Pen-and-Paper Arithmetic Is Useful When You’re Selling Textiles

FabricOfCivilization

In 1479, a few months shy of his eleventh birthday, Niccolò Machiavelli left the school where he’d learned to read and write and went to study with a teacher named Piero Maria. The future author of The Prince spent the next twenty-two months mastering Hindu-Arabic numerals, arithmetical techniques, and a dizzying assortment of currency and measurement conversions. Mostly he did word problems like these:

If 8 braccia of cloth are worth 11 florins, what are 97 braccia worth?

20 braccia of cloth are worth 3 lire and 42 pounds of pepper are worth 5 lire. How much pepper is equal to 50 braccia of cloth?

One type of problem reflected the era’s shortage of currency. Goods that would sell for one price in coins cost a premium if the buyer paid with other goods. (These problems assume familiarity with trading conventions and therefore present ambiguities to the modern reader.)

Two men want to barter wool for cloth, that is, one has wool and the other has cloth. A canna of cloth is worth 5 lire and in barter it is offered at 6 lire. A hundredweight of wool is worth 32 lire. For what should it be offered in barter?

Two men want to barter wool and cloth. A canna of cloth is worth 6 lire and in barter it is valued at 8 lire. The hundredweight of wool is worth 25 lire and in barter it is offered at such a price that the man with the cloth finds he has earned 10 percent. At what price was the hundredweight of wool offered in barter?

Others were brain teasers dressed up in ostensibly realistic detail.

A merchant was across the sea with his companion and wanted to journey by sea. He came to the port in order to depart and found a ship on which he placed a load of 20 sacks of wool and the other brought a load of 24 sacks. The ship began its voyage and put to sea.

The master of the ship then said: “You must pay me the freight charge for this wool.” And the merchants said: “We don’t have any money, but take a sack of wool from each of us and sell it and pay yourself and give us back the surplus.” The master sold the sacks and paid himself and returned to the merchant who had 20 sacks 8 lire and to the merchant who had 24 sacks 6 lire. Tell me how much each sack sold for and how much freightage was charged to each of the two merchants?

Along with their famed humanist arts and letters, the mercantile cities of early modern Italy fostered a new form of education: schools known as botteghe d’abaco. The phrase literally means “abacus workshops,” but the instruction had nothing to do with counting beads or reckoning boards. To the contrary, a maestro d’abaco, also known as an abacist or abbachista, taught students to calculate with a pen and paper instead of moving counters on a board.

The schools took their misleading name from the Liber Abbaci, or Book of Calculation, published in 1202 by the great mathematician Leonardo of Pisa, better known as Fibonacci. Brought up in North Africa by his father, who represented Pisan merchants in the customs house at Bugia (now Béjaïa, Algeria), the young Leonardo learned how to calculate using the nine Hindu digits and the Arabic zero. He was hooked.

After honing his mathematical skill as he traveled throughout the Mediterranean, Fibonacci eventually returned to Pisa. There he published the book that enthusiastically introduced the number system we use today.

Fibonacci’s novel methods of pen-and-paper reckoning were ideal for Italian textile merchants, who wrote lots of letters and needed permanent account records. Beginning in Florence in the early fourteenth century, specialized teachers began teaching the new system and producing handbooks in the vernacular. Consistent sellers, the books served simultaneously as children’s textbooks, merchants’ reference tools, and, with their brain-teasing puzzles, recreational materials.

From the abacists’ classrooms, future merchants and artisans typically graduated to apprenticeships and work. But a grounding in commercial math was also common for those like Machiavelli, who were destined for higher education and a career of statesmanship and letters. In a society based on trade, cultural literacy included calculation.

As they drilled generations of children on how to convert hundredweights of wool into braccia of cloth or to allocate the profits from a business venture to its unequal investors, the abacists invented the multiplication and division techniques we still use today. They made small but important advances in algebra, a subject universities scorned as too mercantile, and devised solutions to common practical problems. On the side, they did consulting, mostly for construction projects. They were the first Europeans to make a living entirely from math.

In his seminal 1976 study of nearly 200 abacus manuscripts and books, historian of mathematics Warren Van Egmond emphasizes their practicality—a significant departure from the classical view of mathematics, inherited from the Greeks, as the study of abstract logic and ideal forms. The abacus books treat math as useful.

“When they study arith­metic,” he writes, “it is to learn how to figure prices, compute interest, and calculate profits; when they study geometry it is to learn how to measure buildings and calculate areas and distances; when they study astronomy it is to learn how to make a calendar or determine holidays.” Most of the price problems, he observes, concern textiles.

Compared to scholastic geometry, the abacus manuscripts, with their problems about trading cloth for pepper, are indeed down to earth. But they don’t scorn abstraction. Rather, they wed abstract expression to the physical world. The transition from physical counters to pen-and-ink numerals is in fact a movement toward abstraction. Symbols on a page represent bags of silver or bolts of cloth and the relationships between them.

Students learn to ask the question, How do I express this practical problem in numbers and unknowns? How do I better identify the world’s patterns—the flow of money in and out of a business, the relative values of cloth, fiber, and dyes, the advantages and disadvantages of barter over cash—by turning them into math? Mathematics, the abacists taught their pupils, can model the real world. It does not exist in a separate realm. It is useful knowledge.

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US Suffers Record Daily COVID Cases As Hospitalizations Pass 100K; Global Death Toll Tops 1.5MM: Live Updates

US Suffers Record Daily COVID Cases As Hospitalizations Pass 100K; Global Death Toll Tops 1.5MM: Live Updates

Tyler Durden

Thu, 12/03/2020 – 07:16

Summary:

  • LA imposes lockdown order
  • US daily deaths 2nd highest
  • US passes 200k cases/day
  • Hospitalizations top 100k
  • Global deaths top 1.5MM
  • California reports countrywide record for new cases
  • CDC director warns 450k deaths by Feb.
  • Eli Lilly secures more vials
  • Indonesia reports new record cases
  • India reports 35.5k new cases
  • China carrying out expectations of imported food
  • Aussie pharma regulator will review Pfizer vax in January
  • Tokyo sees 533 new infections
  • Merkel extends partial lockdown

* * *

As the world surpasses 1.5MM confirmed deaths due to the coronavirus, with many more probably left uncounted (though, to be sure, there has been plenty of disagreement about what constitutes a ‘COVID death’), the US has just reported record, or near record, numbers for new daily cases and deaths, while hospitalizations have topped 100k – yet another record high.

More than 200k new cases were reported across the US last night with New York, the Rust Belt and California driving the trend. The US also reported more than 2,700 deaths, the second-highest daily tally yet, according to the COVID-19 Tracking Project.

California reported more than 20k new cases overnight, the highest daily tally of any US state. Texas also reported more than 16k new cases, a new record for the Lone Star State.

While the one-day number for deaths is the highest since May 7th, Wednesday also marked the first time deaths in the US have surpassed 5k in a 2-day period.

As far as deaths are concerned, the Rust Belt is being particularly hard hit, and experts expect the daily death tolls to continue to climb: in Pennsylvania, the tally of deaths in the first two weeks of December is likely to total 1,315, up 333 from the previous 14 days. That would be the biggest acceleration in the US, according to the Reich Lab’s COVID-19 Forecast Hub.

Ohio deaths are on track to climb by 294 to 958 for the same period, while Michigan’s tally increased by 282 to 1,373, as the US approaches the 300k deaths mark (as of Thursday morning, 264,522 Americans have succumbed to the virus since the pandemic began).

Source: Bloomberg

LA Mayor Eric Garcetti imposed the toughest new lockdown in the country late Wednesday night, barring all gatherings of more than one family, and barring any non-essential workers from reporting to work.

CDC Director Dr. Robert Redfield warned Wednesday evening that COVID-19 is on track to be the worst health crisis in the history of the US, with 450k deaths expected by February.

“The reality is, December and January and February are going to be rough times, and I actually believe they’re going to be the most difficult time in the public health history of our nation, largely because of the stress it’s going to put on our public health system,” Dr. Robert Redfield said Wednesday at a U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation event.

Outside of the US, Iran just joined Poland, Colombia, Germany and a handful of other countries in seeing its confirmed COVID-19 cases finally top 1MM, with many more likely undiagnosed in the hard-hit home of the Islamic Revolution. The Iranian Health Ministry announced 13,922 new cases in the country of about 80MM, north of the seven-day average of 13,598. Deaths have fallen from a record high of 486 on Nov. 16 to 358 on Thursday. Some 49,348 people have so far died from the disease.

Here’s more COVID news from overnight and Thursday morning:

The US government paid Eli Lilly & Co. $812.5 million to secure an additional 650,000 vials of Covid-19 antibody treatment to be administered in December and January to non-hospitalized patients at the early stages of disease (Source: Bloomberg).

Australia’s New South Wales state recorded its first new case of the coronavirus in 25 days after a woman working at a quarantine hotel in Sydney tested positive (Source: Bloomberg).

Hospitalizations for Covid-19 in the U.S. increased by more than 1,000 a day at the end of November, data released Tuesday from the Department of Health and Human Services show. The number of inpatients jumped 9.6% to a record 96,668 on Dec. 1 from 88,167 on Nov. 23. California recorded a 38% surge over the eight-day period, with 8,171 coronavirus patients as of Tuesday (Source: Bloomberg).

Indonesia’s daily coronavirus cases cross the 8,000 mark for the first time to 8,369 new infections in the past 24 hours, up from 5,533 the day before. The country also reports 156 additional deaths. The totals have now reached 557,877 infections with 17,355 deaths (Source: Nikkei).

Finland’s government says it has agreed a national strategy for COVID-19 vaccinations, planning to give them to everyone and to begin with vaccinating selected health care staff from January (Source: Nikkei).

Tokyo reports 533 new infections, up from 500 a day earlier. The number of patients in serious condition in the capital declined by five to 54 (Source: Nikkei).

India reports 35,551 new cases in the last 24 hours — down from 36,604 the previous day and marking the 26th straight day of less than 50,000 infections — bringing the country’s total to 9.53 million. Fatalities jumped by 526 to 138,648 (Source: Nikkei).

China is carrying out sweeping inspections of food importers, supermarkets, e-commerce platforms and restaurants to prevent the spread of COVID-19 through imported products that must be kept constantly cold, the country’s market regulator says (Source: Nikkei).

Australia’s pharmaceutical regulator says it is on course to review Pfizer’s vaccine by January, with the country sticking to a March timetable to start giving shots (Source: Nikkei).

Chancellor Angela Merkel said Germany will extend its partial lockdown by three more weeks as the country struggles to regain control of the coronavirus spread (Source: Bloomberg).

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Good News About Gridlock

topicsfuture

The good news is, everybody lost in the 2020 election—at least a little bit. Donald Trump lost the White House, Democrats lost ground in the House, and the Senate remains in contention with the most likely outcome being Republican control and therefore divided government.

The most sought-after prize in politics is a mandate: a win so big that it justifies ramming through an ambitious political agenda. The idea of being in such a position is so alluring that politicians who just barely managed to eke out a victory—or parties that are barely clinging to a majority—will sometimes still try to claim a mandate. It was a thorn in Trump’s side that he lost the popular vote so spectacularly while winning the presidency in 2016, for instance, because it made claiming widespread popular support that much less plausible.

But divided government makes it difficult to posture in this particular way, and that’s likely to be a good thing for fans of limited government and fiscal discipline during a Joe Biden administration. It’s much harder to go big when you are constantly at risk of being told to go home.

Single party control typically comes with a big price tag, regardless of the party in control. In Trump’s first term, spending went up about 10 percent, according to data from the Office of Management and Budget. Under George W. Bush, that number was 24 percent. Both men enjoyed Republican majorities in Congress for much of their presidencies.

Under Bill Clinton, however, when government was largely divided, spending increased only 3 percent. And during the presidency of Barack Obama it fell 10 percent. This was not because those Democratic presidents were deeply committed to cutting spending—far from it, though previous generations of Democrats were warmer to the idea of fiscal restraint than the current generation.

The same is true, of course, of previous generations of Republicans. Under past administrations, Republicans were well established (rhetorically, if little else) as fiscal hawks. But they have in recent years largely abandoned that banner, choosing to downplay concerns about the long-term consequences of budget imbalances when those imbalances were brought about by spending on GOP priorities, such as defense and tax cuts, with no offsetting spending reductions. The real question is whether the dynamic of gridlock as a check on the growth of spending still holds in a country where the orthodoxy about debt and deficits has shifted.

As we saw during the confirmation battle over Amy Coney Barrett’s nomination to the Supreme Court, leading congressional Republicans do not mind a little hypocrisy in the service of higher goals. So it may be that Republicans snatch up the flag of fiscal conservatism once again, brush off the mud, and pretend as if they haven’t been trampling on it for years.

Another significant difference from the last time there was divided government is the increasing abdication of congressional responsibility in favor of executive power. Gridlock may well exacerbate this already established tendency of presidents to take recourse to executive fiat when the legislative or confirmation process stalls. Biden has made clear that he will reverse several of Trump’s signature executive orders on his first days in office. Given his positions on a path to citizenship for people covered by the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program as well as spending on a border wall and the treatment of asylum seekers, it will become alarmingly traditional for U.S. immigration policy to swing wildly every time power changes hands—a bad thing for Americans and would-be Americans alike.

The same is true of trade policy and foreign policy, where presidents have significant latitude. Wars are expensive—both hot wars and trade wars. Biden didn’t run on either kind of bellicosity, though presidents have a way of coming to terms with debt and deaths after assuming power.

At the same time, some of the most alarming and highest-variance outcomes threatened by Democrats are now unlikely to occur. Court packing will be all but impossible under divided government, for example. Making and implementing massive climate change accords will prove difficult, especially if Republicans do indeed retain control of the Senate and its treaty-approving powers. Biden has already made clear that his agenda for health care reform is less radical than that of much of his party, but the possibilities there will be limited by a lack of congressional cooperation as well.

Gridlock is not the same thing as a libertarian moment. Gummed-up works are a consolation prize when there is so much urgent policy work to be done, including economic deregulation, dismantling of the barriers to free movement of people and goods, spending cuts, criminal justice reform, and more.

The election results did yield some encouraging signs for personal freedom, however. When Americans were asked in their polling places about specific individual freedoms, they chose “leave people alone” in large numbers. Faced with an unusually interesting slate of referenda, voters consistently selected the libertarian option without much fuss. Drug legalization and decriminalization ran the table, with all eight initiatives winning. Affirmative action will not be brought back in California college admissions and government hiring. Uber and Lyft do not have to reclassify their drivers as employees in the Golden State. In Massachusetts, voters approved a “right-to-repair” measure that protects property rights. The list goes on and on.

The Libertarian Party (L.P.) also put in a respectable showing, with its second-best national result ever. The party did well enough in several states to cover the spread between the major party candidates. While this, inevitably, will occasion claims that the L.P. played spoiler, there’s always the hope that instead of angrily demanding fealty from Libertarian supporters, one of the major parties will take the concerns of that largely untapped well of voters and potential voters into account and attempt to appeal to them more systematically in the next election cycle.

Another way to interpret the results is that on a deeper level nothing changed. The country is divided. We knew that before Election Day. Watching day after day of vote counting where totals wavered back and forth over the line of a bare majority drove that fact home more viscerally than ever. It’s pretty much exactly about 50/50 out there, folks. That’s how our parties are built. We’ll have a couple of years in which this particular variation of partisan control in Washington constrains political actors in certain ways, until another election slightly tweaks the balance of power again and we start over—while leaving nearly every incumbent in place and the options for dissatisfied voters almost completely unchanged.

In general, if people are dancing in the streets after an election, it’s a bad sign. It shows that the stakes of politics are too high, that people think too little of the other side (or too highly of their guy), and that voters have overvalued a single race at the top of the ticket. The slow burn of this cycle’s results tempered the feelings of both victory and defeat. Gridlock isn’t anyone’s first choice—not even libertarians’—but everyone losing a little is likely the best case for the next couple of years. Sore winners beget sorer losers, though, and since we have to do this again quite soon it behooves everyone to think about what it will be like when you are, as you inevitably will be, on the other side again.

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LA Imposes Toughest Lockdown Yet To Avoid “Devastating Tipping Point” As COVID Hospitalizations Soar

LA Imposes Toughest Lockdown Yet To Avoid “Devastating Tipping Point” As COVID Hospitalizations Soar

Tyler Durden

Thu, 12/03/2020 – 06:18

Echoing the situation back in March when California was the first state to issue a ‘stay at home’ order, the Mayor of Los Angeles late last night ordered Angelenos to stay home, warning that the city is approaching a “devastating tipping point” as the US and the state of California see unprecedented numbers of new cases, deaths and hospitalizations.

“Our City is now close to a devastating tipping point, beyond which the number of hospitalized patients would start to overwhelm our hospital system, in turn risking needless suffering and death,” Mayor Eric Garcetti said late on Wednesday. “We must minimize contact with others as much as possible,” he added.

The order, which supersedes another order from June, is without a doubt the most restrictive in effect in the US right now: it prohibits public and private gatherings of people from more than one household, and requires all businesses in the city that require people to work on location must stop operations. Walking, driving, travel on public transport, bikes, motorcycles and scooters are prohibited, except – of course – for all ‘essential’ activities.

There are several exemptions: faith-based outdoor services and programs for the homeless will continue. Supermarkets, grocery stores and health-care operations can also continue to operate. But gyms, retailers and pretty much every other in-person activity will now be legally prohibited in the City of Angels. The city’s safety protocols on social distancing follow those developed by Los Angeles County, Garcetti said. On the exercise front, activities such as golf, tennis and pickleball will still be permitted, according to the order.

Anyone over the age of 16 traveling into the city must complete an online form upon arrival acknowledging they’ve read, and understand, a California travel advisory.

Failure to fill out and submit the form is punishable by a fine of up to $500.

Read the full order below:

20201202 Mayor Public Order Targeted SAH Order_1 by Zerohedge on Scribd

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Good News About Gridlock

topicsfuture

The good news is, everybody lost in the 2020 election—at least a little bit. Donald Trump lost the White House, Democrats lost ground in the House, and the Senate remains in contention with the most likely outcome being Republican control and therefore divided government.

The most sought-after prize in politics is a mandate: a win so big that it justifies ramming through an ambitious political agenda. The idea of being in such a position is so alluring that politicians who just barely managed to eke out a victory—or parties that are barely clinging to a majority—will sometimes still try to claim a mandate. It was a thorn in Trump’s side that he lost the popular vote so spectacularly while winning the presidency in 2016, for instance, because it made claiming widespread popular support that much less plausible.

But divided government makes it difficult to posture in this particular way, and that’s likely to be a good thing for fans of limited government and fiscal discipline during a Joe Biden administration. It’s much harder to go big when you are constantly at risk of being told to go home.

Single party control typically comes with a big price tag, regardless of the party in control. In Trump’s first term, spending went up about 10 percent, according to data from the Office of Management and Budget. Under George W. Bush, that number was 24 percent. Both men enjoyed Republican majorities in Congress for much of their presidencies.

Under Bill Clinton, however, when government was largely divided, spending increased only 3 percent. And during the presidency of Barack Obama it fell 10 percent. This was not because those Democratic presidents were deeply committed to cutting spending—far from it, though previous generations of Democrats were warmer to the idea of fiscal restraint than the current generation.

The same is true, of course, of previous generations of Republicans. Under past administrations, Republicans were well established (rhetorically, if little else) as fiscal hawks. But they have in recent years largely abandoned that banner, choosing to downplay concerns about the long-term consequences of budget imbalances when those imbalances were brought about by spending on GOP priorities, such as defense and tax cuts, with no offsetting spending reductions. The real question is whether the dynamic of gridlock as a check on the growth of spending still holds in a country where the orthodoxy about debt and deficits has shifted.

As we saw during the confirmation battle over Amy Coney Barrett’s nomination to the Supreme Court, leading congressional Republicans do not mind a little hypocrisy in the service of higher goals. So it may be that Republicans snatch up the flag of fiscal conservatism once again, brush off the mud, and pretend as if they haven’t been trampling on it for years.

Another significant difference from the last time there was divided government is the increasing abdication of congressional responsibility in favor of executive power. Gridlock may well exacerbate this already established tendency of presidents to take recourse to executive fiat when the legislative or confirmation process stalls. Biden has made clear that he will reverse several of Trump’s signature executive orders on his first days in office. Given his positions on a path to citizenship for people covered by the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program as well as spending on a border wall and the treatment of asylum seekers, it will become alarmingly traditional for U.S. immigration policy to swing wildly every time power changes hands—a bad thing for Americans and would-be Americans alike.

The same is true of trade policy and foreign policy, where presidents have significant latitude. Wars are expensive—both hot wars and trade wars. Biden didn’t run on either kind of bellicosity, though presidents have a way of coming to terms with debt and deaths after assuming power.

At the same time, some of the most alarming and highest-variance outcomes threatened by Democrats are now unlikely to occur. Court packing will be all but impossible under divided government, for example. Making and implementing massive climate change accords will prove difficult, especially if Republicans do indeed retain control of the Senate and its treaty-approving powers. Biden has already made clear that his agenda for health care reform is less radical than that of much of his party, but the possibilities there will be limited by a lack of congressional cooperation as well.

Gridlock is not the same thing as a libertarian moment. Gummed-up works are a consolation prize when there is so much urgent policy work to be done, including economic deregulation, dismantling of the barriers to free movement of people and goods, spending cuts, criminal justice reform, and more.

The election results did yield some encouraging signs for personal freedom, however. When Americans were asked in their polling places about specific individual freedoms, they chose “leave people alone” in large numbers. Faced with an unusually interesting slate of referenda, voters consistently selected the libertarian option without much fuss. Drug legalization and decriminalization ran the table, with all eight initiatives winning. Affirmative action will not be brought back in California college admissions and government hiring. Uber and Lyft do not have to reclassify their drivers as employees in the Golden State. In Massachusetts, voters approved a “right-to-repair” measure that protects property rights. The list goes on and on.

The Libertarian Party (L.P.) also put in a respectable showing, with its second-best national result ever. The party did well enough in several states to cover the spread between the major party candidates. While this, inevitably, will occasion claims that the L.P. played spoiler, there’s always the hope that instead of angrily demanding fealty from Libertarian supporters, one of the major parties will take the concerns of that largely untapped well of voters and potential voters into account and attempt to appeal to them more systematically in the next election cycle.

Another way to interpret the results is that on a deeper level nothing changed. The country is divided. We knew that before Election Day. Watching day after day of vote counting where totals wavered back and forth over the line of a bare majority drove that fact home more viscerally than ever. It’s pretty much exactly about 50/50 out there, folks. That’s how our parties are built. We’ll have a couple of years in which this particular variation of partisan control in Washington constrains political actors in certain ways, until another election slightly tweaks the balance of power again and we start over—while leaving nearly every incumbent in place and the options for dissatisfied voters almost completely unchanged.

In general, if people are dancing in the streets after an election, it’s a bad sign. It shows that the stakes of politics are too high, that people think too little of the other side (or too highly of their guy), and that voters have overvalued a single race at the top of the ticket. The slow burn of this cycle’s results tempered the feelings of both victory and defeat. Gridlock isn’t anyone’s first choice—not even libertarians’—but everyone losing a little is likely the best case for the next couple of years. Sore winners beget sorer losers, though, and since we have to do this again quite soon it behooves everyone to think about what it will be like when you are, as you inevitably will be, on the other side again.

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Labor Department’s Jobless Claims Have Been “Consistently” Inaccurate, Government Watchdog Says

Labor Department’s Jobless Claims Have Been “Consistently” Inaccurate, Government Watchdog Says

Tyler Durden

Thu, 12/03/2020 – 05:45

In news that should stun no one, the Government Accountability Office has found that the Labor Department has “consistently” provided inaccurate information on the state of the labor market. The GAO also found that millions of workers were underpaid by government assistance during the pandemic. 

The Labor Department’s weekly jobless claims reports have produced “flawed estimates of the number of individuals receiving benefits each week throughout the pandemic,” the GAO said, according to the Wall Street Journal. The GAO said they “didn’t know the full extent of the errors”.

At the same time, they also found that “a program created by Congress to provide jobless benefits to workers who are normally not eligible for them has underpaid recipients in most states.” The average weekly payout for the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance – used to help gig workers – was under the poverty line in 70% of states, the report noted.

This, of course, was happening at the same time government subsidies and non-existent capital market regulation have helped Elon Musk add $100 billion to his net worth this year. 

The GAO report stated: “The majority of states have been paying PUA claimants the minimum allowable benefit instead of the amount they are eligible for based on prior earnings.”

Thomas Costa, acting director of the GAO’s education, workforce and income-security team, told the Journal that he didn’t have estimates of exactly how inaccurate the Labor Department’s data was. The GAO blamed inconsistent reporting for the poor data. State unemployment offices – where the Labor Department data originates – have been backlogged with applications for months. 

In California, for instance, the state unemployment office reported a backlog of nearly 600,000 individuals who had applied for benefits as of Sept. 16 whose claims hadn’t been processed for more than 21 days.

PUA data collection has also been sporadic, The Journal notes:

Arizona reported no PUA data in the week ending July 4, 2020, after reporting 2.3 million claims in the previous week. As a result, the Labor Department reported—likely inaccurately—that the number of claims in all programs during the week ending July 4 fell by about 200,000, the GAO said.

The GAO has also said that unemployment fraud has skewed the numbers. The inaccuracies come at a time when Labor Department numbers are under intense scrutiny to gauge the country’s recovery from the pandemic. 

A spokesperson for the Labor Department responded: “States count and report the compensable weeks claimed; typically this closely approximates the number of individuals filing initial or continued claims. However, given the unique challenges of the Covid virus, multiple weeks of retroactivity in the new Cares Act UI programs, and the states’ large backlogs across all programs, this approximation was less accurate than before.”

The Department says it is working “to revise the weekly news release to clarify the numbers do not represent unique individuals filing claims, and to pursue options to secure state reports of the unique number of individuals filing claims.”

The PUA and an unemployment insurance extension are set to expire at the end of December. Talks about extending relief continue to be slow going and arduous. About 9.1 million people collected benefits under the PUA during the first week of November.

“Without an accurate accounting of the number of individuals who are relying on [unemployment insurance] and PUA benefits in as close to real-time as possible, policy makers may be challenged to respond to the crisis at hand,” the GAO concluded.

Now imagine if the Government Accountability Office ever looks into how CPI numbers are calculated…

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Welsh Government Says People Will Get ID Cards To Prove They’ve Been Vaccinated

Welsh Government Says People Will Get ID Cards To Prove They’ve Been Vaccinated

Tyler Durden

Thu, 12/03/2020 – 05:00

Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Summit News,

The Welsh government has announced that people who take the COVID vaccine will get immunisation ID cards, raising the prospect that people could need to prove they’ve taken the shot before being allowed to enter venues.

“Wales’ Health Minister Vaughan Gething confirmed on Wednesday that people there will receive a credit-card sized immunisation card which states the type of vaccine and the date it was administered,” reports the Daily Mirror.

“Those receiving a Covid-19 vaccination will be given a credit card-sized NHS Wales immunisation card which will have the vaccine name, date of immunisation and batch number of each of the doses given handwritten on them,” said Gething.

“These will act as a reminder for a second dose and for the type of vaccine, and it will also give information about how to report side effects,” he added.

As we previously highlighted, UK vaccine minister Nadhim Zahawi also suggested that bars, restaurants, sports stadiums and cinemas would soon demand to see proof of vaccination before allowing customers to enter.

Several airlines have also indicated that they won’t allow passengers to board planes, particularly for long haul flights, if they cannot prove they are immunised against coronavirus.

By placing the onus on companies and service providers to demand proof of inoculation, governments can claim they are not mandating the vaccine.

However, given that travel and any kind of normal social life would be virtually impossible without getting the shot, people who refuse to do so will basically be under a de facto permanent lockdown.

*  *  *

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Brickbat: Dressed for Success

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The ACLU of Indiana has filed a lawsuit claiming that Manchester High School violated the First Amendment rights of Dondre Eades. Eades, a junior, wore a shirt to school that read “I hope I don’t get killed today for being black” to protest what he believes is systemic racism. He says administrators told him to remove the shirt. When he refused, they removed him from school for the day, and his mother came to pick him up. The ACLU says the shirt did not violate the school handbook, and students have worn shirts with other political messages on them. “We encourage student expression on social issues in a manner that promotes positive conversation and better understanding,” the school system said in a statement. “Any such expression that threatens to disrupt or distract other students must be addressed to ensure the safe operation of the school.”

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