UAW Authorizes Union Leaders To Strike During Contract Negotiations With GM, Ford, & Fiat

The United Auto Workers have “overwhelmingly” authorized union leaders to strike during contact negotiations with GM, Ford and Fiat this year – a move that would likely throw a massive wrench in the already grinding gears of the auto industry, which is mired in global recession, according to CNBC

On Tuesday, the union announced that roughly 96% of members at each of the automakers supported the action. This number is down from negotiations four years ago, when workers at GM and Fiat supported a strike by 97% and 98%, respectively. 

GM is expected to lead the negotiations, which are being called “the most contentious in at least a decade” due to industry slowdowns and the ongoing trade war. Negotiations are also expected to be tough due to GM’s plans to potentially shutter four U.S. facilities in Michigan and Ohio. 

At the same time, there is an ongoing (and widening) Federal probe into union corruption that resulted in UAW President Gary Jones’ home being searched last week by federal officials. 

The probe has already resulted in convictions of eight union and company officials associated with Fiat. Charges were also filed against Michael Grimes, a former UAW official that was assigned to GM’s department and who allegedly took $2 million in kickbacks from UAW vendors. Jones has not been charged. 

Any type of strike could be extremely detrimental to the industry, given its precarious state. For example, in 2007, a two day strike against GM stopped production at more than 80 facilities and cost the automaker more than $300 million a day. 

Negotiations this year will affect the wages and benefits for 158,000 auto workers and will lay out investment plans in coming years for the companies. Current contracts are set to expire on September 14, but this deadline is often pushed back weeks or months. 

Jones called the vote a “key tool in the toolbelt as our bargaining team sits across from the company.”

Authorizing a strike through a vote is one of the “rudimentary” steps in the negotiating process and is part of the union’s constitution. Results of the strike vote are almost always unanimous and don’t mean that there is, or will be, a strike.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2MShwHz Tyler Durden

China And Iran Flesh Out Strategic Partnership

Authored by Simon Watkins via Petroleum-Economist.com,

Iran’s foreign minister Mohammad Zarif paid a visit to his Chinese counterpart Wang Li at the end of August to present a road map for the China-Iran comprehensive strategic partnership, signed in 2016.

The updated agreement echoes many of the points contained in previous China-Iran accords, and already in the public domain. However, many of the key specifics of this new understanding will not be released to the public, despite representing a potentially material shift to the global balance of the oil and gas sector, according to a senior source closely connected to Iran’s petroleum ministry who spoke exclusively to Petroleum Economist in late August.

The central pillar of the new deal is that China will invest $280bn developing Iran’s oil, gas and petrochemicals sectors. This amount may be front-loaded into the first five-year period of the deal but the understanding is that further amounts will be available in every subsequent five-year period, subject to both parties’ agreement.

There will be another $120bn investment in upgrading Iran’s transport and manufacturing infrastructure, which again can be front-loaded into the first five-year period and added to in each subsequent period should both parties agree.

Chinese presence

Among other benefits, Chinese companies will be given the first refusal to bid on any new, stalled or uncompleted oil and gasfield developments. Chinese firms will also have first refusal on opportunities to become involved with any and all petchems projects in Iran, including the provision of technology, systems, process ingredients and personnel required to complete such projects.

“This will include up to 5,000 Chinese security personnel on the ground in Iran to protect Chinese projects, and there will be additional personnel and material available to protect the eventual transit of oil, gas and petchems supply from Iran to China, where necessary, including through the Persian Gulf,” says the Iranian source.

“China will also be able to buy any and all oil, gas and petchems products at a minimum guaranteed discount of 12pc to the six-month rolling mean price of comparable benchmark products, plus another 6pc to 8pc of that metric for risk-adjusted compensation.”

Under the terms of the new agreement, Petroleum Economist understands, China will be granted the right to delay payment for Iranian production up to two years. China will also be able to pay in soft currencies that it has accrued from doing business in Africa and the Former Soviet Union (FSU) states, in addition to using renminbi should the need arise—meaning that no US dollars will be involved in these commodity transaction payments from China to Iran.

“Given the exchange rates involved in converting these soft currencies into hard currencies that Iran can obtain from its friendly Western banks—including Europäisch-Iranische Handelsbank [in Germany], Oberbank [in Austria] and Halkbank [in Turkey]—China is looking at another 8-12pc discount [relative to the dollar price of the average benchmarks], which means a total discount of up to 32pc for China on all oil, gas and petchems purchases,” the source says.

Another positive factor for China is that its close involvement in the build-out of Iran’s manufacturing infrastructure will be entirely in line with its One Belt, One Road initiative. China intends to utilise the low cost labour available in Iran to build factories, designed and overseen by large Chinese manufacturing companies, with identical specifications and operations to those in China, according to the Iranian source.

Transport infrastructure

The resulting products will be able to enter Western markets via routes built or enhanced by China’s increasing involvement in Iran’s transport infrastructure. When the draft deal was presented in late August to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei by Iran’s vice president, Eshaq Jahangiri—and senior figures from the Economic and Finance Ministry, the Petroleum Ministry and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps—he announced that Iran had signed a contract with China to implement a project to electrify the main 900km railway connecting Tehran to the north-eastern city of Mashhad. Jahangiri added that there are also plans to establish a Tehran-Qom-Isfahan high-speed train line and to extend this upgraded network up to the north-west through Tabriz.

Tabriz, home to a number of key oil, gas and petchems sites, and the starting point for the Tabriz-Ankara gas pipeline, will be a pivot point of the 2,300km New Silk Road that links Urumqi (the capital of China’s western Xinjiang Province) to Tehran, connecting Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan along the way, and then via Turkey into Europe, says the Iranian source.

The pipeline plan will require the co-operation of Russia, as it regards the FSU states as its backyard. And, because, until recently, Russia was weighing a similarly all-encompassing standalone deal with Iran. So, according to the source, the agreement includes a clause allowing at least one Russian company to have the option of being involved, also on discounted terms, alongside a Chinese operator.

Benefits for Iran

The Iranians expect three key positives from the 25-year deal, according to the source.

The first flows from China being one of just five countries to hold permanent member status on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). Russia, tangentially included in the new deal, also holds a seat, alongside the US, the UK and France.

“[The deal] will include up to 5,000 Chinese security personnel on the ground in Iran to protect Chinese projects”

“In order to circumvent any further ramping up of sanctions—and over time encourage the US to come back to the negotiating table—Iran now has two out of five UNSC votes on its side. The fact that [Iran foreign minister Mohammad] Zarif showed up unexpectedly at the G7 summit in August at the invitation of France may imply it has another permanent member on side,” he adds.

A second Iranian positive is that the deal will allow it to finally expedite increases in oil and gas production from three of its key fields. China has agreed to up the pace on its development of one of Iran’s flagship gas field project, Phase 11 of the giant South Pars gas field (SP11). China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), one of China’s ‘big three’ producers, added to its 30pc holding in the field when it took over Total’s 50.1pc stake, following the French major’s withdrawal in response to US sanctions. CNPC had since made little progress developing SP11—a 30pc+ discount to the global market price on potential condensate and LNG exports could change that.

China has also agreed to increase production from Iran’s West Karoun oil fields—including North Azadegan, operated by CNPC, and Yadavaran, operated by fellow ‘big three’ firm Sinopec—by an additional 500,000bl/d by the end of 2020. Iran hopes to increase projected recovery rates from these West Karoun fields, which it shares with neighbour Iraq, from a current 5pc of reserves in place to at least 25pc by the end of 2021 at the very latest. “For every percentage point increase, the recoverable reserves figure would increase by 670mn bl, or around $34bn in revenues even with oil at $50/bl,” the Iranian source says.

A final Iranian benefit is that China has agreed to increase imports of Iranian oil, in defiance of a US decision not to extend China’s waiver on imports from Iran in May. China’s General Administration of Customs (GAC) figures released in late August show that, far from reducing its Iranian imports, China imported over 925,000bl/d from the country in July, up by 4.7pc month-on-month, from an already high base.

The actual figure is still higher, according to the Iranian source, with excess barrels being kept in floating storage in and around China; without having gone through customs they do not show up on customs data, but are effectively part of China’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2ZvHW8F Tyler Durden

Chinese Equity Markets Are Starting To Ignore President Trump’s Trade-Related Tweets

President Trump’s use of Twitter to update the world on the ongoing trade war with China has put the social media platform in the spotlight globally – especially for equity traders, according to Bloomberg. As global markets and market participants react almost daily to Trump’s Twitter clues on how trade tensions are faring, there’s one part of the world that’s starting to grow numb to Trump’s social media posts: China. 

There’s a couple of reasons that China is starting to ignore Trump’s tweets.

  • First, China doesn’t have easy access to them, since the social media service is banned there.

  • Additionally, the President’s tweets often occur outside of Chinese trading hours, causing them to have less of an effect on Chinese markets than U.S. markets.

  • Finally, the novelty simply seems to be wearing off.  

Zhang Haidong, a fund manager at Jinkuang Investment Management in Shanghai said:

 “It’s pointless following him too closely — he might say something today and it will be a whole different story tomorrow. Trading off his tweets alone would be too volatile.”

Trump has constantly moved markets with tweets on a vast array of topics, including China, North Korea, Amazon and Harley Davdison. He has downplayed the impact he has had on markets, however. After being asked about a market move lower last month, Trump responded: “…don’t tell me about 600 points.”

Trump’s tweets have moved Chinese markets in the past, but his influence there is waning. Back on May 6, two tweets from Trump sent global markets plunging, with the Shanghai Composite falling 5.6% – its biggest drop in more than 3 years. China’s own Twitter-like platform scrambled to remove posts about Trump’s comments. Volatility in Shanghai shot to 3 year highs. 

But since then, the effect of Trump’s tweets have worn off. Bloomberg offered two more recent examples:

The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.9% Wednesday as traders shrugged off Trump’s Tuesday tweet that said a trade deal with China would be much tougher if he’s re-elected. Declines on the gauge were also limited to 1.4% when Trump announced more tariffs in early August and later that month. The 50-day volatility measure is now near the lowest since February last year.

Fu Gang, a fund manager with Shanghai River East Asset Management Advisory Ltd. said: “People have very low expectations for a trade war resolution and valuations have fully priced that in.”

Trump’s tweets in China have to be shared in chat groups on places like WeChat, but the delay doesn’t seem to be a concern. 

Lin Qi, fund manager at Lingze Capital said:

 “These tweets have a very short-term effect on the market so second-hand sources like screenshots or news reports are enough — we’re in it for the mid-to-long term.”

Elle Shi, fund manager at Manulife Teda Fund Management Co. said:

 “When the trade war first started, the market fluctuated as people reacted emotionally. Now everyone recognizes this will be a long-term negotiation process.”

Liang Jinxin, a strategist with Tianfeng Securities Co. concluded: 

“I’m growing numb to all this. Just buy when the markets drop on the bad news, as you know that will be followed by good news after a while.”

Despite the ongoing trade war, China’s Shanghai Composite is up 19% this year. The Yuan, on the other hand, endured its worst month versus the dollar on record in August. 

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2PIQqEN Tyler Durden

The Media Cannot Talk Us Into Recession

Authored by John Tamny via RealClearMarkets.com,

“The way the media reports the weather won’t impact whether the sun shines tomorrow. But the way the media reports on our national economy weighs on consumer sentiment, which feeds into consumer purchases and investments.”

Those are the words of Tomas Phillipson, President Trump’s acting Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, as spoken to Jim Tankersley and Jeanna Smialek of the New York Times.

Phillipson’s comment is a reminder that some conservatives can unsheathe the victim card as ably as their reliably outraged opponents on the left.

The media can talk down the economy? What can Phillipson possibly mean? Why did Tankersley and Smialek so readily accept such ludicrous reasoning from Phillipson?

Missed by those who view consumption as the driver of growth is that we all have theoretically infinite desires to consume that are logically only limited by our individual ability to produce. West Virginia isn’t poor relative to Texas because its people don’t consume as much; rather they consume less because they produce less. Consumption is a consequence of production, not a driver. Keynesians get it backwards.

That’s what’s so unfortunate about Phillipson’s response. Not only is it sappy victimology, not only does it ascribe a power to the media that plainly doesn’t exist, but it also speaks to a misunderstanding of how economies work. Simply put, there’s never a problem of insufficient consumption.

Consider Phillipson himself. It’s not unreasonable to suggest that he has savings. If so, his alleged failure to consume in no way detracts from consumption. Figure that banks would be quickly insolvent if they paid him a rate of interest on funds deposited, only to sit on the funds. More realistically, any money not spent by Phillipson is rapidly loaned out to those who will.

But the bigger story here is that assuming what’s not serious, that the media could convince Americans that the economic sky is falling, this would if anything exist as a boost for the economy. Think about it.

What are businesses constantly in search of, but often fruitlessly? The answer is kind of simple: businesses are endlessly searching for capital, for the savings of others that they can use to build up their inventories, invest in existing employees, hire new ones, etc. It’s a frequent theme of this column, but one can never stress too often the basic truth that innovations and subsequent productivity increases are almost always a function of investment. Assuming reduced spending that results from media fear mongering, the consumption drop off will work as an economic boost for businesses being able to access capital from a more abundant pool of same.

Savings are the driver of economic growth simply because there’s no growth without investment, and that’s a major reason why untouched recessions result in much bigger economic booms. It’s the reduction of spending that boosts capital availability, and it’s the growth of capital availability that gradually redounds to increased productivity. Repeat it over and over again: there’s never a problem of deficient consumption. There can only be production deficiencies.

So while the notion of media talking down the economy is baseless, presidents have power that the media lack. They do because dollar policy, and in particular dollar exchange rate policy, is part of the U.S. Treasury’s portfolio.

This rates prominent mention given a Tweet from President Trump last week. He wrote: 

“The Euro is dropping against the Dollar ‘like crazy, giving them a big export and manufacturing advantage…and the Fed does NOTHING! Our Dollar is now the strongest in history. Sounds good, doesn’t it. Except to those (manufacturers) that make product for sale outside the U.S.”

There’s so much wrong with Trump’s argument. First off, a weak dollar in no way enhances the competitiveness of U.S. manufacturers. They’re reliant on imported inputs, which means a weak dollar raises the cost of producing all manner of goods and services manufactured in the U.S.

Where it gets funny and sad at the same time is that a falling dollar is logically anti-saving, which means it’s anti-investment. If the dollar is in decline, those with extra funds have every incentive to spend them with abandon. Why delay consumption if the dollars saved will be exchangeable for less down the line? Along similar lines, why commit capital to new ideas if any returns will come back in dollars exchangeable for less? Absent productivity-boosting investment, it’s difficult for companies to be competitive.

To all this, Trump and his partisans will say that the dollar “is now the strongest in history,” but it isn’t. Goodness, the dollar purchased 360 yen in 1971, 250 in 1985, yet now it purchases 105. As for the euro, when the 21st century began the dollar dwarfed the euro. Now it isn’t even exchangeable for one. But the main thing is that every global currency floats. That the dollar is lately “stronger” than the euro and yen only means something insofar as all of the currencies can be measured against something objective. Looked at in terms of gold, the dollar reached its lowest point in August of 2011 when gold rose to $1,900, but at $1,554 the greenback is nearing historical lows.

Source: Bloomberg

So while the dollar is “strong” of late, it only is versus floating currencies that are weaker than the rapidly weakening dollar. This is what Trump wants, and markets are complying. It will be an investment negative. During periods of devaluation, wealth that already exists (like gold) becomes attractive to investors seeking protection from devaluation. During periods of dollar stability, wealth that doesn’t yet exist (think stock and bond income streams) becomes a more attractive savings destination. It’s investment in what doesn’t yet exist that powers growth, yet Trump’s devaluationist policies are favoring a blast to the past.

It’s something for readers to think about, and for Trump partisans to ponder. He’s had successes and failures in his presidency as all do. Crucial here is that no presidency since 1971 has prospered amid a falling dollar. It’s once again anti-investment, which means it’s anti economic growth. Hopefully someone inside the Trump administration relays this to a president who is often wrong about dollar policy, but never in doubt. 

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2LrIYIR Tyler Durden

Obama White House Counsel Greg Craig Acquitted Over Lying About Ukraine Work

Former Obama White House attorney Gregory Craig has been found not guilty of lying to federal officials about his work for the Ukrainian government on a project led by jailed lobbyist Paul Manafort, according to the Washington Post

The 74-year-old Craig, a former top legal adviser to both Bill Clinton and Obama, was facing one felony count of making false statements to investigators who were probing whether he and his law firm, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom should have registered under the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA), which requires Americans being paid by foreign governments or politicians to influence US policy to register with the DOJ. 

The report was commissioned by the Ukrainian government in a project led by Paul Manafort, a political adviser to Yanukovych. A wealthy Ukrainian businessman, Viktor Pinchuk, secretly paid Skadden $4.15 million for work on the report, testimony showed. –WaPo

Of note, lobbyist Tony Podesta retroactively filed his FARA registration while working for the same Manafort-led effort, weeks before Manafort was indicted by special counsel Robert Mueller. 

The 12 jurors took less than a day to conclude that Craig – who testified that he never lied to investigators – did not intentionally cover up details of his involvement in a media outreach for the Ukrainian report

Craig, President Barack Obama’s first White House counsel and impeachment counsel for former Yale Law School classmate President Bill Clinton, took the stand in his own defense, saying he did not lie, never believed he had a role in Ukraine’s media plan and played no role in formulating it.

Craig was the first prominent Democrat charged in an investigation spun off from special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s Russia probe.

The charge carried up to a five-year prison sentence, although federal guidelines could recommend probation for a first-time offender. –WaPo

Prosecutors had argued that Craig failed to register under FARA because disclosure of his Ukraine work would negatively reflect on his firm and hinder his colleagues’ ability to quickly return to government service

Assistant US Attorney Fernando Campoamor-Sanchez told jurors that Craig’s status as a very experienced Washington attorney meant that he should have known better than to lie. 

“It doesn’t get more experienced than Mr. Craig,” said Campoamor-Sanchez. “He’s a man of position. He’s very careful about what he does and how he does it.”

Still, Campoamor-Sanchez added, Craig chose to conceal information in order to prevent potentially damaging details about his firm’s work with Ukraine from surfacing. He said those details included payment arrangements for the report, which allowed the bulk of Skadden’s more than $4 million fee to be provided by a wealthy Ukrainian businessman sympathetic to Yanukovych’s government.

Ukraine’s Ministry of Justice stated publicly in 2012 that it had agreed to pay Skadden about $12,000 for its work. Although Craig and his law firm did tell the FARA unit about the third-party payer situation, it declined to reveal the particular individual because he didn’t want his identity disclosed. Much of the money Skadden received for the report was wired through a bank account in Cyprus controlled by former Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort. –Bloomberg

The core of the US Government’s case revolved around emails between Craig and a New York Times journalist, along with a hand-delivered copy of the Ukraine report to the journalist’s Washington home prior to it being made public. Craig wrote that the Ukrainians “have determined” that the reporter should be allowed an exclusive first look at the report. Craig also offered to discuss the report. 

Jurors also heard testimony from former Trump campaign aide Rick Gates, who cooperated under a plea deal. Gates, during his work for Manafort’s consulting firm, helped facilitate third-party payments to Skadden for its report.

At that time, both Manafort and Gates were advising Yanukovych, whom they helped get elected.

The government attempted to use Gates’s testimony to paint Craig as a willing participant in the public relations plan for the Skadden report. But Craig’s defense team cited Gates’s past crimes, conspiracy and lying to federal investigators, to discredit his testimony.

He is, in plain and simple terms, a con artist,” Murphy said during closing arguments. “This is a man who will do anything to get probation.” –Bloomberg

In January, Skadden turned over $4.6 million it made in Ukraine in a deal struck with the Justice Department. The firm admitted that it should have registered for its 2012 and 2013 work, and that Craig made “false and misleading oral and written statements.” 

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America’s-Own “Ministry Of Truth” Unleashes The Military To Fight “Disinformation”

Authored by Mac Slavo via SHTFplan.com,

The dystopian times warned about by George Orwell in his iconic book, 1984 are upon us.  The United States has just unleashed DARPA (The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency) and the Pentagon, as their own Ministry of Truth in order to control and manipulate the information Americans are privy to.

The Pentagon has unveiled an initiative to fight “large-scale, automated disinformation attacks” by unearthing deep-fakes and other polarizing content with the eventual goal of rooting out so-called “malicious intent” entirely. You had better get your thinking in line with the Pentagon and DARPA, or things could get ugly quickly.

The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) is seeking software capable of churning through a test set of half a million news stories, photos, and audio/video clips to target and neutralize potentially viral information before it spreads. In DARPA jargon, the aim is to “automatically detect, attribute, and characterize falsified multi-modal media to defend against large-scale, automated disinformation attacks.”  

“Polarizing viral content,” however, includes inflammatory truths, and the program’s ultimate goal seems to be to stamp out dissent. –RT

The authoritarianism and control the government believes they have over others is unbelievable. But unfortunately, too many people are perfectly fine with others manipulating their own thoughts and behaviors.

The desired software will not just identify a particular meme as inauthentic. It will identify the source of that meme, the alleged intent behind it, and predict the impact of its spread. According to the Pentagon, they just want to even the playing field between the “good guys” (who they say is good, like politicians) and the “bad guys” (those who are sowing discord and bucking authoritarianism by dissenting.)  The Pentagon’s targets aren’t limited to deepfakes either. That’s just the bogeyman-of-the-month being used to justify this unprecedented military intrusion into the social media and news realm, or information at all. If the program is successful after four years of trials, it will be expanded to target all “malicious intent” – that should send chills down the spine of any journalist who’s ever disagreed with the political establishment’s narrative.

The U.S. government has quickly transformed themselves into the U.S.S.A. without very many noticing and the mainstream media will play along in order to make sure the slaves stay in line without asking questions.

But perhaps the worst part about all of this is that the government itself, including the Pentagon, has an extensive history of running fake social media profiles to collect data on persons of interest, including through the NSA’s JTRIG information-war program revealed in the Snowden documents. Agents regularly deploy reputational attacks against dissidents using false information. Fake identities are used to cajole unsuspecting individuals into collaborating in fake FBI “terror” plots, a phenomenon which might once have been called entrapment but is merely business as usual in the post-9/11 U.S.SA.

All of this begs the question: how will DARPA determine the “intent” behind any meme or bit of information? Will they punish journalists who push fakes for the political establishment? Probably not. This is where the “impact” and “intent” fields come in handy for them: fakes from “trusted sources” will be let through, while fakes and real stories designed to “undermine key individuals and organizations” (dissent and those who seek freedom from the political class) will be terminated before they have an impact on the thoughts of others. When “disinformation” is redefined to include all potentially polarizing stories that don’t conform to the establishment narrative, reality is discarded as so much fake news and replaced with Pentagon-approved pablum.

This should be enough to terrify anyone who has ever disagreed with the government.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2Ljc1iQ Tyler Durden

Amicus brief on lawsuits against gun manufacturers invokes NY Times v. Sullivan

Should gun manufacturers be liable for misuse of guns? Should printing press manufacturers be liable for misuse of presses? The answer to both questions is “no,” according to an amicus brief I filed today in support of a Supreme Court cert. petition. Amici include the Cato Institute, the Firearms Policy Coalition, several other civil rights organizations, and professors with expertise in the First and Second Amendments–including the VC’s Eugene Volokh and Randy Barnett.

The case is Remington v. Soto, an appeal from a 4-3 decision of the Connecticut Supreme Court. The 2005 federal Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act (PLCAA) prohibits most lawsuits against firearms businesses. The protection does not apply to guns that are actually defective (e.g., a gun that accidentally fires even when the trigger is not pressed). Nor does PLCAA forbid suits where a firearms or ammunition manufacturer or seller “knowingly violated a State or Federal statute applicable to the sale or marketing of the product, and the violation was a proximate cause of the harm.” 15 U.S.C. § 7903(5)(A)(iii).

As the amicus brief details, PLCAA was enacted because a coordinated group of local government officials, aided and abetted by HUD Secretary Andrew Cuomo, had filed lawsuits against handgun manufacturers and firearms trade association intended to bankrupt them from litigation costs. Although the defendants had complied with all of the many laws about the manufacture and sale of guns (and the trade associations did not even make or sell guns), the government sought to impose liability based on on broad and nebulous tort theories, such as unfair trade practices, public nuisance, and so on.

After PLCAA became law, plaintiffs continued to bring suits based on the same theories, and alleged that the suits were allowed by the statutory exception for defendants who “knowingly violated a State or Federal statute applicable to the sale or marketing” of firearms or ammunition.

These suits were consistently rejected by the courts, which recognized that plaintiffs’ theory of the PLCAA exception would negate the rest of the statute. However, earlier this year a divided Connecticut Supreme Court held that Remington’s advertising for the Bushmaster AR-15 was a violation of Connecticut’s unfair trade practices statute. Therefore, Remington could be held liable for the 2012 murders at Sandy Hook Elementary School, in which the criminal used an AR-15 rifle that he stole from his mother after he murdered her.

As Remington’s cert. petition points out, the 4-3 Connecticut decision is contrary to the text and legislative history of PLCAA, and contrary to PLCAA cases around the nation. An amicus brief from several state Attorneys General describes the harm that the Connecticut decision does to PLCAA’s policy of cooperative federalism. The statutory interpretation arguments are elaborated in a brief by 22 members of the House of Representatives. Gun Owners of America concentrates on canons of statutory construction. The National Rifle Association and the Connecticut Citizens Defense League point out that allowing the Connecticut decision to stand will nullify PLCAA and lead to the destruction of the firearms industry. The National Shooting Sports Foundation–one of the trade associations that was targeted in the abusive lawsuits–addresses the doctrine of constitutional avoidance: if a statute can be interpreted in two ways, and one interpretation would raise serious constitutional problems, then the other interpretation should be preferred.

My brief provides a different perspective, examining PLCAA in the broader context of abusive lawsuits against the exercise of constitutional rights–in particular, the abusive libel suits that led to the Supreme Courts’s 1964 decision New York Times v. Sullivan.

As the brief explains, before and during the Civil Rights movement, abusive tort actions were used to silence newspapers that exposed abuses in the Jim Crow South. Civil rights
opponents retaliated against such papers through libel suits, even if the article was factually correct. The black press in the South had been targeted for decades and could not afford the costs of litigation. When the national media began significant coverage of civil rights in the South, it too was targeted. Weaponized suits deterred and punished out-of-staters from reporting on Alabama. Eventually, the Supreme Court had to quell the lawsuit abuse, starting with Sullivan, and with follow-up decisions for several years.

Just as abusive civil suits threatened the First Amendment before Sullivan, abusive civil suits began threatening the Second Amendment in the 1980s. Frustrated by insufficient progress in legislatures, gun control advocates brought many product liability suits
against firearm manufacturers and retailers. Although the plaintiffs won only one case, they succeeded in imposing heavy legal costs on the firearms industry.

In the 1990s, dozens of local governments coordinated new lawsuits with the express intention of destroying the firearms industry through litigation costs. Additionally, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Cuomo organized federally funded housing
authorities to bring more suits. Several firearm manufacturers went bankrupt, and others were driven to the brink.

Finally, just as the Supreme Court halted the abusive lawsuits against the press in Sullivan, Congress enacted the Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act to end
the abusive lawsuits against the firearms industry. Suits based on unfair trade practices and other amorphous theories were among those that Congress expressly intended to forbid.

In the instant case, the Connecticut majority held that Remington’s “militaristic marketing” was an illegal unfair trade practice. The holding strikes at the First Amendment as well as the Second. The notion that it is illegal for firearms advertisers to use “militaristic” themes is absurd. The exercise of the right to keep and bear arms
has always had a relationship to military use of arms. For example, the first clause of the Second Amendment is about “a well regulated militia.” Colonial assemblies, early state legislatures, and Congress in 1792 mandated that American citizens possess firearms and edged weapons. The federal and state arms mandates were not enacted by legislatures insistent that everyone go duckhunting. They were enacted so that the population
would have combat weapons. If guns were not useful for interpersonal fighting, they would not be “arms,” and would not be protected by the Second Amendment.

The wisdom of the American approach to widespread citizen possession of arms was vindicated in World War II, when Hawaii and Maryland relied on volunteer citizens, bringing their own arms, for defense against enemy invaders or saboteurs. Many of the most iconic firearms for American citizens got their start as military arms; these include Colt revolvers, the 16-shot Henry rifle of 1861, and the .30-06 bolt-action rifle (today, a hunting favorite, and in 1906, the U.S. Army service rifle).

Starting in 1903 with congressional creation of the Civilian Marksmanship Program and the National Board for the Promotion of Rifle Practice, the policy of the federal government has been to encourage and subsidize civilian proficiency with arms, particularly, military surplus. By the Connecticut Supreme Court’s theory, Congress itself was guilty of an unfair trade practice for using “militaristic” language to encourage citizens to arm themselves.

When the Supreme Court saw the problem of abusive lawsuits against the freedom of the press, the Court “revolutionized the American law of libel . . . in one sudden burst of federal judicial power.” (Rodney Smolla, Suing the Press 27 (1986)). The Remington case and its scores of predecessors are an even more egregious abuse of constitutional rights. New York Times v. Sullivan grew out of a 1960 advertisement in the Times that included some false statements about the actions of the Montgomery, Alabama, government, of which L.B. Sullivan was a commissioner. Mr. Sullivan sued the Times, which had published the false statements, but he didn’t sue the manufacturer of the printing presses that the Times had used to print the papers.

Suing gun manfacturers for third-party misuse is no more legitimate that suing printing presses for third-party misuse. The suit is all the more abusive in the Remington case, where there is no evidence that the reclusive, deranged criminal who stole the gun from its lawful purchaser had ever seen a Remington advertisement.

Constitutionally speaking, press manufacturers and arms manufacturers are equivalent. To “the Framing generation, the connection” between presses and arms was “commonsensical. The right to bear arms and the freedom of the press presented the exact same type of question for the Framers: can there ever be a natural right to a
man-made device? In the case of arms and presses, the Framers believed so.” Edward Lee, Guns and Speech Technologies: How the Right to Bear Arms Affects Copyright Regulations of Speech Technologies, 17 Wm. & Mary Bill of Rights J. 1037, 1049–50 (2009).

“It is not hard to imagine why the Framers singled out only these two technologies for constitutional protection. Madison and his contemporaries spoke about the two rights in the same breath, and often in similar ways describing them separately as private rights, the ‘palladium of liberty,’ and necessary or essential to a ‘free state.'” Id. at 1070. This is one reason why the First and Second Amendments were placed next to each other. Both safeguard natural rights—at least according to the Founders.

Imposing tort liability for third-party misuse would eliminate press manufacturers and arms manufacturers. It has always been known that presses and arms are sometimes misused. “As Madison said, ‘Some degree of abuse is inseparable from the proper use of
every thing.'” Sullivan, 376 U.S. at 271 (citing 4 Elliot’s Debates on the Federal Constitution 571 (1876)).

While the New York Times petitioners asked for a revolution in tort law to protect the First Amendment, the Remington petitioners are asking only for a faithful interpretation of a federal statute. In both cases, the stakes are the same: whether the Supreme Court will allow the misuse of tort suits to destroy an enumerated right.

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Amicus brief on lawsuits against gun manufacturers invokes NY Times v. Sullivan

Should gun manufacturers be liable for misuse of guns? Should printing press manufacturers be liable for misuse of presses? The answer to both questions is “no,” according to an amicus brief I filed today in support of a Supreme Court cert. petition. Amici include the Cato Institute, the Firearms Policy Coalition, several other civil rights organizations, and professors with expertise in the First and Second Amendments–including the VC’s Eugene Volokh and Randy Barnett.

The case is Remington v. Soto, an appeal from a 4-3 decision of the Connecticut Supreme Court. The 2005 federal Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act (PLCAA) prohibits most lawsuits against firearms businesses. The protection does not apply to guns that are actually defective (e.g., a gun that accidentally fires even when the trigger is not pressed). Nor does PLCAA forbid suits where a firearms or ammunition manufacturer or seller “knowingly violated a State or Federal statute applicable to the sale or marketing of the product, and the violation was a proximate cause of the harm.” 15 U.S.C. § 7903(5)(A)(iii).

As the amicus brief details, PLCAA was enacted because a coordinated group of local government officials, aided and abetted by HUD Secretary Andrew Cuomo, had filed lawsuits against handgun manufacturers and firearms trade association intended to bankrupt them from litigation costs. Although the defendants had complied with all of the many laws about the manufacture and sale of guns (and the trade associations did not even make or sell guns), the government sought to impose liability based on on broad and nebulous tort theories, such as unfair trade practices, public nuisance, and so on.

After PLCAA became law, plaintiffs continued to bring suits based on the same theories, and alleged that the suits were allowed by the statutory exception for defendants who “knowingly violated a State or Federal statute applicable to the sale or marketing” of firearms or ammunition.

These suits were consistently rejected by the courts, which recognized that plaintiffs’ theory of the PLCAA exception would negate the rest of the statute. However, earlier this year a divided Connecticut Supreme Court held that Remington’s advertising for the Bushmaster AR-15 was a violation of Connecticut’s unfair trade practices statute. Therefore, Remington could be held liable for the 2012 murders at Sandy Hook Elementary School, in which the criminal used an AR-15 rifle that he stole from his mother after he murdered her.

As Remington’s cert. petition points out, the 4-3 Connecticut decision is contrary to the text and legislative history of PLCAA, and contrary to PLCAA cases around the nation. An amicus brief from several state Attorneys General describes the harm that the Connecticut decision does to PLCAA’s policy of cooperative federalism. The statutory interpretation arguments are elaborated in a brief by 22 members of the House of Representatives. Gun Owners of America concentrates on canons of statutory construction. The National Rifle Association and the Connecticut Citizens Defense League point out that allowing the Connecticut decision to stand will nullify PLCAA and lead to the destruction of the firearms industry. The National Shooting Sports Foundation–one of the trade associations that was targeted in the abusive lawsuits–addresses the doctrine of constitutional avoidance: if a statute can be interpreted in two ways, and one interpretation would raise serious constitutional problems, then the other interpretation should be preferred.

My brief provides a different perspective, examining PLCAA in the broader context of abusive lawsuits against the exercise of constitutional rights–in particular, the abusive libel suits that led to the Supreme Courts’s 1964 decision New York Times v. Sullivan.

As the brief explains, before and during the Civil Rights movement, abusive tort actions were used to silence newspapers that exposed abuses in the Jim Crow South. Civil rights
opponents retaliated against such papers through libel suits, even if the article was factually correct. The black press in the South had been targeted for decades and could not afford the costs of litigation. When the national media began significant coverage of civil rights in the South, it too was targeted. Weaponized suits deterred and punished out-of-staters from reporting on Alabama. Eventually, the Supreme Court had to quell the lawsuit abuse, starting with Sullivan, and with follow-up decisions for several years.

Just as abusive civil suits threatened the First Amendment before Sullivan, abusive civil suits began threatening the Second Amendment in the 1980s. Frustrated by insufficient progress in legislatures, gun control advocates brought many product liability suits
against firearm manufacturers and retailers. Although the plaintiffs won only one case, they succeeded in imposing heavy legal costs on the firearms industry.

In the 1990s, dozens of local governments coordinated new lawsuits with the express intention of destroying the firearms industry through litigation costs. Additionally, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Cuomo organized federally funded housing
authorities to bring more suits. Several firearm manufacturers went bankrupt, and others were driven to the brink.

Finally, just as the Supreme Court halted the abusive lawsuits against the press in Sullivan, Congress enacted the Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act to end
the abusive lawsuits against the firearms industry. Suits based on unfair trade practices and other amorphous theories were among those that Congress expressly intended to forbid.

In the instant case, the Connecticut majority held that Remington’s “militaristic marketing” was an illegal unfair trade practice. The holding strikes at the First Amendment as well as the Second. The notion that it is illegal for firearms advertisers to use “militaristic” themes is absurd. The exercise of the right to keep and bear arms
has always had a relationship to military use of arms. For example, the first clause of the Second Amendment is about “a well regulated militia.” Colonial assemblies, early state legislatures, and Congress in 1792 mandated that American citizens possess firearms and edged weapons. The federal and state arms mandates were not enacted by legislatures insistent that everyone go duckhunting. They were enacted so that the population
would have combat weapons. If guns were not useful for interpersonal fighting, they would not be “arms,” and would not be protected by the Second Amendment.

The wisdom of the American approach to widespread citizen possession of arms was vindicated in World War II, when Hawaii and Maryland relied on volunteer citizens, bringing their own arms, for defense against enemy invaders or saboteurs. Many of the most iconic firearms for American citizens got their start as military arms; these include Colt revolvers, the 16-shot Henry rifle of 1861, and the .30-06 bolt-action rifle (today, a hunting favorite, and in 1906, the U.S. Army service rifle).

Starting in 1903 with congressional creation of the Civilian Marksmanship Program and the National Board for the Promotion of Rifle Practice, the policy of the federal government has been to encourage and subsidize civilian proficiency with arms, particularly, military surplus. By the Connecticut Supreme Court’s theory, Congress itself was guilty of an unfair trade practice for using “militaristic” language to encourage citizens to arm themselves.

When the Supreme Court saw the problem of abusive lawsuits against the freedom of the press, the Court “revolutionized the American law of libel . . . in one sudden burst of federal judicial power.” (Rodney Smolla, Suing the Press 27 (1986)). The Remington case and its scores of predecessors are an even more egregious abuse of constitutional rights. New York Times v. Sullivan grew out of a 1960 advertisement in the Times that included some false statements about the actions of the Montgomery, Alabama, government, of which L.B. Sullivan was a commissioner. Mr. Sullivan sued the Times, which had published the false statements, but he didn’t sue the manufacturer of the printing presses that the Times had used to print the papers.

Suing gun manfacturers for third-party misuse is no more legitimate that suing printing presses for third-party misuse. The suit is all the more abusive in the Remington case, where there is no evidence that the reclusive, deranged criminal who stole the gun from its lawful purchaser had ever seen a Remington advertisement.

Constitutionally speaking, press manufacturers and arms manufacturers are equivalent. To “the Framing generation, the connection” between presses and arms was “commonsensical. The right to bear arms and the freedom of the press presented the exact same type of question for the Framers: can there ever be a natural right to a
man-made device? In the case of arms and presses, the Framers believed so.” Edward Lee, Guns and Speech Technologies: How the Right to Bear Arms Affects Copyright Regulations of Speech Technologies, 17 Wm. & Mary Bill of Rights J. 1037, 1049–50 (2009).

“It is not hard to imagine why the Framers singled out only these two technologies for constitutional protection. Madison and his contemporaries spoke about the two rights in the same breath, and often in similar ways describing them separately as private rights, the ‘palladium of liberty,’ and necessary or essential to a ‘free state.'” Id. at 1070. This is one reason why the First and Second Amendments were placed next to each other. Both safeguard natural rights—at least according to the Founders.

Imposing tort liability for third-party misuse would eliminate press manufacturers and arms manufacturers. It has always been known that presses and arms are sometimes misused. “As Madison said, ‘Some degree of abuse is inseparable from the proper use of
every thing.'” Sullivan, 376 U.S. at 271 (citing 4 Elliot’s Debates on the Federal Constitution 571 (1876)).

While the New York Times petitioners asked for a revolution in tort law to protect the First Amendment, the Remington petitioners are asking only for a faithful interpretation of a federal statute. In both cases, the stakes are the same: whether the Supreme Court will allow the misuse of tort suits to destroy an enumerated right.

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“The Europeans ‘Fabricated’ Stories About Ancient Egyptian, Greek, and Roman Civilizations—All Based on Chinese History”

From the Taiwan News (Zin Kao):

“World Civilization Research Association” scholars are claiming that Western civilization originates from China and all European languages are merely Mandarin dialects, the Liberty Times reports….

The World Civilization Research Association group of scholars are professors from a number of Chinese academic institutions. Association member Zhu Xuanshi further … said Europeans “felt ashamed” due to the “fact” there was no history in Europe before the 15th century, compared to China. In an attempt to paper over this historical humiliation, the Europeans “fabricated” stories about ancient Egyptian, Greek, and Roman civilizations—all based on Chinese history…. “Do not let fake, Western-centered history hinder the great Sino-Renaissance,” [World Civilization Research Association founder Du Gangjian] was quoted as saying.

Many Chinese citizens were unconvinced, however …. “Thanks, we can no longer laugh at the Koreans who claimed Confucius and Genghis Khan are Korean,” one commenter sardonically lamented.

This reminds me, of course, that Russia is the homeland of the elephant. Thanks to Prof. Mark Liberman (Language Log) for the pointer.

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“The Europeans ‘Fabricated’ Stories About Ancient Egyptian, Greek, and Roman Civilizations—All Based on Chinese History”

From the Taiwan News (Zin Kao):

“World Civilization Research Association” scholars are claiming that Western civilization originates from China and all European languages are merely Mandarin dialects, the Liberty Times reports….

The World Civilization Research Association group of scholars are professors from a number of Chinese academic institutions. Association member Zhu Xuanshi further … said Europeans “felt ashamed” due to the “fact” there was no history in Europe before the 15th century, compared to China. In an attempt to paper over this historical humiliation, the Europeans “fabricated” stories about ancient Egyptian, Greek, and Roman civilizations—all based on Chinese history…. “Do not let fake, Western-centered history hinder the great Sino-Renaissance,” [World Civilization Research Association founder Du Gangjian] was quoted as saying.

Many Chinese citizens were unconvinced, however …. “Thanks, we can no longer laugh at the Koreans who claimed Confucius and Genghis Khan are Korean,” one commenter sardonically lamented.

This reminds me, of course, that Russia is the homeland of the elephant. Thanks to Prof. Mark Liberman (Language Log) for the pointer.

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