrepresented the scope and nature of that sweeping immunity deal.

In response to questions from Sen. Richard Durbin (D–Ill.), Blanche preposterously claimed his promise of protection was “typical” of settlements between the IRS and taxpayers. “This type of settlement is done regularly,” he said. “When we enter into settlements like that, we do it with all kinds of people. It’s not just President Trump. It doesn’t make any of those individuals above the law.”

Blanche was referring to settlements of tax disputes. That comparison is inapt for several reasons.

First, Trump’s lawsuit, which was joined by two of his sons and the Trump Organization, did not involve a dispute about tax liability. It alleged damages caused by an IRS contractor’s illegal disclosure of the plaintiffs’ tax returns, an issue that has nothing to do with the question of whether they owe the IRS money.

Second, even in cases that do involve alleged tax violations, it is not “typical” for settlements to include a promise that the IRS will never pursue any other claims based on past returns. After Blanche revealed his order, former IRS Commissioner Daniel Werfel told the Associated Press he was not aware of any previous cases in which the IRS had agreed to “permanently forgo examination of previously filed tax returns for a specific person or business.”

Third, the IRS immunity in this case, which could save Trump more than $100 million in back taxes, interest, and penalties, not only covers the plaintiffs who filed the lawsuit. It also encompasses all “related or affiliated individuals…or parties.”

Fourth, Blanche’s order extends far beyond the IRS. It says “the United States” is “FOREVER BARRED and PRECLUDED” from pursuing “any and all claims” against Trump or his family regarding “any matters currently pending or that could be pending” before the IRS, the Treasury Department, or “other agencies or departments.” In other words, the order purports to shield Trump and his relatives from the penalties that ordinary Americans face when they run afoul of federal law.

That unprecedented relief resembles a preemptive self-pardon, except that it extends further, covering civil as well as criminal offenses. But according to Blanche, his order does not mean Trump and his family are “above the law.” In support of that conclusion, he noted that they are still liable for any future offenses they may commit (which is also true of pardon recipients). And despite the broad language of his order, Blanche flat-out denied that it goes beyond the IRS.

Sen. John Cornyn (R–Texas) noted that Blanche’s order “purports to apply” to “other agencies or departments.” He wondered whether it would bar “investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission or some other federal agency.”

“No,” Blanche said. “It binds only the IRS and, by extension, the Treasury.”

Cornyn disagreed. “I hear what you’re saying,” he replied, “but I certainly don’t read that in the agreement.”

Cornyn, whose résumé includes stints as a state judge, a justice on the Texas Supreme Court, and his state’s attorney general, probably knows a thing or two about parsing legal language. So do the 35 retired federal judges, including former 4th Circuit Judge Michael Luttig and several other Republican appointees, who objected to Trump’s “settlement agreement” and urged U.S. District Judge Kathleen Williams to reopen the case.

“The plain language of this extremely broad provision sweeps in [IRS] audits of Plaintiffs’ tax returns and all other claims the United States might have against Plaintiffs,” Luttig et al. noted in their May 27 motion (emphasis added). These are “extraordinary benefits for which no consideration was provided to the government,” they added. The former judges reiterated that point in a June 19 brief, saying Blanche’s order provides “monumental relief,” granting “a capacious and extraordinary general release that purports to forfeit claims for substantial sums in unpaid taxes and other potential damages and fines.”

According to Blanche, however, that “monumental relief” is business as usual at the Justice Department. “That’s the standard language that we use when we enter into settlements between plaintiffs and the IRS,” he told Cornyn. Blanche, in other words, wants us to believe that such settlements routinely include blanket immunity from investigations of past conduct by the IRS and all “other agencies or departments.”

Why would Blanche ask us to believe that? Because he is keen to show that the president did not receive special treatment in this case by virtue of his position. But he obviously did.

Trump and the other plaintiffs absurdly claimed that the unauthorized disclosure of their tax returns had caused “at least” $10 billion in damages. In addition to offering an unlikely estimate of the injury he had suffered, Trump missed the statutory deadline for filing such claims, meaning his lawsuit was legally doomed right out of the gate. Even if Trump had filed his lawsuit on time, he would have faced the challenge of arguing that an IRS contractor qualifies as an “officer or employee of the United States”—a point that the Justice Department has disputed in other cases involving similar claims.

Despite those legal weaknesses, the Justice Department never bothered to contest Trump’s claims, in sharp contrast with the way it usually handles such cases. That is not surprising, since the government’s lawyers answer to Trump. And in case there was any chance that they would nevertheless do their jobs, Trump foreclosed that possibility by decreeing that they could not take any legal positions at odds with his.

In a scathing decision on Monday, Williams concluded that the case was a sham from the beginning, since both sides were controlled by Trump. The plaintiffs and the defendants “worked in tandem and were never actually adverse,” she wrote. Trump’s lawsuit, she said, was nothing more than a pretext for “a ‘settlement’ that had no viable basis in law or fact.”

Not so, Blanche told Sen. Mike Lee (R–Utah) on Wednesday. “Was there any improper coordination of any kind between the Department of Justice and the Trump team as to this settlement?” Lee asked. “No, not at all,” Blanche replied.

That assurance is hard to square with Trump’s own description of this cozy arrangement, which he called “a settlement with myself.” It is also inconsistent with Blanche’s unilateral decision to nix the $1.8 billion “Anti-Weaponization Fund” that was a central feature of the original “settlement agreement.” If that arrangement were actually an agreement between adverse parties, Blanche would have had to obtain the plaintiffs’ written consent to the modification, which he did not do.

Blanche provided further evidence of collusion when he unilaterally issued his promise of immunity, which he presented as an addendum to the main agreement even though he was the only person who signed it. His conduct made it clear that he was simultaneously acting as the head of the Justice Department and Trump’s personal lawyer.

After eliciting Blanche’s improbable denial of collusion, Lee averred that the case was settled “based on an apology without any compensation being awarded, without the president receiving a penny.” Although that is obviously not true, since the IRS immunity is worth a lot of money to Trump, Blanche agreed with Lee’s characterization.

The “settlement” was “completely consistent with the Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 41, which absolutely allows what happened here to happen,” Blanche said. “It happens in hundreds, if not thousands, of cases around the country every year.”

In reality, nothing like this has ever happened before. No other similarly situated plaintiff has ever received benefits remotely like those that Blanche approved for his boss, which initially included $1.8 billion in taxpayer money for Trump’s allies and supporters as well as potential personal savings in the neighborhood of $100 million.

How does that compare to the settlements obtained by other plaintiffs who have sued the IRS under the same law that Trump invoked? Unlike Trump, billionaire hedge fund manager Kenneth Griffin, whose tax returns were leaked by the same IRS contractor, filed his lawsuit on time. Also unlike Trump, Griffin had to contend with Justice Department lawyers who were keen to pick apart his claims. After a year and a half of litigation, Griffin dropped his case in exchange for an apology from the IRS.

As Lee noted, Trump also got an apology. But he got a lot more than that: huge favors for himself, his family, and his supporters, all at taxpayers’ expense. According to Blanche, that was “typical,” and Trump’s status as president had nothing to do with it. If you can believe that, you can also believe that Blanche as attorney general would have the integrity required to pursue justice rather than the president’s personal interests.

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America Has a Huge Trade Surplus With Brazil. Trump Just Put 25 Percent Tariffs on Brazilian Goods Anyway.


Photo collage of Donald Trump, the Brazilian flag, and a container ship | AdMedia / MEGA / Newscom/JGLIT/Newscom/Envato

The Trump administration’s trade war with the world has been a haphazard, often chaotic affair, but if you had to identify a single, guiding principle for the administration’s actions, it would be balancing America’s trade deficits.

President Donald Trump has been talking about the trade deficit for years (even though he sometimes seems to confuse it with the federal budget deficit, which is a very different thing). During his second term, the president’s top trade officials have also stressed the trade deficit as a key metric by which to measure the effectiveness of Trump’s tariffs.

For example, when pressed by Rep. Brendan Boyle (D–Pa.) during a hearing last year on what results a successful tariff policy would produce, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said “the [trade] deficit needs to go in the right direction”—meaning that it needs to fall. More recently, Greer has talked about how “overproduction” in other countries “displaces existing U.S. domestic production” as a justification for Trump’s tariffs.

The short version of all this: Hiking taxes on imports is supposed to spur domestic production of all sorts of goods, and help America export more than it imports. Many economists might say the trade deficit isn’t really something worth worrying about, but the Trump administration’s view is quite clear. The White House wants America to export more, import less, and run trade surpluses rather than deficits.

But Trump’s latest tariff maneuver seemingly defies that logic.

On Wednesday, the White House announced a new 25 percent tariff on thousands of products imported from Brazil. The new tariffs are being imposed under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, and are effectively meant to replace the previous “emergency” tariffs on Brazilian goods that were struck down by the Supreme Court in February. In a statement, Greer said the tariffs were meant to counter “unfair trade practices.”

But if the guiding principle is reducing trade deficits, here’s an uncomfortable fact: America exports way more to Brazil than it imports from there.

“The U.S. goods trade surplus with Brazil was $14.4 billion in 2025, a 112.8 percent increase ($7.7 billion) over 2024,” according to Greer’s office. When services are included in the calculation, the trade surplus with Brazil grows by another $23 billion.

Last year was no aberration. Over the past 15 years, the U.S. has run a cumulative trade surplus with Brazil that totals more than $424 billion, according to a statement from Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

Trump administration officials have offered a variety of overlapping and competing justifications for the new tariffs in comments to The New York Times, including “inadequate policing of deforestation” and the fact that Brazilian courts had tried to order “U.S. social media companies to take down certain political content.”

Those might be real problems, but how will tariffs address them? Forcing American businesses and consumers to pay higher prices on imports from Brazil seems like an odd way to combat deforestation or stand up for free speech.

“These tariffs are a blunt tool with a weak connection between the practices at issue and the American companies that will bear the costs,” Dan Anthony, executive director of We Pay the Tariffs, a nonprofit coalition representing more than 1,200 American small businesses, said in a statement. “Businesses buying everyday products from Brazil will now pay new tariffs because of disputes over digital payment rules and other policies they have nothing to do with.”

For all the talk about trade deficits, the new tariffs once again reveal that there are no principles underpinning the Trump administration’s trade policies. The president will use any and every justification to slap new tariffs on foreign imports and leave Americans with the bill.

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