Rich Millennials Plot The End Of Civilization

Rich Millennials Plot The End Of Civilization

Authored by Doug French via The Mises Institute,

The New York Times managed to find some young people whose silver spoons provide a sour taste in their mouths. To hear them talk, their good fortune is making them sick. 

“I want to build a world where someone like me, a young person who controls tens of millions of dollars, is impossible,” Sam Jacobs, 25, told the Times.

Jacobs went off to college a normal young man and came back a socialist. Suddenly his family’s “extreme, plutocratic wealth” became too much of a burden for him. 

“He wants to put his inheritance toward ending capitalism,” Zoë Beery wrote for the NYT, “and by that he means using his money to undo systems that accumulate money for those at the top, and that have played a large role in widening economic and racial inequality.”

Wow, that is some self-loathing. If only Ludwig von Mises were able to counsel young Jacobs, whose grandfather founded Qualcomm and who is set to inherit $100 million. In his book Epistemological Problems of Economics, Mises wrote, “Through all the changes in the prevailing system of social stratification, moral philosophers continued to hold fast to the fundamental idea of Cicero’s doctrine that making money is degrading.”

Beery writes that wealth is concentrated in the upper brackets and “Millennials will be the recipients of the largest generational shift of assets in American history.” 

That doesn’t seem like a worrying thought; however, it is for Rachel Gelman, a thirty-year-old in Oakland, California, who described her politics to Beery as “anticapitalist, anti-imperialist and abolitionist.”

“My money is mostly stocks, which means it comes from underpaying and undervaluing working-class people, and that’s impossible to disconnect from the economic legacies of Indigenous genocide and slavery,” the guilty Gelman said.

“Once I realized that, I couldn’t imagine doing anything with my wealth besides redistribute it to these communities.”

Mises saw it differently.

The riches of the rich are not the cause of the poverty of anybody; the process that makes some people rich is, on the contrary, the corollary of the process that improves many peoples’ want satisfaction. The entrepreneurs, the capitalists and the technologists prosper as far as they succeed in best supplying the consumers,” he wrote in The Anti-Capitalistic Mentality.

Elizabeth Baldwin is a thirty-four-year-old democratic socialist in Cambridge, Massachusetts, who was adopted from India by a white family when she was a baby. Now, thanks to her adoptive parents, she is wealthy, with a stock portfolio containing shares in Coca-Cola and Exxon-Mobil. 

But, she hates the thought of having her wealth tied up in multinational corporation shares and instead “would rather put my money into a community that has been denied economic resources and disrupts the system.” 

She’s directing her funds toward what she and other wealthy millennials describe as the “solidarity economy.” Fellow traveler and democratic socialist, Emma Thomas, a twenty-nine-year-old, described what she’s now investing in as “an economy that is about exchange and taking care of needs, that is cooperative and sustainable, and that doesn’t demand unfettered growth.”

“At some point, these numbers on a screen are imaginary,” Thomas told the Times.

“But what’s not imaginary is whether you have shelter, food and a community. Those are true returns.”

Where do these ideas come from? University faculty, of course. Richard D. Wolff, a Marxist and an emeritus economics professor at the University of Massachusetts Amherst said he has been professionally arguing against capitalism’s selling points since his teaching career began, in 1967, but that his millennial students “are more open to hearing that message than their parents ever were.”

We can only thank goodness the parents of these young people believed in serving customers and saving their wealth. This wealth was not created nefariously. As Murray Rothbard explained, “On the free market, it is a happy fact that the maximization of the wealth of one person or group redounds to the benefit of all.” 

What these millennials are up to is not to be ignored. As Mises wrote in his book Liberalism, “Modern civilization will not perish unless it does so by its own act of self-destruction.”

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 11:29

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Meteorologists Warn Of Punishing Christmas Eve Storm

Meteorologists Warn Of Punishing Christmas Eve Storm

Throughout Wednesday, snow will fall across the Upper Midwest. Winter storm watches and warnings are in effect for North and South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, and parts of Wisconsin. 

The National Weather Service (NWS) says blizzard conditions are possible through Wednesday in central North Dakota.

“Winds could gust as high as 60 mph, causing significantly reduced visibilities in blowing snow,” according to NWS. 

As the storm moves towards the East Coast on Christmas, it will become a significant rainmaker from the Deep South to Upstate New York. 

CNN meteorologist Gene Norman said this storm could produce “dangerous winds and even a few brief isolated tornadoes. Especially at risk on Christmas Eve are eastern sections of North and South Carolina, southern Georgia and Alabama, and parts of the Florida Panhandle.”

Snow is expected from the Ohio Valley to the Tennessee Valley on Thursday afternoon. Much of West Virginia and Eastern Ohio could record upwards of half a foot of snow depending on elevation. 

Meteorologists at BAMWX outline the “highest threat” area of potential snowfall for the Christmas Eve winter storm.

This time around, big cities in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast will see rain on Christmas eve. 

New York, Binghamton’s NWS warns residents that “where recent heavy snow fell, this could add weight to old snowpack on roofs/structures resulting in collapsed structures.”

After the storm clears out by the end of the week, the country’s eastern half will get blasted with Arctic air through the weekend. 

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 11:06

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UK Expands “Tier 4” Lockdowns As Another “Mutant” COVID Strain Emerges

UK Expands “Tier 4” Lockdowns As Another “Mutant” COVID Strain Emerges

Some people joked last week when UK Health Secretary Matt Hancock first introduced a shockingly infectious strain of the virus that God (or maybe Beijing?) had released “COVID-19 Pro”. Well, now it looks like the virus has moved on to the “COVID-19 Pro Max”.

According to the latest comments from the health secretary, a variant of the virus recently discovered in South Africa has made its way to England, which policy makers are now using as justification to expand HMG’s heavy handed restrictions by placing more of East and South England under “Level 4” – which is the most restrictive lockdown since the spring.

“Tier 3 is not enough to control the new variant. This is not a hypothesis, this is a fact,” Hancock said. “It is therefore necessary to put more of the East and South East of England into Tier 4”.

Some media outlets initially mistook the the two variants, which share a mutation in the same area of their RNA, as one variant, but scientists who have sequenced its RNA have found that the SA version has transformed into a mutation all its own. Anecdotally, there have been reports about the strain infecting more young people.

In response to the news of the latest mutation, the following areas will enter Tier 4: Sussex Oxfordshire Suffolk Norfolk Cambridge Essex Waverley in Surrey Hampshire, including Portsmouth and Southampton.

 

 

These new measures will place 40% of the population of England under the new “Tier 4” lockdown designation. The new “Tier Map” has just been released.

Meanwhile, many scientists and MPs have a lot of questions about this new “variant” and some have pointed out that there is no “hard evidence” to link higher case numbers with this particular strain.

In other news, Israel has reported discovered four cases of the “mutated” strain of the virus from the UK, upping the urgency for more lockdowns.

Is it possible that health authorities are hyping this up to convince Europeans to abide by their draconian lockdown orders during the holidays?

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 10:57

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Taxpayers On The Hook For Nearly Half Of Apartment Building Mortgages

Taxpayers On The Hook For Nearly Half Of Apartment Building Mortgages

Via SchiffGold.com,

This is not the ideal time to own an apartment building. Millions are struggling to pay rent and despite the extension of the federal eviction moratorium through Jan. 31 in the latest stimulus bill, a lot of people will likely face eviction in the coming months. According to data released in November, 17 million households are behind on rent or mortgage payments.

Of course, this has a trickle-down effect. If renters can’t pay their rent, that makes it difficult for apartment building owners to keep up with their mortgage payments. If they default, who’s on the hook?

Increasingly, the US taxpayer.

Total outstanding mortgages on multifamily housing property stood at $1.65 trillion in Q3. That was up by about $31 billion from Q2, according to data compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Of that amount, the federal government backs $798 billion. That’s 48.4% of all mortgages on multifamily properties.

Uncle Sam backs these loans through Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, along with government agencies such as Ginnie Mae. GSEs often securitize these loans into commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) that are sold to investors. This practice with single-family home mortgages led to the housing crisis in 2008.

In simple terms, government-backed means that the US taxpayer is ultimately on the hook for any losses.

The US government got into multifamily real estate debt during the 2008 financial crisis. According to WolfStreet, up to that point, government-backed multifamily debt was about on par with the holdings of banks and thrifts. Since then, the government’s share (blue line in the chart below) has shot up to nearly 50%.

At this point, apartment building owners are holding on by the skin of their teeth, hoping the pandemic relents and the economy improves. If not, we could see a lot of mortgage defaults on the horizon. The situation is particularly dire in big cities where there is an exodus of people and plunging rents. As WolfStreet put it, “Landlords anywhere afflicted by renters not making rent payments, protected by eviction bans, are still trying to make mortgage payments on their rental properties, hoping that the surge in vacancies and non-payment of rents are short-term phenomena and that people will come back and fill those apartments and that tenants will catch up with the rent.”

If not, taxpayers will once again be left holding the bag.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 10:45

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WTI Rebound Stalls As Gasoline Demand Slide Continues

WTI Rebound Stalls As Gasoline Demand Slide Continues

Oil prices rebounded dramatically overnight after API reported a surprise build and Trump’s rejection of the COVID Lockdown Relief Bill sent WTI down to almost a $45 handle before a weaker dollar and an odd equity bid lifted commodites broadly.

“Jitters surrounding the new strain of the virus remain front and center,” said Stephen Brennock, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd.

“The specter of fresh restrictions now hangs over Europe together with the prospect of a drawn-out recovery.”

For now, all eyes will be on crude stocks as lockdowns spread across the states…

API

  • Crude +2.70mm (-3.1mm exp)

  • Cushing +341k

  • Gasoline -224k (+600k exp)

  • Distillates +1.03mm (-1mm exp)

DOE

  • Crude -562k (-3.1mm exp)

  • Cushing -26k

  • Gasoline -1.125mm (+600k exp)

  • Distillates -2.325mm (-1mm exp)

Analysts expected a second weekly draw after crude’s huge build 2 weeks ago, as API’s build is shrugged off for now, and DOE delivered.. but only small with a mere 562k barrel drop in stocks. Inventories in Cushing also fell along with products seeing drawdowns…

Source: Bloomberg

The 4-week average of Implied Gasoline Demand dropped for the 10th straight week..

Source: Bloomberg

US Crude Production remained flat at 11mm b/d for the 3rd week…

Source: Bloomberg

WTI traded around $47.80 ahead of the official data this morning and slipped modestly after…

The threat to near-term demand from additional stay-at-home measures has rippled across oil markets.

Brent contracts for prompt delivery are back at a discount against later deliveries – a bearish pattern known as contango.

 

 

 

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 10:35

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Dominion Security Director Files Lawsuits Against Trump, Conservative Media

Dominion Security Director Files Lawsuits Against Trump, Conservative Media

Authored by Steve Watson via Summit News,

A security director at Dominion Voting Systems, the company charged by many of playing a role in ‘rigging’ the US election via voting machines, is suing the Trump campaign and several conservative news outlets.

Eric Coomer has filed suit, claiming he has received death threats stemming from the accusations that Dominion helped sway the election in Joe Biden’s favour.

The defamation suit identifies the Trump campaign, as well as Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, and the conservative news organisations Gateway Pundit, Newsmax, and One America News Network (OANN).

The suit also personally targets conservative talking heads Michelle Malkin and Joseph Oltmann.

Mr Coomer has been identified as the individual referred to by Oltmann as “Eric from Dominion” in statements made to OAN and other conservative outlets regarding alleged bragging to Antifa activists about making sure Trump wasn’t going to get re-elected:

The lawsuit states that Mr Coomer has been made “the face of false claims” in relation to Dominion’s alleged influence over the election.

The suit further states that photos of Coomer, as well as his home address and personal family details have been made public by some pro-Trump websites.

Mr Coomer has stated that “I’ve worked in international elections in all sorts of post-conflict countries where election violence is real and people are getting killed over it. And I feel that we’re on the verge of that.”

In an op-ed posted by the Denver Post, Coomer declared that he has “no connection to the Antifa movement” and “did not ‘rig,’ or influence the election.” 

The lawsuit comes on the heels of a similar threat of legal action by voting machine company Smartmatic, which has issued legal notices to Fox News, OAN and Newsmax, accusing the networks of a “campaign [that] was designed to defame Smartmatic and undermine a legitimately conducted elections.”

The legal notice is also said to have specifically named Fox News hosts Lou Dobbs, Jesse Watters, and Maria Bartiromo, and indicates that Smartmatic could pursue legal action against them personally.

Both Fox News, via Lu Dobbs, and Newsmax have since aired segments that critics say constitute ‘walk backs’ on previous allegations:

Dominion itself has not yet issued any legal notices to media outlets. It has, however, sent a letter to Sidney Powell, demanding she retract some “wild and reckless” allegations she has made about them.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 10:15

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New Home Sales Puke In November

New Home Sales Puke In November

New home sales collapsed in November, plunging by 11% MoM, its second biggest monthly drop since 2015 (..

Source: Bloomberg

Sending the new home sales SAAR reeling back to 841k (drastically below the 995k expected)…

The median selling price rose 2.2% from a year earlier to $335,300, with 17% of new homes sold in Nov. cost more than $500,000, up from 14% prior month.

All of which helps explain the plunge in homebuilder sentiment.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 10:06

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Apple’s Entrance Into EVs Creates “A New Tesla Bear Case”, Morgan Stanley Warns

Apple’s Entrance Into EVs Creates “A New Tesla Bear Case”, Morgan Stanley Warns

Just hours after Elon Musk took to Twitter to reveal to the world that Tim Cook wouldn’t take his phone calls when he was looking for a bailout, Morgan Stanley has now come out and admitted that Apple’s entrance into the self-driving market creates “a new Tesla bear case”. 

Tesla uber-bull Adam Jonas wrote in a note on Tuesday: “Apple’s potential entry into autos represents perhaps the most credible/formidable bear case for Tesla’s stock that investors have had to consider for some time.”

If “Apple were to really throw its weight around,” legacy automakers could have a hard time competing, Jonas said, according to Bloomberg.

And in true sell-side fashion – despite this “formidable” new bear case – Jonas, who has a history of “predicting” Tesla price targets within multiple-hundred-dollar ranges, maintained his $540 price target on the company (reminder, this is a $2700 pre-split price target). 

Jonas also highlighted suppliers that may win from Apple’s entrance into the industry, including Lidar suppliers Luminar Technologies Inc. and Velodyne Lidar Inc.

Recall, we also noted yesterday what other analysts on the street were saying about Apple’s entrance into the market. “Apple has ingredients to be successful in future auto industry: access to capital and talent, proven hardware design and a rich ecosystem to leverage service revenue,” Jonas had said on Monday, prior to yesterday’s note.

Tesla’s stock has looked stuck and stagnant this week after its inclusion into the S&P 500 and after we noted that Apple was throwing its hat into the self-driving car business on Monday. In addition to designing self-driving vehicles, Reuters also reported that Apple’s cars could “include its own breakthrough battery technology”.

Apple’s development project, called “Project Titan” was rumored to have been shelved after first starting in 2014. However, former Tesla executive Doug Field returned back to Apple in 2018 to work on the project before laying off 190 people from the team in 2019. But since then, “Apple has progressed enough that it now aims to build a vehicle for consumers”, Reuters noted.

The saga took another twist on Wednesday when Musk revealed on Twitter he had sought out help from Apple and that Tim Cook wouldn’t take a meeting with him. As we said yesterday, in case anybody was left wondering about whether or not Apple planned to become a Tesla competitor or not, it seems as though that narrative has been sewn. 

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 09:55

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Small Caps Jump, Nasdaq Dumped As Bonds, Dollar Slump At Open

Small Caps Jump, Nasdaq Dumped As Bonds, Dollar Slump At Open

The cash market open has triggered panic-selling in bonds and the dollar (GBP impact) and a dramatic divergence in the US equity markets.

Small Caps are ripping out of the gate but Nasdaq is getting puked…

This pushed small caps to their best relative to big tech since March…

The dollar is tumbling (as cable strengthens)…

And bonds are being dumped…

Did we start year-end window-dressing or is liquidity so low that algos can push every market around with some call buying?

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 09:38

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Is Christmas Canceled?

Is Christmas Canceled?

By Stefan Koopman, Senior Market Economist at Rabobank

For months’ on end, lawmakers in the US have been struggling to find common ground and reach a compromise on a new Covid-19 relief package. Eventually they found each other at an estimated USD 900bn, which is closer to what the Senate Republicans preferred. See also this piece from Philip Marey for his insights into this deal.  

The deal had been reached minutes before midnight and is attached to the regular spending bill that should fund government operations through next September. Even though it all seemed to be going fine and yet another partial shutdown was averted, President Trump decided in one of his ‘signature moves’ to upset the applecart at the very last moment and, among other things, to suddenly call for higher stimulus payments (USD 2,000 rather than the agreed USD 600) for individuals. Whilst he did not outright say that he would veto the current stimulus bill, which the House and the Senate could in turn override with supermajority votes, there is a risk of a so-called pocket veto. If this bill isn’t on the President’s desk by the end of the day, he could effectively veto it by keeping it in his ‘pocket’ for the next ten days. The President is given this exact ten day window, Sundays excluded, to either sign or veto a bill, but the current Congressional session will end on January 3. After that date, the President simply cannot return the bill to Congress. The upshot is that a decision not to sign the bill would then be a pocket veto and Congress does not have the opportunity to override. This would mean that the much-needed stimulus checks won’t go out in the days after Christmas. Sorry not sorry?

Since the UK-France border closure began on Sunday, nearly 3,000 lorries have been stuck in southern England and it is likely to take days for this situation to be resolved. However, yesterday afternoon the European Commission recommended that critical trade and passenger transport links between the UK and continental Europe should be reopened as soon as possible. Only a few hours later, France followed these recommendations and agreed to end the suspension, yet allowing passage only if the EU citizens stuck in the UK are able to show a negative Covid-19 test. (Note here that Britons could be barred from EU entry on January 1 2021, when the UK becomes a “third country” to the EU, unless their travel is deemed essential).

It is indeed tempting to make the connection with Brexit. Could we regard the Commission’s intervention as an olive branch towards the United Kingdom, which is legally still being treated as an EU member state, or is it a jab towards France, which continues to push for tougher EU negotiating positions on all things Brexit (and may found this situation a little too convenient… sorry not sorry?). The dynamics are the same: France and the UK are at loggerheads over Covid and Brexit, and the European Commission mediates. It once again shows that ‘sovereignty’ is more than the capacity to write your own laws. It is also about being able to manage interdependencies in ways that work out well. From a geographical point of view, the UK will always remain highly dependent on European coastal states in terms of its transport links and its access to international markets. This week’s events have reminded us how delicate this balance is.

So, is there going to be Brexit deal? We still think there is one to be done here, as it is in the best interests of both parties in these negotiations. In fact, if you forget about all the self-assigned deadlines, you would even be inclined to think that the entire process went according to script. Already in February this year, just weeks after ‘Brexit day’, the two negotiating mandates showed that there were some pretty big gaps on level playing field, deal governance, and fisheries. It was expected that one or more political interventions would be needed to bridge these gaps. It was also clear that, at least in relative terms, fisheries would be the strongest card in the UK’s deck. So, here we are, in the final stage of the negotiations, and Prime Minister Johnson is directly calling on President Von der Leyen to mediate between the UK and the EU’s coastal states and to talk fish.-

The hope is that this drawn-out process comes to an end sooner than later and that there’ll be a deal before Christmas eve. In that case there should be just enough time left to get the legal and procedural work in order to allow for provisional application of the new treaty from January 1 onwards. Otherwise the EU and the UK would be really getting in uncharted territories. But if no-deal is the end result, it won’t be because of the process. It will be because of fishy politics.

Back to the US, where the estimate of third quarter GDP was revised up a little bit to 33.4% from 33.1% annualized, which is a relatively minor revision at these growth rates. There were no significant changes ‘under the hood’ either. The consumer confidence numbers were more interesting. The widely held axiom is that there can be no robust economic recovery unless the pandemic is brought under control; and yesterday’s confidence figures were fully in line with this thesis. The Conference Board’s measure declined sharply to 88.6 in December from a downwardly revised 92.9 in November. This was far below the consensus expectation and provided a sombre preview of the Christmas shopping season. It is also another clear signal that rising virus cases, hospitalizations and deaths across the Northern Hemisphere, which aren’t likely to abate anytime soon, will weigh on consumer sentiment until a widespread rollout of the vaccines allows governments to set the reopening of the economy in motion.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 12/23/2020 – 09:35

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