Turkey’s Brain Drain: Why Youths See No Future There

Turkey’s Brain Drain: Why Youths See No Future There

Tyler Durden

Sun, 08/02/2020 – 07:00

Authored by Burak Bekdil via The Gatestone Institute,

Turkey’s Islamist president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, once declared his political mission as “raising devout (Muslim) generations.” Research in recent years has shown that Turkish youths have defied Erdoğan’s most ambitious social engineering project.

Konda, a pollster, found in 2019 that Turkish youths were less likely than the wider population to identify themselves as “religious conservative.” They were less likely to fast, pray regularly or (for females) cover their hair. Ipsos, an international pollster, found that only 12% of Turks trust Islamic clerics. SODEV, another pollster, found that 60.5% of youths that support Erdoğan said they would prefer to live in Christian Switzerland with half the salary they would earn in Muslim Saudi Arabia. SODEV’s study also found that 70.3% of respondents think a talented youth would never be able to get ahead in professional life without political/bureaucratic “connections,” i.e., without a hidden touch of nepotism. And only 30% of them think one could freely express his opinion on social media.

There is new data suggesting that younger Turks have a Western mindset instead of “religiously conservative/devout” one, as Erdoğan hoped they would. According to one study, 72% of Turks aged 20 or younger support full membership in the European Union for Turkey. This is in sharp contrast with the official teachings of a country where the top Islamic cleric said that “children who do not read the Quran are with Satan and Satanic people.”

“These kind of social engineering efforts targeting the younger mind almost always end up with opposite results, primarily because the new generation do not like to be told what’s good and what’s bad for them,” said one Turkish university professor who asked not to be named.

“Freedoms for most youth are more important than prayers. This is what conservative politicians often miss.”

In 2014, a 16-year-old student was arrested for insulting Erdoğan. In 2015, a 15-year-old was detained for insulting Erdoğan. And in 2016, a young university student was arrested on charges of insulting Erdoğan and making propaganda for a terror organization — all that for a social media message. She was arrested while in class.

It is not surprising, then, that the young Turks want to build a life for themselves not in their own country, or an Islamic country, but in countries where civil liberties are sacrosanct. In 2019, a total of 330,289 people left Turkey to live abroad. Official data shows 40.8% of those who emigrated from Turkey were between the ages of 20-34.

Seren Selvin Korkmaz, executive director of the Istanbul Political Research Institute, explained the youth brain drain to Arab News:

“Migration becomes an exit strategy from everyday struggles. In the country, youth unemployment is more than 25 percent. Many of these young people are still financially dependent on their families or are working for low wages … Under these conditions, she explained, young people do not envision a future for themselves … This creates a ‘violence of uncertainty’ for them. In addition to unemployment, authoritarian tendencies in the country — including social media bans and threats to freedom of thought — impact the youth and make them worry for their future.”

In just the first 65 days of the COVID-19 pandemic, 510 Turks were arrested for “spreading baseless and provocative messages in social media.” Before that, by the end of 2019, Turkey’s censors had blocked access to 408,494 web sites, 7,000 Twitter accounts, 40,000 tweets, 10,000 YouTube videos and 6,200 Facebook accounts.

“This is not the country I dreamed of,” said A.B., a 19-year-old student, asking for strict anonymity for fear of prosecution.

“I don’t feel I belong to my own country anymore. I see no sign of a free life. I will go to Europe for further studies and probably visit Turkey just for holidays.”

“This is not the country I dreamed of,” is perhaps the best portrayal of how a young Turk feels about the increasing democratic deficit in his homeland. There are signs that that democratic deficit will widen.

Erdoğan’s ruling AKP party has submitted draft legislation to parliament that would enable the government to tighten its control on social media, prompting fears of a new era of even greater censorship. The draft bill would force social media companies with more than a million daily users in Turkey — such as Twitter, Facebook and YouTube — to establish a formal presence or assign a representative in Turkey who would be accountable to Turkish authorities legally and for tax purposes. If those companies do not comply they may be fined up to millions of dollars. The law also grants authority to the Turkish government to reduce their bandwidth by 50% to 95%.

The draft bill came amid reports that Netflix has cancelled a Turkish drama on the eve of filming: its writer said that the government had blocked it because it included a gay character. Screenwriter Ece Yörenç said Netflix scrapped “If Only” after the government refused to grant it a license.

It is not surprising that young Turks in the 21st century do not want to be strangled by the unpredictable dictates of an Islamist regime. Erdoğan might sit down and ask himself: Why do the youths whom he wanted to make “devout” want to flee their Muslim country and live in “infidel” lands?

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Wait, Wasn’t Peter Thiel a Libertarian?

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Eleven days after the first case of an American suffering from COVID-19 was reported, an essayist at an online journal run by the Claremont Institute—whose stated purpose is to “restore the principles of the American Founding to their rightful, preeminent authority in our national life”—argued that a sensible response would be to prohibit humans from crossing oceans. “The obvious solution to an emerging pandemic,” wrote Curtis Yarvin in The American Mind, “is cutting off flights to China, then all air travel across the Pacific, then across the Atlantic.”

This was more than an extreme emergency reaction to an extreme emergency crisis. Yarvin was using COVID-19 as a news hook to push the long-term strategic goal, common among a curious new subset of conservatives, to “refute internationalism” and replace it with an “isolationist vision.” Imagine a world, he mused, “where travel between hemispheres is cut off next week—and stays cut off for years, decades, centuries….Would this be a disaster? No—it would actually be fine.” After all, Yarvin averred in a trollishly insincere pivot, unmolested global wandering destroyed the vibrant cultures of the mysterious Far East, reducing their unique citadels to just more tawdry simulacra of Boston.

Who is Curtis Yarvin, and what was this atavistic assertion doing under the aegis of Claremont, a staid conservative institution founded by disciples of the late political philosopher Harry Jaffa? The Claremont Review of Books, for most of its two-decade run, has been a polite repository for intellectual conservatism. Jaffa, for his part, had defended the legacy of Abraham Lincoln to many then-skeptical fellow conservatives while elevating the equality of man to near-mystical primacy in the American founding.

Claremont’s web journal The American Mind, though, was launched in 2018 with a more provocative agenda: to “rethink the ideological framework of the American Right.” The animating idea, founding editor Matthew Peterson explains, is that traditional right-of-center groups are out of touch: They don’t even realize that their own staffs include “people under 35” who “fundamentally disagree with supposedly fundamental [classical liberal] tenets of their organization. No one wants to hear or deal with it. They want to stick their heads in the sand.” A vibrant and ideologically adventurous new conservative movement, Peterson says, is “bubbling beneath the surface, or even online all over the place. We are not supposed to talk about these things or engage that movement?”

Yarvin is perhaps better known for the pen name under which he rose to internet fame in the late 2000s and early 2010s: “Mencius Moldbug.” At his Unqualified Reservations blog, Moldbug, a software entrepreneur by day, unspooled head-spinningly long-winded “neoreactionary” screeds, wielding a broadsword of abandoned pre-Enlightenment wisdom against the squalid lies of equality, democracy, and the smothering tyranny of what he called the communist-progressive “Cathedral.” Back then, the Cathedral ruled the discourse so totally and viciously that it wasn’t prudent—perhaps wasn’t even safe—to burden Moldbug’s true identity with his brutally honest thoughts. But TechCrunch outed Moldbug as Yarvin in 2013, and in the Trump era he seems happy enough to publicly be himself.

Yarvin, a follower of the 19th century British polemicist Thomas Carlyle, is the type of outside-the-box thinker who argues that monarchy is inherently better than democracy, that street crime is more of a danger to his readers’ lives than all of government’s depredations, and that one of the worst sins of modernity is that people refuse to speak candidly about IQ differences across human types. Such notions are by no means new to the American right, but they feel fresh again in 2020 not only because libertarianism has made some inroads against conservative traditionalism over the last few decades but also because Yarvin’s extreme anti-cosmopolitanism comes with a genuinely modern twist: He is connected, via friendship, venture capital, and at least some ideological affinity, with one of America’s wealthiest and most controversial men, the tech tycoon Peter Thiel.

Thiel, whom the George Mason economist Tyler Cowen in 2019 called “the most influential conservative intellectual with other conservative and libertarian intellectuals,” is co-founder of PayPal, the big data analytics firm Palantir Technologies, and the trailblazing venture capital group Founders Fund. The latter entity has funded Yarvin’s software company Tlon, the company’s CEO, Galen Wolfe-Pauly, told The Verge in 2017. Yarvin and Thiel watched the 2016 election results together, according to a BuzzFeed-obtained email exchange between Yarvin and alt-right provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos.

“Peter needs guidance on politics for sure,” Yiannopoulos posited in one of the messages.

“Less than you might think!” Yarvin responded. “He’s fully enlightened, just plays it very carefully.”

Both Thiel and Yarvin trace the ruination of our tech, education, and governing culture to the dominance of progressive political correctness. Associates of Thiel say the financier does not consider himself “neoreactionary,” though he did write as far back as 2009 that “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.” That was the same year Yarvin, as Moldbug, wrote that “socialism and fascism produce a mix of substandard and disastrous results, for a simple reason: both originate in democracy, a precancerous growth always pregnant with some malignancy.”

Prior to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, Thiel moved through the 21st century like a mysterious science fiction wizard of finance. He was, among other things, the first key outside investor in Facebook (a company on whose board he remains, albeit as a kind of loyal opposition), and he has pumped his V.C. winnings into such colorfully contrarian projects as private space travel, new floating countries, and the quest for human immortality. He paid for the lawsuit that bankrupted the web tabloid Gawker, encouraged kids to drop out of college by offering them prizes via his Thiel Fellowship program, and argued that the ultimate entrepreneurial goal was to create and control a monopoly. In short, he made himself the patron saint of the kind of libertarian-adjacent intellectual exercises that most normies find obscure and sometimes alarming.

Since striding on stage at the 2016 Republican National Convention to tout Trump as an agent for reversing American decline, though, Thiel and his ideas have graduated from the ideological margins to the vanguard of 21st century conservatism. He is now the wealthiest ally, if not quite the most generous funder, of the new conservative nationalist movement, becoming that rare radical right-winger whose dinner parties are covered by the establishment scorekeepers at Vanity Fair.

Sources within the national conservative space say they see no signs Thiel intends to become a financier, in the mode of Charles Koch or George Soros, of the new nationalist conservatism as a political cause. But the fact that the often-reticent Thiel has taken to speaking at national conservative conferences and writing gnomic essays in the Christian traditionalist journal First Things may say more about the depth of his engagement than does his check writing.

This new ferment involving and surrounding Thiel (a man who still occasionally refers to himself as libertarian) shows that ideas libertarians once thought were reasonably and blessedly settled on the right—that industrial subsidies and high tariffs make the world poorer while giving too much power to corrupt and inefficient governments, say, or even that people shouldn’t be sentenced to forever reside on whatever land mass they happened to be born on—are now up for grabs.

What Does Thiel Want?

Through his overlapping social and intellectual worlds of venture capital, goal-oriented philanthropy, and Overton window–moving conservatism, Thiel has helped create a kind of rolling debate society in which entrepreneurs and technologists trade ideas with politicians and theorists. This “Thielosphere,” says Patri Friedman, is “more willing to engage with deliberately transgressive ideas” than are most groups aiming for concrete power and influence in America.

Friedman, son of anarcho-capitalist David and grandson of Nobelist Milton, established the Thiel-funded Seasteading Institute in 2008 to develop the concept of sovereign seaborne micro-competitors to the nation-state. Yet he happily coexists in the Thielite ecosystem with such aggressively nationalist politicians as Sen. Josh Hawley (R–Mo.), to whom Thiel has donated. The key, Friedman says, is that the thinkers and doers surrounding Thiel don’t tend to be yes men, and the loose group conversation tends to “grapple with [ideas] in different ways,” with participants getting “value in parts even if they don’t agree with all the goals.”

So what are Thiel’s ideological goals? The billionaire took the opportunity to sum up his views at the July 2019 National Conservatism Conference in Washington, D.C., organized by new nationalist founding father Yoram Hazony under the auspices of a freshly launched group, the Edmund Burke Foundation. It is striking that Thiel chose that otherwise inauspicious venue to speak, which again demonstrates that he has made a priority of engaging with this new ideology.

In his hourlong presentation, Thiel expressed no particular libertarian inclinations. Instead, he talked about how public policy decisions should be based on how they would better not individual lives but a collective “America” while crushing her enemies. These latter foes he named as Google, China, and the U.S. university system, advocating vigorous police actions against the first and third and a trade war (at the least) against the Middle Kingdom.

Universities, Thiel said, are spreading the virus of “cultural Marxism” while perpetrating criminal fraud by shackling students with debt that the institutions themselves should be forced to repay. (He’s been railing against political correctness on campus since his days as co-founder of the right-wing student newspaper The Stanford Review in 1987.)

Silicon Valley, too, is trying to impose a monoculture of identity politics on an unwilling America, he said. Google’s collaborations with Red China on artificial intelligence merit scrutiny from the CIA and FBI, who should ask executives “in a not excessively gentle manner” about their “seemingly treasonous” behavior. The day Thiel gave that speech, July 16, 2019, Trump tweeted regarding Google’s supposed treason: “The Trump Administration will take a look!”

Meanwhile, Thiel said, tariffs of 25 percent on Chinese products, negotiated by representatives untainted by free trade dogma, would be a good opening bid.

It’s true that China is sinisterly authoritarian, makes for a difficult trading partner, and stretches its prerogatives in and around Asia. But the new conservative nationalists have no well-developed theory of how industrial policy will succeed in hobbling China and no prudent theory of how to fight one of our largest trading partners and debt holders without costs that far overwhelm any imagined benefits.

The dog that never barked in Thiel’s long disquisition on national conservatism was any concern about government size, scope, or spending. Nor was there any nod toward the moral value and material fecundity of free markets.

In other contexts, Thiel has said he’d like to see the U.S. be more of a low-tax business haven, attacked NIMBY (“not in my backyard”) urban planning and zoning for jacking up the cost of housing, and expressed general scorn about the effectiveness of government. But with Trump as the great disruptor, Thiel is making the bet that a more nationalistic state can outperform its equally sized or even smaller antecedents, managed as those were by politically correct globalists.

Who Does Thiel Learn From?

“The whole issue of human violence,” Thiel wrote in a 2004 essay collected in a book titled Politics and Apocalypse, “has been whitewashed away by the Enlightenment.” The 9/11 terrorist attacks, he argued, demonstrated the West’s urgent need “to awaken from that very long and profitable period of intellectual slumber and amnesia that is so misleadingly called the Enlightenment,” whose “easy bromides have become deadly falsehoods in our time.” Thiel’s essay was titled “The Straussian Moment,” in reference to Leo Strauss, best known in the 21st century for his ideas about how philosophers have never felt free to openly speak their real truths. But the main thrust of Thiel’s argument was channeling Carl Schmitt.

Who was Schmitt? An internationally influential German political philosopher who defended the notion of dictatorship over the more flabby bureaucratic state well into the 1940s.

“The high point of politics are the moments in which the enemy is, in concrete clarity, recognized as the enemy,” wrote Thiel, quoting Schmitt, in his essay. He would later assign the philosopher to a class he taught at Stanford in 2019.

Schmitt was obsessed with how political communities unify in relation to enemies and with the idea that a singular, independent executive is best suited to dealing with threats. If a bloc within a given political community “declares that it no longer recognized enemies,” Thiel quoted Schmitt as saying, then “it joins their side and aids them.” On the wilder edges of the new nationalist conservatism, libertarians are seen as precisely such quislings in the eternal war with the left.

Written during the George W. Bush administration—a time when governing neoconservatives were employing Straussian arguments to justify an ever-expansive notion of executive power—the essay lamented that “a direct path forward is prevented by America’s constitutional machinery” and that no “single ambitious person” can “reconstruct…the old republic.”

Especially close to Thiel’s heart is his old Stanford professor, the French literary critic and Catholic philosopher René Girard, “the one writer who has influenced me the most,” as Thiel has described him. The billionaire in 2007 co-founded with Girard an institute to promote Girardism called Imitatio.

What is Girardism, precisely? The philosopher pushed a complicated set of notions about our inescapable desire to imitate others—what he termed “mimetic” tendencies. But his oeuvre is also purposely obscurantist, with an emphasis on the importance to human history of ritual violence and an intimation that a full understanding of his insights would upend the order of the world.

Mimetic theory tells us that the things we we want and love and fight for (and against) are not authentic to us but rather handed down by our parents and absorbed from our communities. Thiel says Girard cured him of a naively individualistic early libertarianism by teaching him how our very sense of being is irreducibly social.

One crucial Girard insight that you can see the new nationalism’s keyboard warriors embody on a daily basis is that opposing tribes are drawn like moths to the flame of an ever-escalating battle. As Girard scholar Cynthia L. Haven put it in a December 2019 essay in Church Life Journal, “moral indignation so often leads us to echo and amplify the very behavior that triggered the indignation” in the first place. “The greater the expression of outrage, the less likely it will lead to any real change, and the more likely it will lead [to] violence,” Haven wrote. “Bystanders are drawn into ‘taking sides,’ in mimetic conformity with admired friends, neighbors, and colleagues. Thus the conflict can envelop a whole society, with cycles of retaliatory (and therefore imitative) violence and one-upsmanship.”

Girard, then, saw Twitter’s soul before it existed. His theory of mimetic desire leads to an important point: The national conservative covets the progressive’s cultural power, while the progressive lusts after the national conservative’s political power in the age of Trump.

Some seeming paradoxes in Thiel’s corporate actions and political concerns can be usefully interpreted through a Girardian lens. Thiel in 2003 co-founded a company called Palantir, whose board he still chairs. It was seed-funded by an offshoot of the CIA and marshals the forces of big data and artificial intelligence in the solving of large problems, often at the behest of both foreign and domestic law enforcement.

Could there be something, shall we say, mimetic about how a man so fiercely critical of Google’s collaboration with China can turn around and help U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) track and deport illegal immigrants? Thiel is fond of lamenting the “eye of Sauron” aspects of technomodernity as a tool of the repressive modern state, a “Chinese Communist A.I.” Yet in important ways he emulates the very Chinese he despises. After 200 Palantir employees wrote a letter of concern about the company’s collaboration with ICE, co-founder and CEO Alex Karp snapped back that the company was not about to tell “the average American” that “I will not support your defense needs.”

One of Thiel’s most famous tech-contrarian quips is that “we wanted flying cars; instead we got 140 characters.” Yet his investments skew toward companies dedicated to data analytics, financial services, management, security, and social networking rather than moonshot futuristic changes in the physical world. On the spectrum of flying cars to Twitter, he’s significantly closer to the latter.

This Is War

The American right once aspired to limit government and unleash the free market. Now, with encouragement from Thiel, it increasingly seeks to unleash government and limit the free market. What explains such ideological whiplash?

Part of it “is just the need to engage with existing political systems in order to accomplish actual change,” Friedman says in an email. But also, times have changed.

“In a well functioning ‘liberal’ (enlightenment values, not libertarian) society, as we had in the ’80s & ’90s, pushing for more freedom makes sense. But when there are paramilitary extremist groups fighting in the streets,” Friedman continues, referring to groups such as antifa and their right-wing street-fighting foes, “that lack of basic civil harmony seems like a bigger problem than government spending.” He thinks Thiel “would point to things like leftist bias in universities, low interest rates, technological stagnation, as being more problematic in 2020” than taxes and regulation.

Thiel, who moved his operations from the Bay Area to Los Angeles in part to escape the ideological conformity of Silicon Valley, seems to view lefty political correctness as both a trivial distraction from grave matters of import and an active menace to be urgently confronted. “Until the left is able to move beyond identity politics,” he said in a 2019 Manhattan Institute lecture, “it’s not going to be able to focus on the scale that we need to be focusing on for this country.”

So what are the new nationalists focusing on? Big-heave manifestos calling to empower the state and attack the woke left and its Big Tech enablers. In December 2019, a group of thinkers from The American MindThe American Conservative, American Renewal, Human Events, and First Things jointly proposed a “Tech New Deal” to bring increased government oversight and management to U.S. technology companies in the name of “American greatness.”

“The turbulence of the Trump administration has cleared away old conceptual brush and made room for clear-eyed perceptions of the world as it is, not as fanatics imagine it should be,” the manifestoists proclaimed. The real fanatics, to them, are those who don’t understand that the nation must forcibly harness innovation to “serve human ends.” The essay makes a sly nod toward Thiel himself, noting that only “billionaires” have the nerve to oppose “the creepiest transhumanists and posthumanists” in tech or to admit that “in the name of economic growth, human life is being diminished.”

The document, like so much of the new-nationalist ferment, is shot through with hostility toward progressive political correctness. “We must strengthen safeguards against the use of tech power to establish a radical secular religion within America’s public institutions,” the writers advocated, demanding punishment for private social media companies that censor conservative or traditionalist viewpoints. “As important as de-platforming the worst of moral degenerates may be, our free democracy depends even more on ensuring Americans can openly deliberate foundational questions, from the significance of citizenship to the biology of sexual differences.”

As that last comment illustrates, the Thielosphere devotes significant time and emotional energy to fighting for the ability to say things that offend the sensibilities of progressives. In practice, that means controversy-courting observations involving race, immigration, gender, and the like.

Eric Weinstein, the managing director of Thiel’s personal investment firm, Thiel Capital, coined the term “intellectual dark web” to refer to opinion slingers uncowed by the prevailing orthodoxies (and, as a result, frequently shunned by mainstream and elite institutions). As Thiel once said, “it’s so important for me to have environments in which people who don’t agree on things, but agree on what constitutes a conversation, can sit down with an idea [and] that nobody’s going to leave the table with their reputation in tatters to the extent that they can’t find a job on Monday to support themselves.”

The Edges of National Conservatism

Libertarians generally agree with the new nationalists that the parameters for what is considered acceptable debate should be expansive. They just don’t want to use government as a crowbar toward that end, nor do they take the same transgressive delight in making negative collective judgments about entire population blocs—very often segments of the population that have been historically discriminated against.

In The American Mind last year, one loud new voice complained that too many cowed conservatives “are fanatical believers in the public religion of the regime—they’ve internalized ‘antiracism,’ hysteria about ‘anti-Semitism,’ and similar taboos….They are regime toadies and kapos, much like the journalists attacking me.” So wrote a pseudonymous shock jock known as “Bronze Age Pervert,” or BAP for short, under the once-sober auspices of the Claremont Institute.

BAP’s self-published book, Bronze Age Mindset, was reviewed respectfully and at length in The Claremont Review of Books by Michael Anton, a former Trump administration official most famous for penning a then-pseudonymous 2016 essay in that same publication, “The Flight 93 Election,” which analogized a Hillary Clinton presidency to “Russian Roulette with a semi-auto.” Bronze Age Mindset had been gifted to Anton by none other than Thiel’s pal Curtis Yarvin.

That secondhand link does not, of course, mean BAP necessarily shares ideas with Thiel. Far from it. But Anton’s choice to establish the chain of custody endows the Pervert’s transgressive wildness with a semi-respectable pedigree. Even if Thiel himself wouldn’t go where BAP dares to tread, Anton and others seek to connect the latter’s thought to their new form of conservatism, one that is totally unmoored from any connection to libertarian principles.

“Tax cuts, deregulation, trade giveaways, Russophobia, democracy wars, and open borders are not, to say the least, getting the kids riled up,” Anton wrote in his review. So what’s quickening youthful pulses these days, according to BAP? Apparently, “teenage put-downs,” “crude sexual or scatological slang,” and “sweeping generalizations about women, homosexuals, and, to a lesser extent, national and ethnic groups.”

Anton squinted hard enough to see the virtues of such anti-Enlightenment conservatism. “On reflection, I came to believe that some of the ridiculousness is intended to help the unscientific and unphilosophic grasp concepts beyond their conceptual framework,” he wrote, echoing some of the mysticism that surrounds Girard. “And a great deal of BAP’s silly outrageousness seems to be there to provide air cover for the outrageous things he means in deadly earnest.”

In a response essay in The American Mind, BAP insisted that he is indeed earnest about (among other things) bringing “unvarnished, unedited Nietzscheanism” to U.S. politics, defending whites against the “violent racial hatred” of the left, and lamenting “the religion of our time…unquestioned and absolute worship of human equality.” Suck it, Harry Jaffa!

The Pervert is little more than a long-winded, reactionary, Jack Kerouac/Hunter S. Thompson–style materialist atheist who justifies his drunken revels in the Far East’s fleshpots with a pseudoscientific celebration of hormonal vitalism and argues that “the peoples that have arisen out of nature must be preserved in their distinct forms.” His game is to gin up enthusiasm among aimless, underemployed young men using a brew of physical bravado and passionate resentments. It all reads as fascist, and deliberately so. Of course, in the meme age, you are the sucker for letting such things troll you—even if what you’re repulsed by is exactly what you think it is.

There’s something both desperate and decadent about a respected intellectual institution giving considered attention to a work containing such one-liners as “At Masada and at other times the Jews killed their own children to escape subjection, when they were still a noble people” and “Imagine lesbian mulatta commissars with young Martin Sheen face and haircut manning the future Bergen-Belsens, installations that will span tens of miles.” But hey, the international elites have failed us, the woke left keeps marching on, and at least the Pervert is learned—he quotes Carl Schmitt, after all.

We might never fully understand what Peter Thiel, or the new nationalist conservatives, really want. But to the extent they claim to be defending “the West,” attacking the Enlightenment is an odd way to go about it. Claremont’s embrace of BAP and Yarvin, and its publication of government-aggrandizing manifestos about the need to shackle the tech industry for the national good, should serve as fair warning to libertarians that principles such as free trade, equal rights, and drug legalization are considered boring “Cathedral” ideas on the hip new right. It’s more thrilling to make ordinary people mad by flirting openly with racism and fantasizing out loud about political violence. Libertarians, clinging to their no-longer-cutting-edge preferences for toleration and the minimization of force, will no doubt shiver seeing the likes of Claremont Institute President Ryan P. Williams writing that Americans are stuck in a “cold civil war” in which one side or the other must win “decisive and conclusive political victory.”

On the front lines of this cold civil war are rhetorical warriors in the mold of Bronze Age Pervert (though they’re more likely to be Christian than to openly embrace his paganism), exuding an extrapolitical disgust with progressive freaks and their decadence, their tattoos and their obesity, their transgenderism and their whining about the sins of the West, their porn and their just plain weakness. The New Right that Claremont is promoting is consciously grooming a young generation to obsess over how the dominant mores of post-1960s liberalism have failed them.

Immanentizing the Eschaton

Generating human flourishing is hard, as is changing the culture around you via the state. Knowing that, Thiel has long favored visionary and experimental proposals for enacting change through a variety of novel mechanisms. But of late his engagement on that question has generated strange bedfellows.

Fifty years ago a generation looked at the dominant traditional mores, found they left many people distressed and dissatisfied, and advocated loosening them. Now a generation growing up under a new dominant set of mores has also—surprise—found they leave many people distressed and dissatisfied. Conservatives used to understand that one cannot and should not try to use government power to “immanentize the eschaton”—to bring about heaven on Earth. That was a heresy only communists believed in. Much of the new nationalist conservatism has forgotten this central insight, seeking instead to sic the state on everything that feels wrong about the economy and the culture alike.

Only a genuine, principles-based, rights-oriented classical liberalism—one that understands that your side can’t always control every relevant citadel of social or intellectual power—can enable the republic, however imperfectly, to continue flourishing. An ever-escalating politics of hostility, as Schmitt’s intellectual opponent F.A. Hayek recognized, places that noble project in jeopardy, because it threatens “the self-ordering forces of society and the role of law [as] an ordering mechanism.”

A conservatism influenced by the likes of Girard or Schmitt can quickly turn into a danger to civic peace and to the republic itself. The choice to engage in a mimetic war with the opposing team’s devils—whether over belief or comportment or ethnicity—can become a self-fulfilling Manichean prophecy.

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Wait, Wasn’t Peter Thiel a Libertarian?

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Eleven days after the first case of an American suffering from COVID-19 was reported, an essayist at an online journal run by the Claremont Institute—whose stated purpose is to “restore the principles of the American Founding to their rightful, preeminent authority in our national life”—argued that a sensible response would be to prohibit humans from crossing oceans. “The obvious solution to an emerging pandemic,” wrote Curtis Yarvin in The American Mind, “is cutting off flights to China, then all air travel across the Pacific, then across the Atlantic.”

This was more than an extreme emergency reaction to an extreme emergency crisis. Yarvin was using COVID-19 as a news hook to push the long-term strategic goal, common among a curious new subset of conservatives, to “refute internationalism” and replace it with an “isolationist vision.” Imagine a world, he mused, “where travel between hemispheres is cut off next week—and stays cut off for years, decades, centuries….Would this be a disaster? No—it would actually be fine.” After all, Yarvin averred in a trollishly insincere pivot, unmolested global wandering destroyed the vibrant cultures of the mysterious Far East, reducing their unique citadels to just more tawdry simulacra of Boston.

Who is Curtis Yarvin, and what was this atavistic assertion doing under the aegis of Claremont, a staid conservative institution founded by disciples of the late political philosopher Harry Jaffa? The Claremont Review of Books, for most of its two-decade run, has been a polite repository for intellectual conservatism. Jaffa, for his part, had defended the legacy of Abraham Lincoln to many then-skeptical fellow conservatives while elevating the equality of man to near-mystical primacy in the American founding.

Claremont’s web journal The American Mind, though, was launched in 2018 with a more provocative agenda: to “rethink the ideological framework of the American Right.” The animating idea, founding editor Matthew Peterson explains, is that traditional right-of-center groups are out of touch: They don’t even realize that their own staffs include “people under 35” who “fundamentally disagree with supposedly fundamental [classical liberal] tenets of their organization. No one wants to hear or deal with it. They want to stick their heads in the sand.” A vibrant and ideologically adventurous new conservative movement, Peterson says, is “bubbling beneath the surface, or even online all over the place. We are not supposed to talk about these things or engage that movement?”

Yarvin is perhaps better known for the pen name under which he rose to internet fame in the late 2000s and early 2010s: “Mencius Moldbug.” At his Unqualified Reservations blog, Moldbug, a software entrepreneur by day, unspooled head-spinningly long-winded “neoreactionary” screeds, wielding a broadsword of abandoned pre-Enlightenment wisdom against the squalid lies of equality, democracy, and the smothering tyranny of what he called the communist-progressive “Cathedral.” Back then, the Cathedral ruled the discourse so totally and viciously that it wasn’t prudent—perhaps wasn’t even safe—to burden Moldbug’s true identity with his brutally honest thoughts. But TechCrunch outed Moldbug as Yarvin in 2013, and in the Trump era he seems happy enough to publicly be himself.

Yarvin, a follower of the 19th century British polemicist Thomas Carlyle, is the type of outside-the-box thinker who argues that monarchy is inherently better than democracy, that street crime is more of a danger to his readers’ lives than all of government’s depredations, and that one of the worst sins of modernity is that people refuse to speak candidly about IQ differences across human types. Such notions are by no means new to the American right, but they feel fresh again in 2020 not only because libertarianism has made some inroads against conservative traditionalism over the last few decades but also because Yarvin’s extreme anti-cosmopolitanism comes with a genuinely modern twist: He is connected, via friendship, venture capital, and at least some ideological affinity, with one of America’s wealthiest and most controversial men, the tech tycoon Peter Thiel.

Thiel, whom the George Mason economist Tyler Cowen in 2019 called “the most influential conservative intellectual with other conservative and libertarian intellectuals,” is co-founder of PayPal, the big data analytics firm Palantir Technologies, and the trailblazing venture capital group Founders Fund. The latter entity has funded Yarvin’s software company Tlon, the company’s CEO, Galen Wolfe-Pauly, told The Verge in 2017. Yarvin and Thiel watched the 2016 election results together, according to a BuzzFeed-obtained email exchange between Yarvin and alt-right provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos.

“Peter needs guidance on politics for sure,” Yiannopoulos posited in one of the messages.

“Less than you might think!” Yarvin responded. “He’s fully enlightened, just plays it very carefully.”

Both Thiel and Yarvin trace the ruination of our tech, education, and governing culture to the dominance of progressive political correctness. Associates of Thiel say the financier does not consider himself “neoreactionary,” though he did write as far back as 2009 that “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.” That was the same year Yarvin, as Moldbug, wrote that “socialism and fascism produce a mix of substandard and disastrous results, for a simple reason: both originate in democracy, a precancerous growth always pregnant with some malignancy.”

Prior to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, Thiel moved through the 21st century like a mysterious science fiction wizard of finance. He was, among other things, the first key outside investor in Facebook (a company on whose board he remains, albeit as a kind of loyal opposition), and he has pumped his V.C. winnings into such colorfully contrarian projects as private space travel, new floating countries, and the quest for human immortality. He paid for the lawsuit that bankrupted the web tabloid Gawker, encouraged kids to drop out of college by offering them prizes via his Thiel Fellowship program, and argued that the ultimate entrepreneurial goal was to create and control a monopoly. In short, he made himself the patron saint of the kind of libertarian-adjacent intellectual exercises that most normies find obscure and sometimes alarming.

Since striding on stage at the 2016 Republican National Convention to tout Trump as an agent for reversing American decline, though, Thiel and his ideas have graduated from the ideological margins to the vanguard of 21st century conservatism. He is now the wealthiest ally, if not quite the most generous funder, of the new conservative nationalist movement, becoming that rare radical right-winger whose dinner parties are covered by the establishment scorekeepers at Vanity Fair.

Sources within the national conservative space say they see no signs Thiel intends to become a financier, in the mode of Charles Koch or George Soros, of the new nationalist conservatism as a political cause. But the fact that the often-reticent Thiel has taken to speaking at national conservative conferences and writing gnomic essays in the Christian traditionalist journal First Things may say more about the depth of his engagement than does his check writing.

This new ferment involving and surrounding Thiel (a man who still occasionally refers to himself as libertarian) shows that ideas libertarians once thought were reasonably and blessedly settled on the right—that industrial subsidies and high tariffs make the world poorer while giving too much power to corrupt and inefficient governments, say, or even that people shouldn’t be sentenced to forever reside on whatever land mass they happened to be born on—are now up for grabs.

What Does Thiel Want?

Through his overlapping social and intellectual worlds of venture capital, goal-oriented philanthropy, and Overton window–moving conservatism, Thiel has helped create a kind of rolling debate society in which entrepreneurs and technologists trade ideas with politicians and theorists. This “Thielosphere,” says Patri Friedman, is “more willing to engage with deliberately transgressive ideas” than are most groups aiming for concrete power and influence in America.

Friedman, son of anarcho-capitalist David and grandson of Nobelist Milton, established the Thiel-funded Seasteading Institute in 2008 to develop the concept of sovereign seaborne micro-competitors to the nation-state. Yet he happily coexists in the Thielite ecosystem with such aggressively nationalist politicians as Sen. Josh Hawley (R–Mo.), to whom Thiel has donated. The key, Friedman says, is that the thinkers and doers surrounding Thiel don’t tend to be yes men, and the loose group conversation tends to “grapple with [ideas] in different ways,” with participants getting “value in parts even if they don’t agree with all the goals.”

So what are Thiel’s ideological goals? The billionaire took the opportunity to sum up his views at the July 2019 National Conservatism Conference in Washington, D.C., organized by new nationalist founding father Yoram Hazony under the auspices of a freshly launched group, the Edmund Burke Foundation. It is striking that Thiel chose that otherwise inauspicious venue to speak, which again demonstrates that he has made a priority of engaging with this new ideology.

In his hourlong presentation, Thiel expressed no particular libertarian inclinations. Instead, he talked about how public policy decisions should be based on how they would better not individual lives but a collective “America” while crushing her enemies. These latter foes he named as Google, China, and the U.S. university system, advocating vigorous police actions against the first and third and a trade war (at the least) against the Middle Kingdom.

Universities, Thiel said, are spreading the virus of “cultural Marxism” while perpetrating criminal fraud by shackling students with debt that the institutions themselves should be forced to repay. (He’s been railing against political correctness on campus since his days as co-founder of the right-wing student newspaper The Stanford Review in 1987.)

Silicon Valley, too, is trying to impose a monoculture of identity politics on an unwilling America, he said. Google’s collaborations with Red China on artificial intelligence merit scrutiny from the CIA and FBI, who should ask executives “in a not excessively gentle manner” about their “seemingly treasonous” behavior. The day Thiel gave that speech, July 16, 2019, Trump tweeted regarding Google’s supposed treason: “The Trump Administration will take a look!”

Meanwhile, Thiel said, tariffs of 25 percent on Chinese products, negotiated by representatives untainted by free trade dogma, would be a good opening bid.

It’s true that China is sinisterly authoritarian, makes for a difficult trading partner, and stretches its prerogatives in and around Asia. But the new conservative nationalists have no well-developed theory of how industrial policy will succeed in hobbling China and no prudent theory of how to fight one of our largest trading partners and debt holders without costs that far overwhelm any imagined benefits.

The dog that never barked in Thiel’s long disquisition on national conservatism was any concern about government size, scope, or spending. Nor was there any nod toward the moral value and material fecundity of free markets.

In other contexts, Thiel has said he’d like to see the U.S. be more of a low-tax business haven, attacked NIMBY (“not in my backyard”) urban planning and zoning for jacking up the cost of housing, and expressed general scorn about the effectiveness of government. But with Trump as the great disruptor, Thiel is making the bet that a more nationalistic state can outperform its equally sized or even smaller antecedents, managed as those were by politically correct globalists.

Who Does Thiel Learn From?

“The whole issue of human violence,” Thiel wrote in a 2004 essay collected in a book titled Politics and Apocalypse, “has been whitewashed away by the Enlightenment.” The 9/11 terrorist attacks, he argued, demonstrated the West’s urgent need “to awaken from that very long and profitable period of intellectual slumber and amnesia that is so misleadingly called the Enlightenment,” whose “easy bromides have become deadly falsehoods in our time.” Thiel’s essay was titled “The Straussian Moment,” in reference to Leo Strauss, best known in the 21st century for his ideas about how philosophers have never felt free to openly speak their real truths. But the main thrust of Thiel’s argument was channeling Carl Schmitt.

Who was Schmitt? An internationally influential German political philosopher who defended the notion of dictatorship over the more flabby bureaucratic state well into the 1940s.

“The high point of politics are the moments in which the enemy is, in concrete clarity, recognized as the enemy,” wrote Thiel, quoting Schmitt, in his essay. He would later assign the philosopher to a class he taught at Stanford in 2019.

Schmitt was obsessed with how political communities unify in relation to enemies and with the idea that a singular, independent executive is best suited to dealing with threats. If a bloc within a given political community “declares that it no longer recognized enemies,” Thiel quoted Schmitt as saying, then “it joins their side and aids them.” On the wilder edges of the new nationalist conservatism, libertarians are seen as precisely such quislings in the eternal war with the left.

Written during the George W. Bush administration—a time when governing neoconservatives were employing Straussian arguments to justify an ever-expansive notion of executive power—the essay lamented that “a direct path forward is prevented by America’s constitutional machinery” and that no “single ambitious person” can “reconstruct…the old republic.”

Especially close to Thiel’s heart is his old Stanford professor, the French literary critic and Catholic philosopher René Girard, “the one writer who has influenced me the most,” as Thiel has described him. The billionaire in 2007 co-founded with Girard an institute to promote Girardism called Imitatio.

What is Girardism, precisely? The philosopher pushed a complicated set of notions about our inescapable desire to imitate others—what he termed “mimetic” tendencies. But his oeuvre is also purposely obscurantist, with an emphasis on the importance to human history of ritual violence and an intimation that a full understanding of his insights would upend the order of the world.

Mimetic theory tells us that the things we we want and love and fight for (and against) are not authentic to us but rather handed down by our parents and absorbed from our communities. Thiel says Girard cured him of a naively individualistic early libertarianism by teaching him how our very sense of being is irreducibly social.

One crucial Girard insight that you can see the new nationalism’s keyboard warriors embody on a daily basis is that opposing tribes are drawn like moths to the flame of an ever-escalating battle. As Girard scholar Cynthia L. Haven put it in a December 2019 essay in Church Life Journal, “moral indignation so often leads us to echo and amplify the very behavior that triggered the indignation” in the first place. “The greater the expression of outrage, the less likely it will lead to any real change, and the more likely it will lead [to] violence,” Haven wrote. “Bystanders are drawn into ‘taking sides,’ in mimetic conformity with admired friends, neighbors, and colleagues. Thus the conflict can envelop a whole society, with cycles of retaliatory (and therefore imitative) violence and one-upsmanship.”

Girard, then, saw Twitter’s soul before it existed. His theory of mimetic desire leads to an important point: The national conservative covets the progressive’s cultural power, while the progressive lusts after the national conservative’s political power in the age of Trump.

Some seeming paradoxes in Thiel’s corporate actions and political concerns can be usefully interpreted through a Girardian lens. Thiel in 2003 co-founded a company called Palantir, whose board he still chairs. It was seed-funded by an offshoot of the CIA and marshals the forces of big data and artificial intelligence in the solving of large problems, often at the behest of both foreign and domestic law enforcement.

Could there be something, shall we say, mimetic about how a man so fiercely critical of Google’s collaboration with China can turn around and help U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) track and deport illegal immigrants? Thiel is fond of lamenting the “eye of Sauron” aspects of technomodernity as a tool of the repressive modern state, a “Chinese Communist A.I.” Yet in important ways he emulates the very Chinese he despises. After 200 Palantir employees wrote a letter of concern about the company’s collaboration with ICE, co-founder and CEO Alex Karp snapped back that the company was not about to tell “the average American” that “I will not support your defense needs.”

One of Thiel’s most famous tech-contrarian quips is that “we wanted flying cars; instead we got 140 characters.” Yet his investments skew toward companies dedicated to data analytics, financial services, management, security, and social networking rather than moonshot futuristic changes in the physical world. On the spectrum of flying cars to Twitter, he’s significantly closer to the latter.

This Is War

The American right once aspired to limit government and unleash the free market. Now, with encouragement from Thiel, it increasingly seeks to unleash government and limit the free market. What explains such ideological whiplash?

Part of it “is just the need to engage with existing political systems in order to accomplish actual change,” Friedman says in an email. But also, times have changed.

“In a well functioning ‘liberal’ (enlightenment values, not libertarian) society, as we had in the ’80s & ’90s, pushing for more freedom makes sense. But when there are paramilitary extremist groups fighting in the streets,” Friedman continues, referring to groups such as antifa and their right-wing street-fighting foes, “that lack of basic civil harmony seems like a bigger problem than government spending.” He thinks Thiel “would point to things like leftist bias in universities, low interest rates, technological stagnation, as being more problematic in 2020” than taxes and regulation.

Thiel, who moved his operations from the Bay Area to Los Angeles in part to escape the ideological conformity of Silicon Valley, seems to view lefty political correctness as both a trivial distraction from grave matters of import and an active menace to be urgently confronted. “Until the left is able to move beyond identity politics,” he said in a 2019 Manhattan Institute lecture, “it’s not going to be able to focus on the scale that we need to be focusing on for this country.”

So what are the new nationalists focusing on? Big-heave manifestos calling to empower the state and attack the woke left and its Big Tech enablers. In December 2019, a group of thinkers from The American MindThe American Conservative, American Renewal, Human Events, and First Things jointly proposed a “Tech New Deal” to bring increased government oversight and management to U.S. technology companies in the name of “American greatness.”

“The turbulence of the Trump administration has cleared away old conceptual brush and made room for clear-eyed perceptions of the world as it is, not as fanatics imagine it should be,” the manifestoists proclaimed. The real fanatics, to them, are those who don’t understand that the nation must forcibly harness innovation to “serve human ends.” The essay makes a sly nod toward Thiel himself, noting that only “billionaires” have the nerve to oppose “the creepiest transhumanists and posthumanists” in tech or to admit that “in the name of economic growth, human life is being diminished.”

The document, like so much of the new-nationalist ferment, is shot through with hostility toward progressive political correctness. “We must strengthen safeguards against the use of tech power to establish a radical secular religion within America’s public institutions,” the writers advocated, demanding punishment for private social media companies that censor conservative or traditionalist viewpoints. “As important as de-platforming the worst of moral degenerates may be, our free democracy depends even more on ensuring Americans can openly deliberate foundational questions, from the significance of citizenship to the biology of sexual differences.”

As that last comment illustrates, the Thielosphere devotes significant time and emotional energy to fighting for the ability to say things that offend the sensibilities of progressives. In practice, that means controversy-courting observations involving race, immigration, gender, and the like.

Eric Weinstein, the managing director of Thiel’s personal investment firm, Thiel Capital, coined the term “intellectual dark web” to refer to opinion slingers uncowed by the prevailing orthodoxies (and, as a result, frequently shunned by mainstream and elite institutions). As Thiel once said, “it’s so important for me to have environments in which people who don’t agree on things, but agree on what constitutes a conversation, can sit down with an idea [and] that nobody’s going to leave the table with their reputation in tatters to the extent that they can’t find a job on Monday to support themselves.”

The Edges of National Conservatism

Libertarians generally agree with the new nationalists that the parameters for what is considered acceptable debate should be expansive. They just don’t want to use government as a crowbar toward that end, nor do they take the same transgressive delight in making negative collective judgments about entire population blocs—very often segments of the population that have been historically discriminated against.

In The American Mind last year, one loud new voice complained that too many cowed conservatives “are fanatical believers in the public religion of the regime—they’ve internalized ‘antiracism,’ hysteria about ‘anti-Semitism,’ and similar taboos….They are regime toadies and kapos, much like the journalists attacking me.” So wrote a pseudonymous shock jock known as “Bronze Age Pervert,” or BAP for short, under the once-sober auspices of the Claremont Institute.

BAP’s self-published book, Bronze Age Mindset, was reviewed respectfully and at length in The Claremont Review of Books by Michael Anton, a former Trump administration official most famous for penning a then-pseudonymous 2016 essay in that same publication, “The Flight 93 Election,” which analogized a Hillary Clinton presidency to “Russian Roulette with a semi-auto.” Bronze Age Mindset had been gifted to Anton by none other than Thiel’s pal Curtis Yarvin.

That secondhand link does not, of course, mean BAP necessarily shares ideas with Thiel. Far from it. But Anton’s choice to establish the chain of custody endows the Pervert’s transgressive wildness with a semi-respectable pedigree. Even if Thiel himself wouldn’t go where BAP dares to tread, Anton and others seek to connect the latter’s thought to their new form of conservatism, one that is totally unmoored from any connection to libertarian principles.

“Tax cuts, deregulation, trade giveaways, Russophobia, democracy wars, and open borders are not, to say the least, getting the kids riled up,” Anton wrote in his review. So what’s quickening youthful pulses these days, according to BAP? Apparently, “teenage put-downs,” “crude sexual or scatological slang,” and “sweeping generalizations about women, homosexuals, and, to a lesser extent, national and ethnic groups.”

Anton squinted hard enough to see the virtues of such anti-Enlightenment conservatism. “On reflection, I came to believe that some of the ridiculousness is intended to help the unscientific and unphilosophic grasp concepts beyond their conceptual framework,” he wrote, echoing some of the mysticism that surrounds Girard. “And a great deal of BAP’s silly outrageousness seems to be there to provide air cover for the outrageous things he means in deadly earnest.”

In a response essay in The American Mind, BAP insisted that he is indeed earnest about (among other things) bringing “unvarnished, unedited Nietzscheanism” to U.S. politics, defending whites against the “violent racial hatred” of the left, and lamenting “the religion of our time…unquestioned and absolute worship of human equality.” Suck it, Harry Jaffa!

The Pervert is little more than a long-winded, reactionary, Jack Kerouac/Hunter S. Thompson–style materialist atheist who justifies his drunken revels in the Far East’s fleshpots with a pseudoscientific celebration of hormonal vitalism and argues that “the peoples that have arisen out of nature must be preserved in their distinct forms.” His game is to gin up enthusiasm among aimless, underemployed young men using a brew of physical bravado and passionate resentments. It all reads as fascist, and deliberately so. Of course, in the meme age, you are the sucker for letting such things troll you—even if what you’re repulsed by is exactly what you think it is.

There’s something both desperate and decadent about a respected intellectual institution giving considered attention to a work containing such one-liners as “At Masada and at other times the Jews killed their own children to escape subjection, when they were still a noble people” and “Imagine lesbian mulatta commissars with young Martin Sheen face and haircut manning the future Bergen-Belsens, installations that will span tens of miles.” But hey, the international elites have failed us, the woke left keeps marching on, and at least the Pervert is learned—he quotes Carl Schmitt, after all.

We might never fully understand what Peter Thiel, or the new nationalist conservatives, really want. But to the extent they claim to be defending “the West,” attacking the Enlightenment is an odd way to go about it. Claremont’s embrace of BAP and Yarvin, and its publication of government-aggrandizing manifestos about the need to shackle the tech industry for the national good, should serve as fair warning to libertarians that principles such as free trade, equal rights, and drug legalization are considered boring “Cathedral” ideas on the hip new right. It’s more thrilling to make ordinary people mad by flirting openly with racism and fantasizing out loud about political violence. Libertarians, clinging to their no-longer-cutting-edge preferences for toleration and the minimization of force, will no doubt shiver seeing the likes of Claremont Institute President Ryan P. Williams writing that Americans are stuck in a “cold civil war” in which one side or the other must win “decisive and conclusive political victory.”

On the front lines of this cold civil war are rhetorical warriors in the mold of Bronze Age Pervert (though they’re more likely to be Christian than to openly embrace his paganism), exuding an extrapolitical disgust with progressive freaks and their decadence, their tattoos and their obesity, their transgenderism and their whining about the sins of the West, their porn and their just plain weakness. The New Right that Claremont is promoting is consciously grooming a young generation to obsess over how the dominant mores of post-1960s liberalism have failed them.

Immanentizing the Eschaton

Generating human flourishing is hard, as is changing the culture around you via the state. Knowing that, Thiel has long favored visionary and experimental proposals for enacting change through a variety of novel mechanisms. But of late his engagement on that question has generated strange bedfellows.

Fifty years ago a generation looked at the dominant traditional mores, found they left many people distressed and dissatisfied, and advocated loosening them. Now a generation growing up under a new dominant set of mores has also—surprise—found they leave many people distressed and dissatisfied. Conservatives used to understand that one cannot and should not try to use government power to “immanentize the eschaton”—to bring about heaven on Earth. That was a heresy only communists believed in. Much of the new nationalist conservatism has forgotten this central insight, seeking instead to sic the state on everything that feels wrong about the economy and the culture alike.

Only a genuine, principles-based, rights-oriented classical liberalism—one that understands that your side can’t always control every relevant citadel of social or intellectual power—can enable the republic, however imperfectly, to continue flourishing. An ever-escalating politics of hostility, as Schmitt’s intellectual opponent F.A. Hayek recognized, places that noble project in jeopardy, because it threatens “the self-ordering forces of society and the role of law [as] an ordering mechanism.”

A conservatism influenced by the likes of Girard or Schmitt can quickly turn into a danger to civic peace and to the republic itself. The choice to engage in a mimetic war with the opposing team’s devils—whether over belief or comportment or ethnicity—can become a self-fulfilling Manichean prophecy.

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CIA Fabricated Russiagate “Evidence”, Says Former NSA Tech Chief

CIA Fabricated Russiagate “Evidence”, Says Former NSA Tech Chief

Tyler Durden

Sun, 08/02/2020 – 00:00

Authored by Eric Zuesse via The Duran,

An important public statement was made on July 27th by Bill Binney, the U.S. Government’s top expert on the internet, and on computer hacking. He had been the Technical Director of the NSA when he quit and became a whistleblower against that Agency while George W. Bush was the U.S. President and invaded Iraq on the basis of faked evidence.

Binney has now laid out, in this speech, the evidence that he wants to present in court against Barack Obama’s CIA, that it defrauded Americans to believe in “Russiagate” (the allegation that Russia ‘hacked’ the computers of Hillary Clinton and Democratic Party officials and fed that information to Wikileaks and other organizations). Binney cites evidence, which, if true, conclusively proves that Russiagate was actually created fraudulently by the CIA’s extensive evidence-tampering, which subsequently became covered-up by the Special Counsel Robert Mueller, in his investigations for the Democratic Party’s first (and failed) try at impeaching and removing from office U.S. President Donald J. Trump.

Here is the transcript of his 10-minute speech (and I add links to explanations of the meaning of technical phrases, and also boldface for emphasis of his key findings, and I place into [brackets] explanatory amplifications of my own), summarizing why he is convinced that the CIA (under President Barack Obama) did this frame-up against Russia, ‘Russiagate’ — it’s a case that he is seeking to present to Congress, and in court, and to debate in public, instead of to continue to be hidden from the public; he wants to show, and publicly to debate, this evidence, so that the public will be able to see it, and evaluate it, for themselves:

Basically the problem is that I can’t seem to get the forensic evidence into a court or up into the mainstream of evidence for defeating-refuting Russiagate. The point is that in the Veterans Intelligence Professionals for Sanity we have a bunch of technical people including Kirk Wiebe and I and some others and some affiliates that were in the UK who also joined the analysis process, and we were looking at the files posted by Wikileaks, because the allegation from the beginning is that Russia hacked the DNC and gave the emails to Wikileaks to publish. So, we looked at those emails, to see if there was something there that might give us some idea of how Wikileaks got that data. Well, in all the 35,813 emails that they posted in three batches, one [batch was] downloaded according to last modified times on the 23rd of May, and another on the 25th of May, and one [other] on the 26th of August, of 2016. Now, all those files, all 35,813, had a last modified time that was rounded off [rounded up] to an even [the next-higher] second, so they all ended up in even [meaning complete or full, not fractional] seconds. Now, if you know anything about data processing and data storage and things of that nature, there is a program that was quite common in the past [including 2016] using what’s called fat file formatting file allocation, table formatting, which is a process that when doing a batch process of data and transferring it to a storage device like a thumb drive or a CD-ROM, it rounds off the last modified time to the nearest even [next-higher] second, so that’s exactly the property we found in all that data posted by Wikileaks. Now, that said very simply this data was downloaded to a storage device a CD-ROM or a thumb drive and physically transported before Wikileaks could post it, so that meant it was not a hack [since there’s no rounding off to the next-higher second, as it would be if it’s a file that’s been carried over the internet]no matter how you look at it. We’re looking at the forensic evidence that says the DNC emails were not hacked, they were downloaded and physically transported to Wikileaks.

And, then, we had the other issue, [which was] with Guccifer 2. Now, Guccifer 2 came out shortly after, you know, Julian Assange announced that he had emails on Hillary Clinton, and so on, and the DNC. Well, we looked at all the material that Guccifer 2 posted and [he] was saying here are the hacks that I did on the DNC. He claimed he did one on the fifth of July, and one on the first of September, of 2016. Well, when you start looking at that — and we looked at the files — he posted a series of files, with file names, the numbers of characters in the file, and a timestamp at the end of the file. Then, the next file number of characters and timestamp, and so on, for I don’t know how many thousands of files. So, we looked at all those files, and we ran a program to calculate the transfer rate of all that data, because all you have to do is look at between the two time stamps, the file name and the number of characters in the file, and take the difference between the times [start-time versus end-time], and that’s the transfer rate for that number of characters, so we found that the variations ran from something like 19 to 49.1 megabytes per second. Now, that means for 19 to 49 million characters per second, and [yet] the world wide web would not support that rate of transfer, not for anybody who’s just, you know, a hacker coming in across the net, trying to do it. They won’t support that kind [speed] of transfer, and some people thought we could be wrong [and] that it could be done, and so we said okay, we’re going to try it. So, we organized some hackers in Europe, to try to transfer a data set from the U.S. over to Europe, to see how fast we could get it there, and we tried it from Albania, and Serbia, a couple of places in the Netherlands, and London. Well, we got various rates, but the highest rate we got was between the data center in New Jersey and one in London, and that was [the one which had gone at] 49.1 megabytes per second, and it went at 12 megabytes per second, which is one-fourth the rate, little less than one-fourth the rate necessary to do the transfer at the highest rate that we saw in the Guccifer 2 data, which meant it didn’t go across the net, so, in fact, the file rate transfers couldn’t. We were nowhere near the maximum rate that [would have been necessary if this had been a hack]. And so we said, okay, if anybody has a way of getting it there, let us know, and we’ll help you try to get to do that, and so far no one has ever come forward to dispute either the facts on the DNC data last file, modified file times, nor the transfer rates, for the Guccifer 2.

Plus, there’s another factor with Guccifer 2, there’s actually two more with Guccifer 2 data, the first of the five July data, and the one September data, if you ignored a date and hour they could merge like you’re shuffling a deck of cards the holes in the five July data timing were filled by data from the first September, that said to us that Guccifer 2 was playing with the data, separating in the two files, saying he made two different acts and and doing a range change on the date and the hour on the one file, so this to us was also an indication of fabrication on the part of Guccifer 2. Then, there’s another factor: when Guccifer 2 put out some from files on 15 june of 2016, with the signatures of Russian saying it’s a Russian hack, our fellows in the UK looking at the data found five of those files at a minimum, I don’t know they’re through yet looking, but they found five files that Guccifer 2 posted on the 15th of June with Russian signatures saying the Russians did this because of a signature they found the same five files posted by Wikileaks from a Podesta emails and they did not have the Russian signatures, so that meant Guccifer 2 was inserting Russian signatures to make it look like the Russians did the [alleged] hack. Well, if you go back to the Vault 7 release from Wikileaks again, from CIA, and you look, they have this Marble framework program that will modify files to look like someone else did the hack, and who were the countries that they had the ability to do that, in the in the Marble framework program? Well, one was Russia, the other was China, North Korea, Iran, and Arab countries. Well, to us, then, that means that the fabrication of the insert of the Russian signatures means that somebody modified the file and made it look like it fits the Marble framework definition of doing that kind of activity, which thus says all of this boosts with two materials pointing back now to CIA, as the origin of it, that’s the basic evidence we have, and none of it points to Russia.

In fact, we can’t even find anything that points to Russia, when in fact the Mueller indictment, or the Mueller report, and that Rosenstein indictment, named some that they called trolls for the Russian government, the IRA, the Internet Research Agency, out of St. Petersburg, and Russia, they named it in a court document, and, well, the IRA over there said we are no way near, we are not in any way associated with, the Russian government, so they sent lawyers in to challenge that in the court of law here in the U.S., and the court charged the government to prove it, and they couldn’t, they couldn’t prove anything, and so the judge basically reprimanded them and said you were never to mention the IRA as in any way affiliated with the Russian government again, so their whole case was falling apart. Everything looked like the rooks were two potato, was a fabrication, the alleged hack and so on, all applications, fabrication, and even if you look at some of the testimony that came out from the Crowdstrike CEO [hired by the Democratic National Committee], I think his name was Sean Henry, he said we we had no indications of exfiltrating the data, but we had evidence that it was exfiltrated. Now, if he’s talking about the last modified times as an indication of exfiltration, which it was but it wasn’t from a hack it was from a download, so that download then is an indication it was done locally as were the Guccifer 2 data that couldn’t go across the net. It was a download locally. All that stuff happened locally. In fact, some of the data and the Guccifer 2 material had all the time stamps indicating it was done on the East Coast of the United States, we had one in Central time, and one on the West Coast, but most of them fell on the East Coast, so it implied that all this stuff  [both Wikileaks and Guccifer 2] was happening on the East Coast, and that really pointed right back at CIA, as the origin of all this fabrication.

Binney wants to present this case at trial, against the CIA’s top officials under President Barack Obama.

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Car Theft Hits Record High In Los Angeles

Car Theft Hits Record High In Los Angeles

Tyler Durden

Sat, 08/01/2020 – 23:30

A COVID-19-induced recession, with exceptionally high unemployment in Los Angeles, has resulted in record-high auto thefts in 2Q20.

A new report via Crosstown LA, who examined the Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) data, reveals that 5,744 vehicle thefts occurred between April and June, up 57.7% from the same period last year.

As thousands of businesses closed in the southern California city, the unemployment rate skyrocketed past 13.2%, recorded in 2010, to 19.5%, as the virus-induced recession permanently closed businesses and severely pressure household finances

A tick up in crime is common during deep economic downturns. Months of lockdowns made vehicles susceptible to break-ins.

Crosstown also said the California Judicial Council’s passing of a new zero-dollar bail policy was another contributing factor to the surge in thefts, which meant most non-violent crimes had no bail requirements as a way to mitigate the spread of the virus in jails. 

“People are seeing that they’re not going to stay in jail, especially for car theft,” said LAPD Lieutenant Siage Hosea, who works on the Task Force for Regional Auto theft Protection.

“So what’s happening is we are seeing repeat offenders.”

Crosstown describes, in one instance, a man was arrested three times in one day for stealing a car. 

Hosea said criminals were stealing cars during the lockdowns for transportation. 

“People are just using them for transportation. They’re taking one car here, and then drive over there,” he said. “Like an Uber.”

What could lead to even more car thefts this year is the Los Angeles City Council recently defunding the LAPD to the tune of $150 million. Fewer patrols in the liberal city could mean more crime, forcing some residents to flee to the suburbs

And it’s just silly to think that New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez recently suggested crime surge in New York City is because struggling folks are forced to steal in order to “feed their child.” The streets are full of career criminals, partly due to the recession but also because liberal cities have relaxed rules for non-violent crimes. 

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2Ddu7S9 Tyler Durden

“Individuals With A Cervix” – Women Reduced To Body-Parts Under Transgender Orthodoxy

“Individuals With A Cervix” – Women Reduced To Body-Parts Under Transgender Orthodoxy

Tyler Durden

Sat, 08/01/2020 – 23:00

Authored by Monica Showalter via AmericanThinker.com,

Transgenderism has a way of penalizing women, and it’s not just from the entry of biological men into the realm of women’s sports.

Suddenly, women are being reduced to body parts, commodified, based on the strange contortions of recognizing men with body dysmorphia as actual women, and vice versa. To accomodate this small group of people, women are being reduced to spare parts.

Here’s what the Daily Mail reports:

The American Cancer Society has been slammed for using the phrase ‘individuals with a cervix’ in its latest pap screening advice, rather than women.

Cervical cancer screening is now recommended to start at 25, instead of 21, and HPV testing should begin at 25 rather than 30. 

But in updating its advice, the ACS used ‘individuals with a cervix’, rather than ‘women’ in their guidance, because transgender, non-binary and gender-nonconforming individuals can also have a cervix

And they might add, men with all the innate biology of men, are now in some absolute way, ‘women.’

Et tu, American Cancer Society?

To reduce women to body parts is absolutely dehumanizing – it’s what the porno industry does, it’s what butcher shops (which serve legitimate human needs) do. But now the medical industry is doing the same thing, reducing women to body parts as if they carried these parts around with them by choice in suitcases.

The very word ‘woman’ now has to be broken down into body part functions when in fact, all the characteristics that amount to being a woman or being a man are entirely integral to one’s personhood. It goes right down into the DNA and chromosomes, XX for women, XY for men. No transgender surgery can change that, and it would be insane to treat someone medically as if they held the opposite configuration.

Which explains why even the medical field has now got to balance bowing to the political correctness with actual medical treatment for particular conditions that can affect women.

This sort of thing started with ‘hormones’ as if that were the only thing that made women women, and men men — hormonal treatment was the only thing necessary for born-male athlete to compete in female sports as long as they claimed the name of ‘woman.’

But women are much more than hormones – there’s muscle, bone structure and countless things that integrate together to make women women and men men. 

Now women are being reduced to ‘individuals with a cervix’ instead of recognized for their entire design. 

What’s bad here is that this won’t be the end of it. If women can be reduced to body parts, it’s only a matter of time before more commodification happens. Body parts will eventually become like property, and perhaps bought and sold. And if bought and sold is the norm, then graded by quality – USDA choice, as commodities are. After that, they could also be stolen, or expropriated. Just as disgusting, a woman who’s had a double masectomy could easily be classified as ‘not a woman,’ since women are now being defined by parts.

The early feminist movement put a lot of steam into demanding that women not be commodified, reduced to body parts – and now it’s all going that direction now. 

This can get very grotesque, very Orwellian. Heaven help us.

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“We’re Screwed”: The Worst Months For Both Renters And Landlords Still Lie Ahead

“We’re Screwed”: The Worst Months For Both Renters And Landlords Still Lie Ahead

Tyler Durden

Sat, 08/01/2020 – 22:30

Rent has barely trickled in across the U.S. over the last couple months as the country continues to grapple with a decimated economy as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. The only reason that many landlords have not gone belly-up alongside of their respective tenants has been due to the emergency “relief” provided by the government in the form of relentlessly printing, handing out and destroying the U.S. dollar.

Now, with further emergency funding still up in the air and eviction moratoriums about to expire, an ugly picture is starting to emerge for both renters and their landlords. In fact, Bloomberg predicts that the “worst is yet to come”. 

33% of renters didn’t make their full payment in the first week of July, a recent survey showed. This means that 12 million renters could face eviction over the next four months. In places like New York and Houston, more than 20% of renters say they have “no confidence” in their ability to pay rent next month. 

John Pollock, staff attorney at the Public Justice Center, commented: “You’d have to go back to the Great Depression to find the kind of numbers we’re looking at right now. There’s almost no precedent for this, which is why it’s so scary.”

If he thinks the economic numbers are scary, he should look into how the Fed is trying to paper over them – that’s even scarier.

The pandemic caused layoffs across the country beginning in March and, since then, many U.S. citizens have been relying on the government dole, credit cards or digging into their savings to survive. About 11 million renters spend at least half of their income just keeping a roof over their head, Bloomberg writes.

While stimulus measures – including $1,200 checks that went out months ago and eviction moratoriums – helped the problem, the government is still struggling to extend those measures. Unemployment benefits, which were hiked by $600 per week during the pandemic, also remain an unknown. 

One analysis says that landlords could wind up losing more than $22 billion in rent over the next four months as a result of the economy. Chuck Sheldon, who manages about 1,650 apartments in New Mexico has said that the $600 unemployment boost was a “huge” part of him still being able to collect most rents on time. 

Mary Cunningham, vice president of the Metropolitan Housing and Communities Policy Center at the Urban Institute, said: “If Congress doesn’t do anything, I think we are in for a dark fall and winter.”

John Pawlowski, a senior analyst at real estate research firm Green Street Advisors, has a different take. He thinks there won’t be an “immediate” crash if unemployment benefits are not extended: “People still need a place to live.”

Former bartender and 33 year old Brooke Martin disagrees. She told Bloomberg that she can’t cover her $1,800 per month apartment on unemployment, after she pays off student loans and utilities.

She concluded: “As of the end of the month, we’re screwed. There’s just no two ways about it.”

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3gymwMJ Tyler Durden

Obese People Are Twice As Likely To Die From Covid

Obese People Are Twice As Likely To Die From Covid

Tyler Durden

Sat, 08/01/2020 – 21:58

Just in case Americans – the most obese nation in the world – needed another reason to lose some weight, here it is.

In what is emerging as a perfidious Catch 22, at a time when the US population is rapidly gaining weight due to mandatory work from home regulation (hence the Covid 19 pounds) as described here and here, while a surge in domestic alcohol consumption is only making the matters worse…

… Public Health England has published a paper titled “Excess Weight and COVID-19  Insights from new evidence“, indicating that the risks of hospitalization, intensive care treatment and death increase progressively with increasing body mass index (BMI) above the healthy weight range even after adjustment for potential confounding factors, including demographic and socioeconomic factors. In other words, the fatter one is, the higher the risk that person may die from covid.

Some more details: according to the Public Health England paper, the hazard ratios of ICU admission patients who are overweight (BMI ≥25-29.9), obese (BMI ≥30-34.9) or severely obese (BMI ≥35) are 1.64, 2.59 and 4.35, respectively  see figure below) relative to patients with a BMI of ≥20-24.9.

The study also showed an increasing risk of death with increasing BMI with hazard ratios of 1.05, 1.40 and 1.92 for people with a BMI of 30-34, 35-39.9 and ≥40, respectively, relative to BMI <30. In a nutshell, people who are severely obese are twice as likely to die from Covid.

Which, in a world where facts could be discussed instead of dismissed and slammed as “racist”, would mean that certain races and genders are especially at risk. However, because charts like the one below are racist, it’s best to wallow in ignorance and accuse white people for what is taking place.

Source: Public Health England

And while being overweight does not seem to increase people’s chances of contracting COVID-19 according to the study, it can affect the respiratory system, and potentially immune function as well.

And since no crisis will ever be put to waste by a nanny state which after the covid pandemic will control virtually every aspect of our lives, the British government plans to initiate an anti-obesity campaign including strict rules on how junk food is advertised and sold in the UK.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2DlCL0J Tyler Durden