You Won’t Believe Where A $450 Million DaVinci Painting “Vanished” To

Da Vinci’s Salvator Mundi – the $450 million painting we wrote about back in April that had “vanished into thin air” – has finally re-surfaced – and you won’t believe where. 

According to Kenny Schachter at artnet news, the painting is not only floating somewhere out at sea, but also may not be worth anywhere near the $450 million it last sold for, as it may not have even been painted by DaVinci himself. 

A new book on the topic, “The Last Leonardo” reveals that the Salvator Mundi was likely painted by Leonardo’s studio, then possibly touched up by the master before it was brought to market. In other words, it may not be an actual DaVinci. 

And who is the bagholder? None other than Saudi Prince Mohammad Bin Salman. 

In fact, the claim that the painting was “previously in the collections of three kings of England”, used by a previous auctioneer of the painting, was also disputed in the book. This, however, didn’t stop what is being called a “cartoonish” and “foolish” bid for the painting of $450 million, said to have been placed by an intermediary to Mohammad Bin Salman.

The painting was then gifted to Prince Mohammed bin Zayed of Abu Dhabi, to be displayed at his local Louvre branch, before the painting was pulled from that planned showing, alongside of a planned showing at Paris’ Louvre. 

It was then reported in late May that the Louvre wanted to attribute the painting to “the workshop of Leonardo da Vinci,” instead of to the artist himself. In early June, the Metropolitan Museum of Art’s Carmen Bambach stated that the work was mostly painted by “Leonardo’s assistant, Giovanni Antonio Boltraffio.”

Back in November 2017, we reported that the Mundi was driving the art world crazy because no one could verify its authenticity.

Which is why when the Louvre Abu Dhabi cancelled their showing in April 2019, it caught the eye of art world yet again. Not only that, but the museum’s culture department deflected questions at the time, with workers stating they did “not know where the painting [was]” according to Inquisitr.

Now, the painting is reportedly on Mohammad Bin Salman’s yacht, the Serene. The yacht was originally built in 2011 for the Russian vodka tycoon Yuri Shefler and then rented to Bill Gates for $5 million per week, before making its way to MBS by way of a reported 500 million Euro offer. It seems that MBS just can’t stop shelling out $500 million for things. 

According to Schachter, the art will “remain onboard until MBS finishes transforming the ancient Saudi precinct of Al-Ula into a vast cultural hub—basically an art Disneyland—that will no doubt compete with Abu Dhabi’s Louvre”. 

But the question is, given its attribution, will anyone want to see it?

The Abu Dhabi arrangement to show the painting was cloaked in mystery: nobody knew how the agreement was arranged, leading many to believe at the time that it was indeed Crown Prince Mohammed that bought it. Some speculated at the time that the painting purchase may have simply been a relatively easy way to launder half a billion dollars.

Prior to Schachter’s recent article, the last known stop for the painting was Zurich, when it was inspected by an insurance company before being shipped to “an unknown location” that we now know is floating at sea somewhere. 

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2KAvZWy Tyler Durden

Seismologist Warns “People Ought To Be Concerned” About SoCal Quake Swarm

Authored by Mac Slavo via SHTFplan.com,

A seismologist working on researching the recent earthquakes in Southern California said they have taken an unexpected turn, and that’s a reason to worry.  Caltech seismologist Egill Hauksson says residents should be alert and on their toes.

“People ought to be concerned,” said Hauksson of the earthquake swarm near the city of Fontana, California.

“This is probably the most prolific swarm in that area of the Fontana seismic zone that we’ve seen in the past three decades.”

This swarm of earthquakes has shown remarkable staying power in the area around the Southern California city, according to the LA Times.

The likelihood of a larger seismic event, given how many quakes that have occurred over such an extended period, is higher than normal, Hauksson said. The tremors could turn into a large and destructive quake, although the chances of that aren’t exactly sky high. For all intents and purposes, Hauksson has been rather vague on whether this will be a sizeable and destructive event.

“This is somewhat of an unexpected evolution,” Hauksson said Friday evening. An analysis of the earthquakes showed that activity as of late Friday was fading pretty slowly. Much slower than would be expected for a typical sequence of aftershocks following the main shock, Hauksson said. 

“That would suggest it’s going to continue for — I don’t know — at least several weeks,” Hauksson said Friday. “We’re watching what’s happening and trying to track that activity.”

By Saturday afternoon, earthquake activity had decreased significantly. “This is difficult to interpret, but it suggests that the sequence is now decaying somewhat similar to an aftershock sequence,” Hauksson said. “There will be fewer and fewer events as time goes on.”

Hauksson said the timing of the earthquakes is worth noting, however. The shaking was followed by a lull and then a spurt of new quakes and the earthquakes have been relatively shallow beginning just 1 to 2½ miles under the surface. As a result, the shaking has been widely felt, said Jen Andrews, a Caltech staff seismologist.

Hauksson said that, given all the seismic activity, residents should be ready and make sure to store “plenty of water, make sure there’s nothing that can fall on them.” Residents should be prepared because seismic swarms can be worrying, especially when they occur in areas known to have larger faults that are capable of unleashing catastrophic earthquakes.

Residents in the Fontana area said there is talk about how industrial wastewater ponds built in the last several years off of Jurupa and Beech avenues were drained recently, right around the time the quakes began.

Hauksson said there could be a connection if the pond water was pumped into the ground to a significant depth of at least 0.6 miles. But if the water was trucked away, he would not expect a relationship.

“This will require more research,” he said. It’s already been shown in Oklahoma that earthquakes can be triggered by water being pumped into the ground. –LA Times

Hopefully, even if no large quake occurs, the information will at least prompt some residents to prepare.  In the even of a massive earthquake, mass migration away from the area will likely occur too. Be prepared for anything.

“If we have learned one thing studying the history of disasters, it is this: those who are prepared have a better chance at survival than those who are not.” –Tess Pennington, The Prepper’s Blueprint

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2EWDrHV Tyler Durden

Does Letting Witness Testify Wearing Partial Veil Violate the Confrontation Clause?

From Friday’s nonprecedential decision in People v. Ketchens (Cal. Ct. App.), an appeal by defendants who had been convicted of voluntary manslaughter and weapons charges, the facts:

Defendants contend that their rights under the Sixth Amendment’s confrontation clause were violated when the court allowed [Salome] Stephenson to testify while wearing a head scarf covering part of her face….

When Stephenson appeared in court to testify during trial, she wore a garment the court described as a white “scarf that cover[ed] her entire face”; her right eye was “visible slightly, a portion of her nose, and a little bit of her left eye; otherwise, her head and face [were] fully covered.” … Outside the presence of the jury, the court asked Stephenson why she was wearing “a head garment.” Stephenson responded, “I’m Muslim.” The court then inquired, “Is that part of the Muslim faith that requires you to have the head scarf in the manner that you have [it]?” Stephenson answered, “Yes.”

The court then allowed the prosecutor to begin his direct examination of Stephenson without instructing Stephenson to remove her scarf. After approximately 10 minutes of questioning, the court recessed for the day and informed counsel that it would “take up the issue of the witness and the head scarf ” the next morning.

The next day, the court described Stephenson’s head scarf more fully as follows: “It covers her face and head with the exception of her [face] from her hairline down to her right cheek. Her right eye is visible and her side of her nose is visible at times. It otherwise covers her lower jaw area on the right side, her mouth, and it covers almost the entire left side of her face. It’s tight against her face. You can see clearly the outline of her face when she talks, her lips. She is speaking clearly under questioning by counsel. Her body language is apparent to the jurors. I’ll describe her dress as no different as if a male had a full face beard with the exception that you would not be able to see her left eye and her nose in the manner in which she currently appears.”

The court stated that it had considered the authorities that counsel had submitted on the confrontation clause question, then informed counsel of its tentative ruling to allow Stephenson to testify while wearing the head scarf. The court explained: “The court finds that on balance, recognizing the important interests in this case as discussed is the religious protection and freedom of the witness in this case. I have no reason to inquire further or allow further inquiry when she states that her appearance in court today is because of a religious reason. It’s not for this court to question as to whether her interest is genuine or not. I accept her representations that she is wearing the head scarf for religious purposes in court….

“I recognize that there is an intrusion with the right to confrontation. The jurors, counsel can[ ]not see the entirety of the witness’s face in the manner in which I’ve described. However, the intrusion and interference with the right to confrontation is a minimal intrusion. The jurors are quite clearly able to hear her voice, see her facial expressions even through the head scarf …. [T]he head scarf that was worn yesterday was tightly worn against the face where you could see the outline of her lips when her mouth was opening, the expression of her face to some extent. Her body language is clear and apparent to the jurors. And while I recognize that there’s probably two-thirds of her face that’s not visible, I do find that on balance, the interest of the religious freedom and rights of the … witness in this case as compared to the rights of confrontation as to both defendants are minimally diminished by the appearance of the witness in court today.” …

[But t]he court and Stephenson then engaged in the following colloquy outside the presence of the jury:

“The court: Ms. Stephenson, yesterday we had a brief conversation in regards to your head dress and head scarf. Today you have both eyes exposed. Your nose is not exposed. The manner in which you’re wearing your head scarf, are you able to move and expose any more of your face?

“[Stephenson]: If you need to see my nose, that’s fine.

“The court: And is there any religious reason as to why you can’t expose the remainder of your face?

“[Stephenson]: It’s to protect my beauty.

“The court: Okay. So the witness has pulled down the head scarf. Her nose is exposed, both eyes are exposed.” The court added that, with “the benefit of watching her testimony for about [10] minutes yesterday,” it believed that the manner in which Stephenson wore the scarf caused “a minimal negligible intrusion upon the Sixth Amendment right to confrontation.” The court then adopted its tentative ruling and the prosecutor resumed his examination of Stephenson. During the ensuing colloquy, Stephenson reiterated each of the substantive points she testified to the day before….

And the Court of Appeal’s legal analysis:

The Sixth Amendment provides the accused in a criminal prosecution with “the right … to be confronted with the witnesses against him.” This right … “‘provides two types of protections for a criminal defendant: [T]he right physically to face those who testify against him [or her], and the right to conduct cross-examination.'”

The right to a face-to-face meeting between accused and accuser follows from the confrontation clause’s “primary object”: “to prevent depositions or ex parte affidavits, such as were sometimes admitted in civil cases, being used against the prisoner in lieu of a personal examination and cross-examination of the witness in which the accused has an opportunity, not only of testing the recollection and sifting the conscience of the witness, but of compelling him to stand face to face with the jury in order that they may look at him, and judge by his demeanor upon the stand and the manner in which he gives his testimony whether he is worthy of belief.”

As this statement indicates, the face-to-face encounter implicit in the confrontation clause is not only between accuser and accused, but between accuser and jury. That encounter enables the jurors “‘to obtain the elusive and incommunicable evidence of a witness'[s] deportment while testifying'”; an ability, our Supreme Court has explained, that is “as important a component of the right of confrontation as the defendant’s opportunity to cross-examine the adverse witness.”

The ability of the defendant and counsel to observe the witness’s demeanor may also be critical for cross-examination. During cross-examination, counsel may, for example, notice that the witness appears comfortable or uncomfortable, hesitant or confident, indifferent or nervous; and such observations may “guide counsel in prodding, cajoling, and prying information from the witness to the benefit of the accused.”

Apart from the opportunity for jurors, defendants, and counsel to evaluate the witness’s demeanor, face-to-face confrontation also “enhances the accuracy of fact[ ]finding” because of its effect upon the witness. “It is always more difficult,” the high court has explained, “to tell a lie about a person ‘to his face’ than ‘behind his back.'”

Lastly, the requirement that prosecution witnesses testify face-to-face serves a “symbolic purpose.” There is, the high court has explained, “something deep in human nature that regards face-to-face confrontation between accused and accuser as ‘essential to a fair trial in a criminal prosecution.'” These “human feelings of what is necessary for fairness” not only explains why the phrase, “‘Look me in the eye and say that'” “has persisted,” but also why “the right of confrontation ‘contributes to the establishment of a system of criminal justice in which the perception as well as the reality of fairness prevails.'”

The right to a face-to-face confrontation is not satisfied by the mere physical presence of the witness in the courtroom. In Coy, supra, 487 U.S. 1012, for example, although the testifying witness and defendant were both present in the courtroom, the placement of a screen between the two constituted an “obvious” violation of the “right to a face-to-face encounter.” (Id. at p. 1029.) And in Herbert v. Superior Court (1981) 117 Cal.App.3d 661, the defendant’s confrontation right was denied because the court placed the defendant and his accuser in positions within the courtroom where the defendant could hear, but not see, the witness. (Id. at p. 671; see also People v. Murphy (2003) 107 Cal.App.4th 1150, 1157–1158 [placement of one-way glass that prevented witness from seeing defendant violated confrontation clause].)

Similarly, the defendant is deprived of a face-to-face encounter with a witness who testifies in court wearing a ski mask (People v. Sammons (1991) 191 Mich.App. 351 [478 N.W.2d 901] (Sammons)) or a disguise that conceals “almost all of [the witness’s] face from view” (Romero v. State (Tex.Crim.App. 2005) 173 S.W.3d 502, 503 (Romero)). Allowing the witness to use such a disguise would effectively “remove the ‘face’ from ‘face-to-face confrontation.'” (Id. at p. 506; see also U.S.v. Alimehmeti (S.D.N.Y. 2018) 284 F.Supp.3d 477, 489 [court rejected undercover officer’s use of disguise, “such as using a niqab” while testifying because it would compromise the jury’s ability to evaluate the credibility of the officer].)

Covering part of a witness’s face, however, does not necessarily implicate the confrontation clause. In U.S.v. de Jesus-Casteneda (9th Cir. 2013) 705 F.3d 1117 (de Jesus-Casteneda), the government requested that a confidential informant be permitted to wear a wig, sunglasses, and mustache “to ‘help disguise some of his features.'” (Id. at p. 1119.) After the defense objected, the witness was “‘permitted to testify while wearing a fake mustache and wig but no sunglasses; his eyes remained visible.'” (Ibid.) The trial court found that “the disguise was a ‘very small impingement … on the ability of the [jury] to judge [the informant’s] credibility.'” (Ibid.) The Ninth Circuit affirmed, holding that “the disguise in the form of a wig and mustache did not violate the [c]onfrontation [c]lause.” (Id. at p. 1121.)

[Footnote:  In addition to de Jesus-Castaneda, the Attorney General relies on Morales v. Artuz (2d Cir. 2002) 281 F.3d 55. In that case, a New York state court allowed, over the defendant’s objections, a witness to testify while wearing “dark” sunglasses. On habeas review, the Second Circuit Court of Appeals rejected the defendant’s confrontation clause challenge, explaining that the “obscured view of the witness’s eyes … resulted in only a minimal impairment of the jurors’ opportunity to assess [the witness’s] credibility.” We do not necessarily agree with the Morales court’s conclusion.]

   

Here, the Attorney General argues that Stephenson’s wearing of her scarf did not deprive defendants of their confrontation rights because it “amounted to a minimal impairment of [defendants’] face-to-face confrontation rights.” As we explain below, we agree with the Attorney General as to Stephenson’s second day of testimony, and we need not decide whether defendants’ confrontation rights were violated during the first day of Stephenson’s testimony because any error that occurred was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.

Prior to Stephenson’s second day of testimony, the court described Stephenson’s scarf as being white and “tight against her face,” which allowed the jurors, defendants, and counsel to “see clearly the outline of her face [and her lips] when she talks,” and to “see her facial expressions even through the head scarf.” The scarf thus appears to have been somewhat transparent. The jurors were also “quite clearly able to hear her voice,” the court stated, and her “body language [was] apparent to the jurors.” The court compared her scarf covering to a “full face beard” on a man’s face, “with the exception that you would not be able to see her left eye and her nose.” After discussion among the court, counsel, and Stephenson, Stephenson ultimately pulled down her scarf so that both eyes and her nose were exposed, thereby rendering the coverage no greater than that of a man’s full beard.

In light of the facts that Stephenson ultimately revealed her eyes and nose and that the scarf did not prevent others from seeing her lips and facial expressions through the scarf, it appears that the scarf did not prevent the trial participants from evaluating “‘the elusive and incommunicable evidence of a witness'[s] deportment while testifying,'” or from noticing whether the witness appears comfortable or uncomfortable, hesitant or confident, indifferent or nervou. The same ability to discern Stephenson’s facial expressions mitigates the concern that Stephenson would be more likely to “to tell a lie” about the defendants from behind a concealing mask or weaken the “symbolic purpose” of the confrontation clause. Because the purposes and salutary benefits of the face-to-face confrontation right were not meaningfully impaired by the nature of Stephenson’s scarf and the way she wore it on the second day of her testimony, we conclude that the defendants’ right to face-to-face confrontation was thereby not infringed.

The manner in which Stephenson wore her scarf on the first day of her testimony presents a more difficult issue. Her scarf, the court explained, “cover[ed] her entire face,” but for her right eye, which was “visible slightly, a portion of her nose, and a little bit of her left eye.” Because Stephenson’s scarf covered substantially more of her face on the first day of her testimony, the greater coverage arguably crossed the constitutional line that exists somewhere between the ski mask worn in Sammons, supra, 478 N.W.2d 901 and the disguise in Romero, supra, 173 S.W.3d 502, on one side, and the less concealing wig and fake mustache in de Jesus-Castaneda, supra, 705 F.3d 1117.

We need not, however, decide whether the scarf triggered the defendants’ confrontation clause rights, because even if it did, any error was harmless…. Stephenson’s testimony on the first day takes up nine pages of the reporter’s transcript, and according to the court, lasted only 10 minutes. She was not cross-examined and she was shown no exhibits. The second day, after Stephenson revealed enough of her face to avoid a violation of defendants’ confrontation rights, Stephenson’s testimony, including cross-examination, filled the morning session of the trial and most of the afternoon session, encompassing 112 pages of the reporter’s transcript…. [T]here are no material facts that Stephenson testified to on her first day of testimony that she did not repeat on her second day. Indeed, the second day began with the prosecutor and Stephenson effectively reviewing and reproducing Stephenson’s testimony from the day before. Under these circumstances, and based on our review of the entirety of Stephenson’s testimony, we are convinced beyond a reasonable doubt that, if Stephenson’s brief testimony on her first day of testifying violated defendants’ confrontation rights, the error was harmless.

[Footnote: The Supreme Court has explained that the face-to-face confrontation right is not absolute and “must occasionally give way to considerations of public policy and the necessities of the case.” This exception applies when the deprivation of the face-to-face encounter is “necessary to further an important public policy and only where the reliability of the testimony is otherwise assured.” Reliability is evaluated by considering the “combined effect of [four] elements of confrontation—physical presence, oath, cross-examination, and observation of demeanor by the trier of fact.” The Attorney General contends that this exception applies here because allowing Stephenson to wear her scarf was necessary to further the important public policy of respecting and accommodating witnesses’ religious beliefs. Because we resolve the issues in this case on other grounds, we do not reach this issue.]

from Latest – Reason.com http://bit.ly/2XA3c7X
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Don’t Fight The Fed… But If You Do There Is A Way To Make 10x Your Money

With rate markets pricing in a certain rate cut by the Fed at the July FOMC meeting, and another two before year end, the market is convinced that the Fed’s hiking cycle is over and – with the occasional hawkish holdout such as Goldman still refusing to throw in the towel – the Fed is facing an uphill battle to disabuse investors that the party is about to start: after all, as we noted over the weekend, the Fed has always cut interest rates when the market priced a cut on the day prior to a FOMC meeting.

And yet, for those who are brave, or crazy enough, to fight the Fed and take the other side of the dovish bet that is now virtually assured when looking at tumbling bond yields and stocks just shy of all time highs again.

UBS is targeting that group of investors who believe that the Fed will find it impossible to cut rates three times before 2020, in the process disappointing a market that is poised on the edge of a recessionary panic if one only looks at the long positions in Eurodollar rates futures, which are now at levels last seen around the European financial crisis, suggesting that traders are bracing for a deflationary tsunami to sweep across the world and pricing in extensive easing (of course, stocks are once again near all time highs, because, well, the Fed and more QE is just over the horizon).

As Bloomberg notes, amid the near uniform conviction of an easing cycle this year, “the bar for the next bond-driven tantrum in risk assets has been lowered, the thinking goes. All that’s spurring structuring desks on Wall Street to offer hedge funds and institutional investors fresh ways to speculate on the fraught relationship between the world’s largest bond and equity markets.”

To UBS, this presents a tremendous arbitrage opportunity between what the market expects (a lot) and what the Fed can deliver (far less), and as a result the Swiss bank is pitching a derivative trade that pays out 10-to-1 if Treasury yields near historic lows rebound even modestly, while snapping the equity rally out of its latest trance, sending stock markets lower.

“Three rate cuts are now baked in by year-end, which is quite a high hurdle for the Fed to meet, let alone outperform,” said Pete Clarke, global head of equity derivatives strategy at UBS, in an interview with Bloomberg. “There’s definitely a risk that they end up easing by less than what’s expected, exacerbating the downside risks for equities in the process.”

The UBS trade of choice is multi-asset derivatives that would pay out 10 times the outlay, if a rise in the 10-year swap rate is accompanied by a modest drop in the S&P 500. What’s striking is how little bonds and stocks need to move for the investing style to pay off handsomely.

According to the in the money thresholds of the trade, shown below, the 10-year rate has to rise to a mere 2.34%, just 23 bps from current levels, while stocks trade just 1% lower than current levels by September.

To be sure, while in the past a sharp spike in yields has proven painful to equities, it is unclear if a quarter percent rise would be sufficient to hit stocks, but a 1% drop certainly sounds doable if the massive easing priced in the by the Fed fails to materialize. It is also open to debate if a less-dovish-than-expected monetary stance will spur a rise in the 10-year rate. Which is why the 10-1 upside/downside of the trade is so attractive.

So while fighting the Fed may be a bad idea, arbing the delta between what the market and the Fed is expecting certainly may be a lucrative proposition. Last Wednesday, futures reflected more than 70 basis points of easing in 2019, showing traders have concluded that the case for rate cuts is only strengthening – suggesting any disappointment could spark a backlash in risk assets. Yet even as Powell last week hinted the Fed was open to cutting rates, many banks have speculated that such a dramatic reversal for the “patient” Fed could have dire consequences for what little credibility it has left, certainly a consideration the FOMC would need to be aware of should it cut rates three times in the next 6 months. Incidentally, Goldman still sees no rate cuts in 2019 and in fact expects one rate hike in 2020.

For UBS, however, the biggest draw of this trade is the historical correlation between asset classes: “There’s a correlation discount in playing S&P down with rates up — since they’ve previously tended to move together,” according to UBS’ Clarke. “Entry levels look good right now – the S&P is back closer to highs, whereas the 10-year dollar swap rate is down 125 basis points since the fourth quarter of last year – approaching 2017 lows.”

So for all those who wish to fight if not the Fed as much as the market’s interpretation of the Fed’s reaction function, you now have a great incentive to put your AUM where your mouth is and make a ten-bagger if the market is wrong.

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2I8n7FW Tyler Durden

Does Letting Witness Testify Wearing Partial Veil Violate the Confrontation Clause?

From Friday’s nonprecedential decision in People v. Ketchens (Cal. Ct. App.), an appeal by defendants who had been convicted of voluntary manslaughter and weapons charges, the facts:

Defendants contend that their rights under the Sixth Amendment’s confrontation clause were violated when the court allowed [Salome] Stephenson to testify while wearing a head scarf covering part of her face….

When Stephenson appeared in court to testify during trial, she wore a garment the court described as a white “scarf that cover[ed] her entire face”; her right eye was “visible slightly, a portion of her nose, and a little bit of her left eye; otherwise, her head and face [were] fully covered.” … Outside the presence of the jury, the court asked Stephenson why she was wearing “a head garment.” Stephenson responded, “I’m Muslim.” The court then inquired, “Is that part of the Muslim faith that requires you to have the head scarf in the manner that you have [it]?” Stephenson answered, “Yes.”

The court then allowed the prosecutor to begin his direct examination of Stephenson without instructing Stephenson to remove her scarf. After approximately 10 minutes of questioning, the court recessed for the day and informed counsel that it would “take up the issue of the witness and the head scarf ” the next morning.

The next day, the court described Stephenson’s head scarf more fully as follows: “It covers her face and head with the exception of her [face] from her hairline down to her right cheek. Her right eye is visible and her side of her nose is visible at times. It otherwise covers her lower jaw area on the right side, her mouth, and it covers almost the entire left side of her face. It’s tight against her face. You can see clearly the outline of her face when she talks, her lips. She is speaking clearly under questioning by counsel. Her body language is apparent to the jurors. I’ll describe her dress as no different as if a male had a full face beard with the exception that you would not be able to see her left eye and her nose in the manner in which she currently appears.”

The court stated that it had considered the authorities that counsel had submitted on the confrontation clause question, then informed counsel of its tentative ruling to allow Stephenson to testify while wearing the head scarf. The court explained: “The court finds that on balance, recognizing the important interests in this case as discussed is the religious protection and freedom of the witness in this case. I have no reason to inquire further or allow further inquiry when she states that her appearance in court today is because of a religious reason. It’s not for this court to question as to whether her interest is genuine or not. I accept her representations that she is wearing the head scarf for religious purposes in court….

“I recognize that there is an intrusion with the right to confrontation. The jurors, counsel can[ ]not see the entirety of the witness’s face in the manner in which I’ve described. However, the intrusion and interference with the right to confrontation is a minimal intrusion. The jurors are quite clearly able to hear her voice, see her facial expressions even through the head scarf …. [T]he head scarf that was worn yesterday was tightly worn against the face where you could see the outline of her lips when her mouth was opening, the expression of her face to some extent. Her body language is clear and apparent to the jurors. And while I recognize that there’s probably two-thirds of her face that’s not visible, I do find that on balance, the interest of the religious freedom and rights of the … witness in this case as compared to the rights of confrontation as to both defendants are minimally diminished by the appearance of the witness in court today.” …

[But t]he court and Stephenson then engaged in the following colloquy outside the presence of the jury:

“The court: Ms. Stephenson, yesterday we had a brief conversation in regards to your head dress and head scarf. Today you have both eyes exposed. Your nose is not exposed. The manner in which you’re wearing your head scarf, are you able to move and expose any more of your face?

“[Stephenson]: If you need to see my nose, that’s fine.

“The court: And is there any religious reason as to why you can’t expose the remainder of your face?

“[Stephenson]: It’s to protect my beauty.

“The court: Okay. So the witness has pulled down the head scarf. Her nose is exposed, both eyes are exposed.” The court added that, with “the benefit of watching her testimony for about [10] minutes yesterday,” it believed that the manner in which Stephenson wore the scarf caused “a minimal negligible intrusion upon the Sixth Amendment right to confrontation.” The court then adopted its tentative ruling and the prosecutor resumed his examination of Stephenson. During the ensuing colloquy, Stephenson reiterated each of the substantive points she testified to the day before….

And the Court of Appeal’s legal analysis:

The Sixth Amendment provides the accused in a criminal prosecution with “the right … to be confronted with the witnesses against him.” This right … “‘provides two types of protections for a criminal defendant: [T]he right physically to face those who testify against him [or her], and the right to conduct cross-examination.'”

The right to a face-to-face meeting between accused and accuser follows from the confrontation clause’s “primary object”: “to prevent depositions or ex parte affidavits, such as were sometimes admitted in civil cases, being used against the prisoner in lieu of a personal examination and cross-examination of the witness in which the accused has an opportunity, not only of testing the recollection and sifting the conscience of the witness, but of compelling him to stand face to face with the jury in order that they may look at him, and judge by his demeanor upon the stand and the manner in which he gives his testimony whether he is worthy of belief.”

As this statement indicates, the face-to-face encounter implicit in the confrontation clause is not only between accuser and accused, but between accuser and jury. That encounter enables the jurors “‘to obtain the elusive and incommunicable evidence of a witness'[s] deportment while testifying'”; an ability, our Supreme Court has explained, that is “as important a component of the right of confrontation as the defendant’s opportunity to cross-examine the adverse witness.”

The ability of the defendant and counsel to observe the witness’s demeanor may also be critical for cross-examination. During cross-examination, counsel may, for example, notice that the witness appears comfortable or uncomfortable, hesitant or confident, indifferent or nervous; and such observations may “guide counsel in prodding, cajoling, and prying information from the witness to the benefit of the accused.”

Apart from the opportunity for jurors, defendants, and counsel to evaluate the witness’s demeanor, face-to-face confrontation also “enhances the accuracy of fact[ ]finding” because of its effect upon the witness. “It is always more difficult,” the high court has explained, “to tell a lie about a person ‘to his face’ than ‘behind his back.'”

Lastly, the requirement that prosecution witnesses testify face-to-face serves a “symbolic purpose.” There is, the high court has explained, “something deep in human nature that regards face-to-face confrontation between accused and accuser as ‘essential to a fair trial in a criminal prosecution.'” These “human feelings of what is necessary for fairness” not only explains why the phrase, “‘Look me in the eye and say that'” “has persisted,” but also why “the right of confrontation ‘contributes to the establishment of a system of criminal justice in which the perception as well as the reality of fairness prevails.'”

The right to a face-to-face confrontation is not satisfied by the mere physical presence of the witness in the courtroom. In Coy, supra, 487 U.S. 1012, for example, although the testifying witness and defendant were both present in the courtroom, the placement of a screen between the two constituted an “obvious” violation of the “right to a face-to-face encounter.” (Id. at p. 1029.) And in Herbert v. Superior Court (1981) 117 Cal.App.3d 661, the defendant’s confrontation right was denied because the court placed the defendant and his accuser in positions within the courtroom where the defendant could hear, but not see, the witness. (Id. at p. 671; see also People v. Murphy (2003) 107 Cal.App.4th 1150, 1157–1158 [placement of one-way glass that prevented witness from seeing defendant violated confrontation clause].)

Similarly, the defendant is deprived of a face-to-face encounter with a witness who testifies in court wearing a ski mask (People v. Sammons (1991) 191 Mich.App. 351 [478 N.W.2d 901] (Sammons)) or a disguise that conceals “almost all of [the witness’s] face from view” (Romero v. State (Tex.Crim.App. 2005) 173 S.W.3d 502, 503 (Romero)). Allowing the witness to use such a disguise would effectively “remove the ‘face’ from ‘face-to-face confrontation.'” (Id. at p. 506; see also U.S.v. Alimehmeti (S.D.N.Y. 2018) 284 F.Supp.3d 477, 489 [court rejected undercover officer’s use of disguise, “such as using a niqab” while testifying because it would compromise the jury’s ability to evaluate the credibility of the officer].)

Covering part of a witness’s face, however, does not necessarily implicate the confrontation clause. In U.S.v. de Jesus-Casteneda (9th Cir. 2013) 705 F.3d 1117 (de Jesus-Casteneda), the government requested that a confidential informant be permitted to wear a wig, sunglasses, and mustache “to ‘help disguise some of his features.'” (Id. at p. 1119.) After the defense objected, the witness was “‘permitted to testify while wearing a fake mustache and wig but no sunglasses; his eyes remained visible.'” (Ibid.) The trial court found that “the disguise was a ‘very small impingement … on the ability of the [jury] to judge [the informant’s] credibility.'” (Ibid.) The Ninth Circuit affirmed, holding that “the disguise in the form of a wig and mustache did not violate the [c]onfrontation [c]lause.” (Id. at p. 1121.)

[Footnote:  In addition to de Jesus-Castaneda, the Attorney General relies on Morales v. Artuz (2d Cir. 2002) 281 F.3d 55. In that case, a New York state court allowed, over the defendant’s objections, a witness to testify while wearing “dark” sunglasses. On habeas review, the Second Circuit Court of Appeals rejected the defendant’s confrontation clause challenge, explaining that the “obscured view of the witness’s eyes … resulted in only a minimal impairment of the jurors’ opportunity to assess [the witness’s] credibility.” We do not necessarily agree with the Morales court’s conclusion.]

   

Here, the Attorney General argues that Stephenson’s wearing of her scarf did not deprive defendants of their confrontation rights because it “amounted to a minimal impairment of [defendants’] face-to-face confrontation rights.” As we explain below, we agree with the Attorney General as to Stephenson’s second day of testimony, and we need not decide whether defendants’ confrontation rights were violated during the first day of Stephenson’s testimony because any error that occurred was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.

Prior to Stephenson’s second day of testimony, the court described Stephenson’s scarf as being white and “tight against her face,” which allowed the jurors, defendants, and counsel to “see clearly the outline of her face [and her lips] when she talks,” and to “see her facial expressions even through the head scarf.” The scarf thus appears to have been somewhat transparent. The jurors were also “quite clearly able to hear her voice,” the court stated, and her “body language [was] apparent to the jurors.” The court compared her scarf covering to a “full face beard” on a man’s face, “with the exception that you would not be able to see her left eye and her nose.” After discussion among the court, counsel, and Stephenson, Stephenson ultimately pulled down her scarf so that both eyes and her nose were exposed, thereby rendering the coverage no greater than that of a man’s full beard.

In light of the facts that Stephenson ultimately revealed her eyes and nose and that the scarf did not prevent others from seeing her lips and facial expressions through the scarf, it appears that the scarf did not prevent the trial participants from evaluating “‘the elusive and incommunicable evidence of a witness'[s] deportment while testifying,'” or from noticing whether the witness appears comfortable or uncomfortable, hesitant or confident, indifferent or nervou. The same ability to discern Stephenson’s facial expressions mitigates the concern that Stephenson would be more likely to “to tell a lie” about the defendants from behind a concealing mask or weaken the “symbolic purpose” of the confrontation clause. Because the purposes and salutary benefits of the face-to-face confrontation right were not meaningfully impaired by the nature of Stephenson’s scarf and the way she wore it on the second day of her testimony, we conclude that the defendants’ right to face-to-face confrontation was thereby not infringed.

The manner in which Stephenson wore her scarf on the first day of her testimony presents a more difficult issue. Her scarf, the court explained, “cover[ed] her entire face,” but for her right eye, which was “visible slightly, a portion of her nose, and a little bit of her left eye.” Because Stephenson’s scarf covered substantially more of her face on the first day of her testimony, the greater coverage arguably crossed the constitutional line that exists somewhere between the ski mask worn in Sammons, supra, 478 N.W.2d 901 and the disguise in Romero, supra, 173 S.W.3d 502, on one side, and the less concealing wig and fake mustache in de Jesus-Castaneda, supra, 705 F.3d 1117.

We need not, however, decide whether the scarf triggered the defendants’ confrontation clause rights, because even if it did, any error was harmless…. Stephenson’s testimony on the first day takes up nine pages of the reporter’s transcript, and according to the court, lasted only 10 minutes. She was not cross-examined and she was shown no exhibits. The second day, after Stephenson revealed enough of her face to avoid a violation of defendants’ confrontation rights, Stephenson’s testimony, including cross-examination, filled the morning session of the trial and most of the afternoon session, encompassing 112 pages of the reporter’s transcript…. [T]here are no material facts that Stephenson testified to on her first day of testimony that she did not repeat on her second day. Indeed, the second day began with the prosecutor and Stephenson effectively reviewing and reproducing Stephenson’s testimony from the day before. Under these circumstances, and based on our review of the entirety of Stephenson’s testimony, we are convinced beyond a reasonable doubt that, if Stephenson’s brief testimony on her first day of testifying violated defendants’ confrontation rights, the error was harmless.

[Footnote: The Supreme Court has explained that the face-to-face confrontation right is not absolute and “must occasionally give way to considerations of public policy and the necessities of the case.” This exception applies when the deprivation of the face-to-face encounter is “necessary to further an important public policy and only where the reliability of the testimony is otherwise assured.” Reliability is evaluated by considering the “combined effect of [four] elements of confrontation—physical presence, oath, cross-examination, and observation of demeanor by the trier of fact.” The Attorney General contends that this exception applies here because allowing Stephenson to wear her scarf was necessary to further the important public policy of respecting and accommodating witnesses’ religious beliefs. Because we resolve the issues in this case on other grounds, we do not reach this issue.]

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Texas Governor Signs Sweeping New Law Protecting Free Speech On College Campuses

Authored by Jennifer Kabbany via TheCollegeFix.com,

Declares outdoor areas public forums, punishes students who interfere with others’ speech 

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott on Sunday signed a sweeping new law that aims to protect free speech on college campuses across the Lone Star state.

“Some colleges are banning free speech on college campuses,” the governor said in a video released on Twitter on Sunday as he signed the bill. “Well, no more. Because I am about to sign a law that protects free speech on college campuses in Texas.”

“Shouldn’t have to do it. First Amendment guarantees it,” he added. “Now, it’s law in Texas.”

As The College Fix reported in April, the legislation, SB18, ensures that “the common outdoor areas of the institution’s campus are deemed traditional public forums” and allows universities to impose time/place/manner restrictions as long as those restrictions follow published and viewpoint-neutral criteria and allow for “ample” alternative expression.

It also allows members of a university community “to assemble or distribute written material without a permit or other permission” from campus leaders. What’s more, it establishes “disciplinary sanctions for students, student organizations, or faculty who unduly interfere with the expressive activities of others on campus.”

Finally, it protects student organizations from denial of general university services based on the organization’s viewpoint. It also prevents universities from charging more in security fees from student organizations due to potentially controversial speakers.

As part of an effort to hold campuses accountable, Texas universities must file a report in 2020 on how they are implementing the law’s requirements.

The Texas legislation is similar to recent free speech bills passed since 2017 in AlabamaKentuckySouth DakotaTennesseeColoradoIowa and Arkansas. The states passing the laws are mostly Republican-dominant states.

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2ZgSMe4 Tyler Durden

Local Bakery Wins $11 Million After Oberlin College Students Labeled It ‘Racist’

Ohio’s Oberlin College has been a bastion of liberal activism virtually since its founding in 1833. It was the first interracial and first coeducational college in the US, and was once even home to a stop on the Underground Railroad.

But in the heady modern political climate, Oberlin is known less for helping ferry runaway slaves to freedom in Canada, and more for an activist community that has condemned cafeteria food offerings as racist (because they’re not authentic), questioned the value of teaching the western canon and pushed the necessity of safe spaces. One black female professor provoked a controversy in 2016 after she was fired for making incendiary statements like blaming Israel for 9/11. Soon, the school’s black student union was condemning the school as an “unethical institution” and demanding that the professor be given tenure.

Gibson

But while these incidents may have tarnished the school’s reputation, reinforcing its reputation as a bastion of over-privileged trust-funders, the college will now face a very real cost after losing a legal battle with a local bakery that has been a pillar of the downtown business community since it opened more than 100 years ago, according to the Washington Post.

Gibson’s, a bakery known for its wheat donuts and apple fritters, has for decades held a standing contract to supply baked goods for university functions. But the school cut ties with Gibson’s after an incident where a young black student was caught trying to shoplift a few bottles of wine.

A scuffle ensued, and ended with the student’s arrest and arraignment on a robbery charge.

When Aladin arrived at the front of the store, Gibson, 32 at the time, told the student that he was contacting the police, saying he had seen him slip two bottles of wine under his clothes. When he pulled out his phone to take a picture, according to a police report, Aladin slapped it away, causing it to strike Gibson’s face.

Gibson followed the student from the store, where they began exchanging blows across the street, which is campus property. Police said they arrived to find Gibson on his back, with Aladin, joined by two friends, punching and kicking him. All three were charged, Aladin with robbery and his friends with assault.

Soon, the school’s students, led by the Black Student Union, had branded Gibson’s a “RACIST” establishment.

Students encouraged a boycott of the establishment, which is owned by Gibson’s father, David R. Gibson, and his grandfather, also named Allyn.

“A member of our community was assaulted by the owner of this establishment yesterday,” read a flier distributed outside the bakery, calling Gibson’s a “RACIST establishment with a LONG ACCOUNT of RACIAL PROFILING and DISCRIMINATION.” The leaflet recommended 10 rival businesses where patrons could go instead.

The school followed up by suspending its Gibson’s order (though it was later quietly reinstated). But for Gibson’s, the damage had already been done, and small business decided to pursue a civil complaint against the school and a senior administrator.

For Gibson’s owners, that did not settle the matter. In November 2017, they filed a civil complaint against Oberlin in the Lorain County Court of Common Pleas. Accusing the college of lending support to the protests, the Gibson family sued the institution, as well as Raimondo, for libel, slander, interference with business relationships, interference with contracts, deceptive trade practices, intentional infliction of emotional distress, negligent hiring and trespass.

The owners argued that college leaders facilitated the “illegal defamation and economic boycott” by helping students copy and distribute the fliers, as well as joining them at protest actions and allowing them to skip class and gain credit to continue their campaign. According to the complaint, a Facebook post by an Oberlin academic department stated, “Gibson’s has been bad for decades, their dislike of Black people is palpable. Their food is rotten and they profile Black students. NO MORE!”

“Gibson’s Bakery has suffered a severe and sustained loss of student, professor, administrative, and college department business,” the complaint argued. It also pointed to a “severe emotional and physical toll” on the family. Their home had been damaged, they claimed, and their car tires punctured.

Gibson’s ended up winning an $11 million judgment.

It just shows how sometimes jumping to conclusions doesn’t pay.

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2WYm8QL Tyler Durden

State May Vaccinate Children in Its Custody, Even Over Parents’ Objection

From N.J. Div. of Child Protection & Permanency v. J.B. (N.J. Super. Ct. App. Div.):

The age appropriate immunizations required by N.J.A.C. 3A:51-7.1(a)(2) are a reasonable means of ensuring the health and safety of the children in the care and custody of the Division, especially during a measles outbreak. Parental rights must yield to the safety and well-being of Son and Daughter under these circumstances. See, e.g., Sadlock, 137 N.J.L. at 88 (“[T]he police power of a state must be held to embrace, at least, such reasonable regulations established directly by legislative enactment as will protect the public health and the public safety.” (quoting Jacobson v. Massachusetts, 197 U.S. 11, 25 (1905))). Requiring immunization is an appropriate use of the State’s police power. Providing age-appropriate vaccinations to Son and Daughter will protect them from needlessly contracting diseases that would subject them to potentially serious complications. Children in the care and custody of the Division deserve nothing less.

The children have been in the continuous care and custody of the Division since October 2017. {Father is a Megan’s Law offender subject to community supervision for life. As such, Father is prohibited from “initiating, establishing, or maintaining” or “attempting to initiate, establish, or maintain contact with any minor” and from “residing with any minor,” which includes “[s]taying overnight at a location where a minor is present” without prior approval from the District parole Supervisor. [The children were removed from mother’s custody because, despite that prohibition,] Father was living with the children and Mother was allowing Father to have unsupervised contact with them.} While parents do not lose all of their parental rights when their children are placed under the care, custody, and supervision of the Division as a result of substantiated abuse and neglect, they are situated differently than parents who retain legal and physical custody.

When children are removed from parents under Title 9, the Division is charged with the duty to provide appropriate medical care and treatment. We view this duty as encompassing the authority to administer age-appropriate immunizations over the religious objections of the parents. See In the Interest of C.R., 570 S.E.2d 609 (Ga. Ct. App. 2002); In re Deng, 887 N.W.2d 445 (Mich. Ct. App. 2016); In re Stratton, 571 S.E.2d 234 (N.C. Ct. App. 2002); Dep’t of Human Servs. v. S.M. (In re M.M.), 323 P.3d 947 (Or. 2014). To rule otherwise would needlessly jeopardize the health and safety of children in placement and undermine the discharge of the Division’s duty to provide care, particularly when a known risk of exposure to a disease preventable by vaccination is present.

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A Stock Market Crash Scenario

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

Herds get spooked and run. That’s the crash scenario in a nutshell.

We have all been trained by a decade of central bank saves to expect any stock market swoon will soon be reversed by central bank sweet talk and/or rate cuts. As a result of such ever-present central bank willingness to intervene in the stock market, participants have been trained to believe a stock market crash is no longer possible: should the market drop 10%, or heaven forbid, 20% (i.e. into Bear Territory), the Federal Reserve and the other global central banks will save the day with direct purchases (The Plunge Protection Team), happy talk of future easing or, some unconventional quantitative easing measure or a rate cut–whatever it takes, in Mario Draghi’s famous words.

But irony of ironies, such complacent confidence in the efficacy of central bank interventions is actually setting up a crash scenario. Crashes and melt-ups are both manifestations of herd sentiment. Though this is often simplified into greed or fear, this might better be described as confidence in near-term prospects or the lack thereof.

Confidence in the absolute efficacy of Fed intervention breeds complacency, which is the essential backdrop of stock market crashes.

Markets are said to “climb a wall of worry,” that is, move higher as the market discounts potential threats to the ongoing rally. This skittishness, when coupled with ample volume (i.e. plenty of buyers), is the backdrop for sustained rallies.

Crashes don’t arise from a skittish herd, they arise from a complacent herd.Crashes aren’t characterized by skittish participants with low confidence in forecasts and short sellers piling into big bets on declines. Crashes are characterized by the exhaustion of short sellers who have tired of losing money betting against the melt-up, low volume and a herd milling about in complacent confidence the Fed can reverse any market decline.

This chart depicts such a scenario.

1. Bears / short sellers bet that weakening fundamentals will trigger a decline.

2. Markets climb this wall of worry, moving higher, crushing Bears.

3. Every air pocket / dip caused by skittish punters selling is bought as traders are confident in the Fed’s complete control of the market.

4. Bears / short sellers bet big that various technical patterns will play out, most importantly that previous highs will hold, yielding a bearish double or triple top pattern.

5. The market surges to new highs, forcing short sellers to cover, pushing the market higher. Bears / short sellers give up and short volume plummets.

6. As volume fades and confidence is the permanence of the melt-up rises, the next sharp drop “surprises” participants, but they dutifully buy the dip.

7. This rebound reaches a lower high, and the sell-off resumes. Unbeknownst to most participants, the herd’s confidence in the Fed’s omnipotence has eroded. Rather than manifesting a wall of worry that the market can climb to new highs, the herd is undergoing a loss of confidence.

8. On the next decline, momentum accelerates the drop, and Fed pronouncements and emergency rate cuts do little more than reverse the downtrend for a few hours. The very fact that the Fed has to resort to emergency measures fatally weakens confidence, and selling begets selling.

Herds get spooked and run. That’s the crash scenario in a nutshell.

*  *  *

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via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2WAtDhp Tyler Durden

State May Vaccinate Children in Its Custody, Even Over Parents’ Objection

From N.J. Div. of Child Protection & Permanency v. J.B. (N.J. Super. Ct. App. Div.):

The age appropriate immunizations required by N.J.A.C. 3A:51-7.1(a)(2) are a reasonable means of ensuring the health and safety of the children in the care and custody of the Division, especially during a measles outbreak. Parental rights must yield to the safety and well-being of Son and Daughter under these circumstances. See, e.g., Sadlock, 137 N.J.L. at 88 (“[T]he police power of a state must be held to embrace, at least, such reasonable regulations established directly by legislative enactment as will protect the public health and the public safety.” (quoting Jacobson v. Massachusetts, 197 U.S. 11, 25 (1905))). Requiring immunization is an appropriate use of the State’s police power. Providing age-appropriate vaccinations to Son and Daughter will protect them from needlessly contracting diseases that would subject them to potentially serious complications. Children in the care and custody of the Division deserve nothing less.

The children have been in the continuous care and custody of the Division since October 2017. {Father is a Megan’s Law offender subject to community supervision for life. As such, Father is prohibited from “initiating, establishing, or maintaining” or “attempting to initiate, establish, or maintain contact with any minor” and from “residing with any minor,” which includes “[s]taying overnight at a location where a minor is present” without prior approval from the District parole Supervisor. [The children were removed from mother’s custody because, despite that prohibition,] Father was living with the children and Mother was allowing Father to have unsupervised contact with them.} While parents do not lose all of their parental rights when their children are placed under the care, custody, and supervision of the Division as a result of substantiated abuse and neglect, they are situated differently than parents who retain legal and physical custody.

When children are removed from parents under Title 9, the Division is charged with the duty to provide appropriate medical care and treatment. We view this duty as encompassing the authority to administer age-appropriate immunizations over the religious objections of the parents. See In the Interest of C.R., 570 S.E.2d 609 (Ga. Ct. App. 2002); In re Deng, 887 N.W.2d 445 (Mich. Ct. App. 2016); In re Stratton, 571 S.E.2d 234 (N.C. Ct. App. 2002); Dep’t of Human Servs. v. S.M. (In re M.M.), 323 P.3d 947 (Or. 2014). To rule otherwise would needlessly jeopardize the health and safety of children in placement and undermine the discharge of the Division’s duty to provide care, particularly when a known risk of exposure to a disease preventable by vaccination is present.

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