S&P 500 Should Hit Goldman's June 2014 Target Some Time Tomorrow

To think it was just two weeks ago, on December 13, when the S&P was being supported by the “Independence Day” barrier of 1776. It was also on that day that Goldman’s strategist David Kostin updated his most recent forward S&P500 price targets for both 6 months ahead (i.e. June), and December 31, 2014. The numbers were 1850 and 1900 respectively.

What is just a little bit concerning, is that the S&P, following yet another 10+ point move today on what can only be characterized as “hilarious” volume, will hit Goldman’s S&P500 June price target some time tomorrow (or maybe today if the NY Fed trading desk sends the VIX to a 10, or single-digit, handle).

What is even a little bit more concerning is that applying the Birinyi rule of forecasting, the S&P will hit Goldman’s full year 2014 price target by Wednesday, or the latest Friday of the first week of 2014.

One just has to sit back and laugh at what the central planners have done.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/D9xw27g9UtI/story01.htm Tyler Durden

S&P 500 Should Hit Goldman’s June 2014 Target Some Time Tomorrow

To think it was just two weeks ago, on December 13, when the S&P was being supported by the “Independence Day” barrier of 1776. It was also on that day that Goldman’s strategist David Kostin updated his most recent forward S&P500 price targets for both 6 months ahead (i.e. June), and December 31, 2014. The numbers were 1850 and 1900 respectively.

What is just a little bit concerning, is that the S&P, following yet another 10+ point move today on what can only be characterized as “hilarious” volume, will hit Goldman’s S&P500 June price target some time tomorrow (or maybe today if the NY Fed trading desk sends the VIX to a 10, or single-digit, handle).

What is even a little bit more concerning is that applying the Birinyi rule of forecasting, the S&P will hit Goldman’s full year 2014 price target by Wednesday, or the latest Friday of the first week of 2014.

One just has to sit back and laugh at what the central planners have done.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/D9xw27g9UtI/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Pressure from Reserve Bank of India Drives Some Bitcoin Businesses Under


Crummy news on the Bitcoin beat
out of India, via NDTV
Gadgets:

A number of Bitcoin operators in India have begun suspending
their business following RBI’s warning against use of such virtual
currencies due to potential money laundering and cyber-security
risks.

While RBI is yet to come out with a clear regulatory framework
for Bitcoins, which have
been gaining currency across the world over the past few months, it
has issued an advisory cautioning general public against use of
Bitcoins and other virtual currencies – notably, no ban.

Within days of this advisory issued on December 24, a number of
entities offering Bitcoin services have suspended their operations,
temporarily or indefinitely, while websites of a few others have
gone down.

As I wrote back in May, while aspects of the Bitcoin protocol
make its destruction by government or central banks unlikely, their
pressure can
sure make it more difficult
for people to conduct Bitcoin
related businesses.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/26/pressure-from-reserve-bank-of-india-driv
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Mandate Delay Aside, Obamacare Plans Are Shockingly Unaffordable For Many

Healthcare.govPresident Obama moved the goalposts a tad,
promising that the individual mandate won’t be enforced against
people who missed the Obamacare enrollment deadline because the
federal health care website is a poorly designed, worse-implemented
piece of garbage. How that wee bit of mercy will be done remains a
mystery, as Peter Suderman,
points out
, but good intentions and all that. Don’t get your
hopes up for swelling ranks of enrollees, though. USA
Today
ran the numbers and found that, in much of the country,
Obamacare plans are so expensive that many people who make too much
to qualify for subsidies are exempt from requirements that they
purchase insurance under the Affordable Care Act.

For USA Today, Jayne O’Donnell and Paul Overberg

write
:

More than half of the counties in 34 states using the federal
health insurance exchange lack even a bronze plan that’s affordable
— by the government’s own definition — for 40-year-old couples who
make just a little too much for financial assistance, a USA TODAY
analysis shows.

Many of these counties are in rural, less populous areas that
already had limited choice and pricey plans, but many others are
heavily populated, such as Bergen County, N.J., and Philadelphia
and Milwaukee counties.

More than a third don’t offer an affordable plan in the four
tiers of coverage known as bronze, silver, gold or platinum for
people buying individual plans who are 50 or older and ineligible
for subsidies.

Those making more than 400% of the federal poverty limit —
$47,780 for an individual or $61,496 for a couple — are ineligible
for subsidies to buy insurance.

Under the Affordable Care Act, you’re exempt from requirements
that you purchase insurance if “The lowest-priced coverage
available to you would cost more than 8% of your household income,”
according to
Healthcare.gov
. This is a less than ideal situation, because
many of these people might actually want coverage that has now been
priced beyond their reach. That means, continue O’Donnell and
Overberg, “the analysis clearly shows how the sticker shock hitting
many in the middle class, including the self-employed and early
retirees, isn’t just a perception problem. The lack of counties
with affordable plans means many middle-class people will either
opt out of insurance or pay too much to buy it.”

This situation comes about because, as health industry expert
Kip Piper says, “The ACA was
not designed to reduce costs or, the law’s name notwithstanding, to
make health insurance coverage affordable for the vast majority of
Americans. The law uses taxpayer dollars to lower costs for the
low-income uninsured but it also increases costs overall and shifts
costs within the marketplace.”

This is not a new revelation, by the way. In 2010, the Heritage
Foundation’s Joshua Wade
warned
:

Obamacare will succeed only at shifting the burden to taxpayers
and the privately insured.  Americans with private health
insurance will indirectly subsidize care received by those reliant
on Medicare and Medicaid. It is for this reason that for many
Americans, Obamacare will actually cause medical costs to rise.

Ouch.

Perhaps it’s just as well. Those folks priced out of health
coverage would have had a
hell of a time getting in to see a doctor
with one of the
exchange plans, anyway.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/26/mandate-delay-aside-obamacare-plans-are
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The World's Industry Leaders: Which Companies Dominate Their Sectors

When it comes to screening for stocks, one traditionally uses CapIQ, Factset or the Bloomberg Terminal. However, in a welcome development, the Bloomberg website has launched its own free screener of companies titled the Bloomberg Industry Leaderboard, which this day and age of visual learning, has the added benefit of breaking down the data in an easily digestible, visual format. It allows the sorting of industry leaders by virtually every economic metric of relevance, and while it will never replace paid screeners, it does provide a useful first step in understand who the world leaders in any given industry are.

The big picture breakdown can be seen on the chart below.

Those who wish to analyze the underlying Industry Leaderboard data, can do so here.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/-SJfwvBzY-M/story01.htm Tyler Durden

The World’s Industry Leaders: Which Companies Dominate Their Sectors

When it comes to screening for stocks, one traditionally uses CapIQ, Factset or the Bloomberg Terminal. However, in a welcome development, the Bloomberg website has launched its own free screener of companies titled the Bloomberg Industry Leaderboard, which this day and age of visual learning, has the added benefit of breaking down the data in an easily digestible, visual format. It allows the sorting of industry leaders by virtually every economic metric of relevance, and while it will never replace paid screeners, it does provide a useful first step in understand who the world leaders in any given industry are.

The big picture breakdown can be seen on the chart below.

Those who wish to analyze the underlying Industry Leaderboard data, can do so here.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/-SJfwvBzY-M/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Peter Suderman on Obamacare’s Survival

A year ago, if you had talked to either critics
or supporters of Obamacare, most would have predicted that by this
time, the heated controversy over the law would be winding down,
and the success or failure of the law would be more or less plain
for all to see. Either it would be firmly entrenched in the
nation’s policy firmament, with millions of Americans about to
happily enjoy new health coverage, or it would be on its way out, a
longtime political loser finally getting the boot it has so long
deserved. The controversy might not have disappeared entirely, but
the verdict would be clear.

What neither side would have predicted, Peter Suderman
explains, was that the rollout would have gone so badly—and
that the law would still be hanging on anyway, surviving, day by
day and news cycle by news cycle, its political future and policy
success as uncertain now as ever.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/26/peter-suderman-on-obamacares-survival
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Peter Suderman on Obamacare's Survival

A year ago, if you had talked to either critics
or supporters of Obamacare, most would have predicted that by this
time, the heated controversy over the law would be winding down,
and the success or failure of the law would be more or less plain
for all to see. Either it would be firmly entrenched in the
nation’s policy firmament, with millions of Americans about to
happily enjoy new health coverage, or it would be on its way out, a
longtime political loser finally getting the boot it has so long
deserved. The controversy might not have disappeared entirely, but
the verdict would be clear.

What neither side would have predicted, Peter Suderman
explains, was that the rollout would have gone so badly—and
that the law would still be hanging on anyway, surviving, day by
day and news cycle by news cycle, its political future and policy
success as uncertain now as ever.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/26/peter-suderman-on-obamacares-survival
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Asia’s Richest Man, Li Ka-shing, Invests in Bitpay

If this is true, it is a stunning piece of news for the Bitcoin economy. According to the South China Morning Post, Asia’s richest man, Li Ka-shing has made an investment of an undisclosed amount in BTC payment processor Bitpay, a company I have highlighted on these pages on several occasions.

From the South China Morning Post:

Asia’s richest man, Li Ka-shing has invested in BitPay, the digital currency equivalent of PayPal, through his venture capital company, Horizons Ventures.

A spokeswoman for Horizons Ventures said the group would not comment on the details of the investment.

BitPay said it was “fortunate to have the benefit of many supportive investors, including Horizons Ventures”.

BitPay, founded in May 2011, handles transactions for 14,000 companies across 200 countries. About half are in the United States, with 25 per cent in Europe and 25 per cent in the rest of the world.

Simply incredible.

Full article here.

In Liberty,
Mike

 Follow me on Twitter.

Asia’s Richest Man, Li Ka-shing, Invests in Bitpay originally appeared on A Lightning War for Liberty on December 26, 2013.

continue reading

from A Lightning War for Liberty http://libertyblitzkrieg.com/2013/12/26/asias-richest-man-li-ka-shing-invests-in-bitpay/
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What Could Go Wrong Here?

We wondered previously what happens when there are no more greater fools to sell to? But, US investors have turned the euphoria dial to 11 this week as the percent bullish is the highest since the peak in Fall 2007 and bears are at their lowest percentage since Spring 1987. Thus, the Bull-bear spread (based on AAII’s survey) has never been wider (and don’t forget, even Cliff Asness knows the unbridled idiocy of the ‘money-on-the-sidelines’-meme).

 

And remember, we don’t need to worry about record high margin debt as along as stocks keep going up…

As – over the long-term – the bull-bear spread has never been wider (by a long way)…

 

h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/Kg_7r8onRSQ/story01.htm Tyler Durden