Opening America’s Doors Only to the Vaccinated Isn’t Good Enough


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Last week, the Biden administration announced that it was in the process of opening up America’s borders. For the past year, international families have been kept apart on the basis of policies which seem to have only the slightest connection to public health. But the border opening will come with a catch: To travel to the United States, international travelers must be vaccinated against COVID-19. The policy will be a de facto ban on travel from the developing world in general, and from Africa in particular.

In the U.S., the last few months have been spent trying to coax, cajole, and coerce the most reluctant among us to get vaccinated. But the situation is very different in many parts of the world. As of mid-July, only about 1 percent of Africans had been vaccinated. This isn’t because the other 99 percent have been offered vaccines and chosen not to get them. The shots simply aren’t available. It’s possible that shots won’t be available to the average citizen of an African country for a long time to come.

It’s no real tragedy, perhaps, if someone’s trip to Disneyland ends up getting canceled because he doesn’t have access to a vaccine. But it is a tragedy to cut the majority of a continent off from cultural and economic exchange with the rest of the world. Last year sent Africa spiraling into its first recession in 25 years, with growth plummeting to -3.3 percent. The price of food became dangerously high for a continent where food insecurity has long been endemic. American imports of African goods dropped by a little over 20 percent last year—no small thing, given that the U.S. has historically been sub-Saharan Africa’s third-largest trading partner outside the continent.

The border closures and economic shutdowns have been devastating to many African countries in a way that the virus itself has not yet been. In a place where many were barely making ends meet, 29 million people slid into extreme poverty over the course of last year.

The Biden administration’s vaccine requirement for international travel threatens to sever a strong and growing relationship between the U.S. and Africa. Over the past decade, American imports from Ghana have grown by nearly 600 percent. Other countries demonstrate an even starker pattern of growth—imports from Senegal, for instance, have risen 1,800 percent in the last ten years. It might only take a year or two for vaccines to become widely available in Africa, but a year or two is long enough to damage the enterprises that have been responsible for this enormous economic growth.

All of this has taken place on a continent with the world’s lowest rate of coronavirus deaths per capita.

It’s false to say that the majority of those who will be locked out by the vaccine requirement weren’t going to be able to afford to travel anyway. Many African countries have a large and growing middle class. Just like many people around the globe, members of that group want to see the world and experience new cultures. About 41,000 international students from sub-Saharan Africa were studying in the U.S. during the 2019–20 school year, and a little over 2 million Africans have chosen to make the U.S. their permanent home. If an African woman living in the U.S. wants to invite family members still living in Africa to come visit her, she might now be waiting for years before they are able to meet vaccine requirements.

Many Americans and Europeans will be happy to see trans-Atlantic travel start moving again, even if it means that the African continent will be locked out. But this is in no one’s long-term interest.

If President Joe Biden chooses to enforce a vaccine mandate on all international travelers, it will likely encourage foreign governments to impose vaccine requirements on incoming Americans. Many Americans have family and friends outside the country. If you need to travel overseas to see your dying parent, and you need to get a vaccine to travel overseas, the vaccine will no longer be, in any meaningful sense, voluntary.

The stakes of vaccine mandates are high. The government should think twice before imposing restrictions that will effectively ban most people traveling from a continent that is already struggling. Everyone is frustrated by the interminable travel restrictions, which in some cases seem to have little to do with public health. But this attempt to get things back to “normal” will only make things worse. History tells us that once this policy is rolled out, it may be extremely hard to undo. The U.S. only rescinded its HIV entry restrictions in 2009, long after the disease had been circulating in the country and officials realized how it spreads.

If we accept international vaccine requirements, we should expect them to linger for decades. Free travel as we knew it will be a thing of the past—and those who can’t access vaccines will be hurt the most.

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Texas Wins the Census


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The big news out of the 2020 census data released yesterday is that the U.S. is becoming less white. As Reason‘s Ron Bailey noted yesterday, “the population identifying as white alone decreased by 8.6 percent since the previous census in 2010,” while the number of people identifying as multiracial rose by 276 percent. But these aren’t the only big changes American demographics saw in the decade between 2010 and 2020.

While growing at its slowest rate since the Great Depression (from 308.7 million residents in 2010 to 331.4 million in 2020), the U.S. also saw a shift in where people are choosing to live. The biggest gains go to Texas, Western states more broadly, and metropolitan areas across the country. Certain areas of the South also saw some significant gains.

Big cities see big gains.

Most metropolitan areas—that is, counties containing a city with at least 50,000 people living in it—saw their populations go up.

Some 81 percent—or 312 out of 384 metro areas—experienced a population increase, compared to only 48 percent of “micropolitan” areas (a.k.a. counties containing a city of more than 10,000 but fewer than 50,000 people). Overall, “the population of U.S. metro areas grew by 9% from 2010 to 2020, resulting in 86% of the population living in U.S. metro areas in 2020, compared to 85% in 2010,” according to a U.S. Census Bureau press release.

Between 2010 and 2020, the population of U.S. micropolitan areas grew 1 percent but still decreased as a percentage of the population, from 9 percent in 2010 to 8 percent in 2020.

The majority of U.S. counties—about 52 percent—saw population decreases between 2010 and 2020.

Population winners and losers:

• Only three states—West Virginia, Mississippi, and Illinois—and Puerto Rico saw population declines overall.

• States with the most population growth were Texas, Florida, California, Georgia, and Washington. (“These five states accounted for nearly half of the total numeric population increase in the United States between 2010 and 2020,” the Census Bureau says.)

• The fastest-growing state over the past decade was Utah, which increased its overall population by 18.4 percent. Utah was followed by Idaho, Texas, North Dakota, and Nevada, which each increased by at least 15 percent.

• Texas saw the most supercharged city growth:

• The Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston metropolitan areas gained at least 1.2 million people apiece between 2010 and 2020, as did the New York-Newark-Jersey City metro area.

• The latest data still put Los Angeles County as the biggest county in the U.S. and New York City as the largest city.

• The metro area that grew the fastest: The Villages, in Florida, jumping from approximately 93,000 people to 130,000 people.

• The next biggest gainers were the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown area in Texas; St. George, Utah; Greeley, Colorado; and the Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach metro area in South and North Carolina.

• The five U.S. metro areas with the biggest population gains were: Harris County, Texas (Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land); Maricopa County, Arizona (Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler); King County, Washington (Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue); Clark County, Nevada (Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise); and Tarrant County, Texas (Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington).

• Phoenix has now overtaken Philadelphia as the fifth-largest city.

• The populations of Buffalo, New York, and Cincinnati, Ohio grew for the first time in 70 years.

Race and ethnicity shifts

America’s Asian and Hispanic populations are booming, 2020 census data show:

• The number of people (of any race) identifying as Hispanic or Latino was around 62.1 million, up 23 percent from 2010. (In Texas, the “Hispanic population is now nearly as large as the non-Hispanic white population, with just half a percentage point separating them. Texas gained nearly 11 Hispanic residents for every additional white resident since 2010,” notes The Texas Tribune.)

• About 24 million people identified as all or partially Asian, 9.7 million as all or partially American Indian or Alaska Native, and 1.6 million as all or partially Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander.

But the biggest racial shift came in the number of people identifying as multiracial—up to 33.8 million in 2020, from 9 million in 2010.

“The ‘in combination’ multiracial populations for all race groups accounted for most of the overall changes in each racial category,” the Census Bureau notes. “All of the race alone or in combination groups experienced increases. The Some Other Race alone or in combination group (49.9 million) increased 129%, surpassing the Black or African American population (46.9 million) as the second-largest race alone or in combination group.”

White people still make up the bulk of the U.S. population, with 204.3 million Americans identifying solely as white. An additional 31.1 million identifying as a combination of white and another race.

As NPR points out, “what the new census data shows about race depends on how you look at it.”

The Census Bureau warns that “data comparisons between the 2020 Census and 2010 Census race data should be made with caution, taking into account the improvements we have made to the Hispanic origin and race questions and the ways we code what people tell us.”

An aging population:

“The share of children in the U.S. declined because of falling birth rates, while the share of adults grew, driven by aging baby boomers,” notes the Associated Press. “Adults over 18 made up more than three-quarters of the population in 2020, or 258.3 million people, an increase of more than 10% from 2010. However, the population of children under age 18 dropped from 74.2 million in 2010 to 73.1 million in 2020.”


FREE MINDS

Shift in Oregon education standards. Gov. Kate Brown signed a law in July that ends certain proficiency requirements for high school students. Is this simply a knock at bureaucratic testing standards, or “the soft bigotry of low progressive expectations”? The Wall Street Journal says it’s the latter:

The new law extends until 2024 a temporary suspension of the state requirements that kids demonstrate proficiency in reading, writing, and math to graduate from high school. Previously, in addition to demonstrating proficiency via Oregon’s Assessments of Knowledge and Skills test, students had the option of taking other standardized tests or submitting a work project to teachers. The new legislation gives the state’s Department of Education until 2022 to write new standards.

The purpose of public education is to provide students with the skills they need to succeed in the world. It is a terrible disservice to issue a diploma that fools them into believing they’ve mastered basic skills they haven’t. It is particularly cruel for the minority students who will pay the highest price when the real world confirms that their high schools have defrauded them of a real education.


FREE MARKETS

San Francisco to require proof of vaccination for many activities. Of course the Bay Area is among the first to up the vaccination status ante. “San Francisco will become the first major city in the country to require proof of full vaccination against the coronavirus for a variety of indoor activities, including visiting bars, restaurants, gyms and entertainment venues that serve food or beverages,” the San Francisco Chronicle reports. The new rules take effect August 20.

Somewhat surprisingly, New Orleans is also joining in:

New Orleans announced Thursday that people will have to show either proof of vaccination against COVID-19 or a negative test result within the last 72 hours to go to bars, eat indoors at restaurants, work out in a gym, or do other activities in public.

Mayor LaToya Cantrell said that the new rules will go into effect on Monday and enforcement will start on Aug. 23.


QUICK HITS

• The federal cop who devised a bogus sex trafficking ring and falsely imprisoned a teen for two years can’t be sued, a federal court says.

• “The Supreme Court on Thursday blocked part of an eviction moratorium in New York State that had been imposed in response to the coronavirus pandemic, a move the law’s supporters said might expose thousands to eviction,” The New York Times reports.

• Lenore Skenazy looks at the cruel treatment of inmates at a Texan prison for sex offenders.

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With Free Guy, Hollywood Gives Us a Video Game Movie About the Thrills of, Uh, Labor Disputes


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Finally, a video game movie that elevates the exciting issues: labor disputes.

Free Guy is nominally a movie about Guy (Ryan Reynolds), a non-playable video game character, or NPC, finding his humanity after a life of undifferentiated boredom—and then bringing that humanity to his fellow NPCs. Freedom! Self-actualization! Sure. 

But mostly it’s a smugly calculated exercise in corporate synergy dressed up as a feel-good story of revolutionary class politics. Not only does it resolve in a rah-rah job action by a virtual city full of NPCs, but its secondary conflict revolves almost entirely around an intellectual property rights dispute between a pair of nerdy indie game designers and the self-important, villainous boss of a major violent video game company. Will they get their residuals for their stupid nonviolent watch-the-waterfalls game? I promise it’s even less thrilling than it sounds.

The movie isn’t subtle about any of this. As the put-upon NPCs gather in their virtual world to listen to one of those get-us-into-the-third-act rallying cry speeches that screenwriting books always insist on, a programmer watching in the real world footnotes what’s happening just in case viewers somehow didn’t catch on themselves.

“It’s like every NPC went on strike,” he says, before belaboring the point even further by exclaiming: “It’s like a digital walkout!” Paying members of the audience may be tempted to stage their own walkout in the physical world.

The movie’s shallow labor politics are intended to give this crass, calculating film the illusion of depth. But as with so many virtual worlds, when you look closely, there’s nothing remotely real to be found. Instead, the movie is a collection of painfully formulaic screenwriter conventions dressed up with some nods to video game culture and conventions—city streets filled with people randomly hopping up and down or glitching in and out of visibility as they repeatedly run into walls. Someone has clearly done deep research for this film, and by “deep research” I mean played at least an hour each of Grand Theft Auto V and Fortnite.

There’s very little original to be found in this movie, which is basically a mash-up of Wreck-It Ralph and The Truman Show. Guy is a man in a fishbowl, which the movie oh-so-cleverly signals by having him wake up every day and talk to a goldfish. (See, it’s, like, a metaphor, man. Yep. Got it.) Guy breaks out of the ho-hum monotony of his life, and discovers that his pain and suffering have been exploited for the entertainment of others. In the end, he breaks free of his little, confined world, traveling past a barrier at the ocean’s edge, becoming a global object of fascination, just like Truman but without the part where it ever becomes an interesting or thoughtful movie.

Indeed, Free Guy is more concerned with wink-wink cameos and smothering viewers with corporate synergy than anything else: The film features so many hey-can-you-believe-it’s-that-guy moments that preview screenings began with a pre-taped Ryan Reynolds spiel begging early viewers not to spoil the big reveals. But there’s nothing to spoil, because none of the cameos have any real relevance or meaning beyond nodding to other properties you’re probably already aware of.

For a movie that tries to rail against exploitation, this movie has plenty of it, in the form of intellectual property—or, in Hollywood parlance, IP—deployment. There’s something deeply sad about this sort of relentlessly empty referentiality, which adds nothing except a vague sense of familiarity. Hey, each passing gag seems to say, you’ve seen this other movie (or played this other video game) too! Congratulations on having consumed these other products. Likes and retweets all around. This is a movie for the type of people who love movie trailer recap videos. It’s two hours of hunting for worthless IP Easter eggs in a void.

There is nothing wrong with IP development, Hollywood synergies, endless franchises, reboots, sequels, or even Ryan Reynolds, who gave us a pretty good gin company and is often genuinely charming, despite being Canadian. I, for example, am a mostly happy participant in the Marvel Cinematic Universe’s just-wait-until-the-next-one school of serialized filmmaking, though I reserve the right to grumble loudly about it as well. But those franchises work best when they offer something like real conflict to chew on, or at least well-defined characters with recognizable personalities to root for. 

Free Guy, in contrast, gives us a Ryan Reynolds protagonist so blank he’s known to most of the world as “blue shirt guy.” His main personality trait is liking ice cream, presumably so that everyone who isn’t lactose intolerant can relate. I’d say he’s as vacuous and empty as a video game character, but I’ve killed mushroom-shaped 8-bit minions with more distinctive personalities than this.

At the end of the movie, the same programmer who narrates the NPC strike speech also attempts to justify the movie’s existence. “Who,” he wonders, “would have thought so many people would want to watch video game characters instead of shoot at them?” When the virtual characters are this thin and this annoying, I think I’d rather power up a Legendary weapon and take digital aim. 

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Oppressive Regimes Reach Beyond Their Borders


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Last week, President Joe Biden offered temporary safe haven to some residents of Hong Kong who fear the treatment they might receive from the Chinese government if they return home. It’s a good first step in recognizing the risks posed to the people of that once-free territory who suffer under increasingly totalitarian rule. But it’s not enough for Hong Kong or for anybody who seeks freedom in a world in which governments reach across borders to punish those who challenge their abuses.

“Pursuant to my constitutional authority to conduct the foreign relations of the United States, I have determined that it is in the foreign policy interest of the United States to defer for 18 months the removal of any Hong Kong resident subject to the conditions and exceptions provided below,” Biden wrote in his August 5 memo. “By unilaterally imposing on Hong Kong the Law of the People’s Republic of China on Safeguarding National Security in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (NSL), the PRC has undermined the enjoyment of rights and freedoms in Hong Kong, including those protected under the Basic Law and the Sino-British Joint Declaration.”

The memo went on to detail the conditions under which those afraid of conditions back home might be permitted to live, work, and study in the United States—at least, for a while. Unfortunately, the memo covered only refugees from a single regime among many abusive governments, and it almost certainly offers them only partial protection.

“This report is the product of an effort to understand the scale and scope of ‘transnational repression,’ in which governments reach across national borders to silence dissent among their diaspora and exile communities,” Freedom House noted earlier this year. “The project compiled a catalogue of 608 direct, physical cases of transnational repression since 2014. In each incident, the origin country’s authorities physically reached an individual living abroad, whether through detention, assault, physical intimidation, unlawful deportation, rendition, or suspected assassination.”

Freedom House tallied up acts of repression by 31 regimes targeted at exiles in 79 countries, although the non-profit group emphasizes that the count is incomplete. The report also can’t account for the chilling effect such acts have on dissent, through online harassment or proxy punishment of friends and relatives under the regimes’ authority.

As you would expect, China is in that report, charged with assassination, rendition, assault, digital harassment, family intimidation, and other retaliatory acts against dissenters, ethnic and religious minorities, human rights activists, and former insiders who fled the regime. Five other countries also feature in a sort of rogues’ gallery: Iran, Russia, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey.

In a speech last summer about the Chinese government’s acts of espionage and repression, FBI Director Christopher Wray described “Fox Hunt,” a program by which the country’s officials try to pressure those living and working overseas to return to China to face whatever fate awaits them.

“When it couldn’t locate one Fox Hunt target, the Chinese government sent an emissary to visit the target’s family here in the United States,” noted Wray. “The message they said to pass on? The target had two options: return to China promptly, or commit suicide. And what happens when Fox Hunt targets refuse to return to China? In the past, their family members both here in the United States and in China have been threatened and coerced, and those back in China have even been arrested for leverage.”

“In countries like Vietnam and Australia, Chinese agents have simply abducted their prey, whether the targets were dissidents or people accused of corruption,” ProPublica reported after its own investigation.

While “China conducts the most sophisticated, global, and comprehensive campaign of transnational repression in the world,” according to Freedom House, it’s hardly alone. Russia’s overseas effort “accounts for 7 of 26 assassinations or assassination attempts since 2014, as catalogued in Freedom House’s global survey”; former spy Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia were targeted in the United Kingdom in 2018 in an attack that resulted in the death of a local woman. Saudi Arabia’s government plotted what a UN special rapporteur described as “a premeditated extrajudicial execution” of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in Turkey. Turkey, in turn, has developed a reputation for leaning on other governments “to hand over individuals without due process, or with a slight fig leaf of legality,” in the words of the report.

Even nominally free countries can play this game. Journalist Julian Assange is currently held in the U.K. at the behest of the United States on what Amnesty International describes as “politically motivated charges.” Then-Bolivian President Evo Morales’s plane was forced to land in Austria in 2013 on suspicion that it was transporting whistleblower Edward Snowden. Governments vary enormously in their awfulness but, at the end of the day, they’re all based on maintaining control through force.

Cooperation among law enforcement agencies is often gamed to target exiles, with Interpol “red notices” issued on innocent people to prompt their arrest by police in host countries. Bogus terrorism charges are especially popular, constituting 58 percent of the cases tallied by Freedom House.

As  Biden’s deferment of departure rules suggests, immigration bureaucracy in host countries is also frequently weaponized by authoritarian governments. Red tape keeps exiles uncertain about their status in their new homes, and exceptions and conditions for legal status are exploited by regimes that feed whatever information and allegations they want to overseas colleagues. The Chinese government is particularly fond of accusing its targets of “corruption,” a charge that may be both true and unavoidable for anybody making a life in that country.

“If you’re in any position of power, it’s highly unlikely you’ve never engaged in corruption,” Mareike Ohlberg, a senior fellow at the Asia Program of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, told ProPublica. “So that means anyone can be pursued through Fox Hunt.”

“[T]he risk of transnational repression has accelerated in the 21st century due to technological changes, cooperation between states against migrants, and erosion of international norms against extraterritorial violence,” adds Freedom House.

So, offering Hong King residents a bit of a breather in the United States is a good first step, but it’s only a beginning. Refugees from that territory and from oppressive regimes elsewhere need stronger assurances that they can make permanent homes in relative freedom, and that they’ll be protected from the long arm of official thugs.

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COVID Diaries NYC


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Researchers at the University of California, Irvine, recently described a psychological experiment that found “moral judgments impact perceived risks from COVID-19 exposure.” The HBO documentary COVID Diaries NYC, which assembles contributions from five young filmmakers, provides further evidence to support that hypothesis.

Late one night, 21-year-old Marcial Pilataxi is hanging out on a Manhattan street with a few friends when they are accosted by an angry, inebriated cyclist. After stopping and throwing his bicycle down in disgust, he berates them for congregating without face masks, thereby endangering their grandmothers.

The rant is comical, since biking while intoxicated is hardly a model of safe behavior and the drunk guy is not wearing a mask either. But Pilataxi takes the admonition to heart and later tearfully apologizes to his grandmother at the apartment they share for not thinking of her welfare. He promises to stop going out with his friends.

Meanwhile, COVID Diaries NYC treats the protests provoked by George Floyd’s death reverently. Those demonstrations attracted large groups of frequently unmasked people who gathered in close proximity for extended periods of time while shouting slogans—all factors that increase the risk of virus transmission.

A more subtle conflation of moral and medical judgments, a phenomenon prevalent during the COVID-19 crisis, is apparent in 16-year-old Shane Fleming’s video diary. His father, a restaurant manager, expresses amazement at the complete shutdown of both indoor and outdoor dining. Those activities were deemed “nonessential,” if not utterly frivolous, by the same politicians who praised the protests.

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Brickbat: Fill ‘Er Up


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New Mexico’s Supreme Court has ruled that gas stations can be held liable if they sell fuel to a driver they should know is intoxicated. The ruling stems from a fatal DUI in 2011. Prior to that crash, the driver ran out of gasoline and went to a station to fill up a water can with fuel. After fueling his car, he drove back to the station and filled up his tank.

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Making Sense of Chrysafis v. Marks

On Thursday, the Court decided Chrysafis v. Marks. A majority of the Court granted an application for injunctive relief against the enforcement of part of New York’s eviction protections. Justices Breyer, Sotomayor, and Kagan dissented. We cannot be certain the Court split 6-3, as a justice in the majority may have declined to note his or her dissent. In this post, I will try to make sense of this perplexing entry on the shadow docket.

On July 27, landlords filed an emergency application for injunctive relief. They are represented by Randy Michael Mastro of Gibson Dunn’s New York office. Mastro also successfully represented the Roman Catholic of Brooklyn against (almost former-)Governor Cuomo. He has scored two huge COVID-19 victories on the shadow docket.

The writ presented two questions:

1. Whether New York’s eviction moratorium law, which continues to block property owners from pursuing eviction proceedings or otherwise challenging their tenants’ bald claims of COVID-19 “hardship,” and compels them to serve as the government’s mouthpieces in transmitting government-drafted messages, declaration forms, and lists of recommended legal service providers to their tenants, deprives these property owners of their due process rights and violates their First Amendment rights against compelled speech.

2. Whether the courts below erred in concluding that Jacobson v. Massachusetts, 197 U.S. 11 (1905), requires the application of deferential, rational basis review in evaluating constitutional challenges to government action taken in response to a public health emergency, particularly where, as here, New York has declared its “state of emergency” to be over.

But the Court declined to decide these questions. Instead, the Court limited the Plaintiffs to the “only reliefs applicants” sought in their application:

Applicants therefore respectfully request that the Circuit Justice—or the full Court after referral—grant this application to enjoin Part A of CEEFPA, as extended, pending disposition of Applicants’ expedited appeal in the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit and disposition of any petition for a writ of certiorari and, if such writ is granted, until the rendering of this Court’s judgment.

What is Part A of CEEFPA? The Court explains in one sentence:

If a tenant self-certifies financial hardship, Part A of CEEFPA generally precludes a landlord from contesting that certification and denies the landlord a hearing.

The landlords made two primary arguments why Part A is unconstitutional. First, Part A violates the landlords’ procedural due process rights.

CEEFPA deprives Applicants of their procedural due process rights by mandating that a tenant’s mere submission of a hardship declaration establishes a categorical bar to the commencement or continuation of an eviction proceeding until at least August 31, 2021. CEEFPA Part A §§ 4-6, 8; CEEFPA Extension §§ 2-3. Property owners are given no opportunity to rebut tenants’ hardship declarations, for which tenants need only check a box asserting that eviction would result in either a “significant health risk” or a “financial hardship” to the tenants, with the latter category covering several vague and undefined subcategories. Property owners are not given a chance to be heard at a “meaningful time” or in a “meaningful manner,” because they are not given a chance to be heard at all through at least August 31, 2021, with further extensions possibly to follow. And even when CEEFPA eventually expires, a tenant’s unsubstantiated claim of financial hardship creates an indefinite rebuttable presumption of such hardship in any eviction proceedings that are based on failure to pay rent during the pandemic. CEEFPA Part A § 11.

The District Court, of course, relied on Jacobson and upheld the policy.

Second, the landlords argued that Part A violates their free speech rights:

Here, because CEEFPA mandates speech that Applicants would not otherwise make, and compels them to speak a particular message—outside the context of a proposed commercial transaction—strict scrutiny applies. And, because the State cannot possibly establish that CEEFPA’s requirements are narrowly tailored to a compelling government interest, CEEFPA cannot withstand that strict scrutiny

The New York Attorney General (who does not work for the Governor) argued that the equities do not support an injunction. The regime expires “in just a few weeks”–26 days to be precise. I think we can characterize a duration of less than a month as a “few weeks.” But a full month is not a “few weeks.” Here, the AG made an obvious play for Justice Kavanaugh’s vote, who treated a month as a “few weeks” in the Alabama case:

Although some members of this Court expressed doubts about the CDC’s statutory authority to issue such a moratorium, the equities nonetheless weighed against any stay of the moratorium in light of its scheduled expiration “in only a few weeks” and the need for time to ensure “more orderly distribution of the congressionally appropriated rental assistance funds.” (Kavanaugh, J., concurring).

The landlords filed their reply brief on August 5. It took the Court exactly one week to put out a shadow docket order, with a four-page dissent by Justice Breyer. (This brisk pace supports my suspicion that the Alabama petition was held to moot the case). Had the Court waited three more weeks, the case arguably would have been mooted out. At that point, Chief Justice Roberts–keeping with his Roman Catholic Diocese vote–would have opposed an injunction.

The Court’s analysis is exactly one sentence long with two citations:

This scheme violates the Court’s longstanding teaching that ordinarily “no man can be a judge in his own case” consistent with the Due Process Clause. In re Murchison, 349 U. S. 133, 136 (1955); see United States v. James Daniel Good Real Property, 510 U. S. 43, 53 (1993) (due process generally requires a hearing).

What happened here? Here are my completely unfounded theories.

First, the Court did not address either of the applicant’s arguments. The Court did not decide whether the landlords’ procedural due process rights were violated. Nor did the Court decide if their free speech rights were violated. And Jacobson remains undisturbed.

Second, the Court fashioned an argument out of whole cloth that the parties did not raise: the entire “scheme” violates the Due Process of Law because “no man can be a judge in his own case.” Huh? Who is the judge here? No one argues that the hearing judge in the eviction process is biased. Instead the judge, apparently, is the tenant. By indicating that he suffers a financial hardship, the landlord is (almost) automatically denied a hearing. In other words, the tenant gets to judge his own case of whether he suffers a financial hardship. This argument is bizarre. If the landlord cannot rebut the tenant’s claims, then the landlord’s procedural due process rights are violated. But a tenant is not the judge in his own case because he can make a self-certification that yields an automatic continuance.

And I agree with Justice Breyer’s dissent that a small delay in a proceeding is not an “indisputably clear” violation of Due Process:

Respondent argues, how-ever, that the law is best viewed not as a deprivation of the right to challenge a tenant’s hardship claim but as simply delaying the exercise of that right—as of now for less than three weeks until the law expires. After August 31, New York’s eviction proceedings will be conducted exactly as they were before CEEFPA’s enactment. Our precedents do not make it “indisputably clear” that this delay violates the Constitution.

It can take six months to evict someone in New York!

Third, none of the parties cited In re Murchison (1955). This precedent is obscure. And it doesn’t come close to supporting the Court’s rule. Michigan used a strange system where a single judge served as a one-man grand jury, and then presided over a criminal contempt trial for a witness who perjured himself before that one-man grand jury. The same personal literally judged his own case. Justice Black’s majority opinion rejected this scheme:

A fair trial in a fair tribunal is a basic requirement of due process. Fairness of course requires an absence of actual bias in the trial of cases. But our system of law has always endeavored to prevent even the probability of unfairness. To this end no man can be a judge in his own case and no man is permitted to try cases where he has an interest in the outcome. That interest cannot be defined with precision. Circumstances and relationships must be considered.

In Murchison, the concern was about bias. The judge who presided over the grand jury is potentially biased, and not a neutral arbiter to assess the perjury trial. Thus, no man can be a judge in his own cause.

How does this case relate to Section A? There is no allegation of any sort of bias. The landlord merely checked a box on a form. And there was a continuance by operation of law. The problem, if there is one, is that the landlords are denied their rights to rebut the evidence presented against them.

It is painfully obvious here the Court did not want to make an actual decision about constitutional law. Instead, it reached for an ancient Latin maxim, nemo iudex in causa sua, and called it a day. Indeed, the Supreme Court has never cited Murchison for this proposition. The case has only been cited by the Court five times, ever.

Fourth, the Court spent far more time explaining what it was not deciding than what it was deciding:

This order does not enjoin the enforcement of the Tenant Safe Harbor Act (TSHA), which applicants do not challenge. 2020 N. Y. Laws ch. 127, §§1, 2(2)(a). Among other things, TSHA instructs New York courts to entertain a COVID-related hardship defense in eviction proceedings, assessing a tenant’s income prior to COVID, income during COVID, liquid assets, and ability to obtain government assistance. §2(2)(b). If the court finds the tenant “has suffered a financial hardship” during a statutorily-prescribed period, then it “shall [not] issue a warrant of eviction or judgment of pos-session.” §2(1).

In other words, tenants can still fight eviction by demonstrating they have a “financial hardship.” It is not enough to simply check a box on a form. The tenant must provide some evidence of the income, liquid assets, and other benefits. At the margin, some people subject to eviction may not be able to make this showing. But I speculate that most people who would have benefited from Section A would also benefit from the TSHA.

How can we explain this opinion? Why did the Court go out of its way to explain there are so many other ways tenants can postpone evictions? What could possibly explain such sappy virtue signaling? Who feels the need to apologize when he reaches a conservative result? Who rules in favor of the Constitution, but then pulls his punches to avoid doing anything progressives will dislike? Who’s been messing up everything? It’s been Kavanaugh all along.

I suspect Justice Kavanaugh proposed this nonsensical, hyper-technical ruling, based on a precedent no one even remembers, to avoid making any sweeping rulings on procedural due process, Jacobson, and the First Amendment. And this narrow decision appealed to the Chief Justice’s obsession with judicial independence–even when the judge is not a judge, but actually a tenant. Didn’t Roberts’s icon John Marshall say “no man should be a judge in his own case?” Nevermind, Marshall failed to recuse in Marbury, where he personally failed to deliver the commission. In any event, it isn’t clear that Roberts actually joined the opinion. He could have simply declined to note his dissent. But I’m inclined to think Kavanaugh got Roberts’s vote with this proffer. I would have much preferred a 5-4 decision that actually gave guidance to the lower courts. This decision likely will not have any application outside of New York’s unique regime.

I still have one more lingering question. Why didn’t Kavanaugh, once again, sit on the New York application for a few weeks so it moots out on August 31? After all the federal eviction moratorium remains in place. Even if the New York landlords get relief from the state law, the state courts are still barred from hearing eviction cases. Me thinks the Roberts Court is clearing the deck to enjoin the federal eviction moratorium, soon.

Then we have Justice Breyer’s four-page dissent. He cites Chief Justice Roberts’s South Bay concurrence twice.

Under these circumstances, such drastic relief would only be appropriate if “the legal rights at issue [we]re indisputably clear and, even then, sparingly and only in the most critical and exigent circumstances.” South Bay United Pentecostal Church v. Newsom, 590 U. S. ___, ___ (2020) (ROBERTS, C. J., concurring) (slip op., at 2) (internal quotation marks omitted). . . . .

The legislature does not enjoy un-limited discretion in formulating that response, but in this case I would not second-guess politically accountable officials’ determination of how best to “guard and protect” the people of New York. South Bay United Pentecostal Church, 590 U. S., at ___ (ROBERTS, C. J., concurring) (slip op., at 2) (quoting Jacobson v. Massachusetts, 197 U. S. 11, 38 (1905)).

Roberts doesn’t even bother to respond–not even to the Jacobson citation. Thankfully, the super-precedent is no more.

My new article, The Irrepressible Myth of Jacobson v. Massachusetts should be on SSRN and Scholastica by Monday. I am putting the finishing touches on the article now.

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Justice Barrett Refuses to Block Indiana University’s Student Vaccination Requirement

The challengers asked the Supreme Court for an emergency injunction, generally the longest of long shots, and Justice Barrett (the Circuit Justice for the Seventh Circuit) denied it without opinion (as is the norm for such refusals).

Here’s the Seventh Circuit opinion, which I blogged about 10 days ago, when it came down—Klaassen v. Trustees of Indiana Univ., denying a motion for an injunction pending appeal in an opinion by Judges Frank Easterbrook, joined by Judges Michael Scudder and Thomas Kirsch:

Starting next semester, all students at Indiana University must be vaccinated against COVID-19 unless they are exempt for religious or medical reasons. Exempt students must wear masks and be tested for the disease twice a week….

Given Jacobson v. Massachusetts, 197 U.S. 11 (1905), which holds that a state may require all members of the public to be vaccinated against smallpox, there can’t be a constitutional problem with vaccination against SARS-CoV-2. Plaintiffs assert that the rational-basis standard used in Jacobson does not offer enough protection for their interests and that courts should not be as deferential to the decisions of public bodies as Jacobson was, but a court of appeals must apply the law established by the Supreme Court.

Plaintiffs invoke substantive due process. Under Washington v. Glucksberg (1997), and other decisions, such an argument depends on the existence of a fundamental right ingrained in the American legal tradition. Yet Jacobson, which sustained a criminal conviction for refusing to be vaccinated, shows that plaintiffs lack such a right. To the contrary, vaccination requirements, like other public-health measures, have been common in this nation.

And this case is easier than Jacobson for the University, for two reasons.

First, Jacobson sustained a vaccination requirement that lacked exceptions for adults. But Indiana University has exceptions for persons who declare vaccination incompatible with their religious beliefs and persons for whom vaccination is medically contraindicated. The problems that may arise when a state refuses to make accommodations therefore are not present in this case. Indeed, six of the eight plaintiffs have claimed the religious exception, and a seventh is eligible for it. These plaintiffs just need to wear masks and be tested, requirements that are not constitutionally problematic. (The eighth plaintiff does not qualify for an exemption, which is why we have a justiciable controversy.)

Second, Indiana does not require every adult member of the public to be vaccinated, as Massachusetts did in Jacobson. Vaccination is instead a condition of attending Indiana University. People who do not want to be vaccinated may go elsewhere. Many universities require vaccination against SARSCoV-2, but many others do not. Plaintiffs have ample educational opportunities.

Each university may decide what is necessary to keep other students safe in a congregate setting. Health exams and vaccinations against other diseases (measles, mumps, rubella, diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, varicella, meningitis, influenza, and more) are common requirements of higher education. Vaccination protects not only the vaccinated persons but also those who come in contact with them, and at a university close contact is inevitable.

We assume with plaintiffs that they have a right in bodily integrity. They also have a right to hold property. Yet they or their parents must surrender property to attend Indiana University. Undergraduates must part with at least $11,000 a year (in-state tuition), even though Indiana could not summarily confiscate that sum from all residents of college age.

Other conditions of enrollment are normal and proper. The First Amendment means that a state cannot tell anyone what to read or write, but a state university may demand that students read things they prefer not to read and write things they prefer not to write. A student must read what a professor assigns, even if the student deems the books heretical, and must write exams or essays as required. A student told to analyze the role of nihilism in Dostoevsky’s The Possessed but who submits an essay about Iago’s motivations in Othello will flunk.

If conditions of higher education may include surrendering property and following instructions about what to read and write, it is hard to see a greater problem with medical conditions that help all students remain safe when learning. A university will have trouble operating when each student fears that everyone else may be spreading disease. Few people want to return to remote education-and we do not think that the Constitution forces the distance-learning approach on a university that believes vaccination (or masks and frequent testing of the unvaccinated) will make in-person operations safe enough.

The Seventh Circuit opinion seems correct to me.

 

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D.C. High Court Opines on Injunctions Against Speech About People

From Mashaud v. Boone, decided today by the D.C. Court of Appeals—the District’s equivalent of a state supreme court, though one that generally sits in 3-judge panels—in an opinion by Judge John Fisher, joined by Judge Phyllis Thompson:

The trial court entered a civil protection order (CPO) against appellant Lauren Mashaud based on a finding that he stalked appellee Christopher Boone by sending emails and Facebook messages to Mr. Boone’s coworkers, family, and friends informing them that Mr. Boone had engaged in an extramarital affair with Mr. Mashaud’s wife….

Mr. Mashaud’s wife (Ms. W) was working as an intern at a consulting firm when she began an affair with Mr. Boone, a vice president of the firm…. Two months [after leaning of the affair], Mr. Mashaud sent an email to three senior employees of the consulting firm, “cc’ing” Mr. Boone at his personal and work email addresses. This email stated its intent “to bring a matter to your attention that may be a violation of [the firm’s] Code of Conduct and/or other policies, procedures, business ethics, and character or standard”— namely, that Mr. Boone and Ms. W had been “involved in an extramarital affair that took place, primarily, in the workplace.” The message went on to state that “[a]side from the potential sexual harassment claims this situation presents, it also involves the inappropriate use of company resources and assets” as the two “have used company time and company resources to further their affair.” Mr. Mashaud’s email concluded:

“Christopher Boone was previously sent a no contact email from my wife on May 11, 2013 (as attached), but he continues to ignore our request and fails to respect our boundaries to allow my wife and I to heal and to regain the integrity of our marriage …. I will anticipate a response from you once you have investigated these concerns and taken appropriate corrective action.”

Attached to Mr. Mashaud’s email were copies of several email exchanges between Ms. W and Mr. Boone. Mr. Boone testified that upon receiving this email he felt violated, threatened, and embarrassed. The evidence showed that Mr. Boone replied to the email, stating his willingness to meet and talk the matter through, but that Mr. Mashaud did not respond.

About three months later, Mr. Mashaud informed some of Mr. Boone’s friends and family members of the affair through Facebook. As Mr. Mashaud explained in his testimony, Mr. Boone’s cover photo and the list of people who had “liked” it were publicly available on Facebook, and for the price of one dollar Facebook allowed users to send messages to any other user, even if the two had no connection. Mr. Mashaud paid this fee and sent messages to at least fifteen users who had liked Mr. Boone’s photo.

These messages included much of the same information as the email to the consulting firm, stating that each recipient “should know the kind of person Christopher Boone really is,” that Mr. Boone had “had a sexual affair with [Mr. Mashaud’s] wife,” and that Mr. Boone showed he lacked “integrity and respect for himself” by “fail[ing] to respect the boundaries of a married woman.” Attached to these Facebook messages was a photo of Mr. Boone and Ms. W with another firm employee. Mr. Boone testified that when he learned about the messages he again felt violated and threatened, confused as to how Mr. Mashaud had learned his friends’ and family members’ contact information, and worried for their personal safety.

The evidence at the hearing also showed that Mr. Mashaud created a blog—called “The Power of Light and Truth”—in which he addressed issues relating to the aftermath of affairs. The publicly accessible blog mentioned Mr. Boone by name and included links to his social media accounts and his firm biography. When Mr. Boone saw the blog, he filed a police report. He also initiated the CPO action at issue in this case, alleging that Mr. Mashaud was harassing and stalking him….

The District of Columbia’s stalking statute states that a person may not “purposefully engage in a course of conduct directed at a specific individual” intending, knowing, or having reason to know that his or her course of conduct would cause the individual to “[f]ear for his or her safety or the safety of another person;” to “[f]eel seriously alarmed, disturbed, or frightened;” or to “[s]uffer emotional distress.” By its express language, however, the statute “does not apply to constitutionally protected activity.” D.C. Code § 22-3133(b). (Note the phrasing: “constitutionally protected activity” instead of “constitutionally protected speech”). Thus, if Mr. Mashaud’s activity in this case—repeatedly sending emails and messages to third parties with, as the trial court found, a “vindictive motive” and “the intent to cause [Mr. Boone] to feel seriously alarmed, disturbed, or frightened or suffer emotional distress”—was “constitutionally protected,” the statute would not encompass his conduct.

We have not delineated the contours of the statutory exception for “constitutionally protected activity,” and the text of D.C. Code § 22-3133(b) does not provide an unambiguous answer. One view is that the government may not criminalize any speech except for that which falls into “existing, well-established First Amendment exceptions” such as libel, threats, or obscenity. The exception might, on the other hand, be read as a safety valve which states a truism—that the stalking statute “doesn’t mean to cover that speech or action that it isn’t allowed to cover.” We need not decide today where the line between constitutionally protected and unprotected conduct falls because we encounter at the outset an analytical misstep which requires a remand.

The majority concluded that the trial court erred in assuming that the speech was constitutionally unprotected because it was merely about “matters of private concern”:

The Supreme Court has differentiated between matters of public and private concern to explain why speech involving matters of public concern warrants heightened protection. But the Court has rejected the proposition that speech must relate to a matter of public interest to merit First Amendment protection. See, e.g., Engquist v. Oregon Dep’t of Agric. (2008) (stating that the government “could not generally prohibit or punish, in its capacity as sovereign, speech on the ground that it does not touch upon matters of public concern”); Connick v. Myers (1983) (“We in no sense suggest that speech on private matters falls into one of the narrow and well-defined classes of expression which carries so little social value, such as obscenity, that the State can prohibit and punish such expression by all persons in its jurisdiction.”).

In sum, a communication does not lose First Amendment protection merely because it discusses matters of private rather than public concern. We therefore remand for the trial court to consider in the first instance whether the evidence proved stalking given that speech about matters of private concern may enjoy constitutional protection.

But the majority also flagged some other matters that it expected the trial court to consider on remand. First, it seemed to suggest that speech about highly personal topics might be less protected, even if speech on broadly “private” matters—in the sense of daily life matters that aren’t connected to broader debates—is generally protected:

While the trial court did make the analytical misstep we have described, it is not clear to us whether the misstep ultimately affected the court’s conclusion about stalking. The court repeatedly focused on Mr. Mashaud’s course of conduct intended to cause serious alarm to Mr. Boone by taking steps to contact his co-workers, friends, and family, in a manner designed to come to Mr. Boone’s attention, about “very personal matters” involving Mr. Boone. The court repeatedly used the phrase “personal matters such as,” suggesting that it was not the particular content of the Mr. Mashaud’s messages, but instead the very personal nature (potential sexual harassment, an extramarital affair) of what Mr. Mashaud chose to expose to people who were in Mr. Boone’s circle but with whom Mr. Mashaud did not have relationships, that drew the trial court’s focus. It appears to us that the trial court might have reached the same conclusion even if it had understood that communications about particular matters of private concern enjoy a measure of constitutional protection.

The court also suggested that the trial court should consider “whether … the course of conduct here ‘served no legitimate purpose other than to harass and intimidate.'” And it flagged the question whether Mashaud’s speech could be seen as fitting within an exception for “speech integral to criminal conduct” (a subject I discuss in detail in this article):

“[S]peech integral to criminal conduct” [is a First Amendment] exception that generally applies to speech used to induce or procure the commission of a crime, such as conspiracy and solicitation. See Giboney v. Empire Storage & Ice Co. (1949) (upholding injunction barring labor union from picketing in an effort to pressure a company to violate state trade laws); United States v. Williams (2008) (holding that offers to provide or requests to obtain child pornography are unprotected under this exception). In Mr. Boone’s view, Mr. Mashaud’s speech was “integral to criminal conduct, the criminal conduct in this case being that of ‘stalking’ as statutorily proscribed.”

Some courts have rejected such reasoning as circular, see, e.g., Matter of Welfare of A.J.B. (Minn. 2019) (concluding that “the communication itself” criminalized by a stalking statute did not fall into speech integral to criminal conduct exception), and have held that the “speech integral to criminal conduct” exception applies only where the speech is integral to conduct forbidden by a separate criminal prohibition. See United States v. Hobgood (8th Cir. 2017) (affirming appellant’s conviction under interstate stalking statute because the speech that formed the basis of the stalking charge was integral to the separate crime of extortion); Burroughs v. Corey (M.D. Fla. 2015) (“[S]peech is unprotected where it is integral to criminal conduct forbidden under another statute ….” (emphasis added)), aff’d (11th Cir. 2016).

That view is not unanimous, however, as various cases applying the interstate stalking statute, 18 U.S.C. § 2261A, illustrate. Although the facts of United States v. Gonzalez (3rd Cir. 2018), are different from those presented here, the court’s analysis is instructive. The defendants had been convicted of interstate stalking and conspiracy to commit that offense based on a concerted effort to gain custody of three children to whom they were related. Their conduct included sending correspondence to Belford (the mother) and her children, contacting third parties, and posting derogatory information on the internet. The Third Circuit rejected arguments that the convictions violated the First Amendment. The conduct of Gonzalez was defamatory (an exception not invoked here), but “[e]ven if it were not defamatory,” the court held, “this speech is still unprotected as it falls squarely into the ‘speech integral to criminal conduct’ exception. The defendants’ speech served no legitimate purpose other than to harass and intimidate Belford, conduct that is illegal under [18 U.S.C.] § 2261A.” The speech was part of a course of conduct, and the criminal conduct was the stalking itself. “[I]t is the intent with which the defendants engaged in this conduct, and the effect this conduct had upon the victims, that makes what the defendants did a criminal violation.”

Other courts have reached similar conclusions, emphasizing that the interstate stalking statute does not criminalize speech itself, but a course of conduct. See, e.g., United States v. Ackell (1st Cir. 2018) (“By its own terms, § 2261A(2)(B) regulates not speech, but conduct—or, to be precise, ‘course[s] of conduct.'”; because the statute does not target speech, it cannot be “an impermissible content- or viewpoint-based restriction on speech”); United States v. Osinger (9th Cir. 2014) (“Any expressive aspects of Osinger’s speech were not protected under the First Amendment because they were “integral to criminal conduct” in intentionally harassing, intimidating or causing substantial emotional distress to V.B.”); United States v. Petrovic (8th Cir. 2012) (“the interstate stalking statute is viewpoint neutral”; it is directed toward courses of conduct, not speech); see also Giboney (“[I]t has never been deemed an abridgement of freedom of speech or press to make a course of conduct illegal merely because the conduct was in part initiated, evidenced, or carried out by means of language, either spoken, written, or printed.”)….

Judge Corinne Beckwith dissented:

On the merits, the most sensible reading of § 22-3133(b)’s statement that the stalking statute “does not apply to constitutionally protected activity” is that it applies only to constitutionally unprotected activities—specifically, activities that fall within the categories of speech the Supreme Court has recognized as unprotected by the First Amendment…. This interpretation of the statute is both more plausible and less prone to constitutional challenge than any suggestion that § 22-3133(b) exempts only speech that the government cannot constitutionally restrict (because, for example, it would fail a strict-scrutiny test)…. [I]n addition to being superfluous, [such a] “broader interpretation”—that § 22-3133(b) refers only to “activity that the statute can’t constitutionally restrict”—”poses serious constitutional problems” ….

And she rejected the speech-integral-to-criminal-conduct argument:

As my colleagues in the majority point out, a number of courts have rejected such reasoning as circular, concluding that “speech cannot be unprotected only because it is criminal in the challenged statute.” This view makes sense…. “It is not enough that the speech itself be labeled illegal conduct …. Rather, it must help cause or threaten other illegal conduct ….”

Reading Giboney so expansively to deny constitutional protection to any speech that has been criminalized would also be in tension with the fundamental rule prohibiting content-based restrictions on speech. The Giboney exception is best understood as a rationale for our “long established criminal proscriptions” on speech “intended to induce or commence illegal activities.”

She would therefore have reversed the injunction outright, without need to remand to the trial court.

 

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