Twitter, Facebook Go Full Tilt Protecting Biden Just Weeks After Execs Join Transition Team

Twitter, Facebook Go Full Tilt Protecting Biden Just Weeks After Execs Join Transition Team

Tyler Durden

Thu, 10/15/2020 – 15:15

As if anyone needed more evidence of Silicon Valley’s overt political bias – just weeks before Twitter and Facebook nuked Biden corruption revelations from their platforms with the intensity of a thousand suns, executives from both companies joined the Biden transition team.

Illustration via trishintel.com

In a bombshell report from the New York Post, leaked emails reveal that Hunter Biden introduced his father to a Burisma executive less than a year before then-VP Joe Biden pressured the Ukrainian government into firing its chief prosecutor investigating the company – something Biden openly bragged about on tape.

As soon as the news hit, social media cracked downsuspending accounts who shared the story – including the NY Post, and preventing people from tweeting it or sharing it in Direct Messages (DMs). Twitter defended itself, claiming in a nebulous statement that they do not allow ‘content obtained through hacking that contains private information, may put people in physical harm or danger, or contains trade secrets.’

The Biden emails weren’t hacked – they were found on a laptop reportedly dropped off at a Delaware computer repair store. Yet, Twitter had no problem allowing President Trump’s leaked tax records on the platform.

Perhaps the selective enforcement of content which is politically harmful to Democrats can be explained by recent hires by the Biden transition team.

According to Breitbart, Twitter Public Policy Director Carlos Monje left the social media giant to join Biden’s transition team in September. He will reportedly serve as co-chair of Biden’s infrastructure policy committee, and helped organize a fundraiser for the former VP this week, according to an invitation from Politico.

Monje has worked in the world of presidential transition politics in the past, previously serving as the director of agency review on the team that prepared for Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s administration, which failed to take flight. Monje also worked on the Obama administration team’s 2008 national security working group according to his LinkedIn profile.

Monje also acted as deputy policy director during Obama’s first run for office and subsequently served as a senior policy advisor and special assistant to the president on the Domestic Policy Council. Monje’s final years in the administration were spent in the Transporation Department before he departed for Twitter. –Breitbart

Meanwhile in October, Biden’s transition team hired Facebook executive Jessica Hertz to its general counsel to deal with ‘ethics’ issues. Notably, Facebook was the first platform to ban the Post article – with former Democrat staffer and Facebook communications team member Andy Stone tweeting that the company would be ‘reducing its distribution.’

So, does anyone believe Jack Dorsey when he says the company doesn’t shadowban content based on political beliefs?

Really?

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Surging Bitcoin Futures Volume Signals Increasing Institutional Interest

Surging Bitcoin Futures Volume Signals Increasing Institutional Interest

Tyler Durden

Thu, 10/15/2020 – 15:00

Authored by Joseph Young via CoinTelegraph.,com,

Futures volume and open interest spiked at derivatives exchanges after Bitcoin price hit $11.7K, highlighting increasing participation from institutional investors.

image courtesy of CoinTelegraph

On Oct. 12 Bitcoin price (BTC) pushed above $11,700 on Binance and data shows trading at derivatives exchanges also began to spike.

According to data from Skew, CME Bitcoin futures open interest has started to recover. The term open interest refers to the total amount of long and short contracts open at a given time and it is typically used to gauge trading activity in the futures market.

CME Bitcoin futures volume. Source: Skew

The daily volume across other institution-focused platforms, including LMAX Digital and Bakkt, also remains high. This suggests that institutional volume is growing in general after BTC’s strong rally.

What’s behind the surge?

In the past two months, three multi-billion dollar conglomerates publicly announced significantly sized investments in Bitcoin.

First, MicroStrategy, a publicly-listed U.S. company on the Nasdaq, said it invested $425 million in Bitcoin. The company said it would treat BTC as its primary treasury asset, essentially as a hedge against inflation.

Then, the $81 billion payments conglomerate Square followed with a $50 million investment. Square reportedly invested 1% of its portfolio into BTC, demonstrating strength in its long-term growth.

On Oct. 13, as Cointelegraph reported, Stone Ridge, a $10 billion asset manager, purchased 10,000 BTC. The company is now the third major corporation in the U.S. to make a major Bitcoin investment in the past two months.

Following the high profile investments into Bitcoin from MicroStrategy, Square, and Stone Ridge, institutional demand for Bitcoin might be growing naturally. Researchers at Skew said:

“CME #bitcoin futures open interest is rebounding as the carry trade reopens. Watch the COT report this weekend for potentially more leveraged funds shorts.”

Bitcoin futures data from Digital Assets Data also show a noticeable uptick in volume over the past 2 weeks. 

BTC futures volume by exchange. Source: Digital Assets Data

It is possible that CME Bitcoin futures open interest has been recovering after the September monthly expiration. Every monthly CME futures contract expires on the last friday of every month. Since the futures market resets after every expiration, open interest drops with it in tandem.

But the overall increase in volume across various institutional platforms indicates that institutional demand is likely rising.

OTC deals among whales might also be increasing

Since early October, researchers at Whalemap have said OTC deals among whales have been increasing. 

Whalemap, a platform that tracks whale activity and the trades of high-net-worth investors, found that in-person deals have noticeably spiked especially before and after major announcements. They said:

“I was looking forward to seeing if more OTC deals will come through, and they did. I am leaning more and more towards the idea that you can see these OTC deals happening on-chain before the news are released.”

Atop the high institutional and whale activity, overall spot market volume has been increasing simultaneously.

Aggregated daily BTC spot volumes. Source: Skew

During an uptrend, high spot volume is critical to sustain the upward momentum as it shows genuine interest in Bitcoin from retail investors.

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The Naturalness of ACB

Judge Barrett has now finished her testimony. I have listened to most, but not all of the proceedings. (I am catching up on the parts I missed by watching YouTube at double-speed). Here are my general impressions.

First, past confirmation hearings were stilted affairs. There was little personal connection between the nominee, the Senators, and the public. The nominees felt sterile, and almost robotic. Judge Barrett was the polar opposite. She exuded a naturalness that came through on camera. She didn’t need to pretend to take vigorous notes. (The questions really aren’t that hard.) I felt an instant connection to her and her family in ways I did not feel with prior nominees. To be sure, she repeated some lines over and over and over again, and refused to answer the same questions her predecessors refused to answer. But I did not get the sense that every word she said was calculated to maximize her chance of confirmation. Indeed, at a few junctures, she went off script and said things that would not not help her prospects, but she believed them to be so. For example, her answer about how she felt was so genuine. Her discussion of weeping with her daughter over George Floyd’s death was heart-breaking. She was real.

Second, I think this charisma will help her elevate to the next level. Justice Scalia was a rock star. Justice Ginsburg was a rock star. They had that special oomph. When they entered a room, it lit up. I am eager to see Justice Barrett hit the speaking circuit, and make her vision of the law accessible to the masses. She has the rare combination of personality and intellect, which will allow her to bring the Constitution to the people. But–and here is the huge but–I think Judge Barrett may have the humility and modesty to prevent that rock-star status from going to her head. Fame affected both Scalia and Ginsburg in a bad way. I hope ACB can resist the siren call.

Third, she is really, really well-versed in constitutional doctrine. She readily talked about “external constraints” on federal power. She recognized that you cannot talk about Brown v. Board of Education without also talking about Cooper v. Aaron. (More on those cases later). She refused to indulge in the myth of judicial supremacy, and referenced Ex Parte Merryman. (Here, one Barrett could learn from another Barrett). She casually explained that Section 2 of the 14th Amendment permits disefranchisement of felons but the Second Amendment has no such constraint. We have to keep in mind that ACB has been a constitutional law professor for some time. She speaks our language. I think Justices Gorsuch and Kavanaugh have a deep familiarity with these doctrines. They were raised in our legal culture. But ACB has internalized it through years of scholarship. For her, it is natural.

I honestly did not think I would praising a nominee in this fashion. I really didn’t. I hadn’t planned to even watch the proceedings. I’ve long considered the hearings to be a vapid ritual–meaningless Kabuki theater. But ACB drew me in. She made a connection that I hadn’t expected to experience. I think even the Democratic Senators saw that connection. And so will the American people.

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The Naturalness of ACB

Judge Barrett has now finished her testimony. I have listened to most, but not all of the proceedings. (I am catching up on the parts I missed by watching YouTube at double-speed). Here are my general impressions.

First, past confirmation hearings were stilted affairs. There was little personal connection between the nominee, the Senators, and the public. The nominees felt sterile, and almost robotic. Judge Barrett was the polar opposite. She exuded a naturalness that came through on camera. She didn’t need to pretend to take vigorous notes. (The questions really aren’t that hard.) I felt an instant connection to her and her family in ways I did not feel with prior nominees. To be sure, she repeated some lines over and over and over again, and refused to answer the same questions her predecessors refused to answer. But I did not get the sense that every word she said was calculated to maximize her chance of confirmation. Indeed, at a few junctures, she went off script and said things that would not not help her prospects, but she believed them to be so. For example, her answer about how she felt was so genuine. Her discussion of weeping with her daughter over George Floyd’s death was heart-breaking. She was real.

Second, I think this charisma will help her elevate to the next level. Justice Scalia was a rock star. Justice Ginsburg was a rock star. They had that special oomph. When they entered a room, it lit up. I am eager to see Justice Barrett hit the speaking circuit, and make her vision of the law accessible to the masses. She has the rare combination of personality and intellect, which will allow her to bring the Constitution to the people. But–and here is the huge but–I think Judge Barrett may have the humility and modesty to prevent that rock-star status from going to her head. Fame affected both Scalia and Ginsburg in a bad way. I hope ACB can resist the siren call.

Third, she is really, really well-versed in constitutional doctrine. She readily talked about “external constraints” on federal power. She recognized that you cannot talk about Brown v. Board of Education without also talking about Cooper v. Aaron. (More on those cases later). She refused to indulge in the myth of judicial supremacy, and referenced Ex Parte Merryman. (Here, one Barrett could learn from another Barrett). She casually explained that Section 2 of the 14th Amendment permits disefranchisement of felons but the Second Amendment has no such constraint. We have to keep in mind that ACB has been a constitutional law professor for some time. She speaks our language. I think Justices Gorsuch and Kavanaugh have a deep familiarity with these doctrines. They were raised in our legal culture. But ACB has internalized it through years of scholarship. For her, it is natural.

I honestly did not think I would praising a nominee in this fashion. I really didn’t. I hadn’t planned to even watch the proceedings. I’ve long considered the hearings to be a vapid ritual–meaningless Kabuki theater. But ACB drew me in. She made a connection that I hadn’t expected to experience. I think even the Democratic Senators saw that connection. And so will the American people.

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RobinTrack Comeback: Robinhood Considers Making User Data Public Again

RobinTrack Comeback: Robinhood Considers Making User Data Public Again

Tyler Durden

Thu, 10/15/2020 – 14:45

Working against the best interests of the biggest hedge funds in the U.S. can be a difficult way to do business – and it appears discount brokerage Robinhood may be finding this out the hard way.

Recall, it was about two months ago we noted that Robinhood was going to stop sharing its user data, effectively shutting down RobinTrack.net – a site that was being used to monitor the holdings of retail customers. The site was popular with the investing public – and especially by hedge funds and institutions who would scrape and monitor its data to get a pulse on the markets.

Just days after the decision we reported that Point 72 was desperately scrambling to try and get its hands on similar data. We had guessed that the site might just make the data available as part of a hedge fund product that it could sell to boost its top line.

Now, about two months after the decision to shut it down, Robinhood appears to be reconsidering. Robinhood co-founder Vladimir Tenev said “We’re looking into it” in an interview with Bloomberg

“We hear the desire to have some of that data available again. We want to make sure we have all the proper safeguards and the data is actually being presented in an accurate way that’s not confusing or misleading,” he continued. 

Robinhood had claimed back in August that the way RobinTrack.net was reporting the data “could be misunderstood and wasn’t representative of how clients use the platform.”

“Trends and data are often misconstrued and misunderstood,” Robinhood said back in August. “The majority of its users” are buy and hold users, not daytraders, the brokerage said.

Tenev

The company says now that if it turns the feature back on, it will probably be as an in-app feature, so they can monitor the way that the data is being represented. 

Tenev concluded: “It’s interesting from an information and educational standpoint. That’s why I’m personally interested in figuring out a way to reintroduce it safely.”

We still think the company is missing out on a big opportunity to market the data as a product and wouldn’t be surprised if that’s next in the offing after this fuzzy sounding PR tour the company’s executives are doing. 

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A Trump Victory Would Be “The Biggest Polling Shock In History”

A Trump Victory Would Be “The Biggest Polling Shock In History”

Tyler Durden

Thu, 10/15/2020 – 14:30

According to numerous political pundits (and certainly pollsters), the outcome of the 2016 election was the biggest political upset in modern history. Perhaps… but should Trump defy the pollster odds and defeat Biden on Nov 3, the shock would be even greater. In fact, according to Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid, a Trump victory would be “the biggest polling shock in history.”

Let’s back up: with Joe Biden seeing his lead in various polls rise by over 10pp over the past week, a fact both the liberal media and various Gen-Z traders have pounced on to predict a landslide victory for Biden and even a Blue Sweep so powerful, it eliminates a “contested election” as a possible outcome…

… Jim Reid decided look at how big the polling errors were in previous post-WWII elections.

This is shown in the graph below which compares the final poll or polling averages (since 2004) for each election versus the eventual vote margin. Polls have been within 0-3% of the final outcome in the last 6 US presidential elections. And though polls have (far) more often erred away from the Republican candidate over this period – indeed, in the past seven elections, polls have “oddly” shown a bias for the Democrats on 6 out of 7 occasions – the median error is less than 1%.

The largest error was in 1948 when President Truman won by 5% in spite of being behind by 4.4% in the final polls. However, Truman’s challenger in New York Governor Dewey saw his lead fall from 17 points in late September to 9 points in mid-October before settling at ‘only’ 5 points just before the election.

The last two big misses were a 6.4 point overstatement of Clinton’s eventual 5.6 point win in 1992 and a 6.4 point understatement of Reagan’s 9.4 point win in 1980. These receive less attention, however, since the error didn’t change the result that the polls were already implying.

What this means is that while a Truman-style error in the polls may give Trump a chance given the electoral college system, Reid concludes that “the reality is that – unless the polls narrow into election day – a Trump victory would be the biggest error in our modern era of mass polling.”

Which, in light of the media’s now overt bias and pollsters’ catastrophic track record in recent years, would be an appropriate continuation to the four craziest years in US politics.

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A Toxic Mix: US Air Travelers -65%, Ticket Prices -25%

A Toxic Mix: US Air Travelers -65%, Ticket Prices -25%

Tyler Durden

Thu, 10/15/2020 – 14:15

Authored by Wolf Richter via WolfStreet.com,

US airlines are in the crappiest recovery ever.

They’re getting hit in two ways:

  • The number of passengers is still way down, seven months into the pandemic, or actually over eight months into it because for airlines it started at the end of January with flight bans;

  • and on top of it, ticket prices have plunged – the toxic mix of crushed volume and crushed prices. In its third-quarter earnings report on Tuesday, Delta showed how that worked out.

Airlines’ passenger volume still crushed.

The number of passengers entering the security zones of US airports is still down 65% from the same time last year, according to TSA airport screenings. Normally, there is the summer peak in June, July, and early August, then passenger count drops in the weeks before Labor Day, and surges after Labor Day, as business travel picks up and people that don’t have kids in school go on vacation. But this year, business travel, including the entire conference and meeting sector, is still mostly dead and vacation travel is still thin, especially among the older people who might otherwise travel in the fall.

The chart shows TSA checkpoint screenings per day, as a seven-day moving average through October 13, in 2019 (black line) and in 2020 (red line):

When an industry has 65% less traffic than a year earlier, that’s catastrophic enough. But now there’s the other issue…

Ticket prices got crushed.

Retail prices of airline ticket in September have plunged by 25% from January, before flight restrictions to China and other countries began to hit, according to the Consumer Price Index for September, released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. During the three months of February, March, and April, the CPI for airline tickets plunged 30%, by far the biggest three-month decline in the data going back to 1984. Even after 9-11, the sharpest three-month decline topped out at -5.9%.

For airlines, the crisis began at the end of January with flight restrictions to and from China and it expanded from there. There has been some increase in domestic travel. But international travel – a lucrative segment for airlines – remains scarce given the continued travel bans. And international premium and business travel – the most lucrative segment for airlines – is even scarcer, given the travel bans and the corporate reluctance of sending their people around the globe unless they absolutely have to go.

Delta reports Q3 passenger revenues: -83%.

On Tuesday, Delta Air Lines [DALreported that it had lost $5.4 billion in the third quarter, on a 76% drop in total revenue, compared to Q3 last year. While freight revenue dropped only 25% and other revenue increased 21%, passenger revenue collapsed by 83%!

Delta got hit particularly hard because it had focused on the juicy segment of premium business travel. Ticket revenues – the toxic mix of fewer tickets at lower prices – collapsed across the board, but most on the lucrative international routes. Year-over-year change in ticket revenues by segment:

  • Domestic flights: -79%

  • Across the Atlantic: -94%

  • Across the Pacific: -91%

  • Latin America: -86%.

Delta still has $21.5 billion in cash and cash equivalents to eat through. And it will last for a while. Its “daily cash burn” – the new metric, born in the Pandemic, that all airlines now use – was still $18 million a day at the end of September. That’s over $1 billion every two months. In the Q2 report, CEO Ed Bastian said Delta would stop burning cash by year end. Today, he moved that target into the spring of 2021.

“The virus has had a much broader impact over the course of the year than any of us were suspecting,” Bastian told the WSJ in an interview.

And for Delta, it’s not just Delta: Several of the airlines Delta had significant equity stakes in and partnered with, including Virgin Atlantic, Latam Airlines, and Grupo Aeroméxico, have filed for bankruptcy as their governments wisely refused to shanghai taxpayers into bailing out these airlines’ shareholders, such as Delta. Delta has now written off its stakes in Latam and Aeroméxico, a sign that Delta expects its equity stakes to get wiped out in bankruptcy; and it has written down its stake in Virgin Atlantic.

*  *  *

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UK, EU Agree To Extend Brexit Talks As COVID-19 Complicates Critical Summit

UK, EU Agree To Extend Brexit Talks As COVID-19 Complicates Critical Summit

Tyler Durden

Thu, 10/15/2020 – 13:59

Thursday marks the beginning of a two-day European Council summit where – Brussels had hoped, at least – a trade deal between the UK and its 27 EU allies could be reviewed and placed on the road to ratification (remember, every individual member state’s parliament must approve the deal eventually).

Unfortunately, that probably isn’t going to happen. Little progress has been made between the UK and EU27 on disputes about state subsidies, and access to fishing waters. UK negotiator Lord David Frost recently told the British press that while little progress has been made on fisheries access, the two sides are “slowly” moving toward a compromise on subsidies, Bloomberg reports.

And now, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, a critical player in the talks has removed herself from the summit after an aide tested positive for COVID-19.

Boris Johnson has reportedly expressed ‘disappointment’ over von der Leyen’s sudden absence, seeing it as an inexcusable obstacle to progress.

Fortunately, the “deadline” for the trade talks has been slowly retreating like Jude Law’s hairline.  EU Chief Negotiator Michel Barnier has confirmed that the trade negotiations will continue, despite the Oct. 15 deadline. Barnier said his team would travel  to London for another round of talks next week, while the Brits would travel to Brussels the week after, as the latest “deadline” shifts to Oct. 3, per the AP.

Earlier this week, BoJo’s decision to stick with talks instead of walking away prompted analysts to suggest that the odds of a deal are high. If the UK wanted to walk away, they would have. Instead, it’s clear that BoJo won’t get the concessions he wants until the last minute, when his “Intermarket Bill” will likely come back into play, as the EU moves to activate the withdrawal agreement’s dispute resolution mechanism in order to try and stop BoJo from effectively unilaterally defying an international treaty to keep trade barriers from being erected within the United Kingdom.

Tensions between the London and Brussels isn’t the only obstacle to a deal. Within the EU27, a debate is ongoing about the nature of a trade deal that the bloc can live with. French President Emmanuel Macron’s insistence that French fishermen retain access to British fishing waters is now the biggest roadblock to a deal, much to his allies’ chagrin. One German official recently hinted that France would come around once it realizes that the options are either “no fish” or “no deal”.

And once again, Brexit talks are coming down to the wire because of…seafood.

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These 7th Circuit Decisions Suggest Amy Coney Barrett Takes a Constrained View of Qualified Immunity

Amy-Coney-Barrett-hearing-10-13-20-C-SPAN

During its last session, the Supreme Court passed up a bunch of opportunities to revisit qualified immunity, a doctrine that shields government officials from federal civil rights claims when their alleged misconduct did not violate “clearly established” law. But critics of that doctrine, which in many cases has protected police officers from liability for outrageous abuses, still hope the justices will take up the issue at some point. While it’s not clear whether Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett is inclined to do that, her positions on qualified immunity as a judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit suggest she takes a constrained view of the doctrine’s scope.

I have previously noted Barrett’s majority opinion in the 2019 case Rainsberger v. Benner, which demolished an Indianapolis detective’s claim that he could not be sued for lying in a probable cause affidavit that was used to charge William Rainsberger with murdering his mother. “The unlawfulness of using deliberately falsified allegations to establish probable cause could not be clearer,” she noted.

In the 2019 case Torry v. Chicago, by contrast, Barrett wrote an opinion that upheld qualified immunity for Chicago police officers who stopped “three black men in a grey sedan” while investigating a drive-by shooting half a mile from a high school in 2014. Those men—Marcus Torry, William Roberts, and Latrell Goss—had nothing to do with the shooting. They just happened to be in the neighborhood four hours later because Goss’ car had broken down. The other two men picked him up and drove him to an auto parts store, passing the high school twice.

A weird wrinkle in this case is that the officers did not remember the stop. To justify it, they relied on reports about the shooting and a video of the encounter that Torry recorded with his cellphone. Witnesses to the shooting “had described three black men in a grey car,” although “the descriptions of the car’s model varied, and none was an exact match for the car that the plaintiffs were driving.” The video “depicted Sergeant Robert King, the officer who initiated the stop, citing the plaintiffs’ suspicious behavior in the area of the shooting as the reason that he had pulled them over.”

The video shows that King explicitly described the incident as “a Terry stop,” referring to the 1968 Supreme Court decision in Terry v. Ohio, which said the Fourth Amendment allows police to detain and question people based on “reasonable suspicion” of criminal activity. The Court also said police in those circumstances are allowed to pat people down for weapons, as the officers did in this case, if they reasonably suspect they are armed.

Barrett concluded that the officers were entitled to qualified immunity because it was not clearly established that their actions ran afoul of Terry. And although she did not officially address the question, she strongly suggested that the stop was justified by reasonable suspicion, because the plaintiffs and their car broadly resembled the witness descriptions and because the men were in the vicinity of the shooting several hours after it happened.

Barrett rejected the plaintiffs’ argument that “the defendants’ failure of memory is a concession of liability,” saying reasonable suspicion can be established based on other evidence. But since the “suspicious behavior” that King observed consisted of driving by the high school twice, her conclusion suggests that police would have been justified—or at least could have reasonably thought they were justified—in stopping any three black men in a gray vehicle who happened to be in the neighborhood around the same time. Barrett noted that reasonable suspicion is “a lower standard than probable cause,” which is itself a pretty low bar.

In two other 7th Circuit cases, Barrett voted to reject qualified immunity for correctional officers accused of constitutional violations.

Howard v. Koeller, decided in 2018, involved a Wisconsin correctional officer, Lynn Koeller, who was accused of falsely identifying a prisoner, Joshua Howard, as a snitch in retaliation for the assistance he had given fellow inmates who were pursuing legal claims of mistreatment. Barrett joined an opinion reversing a magistrate judge’s ruling that Koeller was entitled to qualified immunity. The three-judge panel said “a reasonable jury could find” that Koeller’s alleged actions amounted to unconstitutional retaliation for Howard’s legal assistance, which was protected by the First Amendment.

Notably, the opinion joined by Barrett rejected Koeller’s argument that “there are no analogous cases that would give [her] notice ‘beyond debate’ that the First Amendment prohibits [her] from reporting that an inmate provided the name of another inmate within a conduct report.” That gloss, the court noted, “is not an accurate characterization of what Howard alleges.” Rather, “Howard alleges that Koeller made deliberate misrepresentations in disciplinary reports with the intent to trigger a punitive response from other inmates.” Since “Koeller does not argue that a reasonable prison official would be unaware that this deliberate misconduct violated Howard’s constitutional rights,” the panel said, “qualified immunity does not protect her.”

Federal courts often construe qualified immunity so broadly that it bars claims when plaintiffs cannot identify relevant precedents with nearly identical facts. But in this case, the 7th Circuit said the clearly established principle that forbids retaliation for activity protected by the First Amendment was enough to keep Howard’s claim alive, even if there was no prior case in which that principle was violated in exactly the same way.

In the 2018 case Broadfield v. McGrath, a 7th Circuit panel upheld a judge’s denial of qualified immunity to Illinois jail guards accused of using excessive force against a pretrial detainee, Brian Broadfield, who “flipped out” when he was reassigned to a different housing unit. The question, according to the opinion joined by Barrett, “is not whether the law forbids the use of excessive force, but whether the law clearly established as excessive force the pressing of a non‐resisting detainee’s neck against the concrete in a manner that prevented him from breathing, carrying him hog‐tied to his cell, and severely twisting his wrist in the process.” In resolving that question, the judges said, “we do not require a case be directly on point, but existing precedent must be sufficiently analogous to place the officers on notice that their conduct was unlawful.”

By that standard, the 7th Circuit concluded, the facts alleged by Broadfield would be sufficient to establish that the force used against him was excessive. “The Supreme Court has held that a pretrial detainee can succeed on an excessive force claim by showing only that the force used against him was objectively unreasonable,” the judges noted. “Our precedent makes clear that the actions of [the correctional officers] were objectively unreasonable if Broadfield was not resisting.”

The conclusions that Barrett reached in these cases could be viewed as evidence that qualified immunity is working just fine, since it did not bar Rainsberger, Howard, or Broadfield from pursuing their claims. While Torry et al. did not fare as well, the result in that case hinged on exactly how weak a standard “reasonable suspicion” is.

Federal courts in other cases, however, have granted qualified immunity to police officers accused of shocking behavior, including grand theft, shooting children, tasing a driver who was stopped for failing to buckle his seat belt, suffocating a nonviolent man in the name of helping him, siccing a dog on a surrendering suspect, ordering a 17-year-old boy to disrobe and masturbate so his erect penis could be photographed, seriously injuring a woman who was not even a suspect because she disregarded a command to “get back here,” and wrecking a woman’s home with tear gas grenades after she gave cops permission to “get inside” so they could arrest her former boyfriend. Cases like these suggest that something has gone seriously wrong with a doctrine that was supposed to protect cops who could not have been reasonably expected to know they were doing anything unlawful.

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These 7th Circuit Decisions Suggest Amy Coney Barrett Takes a Constrained View of Qualified Immunity

Amy-Coney-Barrett-hearing-10-13-20-C-SPAN

During its last session, the Supreme Court passed up a bunch of opportunities to revisit qualified immunity, a doctrine that shields government officials from federal civil rights claims when their alleged misconduct did not violate “clearly established” law. But critics of that doctrine, which in many cases has protected police officers from liability for outrageous abuses, still hope the justices will take up the issue at some point. While it’s not clear whether Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett is inclined to do that, her positions on qualified immunity as a judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit suggest she takes a constrained view of the doctrine’s scope.

I have previously noted Barrett’s majority opinion in the 2019 case Rainsberger v. Benner, which demolished an Indianapolis detective’s claim that he could not be sued for lying in a probable cause affidavit that was used to charge William Rainsberger with murdering his mother. “The unlawfulness of using deliberately falsified allegations to establish probable cause could not be clearer,” she noted.

In the 2019 case Torry v. Chicago, by contrast, Barrett wrote an opinion that upheld qualified immunity for Chicago police officers who stopped “three black men in a grey sedan” while investigating a drive-by shooting half a mile from a high school in 2014. Those men—Marcus Torry, William Roberts, and Latrell Goss—had nothing to do with the shooting. They just happened to be in the neighborhood four hours later because Goss’ car had broken down. The other two men picked him up and drove him to an auto parts store, passing the high school twice.

A weird wrinkle in this case is that the officers did not remember the stop. To justify it, they relied on reports about the shooting and a video of the encounter that Torry recorded with his cellphone. Witnesses to the shooting “had described three black men in a grey car,” although “the descriptions of the car’s model varied, and none was an exact match for the car that the plaintiffs were driving.” The video “depicted Sergeant Robert King, the officer who initiated the stop, citing the plaintiffs’ suspicious behavior in the area of the shooting as the reason that he had pulled them over.”

The video shows that King explicitly described the incident as “a Terry stop,” referring to the 1968 Supreme Court decision in Terry v. Ohio, which said the Fourth Amendment allows police to detain and question people based on “reasonable suspicion” of criminal activity. The Court also said police in those circumstances are allowed to pat people down for weapons, as the officers did in this case, if they reasonably suspect they are armed.

Barrett concluded that the officers were entitled to qualified immunity because it was not clearly established that their actions ran afoul of Terry. And although she did not officially address the question, she strongly suggested that the stop was justified by reasonable suspicion, because the plaintiffs and their car broadly resembled the witness descriptions and because the men were in the vicinity of the shooting several hours after it happened.

Barrett rejected the plaintiffs’ argument that “the defendants’ failure of memory is a concession of liability,” saying reasonable suspicion can be established based on other evidence. But since the “suspicious behavior” that King observed consisted of driving by the high school twice, her conclusion suggests that police would have been justified—or at least could have reasonably thought they were justified—in stopping any three black men in a gray vehicle who happened to be in the neighborhood around the same time. Barrett noted that reasonable suspicion is “a lower standard than probable cause,” which is itself a pretty low bar.

In two other 7th Circuit cases, Barrett voted to reject qualified immunity for correctional officers accused of constitutional violations.

Howard v. Koeller, decided in 2018, involved a Wisconsin correctional officer, Lynn Koeller, who was accused of falsely identifying a prisoner, Joshua Howard, as a snitch in retaliation for the assistance he had given fellow inmates who were pursuing legal claims of mistreatment. Barrett joined an opinion reversing a magistrate judge’s ruling that Koeller was entitled to qualified immunity. The three-judge panel said “a reasonable jury could find” that Koeller’s alleged actions amounted to unconstitutional retaliation for Howard’s legal assistance, which was protected by the First Amendment.

Notably, the opinion joined by Barrett rejected Koeller’s argument that “there are no analogous cases that would give [her] notice ‘beyond debate’ that the First Amendment prohibits [her] from reporting that an inmate provided the name of another inmate within a conduct report.” That gloss, the court noted, “is not an accurate characterization of what Howard alleges.” Rather, “Howard alleges that Koeller made deliberate misrepresentations in disciplinary reports with the intent to trigger a punitive response from other inmates.” Since “Koeller does not argue that a reasonable prison official would be unaware that this deliberate misconduct violated Howard’s constitutional rights,” the panel said, “qualified immunity does not protect her.”

Federal courts often construe qualified immunity so broadly that it bars claims when plaintiffs cannot identify relevant precedents with nearly identical facts. But in this case, the 7th Circuit said the clearly established principle that forbids retaliation for activity protected by the First Amendment was enough to keep Howard’s claim alive, even if there was no prior case in which that principle was violated in exactly the same way.

In the 2018 case Broadfield v. McGrath, a 7th Circuit panel upheld a judge’s denial of qualified immunity to Illinois jail guards accused of using excessive force against a pretrial detainee, Brian Broadfield, who “flipped out” when he was reassigned to a different housing unit. The question, according to the opinion joined by Barrett, “is not whether the law forbids the use of excessive force, but whether the law clearly established as excessive force the pressing of a non‐resisting detainee’s neck against the concrete in a manner that prevented him from breathing, carrying him hog‐tied to his cell, and severely twisting his wrist in the process.” In resolving that question, the judges said, “we do not require a case be directly on point, but existing precedent must be sufficiently analogous to place the officers on notice that their conduct was unlawful.”

By that standard, the 7th Circuit concluded, the facts alleged by Broadfield would be sufficient to establish that the force used against him was excessive. “The Supreme Court has held that a pretrial detainee can succeed on an excessive force claim by showing only that the force used against him was objectively unreasonable,” the judges noted. “Our precedent makes clear that the actions of [the correctional officers] were objectively unreasonable if Broadfield was not resisting.”

The conclusions that Barrett reached in these cases could be viewed as evidence that qualified immunity is working just fine, since it did not bar Rainsberger, Howard, or Broadfield from pursuing their claims. While Torry et al. did not fare as well, the result in that case hinged on exactly how weak a standard “reasonable suspicion” is.

Federal courts in other cases, however, have granted qualified immunity to police officers accused of shocking behavior, including grand theft, shooting children, tasing a driver who was stopped for failing to buckle his seat belt, suffocating a nonviolent man in the name of helping him, siccing a dog on a surrendering suspect, ordering a 17-year-old boy to disrobe and masturbate so his erect penis could be photographed, seriously injuring a woman who was not even a suspect because she disregarded a command to “get back here,” and wrecking a woman’s home with tear gas grenades after she gave cops permission to “get inside” so they could arrest her former boyfriend. Cases like these suggest that something has gone seriously wrong with a doctrine that was supposed to protect cops who could not have been reasonably expected to know they were doing anything unlawful.

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