If the Grand Jurors Had Indicted Darren Wilson, Would Prosecutors Have Been Obligated to Ignore Them?

The other day I
argued
that the grand jurors who rejected criminal charges
against Darren Wilson in the death of Michael Brown misconstrued
their task. They were not supposed to decide whether Wilson should
be convicted; they were supposed to decide whether there was
probable cause to believe he broke the law. Sheila Whirley, one of
the assistant county prosecutors guiding the process,
put it this way
on November 21:

Your standard of proof is still probable cause. You’re not here
to determine guilt or not guilty. It is probable cause: Is it
enough to go to trial?

Whirley’s colleague Kathi Alizadeh elaborated on this point:

You must find probable cause to believe that [Wilson] committed
the offense that you’re considering, and you must find probable
cause to believe that he did not act in lawful self-defense [and]
that he did not use lawful force in making the arrest.

With several eyewitnesses testifying that Brown did not pose a
threat and appeared to be surrendering when Wilson shot him to
death in the street, it seems to me there is enough evidence for
probable cause on all these points, although that does not
necessarily mean there is enough evidence to prove Wilson’s guilt
beyond a reasonable doubt. The latter judgment is reserved for a
trial jury.

If the extensive testimony the grand jurors heard had been
presented in a trial, advocates on both sides would have had an
opportunity to cross-examine the witnesses, which might have given
us a clearer idea of what actually happened. I am still
skeptical
that the state would be able to meet its burden of
proof, but that does not mean it should not have tried.

St. Louis County Prosecuting Attorney Robert McCulloch clearly
did not want to prosecute Wilson, but neither did he want to take
responsibility for that decision. So instead he left it to the
grand jurors, guiding them toward the correct conclusion by
reinforcing Wilson’s self-defense claim. Powerline blogger
Paul Mirengoff, who defends McCulloch’s approach,
describes
it this way:

Normally, prosecutors try to guide a grand jury towards an
indictment. Almost invariably, prosecutors succeed. Hence the
cliche that a prosecutor can get a grand jury to indict a ham
sandwich.

In this case, though, the prosecutor did not get an indictment.
Nor, from all that appears, did he attempt to get one. If anything,
he may have steered the grand jury away from indicting
Wilson….

Prosecutors push through indictments when they believe a party
has committed a crime and that they have a decent shot of proving
so in court. If they believe a party is innocent of criminal
wrongdoing and/or that they will lose at trial, prosecutors
typically don’t initiate criminal proceedings before a grand jury.
Why would they?

In Wilson’s case, the prosecutor obviously believed that Wilson
should not be prosecuted. Normally, then, he would not have
initiated criminal proceedings at all or, at most, he would have
held a perfunctory hearing that resulted in no indictment.

Instead, the prosecutor held an elaborate grand jury
proceeding.

The problem is that, as Georgetown law professor Randy Barnett
noted
on Twitter in response to my blog post, “Prosecutors have an
ethical obligation not to prosecute those they think are innocent.”
If McCulloch believed Wilson was innocent, why would he let the
grand jurors decide whether charges should be brought? And if they
did approve charges, wouldn’t he be ethically obligated to
disregard their determination?

“Whatever [your] decision is, it will be the correct decision
and we will stand by that 100 percent,” Alizadeh told the grand
jurors. “Our opinions don’t matter. It is up to you and what you
guys think.” Yet this seems like a situation where only one outcome
was acceptable, which renders the whole process suspect.

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How to profit from a decline in the renminbi

shutterstock 154194383 How to profit from a decline in the renminbi

November 28, 2014
Bali, Indonesia

[Editor’s Note: This missive was penned by Sovereign Man’s Chief Investment Strategist Tim Staermose]

I spent two days in China earlier this week. Among other things, I wanted to get a feel for where people on the ground see the currency heading.

My personal view is that, as the US dollar keeps strengthening against the euro, yen, etc. China will find it increasingly difficult to bear the burden of having the only major alternative currency that’s appreciating versus the US dollar.

It’s killing China’s price competitiveness in export markets and contributing to the slowdown in the Chinese economy.

At some point, I believe the pain will become too much to bear, and the Chinese government will devalue. Remember, their hold on power depends almost entirely on keeping people working, and increasing living standards in China.

Indeed, after a surprise interest rate cut by the Chinese authorities last Friday afternoon, word on the street was that the Chinese government may be trying to encourage a weaker RMB.

Speaking with one Zhuhai-based friend who’s in the shoe export business, he confirmed that many Chinese manufacturers are currently surviving as best they can on wafer-thin profit margins.

Personally he was keeping his fingers crossed that the line of $19.95-a-pair high heeled winter boots for women that he had supplied to US retailers for the Black Friday retail sales were going to fly off the shelves.

Talking to the black market foreign exchange dealers near the border crossing from Shenzhen to Hong Kong, the consensus was also that the RMB may have seen its highs in the near term.

If you ask me, it makes perfect sense for the Chinese to let the currency depreciate. By doing so:

  1. They’d boost the export price competitiveness of Chinese exports, especially in Europe and Japan where the local currencies have fallen off a cliff. But, also in the US.
  2. The value of the Chinese government’s vast hoard of foreign exchange reserves would appreciate measurably in RMB terms, giving them more fire power to launch further economic stimulus.
  3. They’d smoke the “carry trade” speculators currently pouring hot money into China — often using illegal workarounds — to benefit from the interest rate spreads available between Chinese yuan deposits or bonds, and near-free US dollar, Hong Kong dollar, or yen funding costs.

However, the consensus view among most non-Chinese investors still appears to be that the RMB is a sure thing to keep gradually appreciating.

This bias is so heavy that a unique contrarian opportunity has presented itself.

Because the USDRMB exchange rate has been trending down in a steady, predictable, un-volatile pattern for most of the year, many people have been lulled into a false sense of security.

With such limited volatility, options prices for trades which short the renminbi are super cheap.

I’ve just put a trade on for an investment management client, using call options on the USDCNY exchange rate.

We are risking RMB70,000 for a chance to make RMB2.5 million or more, on a 20% +/- depreciation in the RMB sometime over the next 12 months.

It’s an aggressive trade. But with 3,400%+ profit potential, we like the risk/reward ratio.

Even if speculating is not your thing, if you currently hold any RMB-denominated deposits or investments, at the very least I recommend you buy some “insurance” against a sudden RMB devaluation.

This is something that is entirely possible within the next 12 months.

From China’s point of view, joining the currency war that’s raging around the world, to stem the pain from a strong currency that’s choking off its competiveness, and stoking unwanted hot money inflows, might just be a temptation that’s too great to resist.

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Pakistani Actress Veena Malik Sentenced to 26 Years in Prison for “Malicious Acts of Blasphemy”

Veena MalikActress Veena Malik was
sentenced
this week to 26 years in prison by a Pakistani court
for reenacting her wedding with her husband on a morning TV show.
Her husband, Asad Khattak, as well as Mir Shakil-ur-Rahman, the
owner of Geo TV, which aired the program, and Shaista Whidi, who
hosted it, all received 26 year sentences as well.

The program caused controversy when it first aired several
months ago,
leading
the TV station to run apologies in Pakistani
newspapers. The court primarily objected to the use of religious
music in the mock wedding. “The malicious acts of the proclaimed
offenders ignited the sentiments of all the Muslims of the country
and hurt the feelings, which cannot be taken lightly and there is
need to strictly curb such tendency,” the court ruling said.

Malik does not currently reside in Pakistan and neither,
reportedly, do the other three people given sentences. The actress
says she will return to Pakistan next month to appeal the sentence
and that she has faith in the Pakistani court system.

Watch the allegedly blasphemous TV segment below:

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Kurt Loder Reviews Horrible Bosses 2

Horrible BossesThe
original Horrible Bosses, released in 2011, grossed
more than $200-million worldwide. Because of this—and only because
of this, I’d guess—we now have Horrible Bosses 2. The
first film, lit up by the comic chemistry of Jason Bateman, Jason
Sudeikis and Charlie Day, was very funny. It had a tight,
lightweight script and prime support by Kevin Spacey and
(especially) Jennifer Aniston as two of the awful bosses. They’re
all back for the sequel, and they’re all fine—or as fine as the
rickety script will allow them to be. But the premise is already
played out, and the scattershot fun is strained.

View this article.

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The 2014 Black Friday Frenzy: America Goes Shopping, In Photos

Black Friday is the day when the trademark US consumerism takes center stage for its annual manic, full-frontal exposure around the globe. Here is what it looked like around the US…

People buying TVs

 

Thanksgiving Day shoppers line up to start shopping at a Target store in Chicago

 

People carry shoes in Macy’s during Black Friday sales in New York

 

Shoppers line up outside Best Buy before the store opens in Newport, New Jersey

 

People line up outside before the Toys R Us store opened in Times Square

 

Women try on shoes in Macy’s to kick off Black Friday sales in New York

 

Shoppers wait to enter Macy’s to kick off Black Friday sales in New York

 

A girl chooses an item from Disney’s Princess toy line up to purchase at the Toys R Us store in Times Square

 

A shopper carries a TV outside a Best Buy store in Newport, New Jersey.

 

Shoppers enter Best Buy as the store opens in Newport, New Jersey

 

People look in the window before the Toys R Us store opened in Times Square.

 

A girl poses with an Olaf plush toy from Disney’s Frozen toy line at the Toys R Us store in Times Square.

 

Thanksgiving Day shoppers ride an escalator while shopping at a Target store in Chicago

 

Thanksgiving Day shoppers carry televisions at a Target store in Chicago

 

A woman lines up outside before the Toys R Us store opens in Times Square.

 

Shoppers line up outside Best Buy before the store opens in Newport, New Jersey

 

A girl looks at items from Disney’s Frozen toy line at the Toys R Us store in Times Square.

* * *

… And not only, because other countries increasingly adopt the “best” of US traditions. Here is what happened in the UK earlier today:

Black Friday hops the pond: Shoppers compete to purchase retail items on “Black Friday” at an Asda superstore in Wembley.

 

Shoppers wrestle over a television as they compete to purchase retail items on “Black Friday” at an Asda superstore in Wembley, north London November 28

 

… And Brazil:

Here, shoppers crowd outside a store before it opens on “Black Friday” in Sao Paulo.

Photos: Reuters




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Dan Mindus on Peter Thiel’s Start-Up Manifesto

Just over 20
years ago, Supreme Court Justices Antonin Scalia and Anthony
Kennedy made a decision that changed the world for the better.
After interviewing Peter Thiel for the position of Supreme Court
Clerk, they turned him down. Instead of settling into a
conventional life of well-compensated legal scribbling and relative
obscurity, Thiel did an about-face and went on to co-found PayPal,
help kickstart Facebook with a $500,000 investment, and emerge as
one of the most successful venture capitalists in the world. Dan
Mindus reviews his latest book, Zero to One:
Notes on Startups, or How to Build the Future
.

View this article.

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Russian Warship Flotilla Enters English Channel For Military Exercises

The French delivery of two Mistral ships to Russia may be postponed indefinitely (a move which ultimately would cost Hollande over $4 billion in contract breach penalty fees he simply can’t afford to pay), but that doesn’t mean the Russian navy has been hobbled or is hiding in the corner. To the contrary: according to the following tweet from the UK Ministry of Defense, Russia’s navy is getting quite bolder.

What happened?

As Bloomberg reports, at least 4 vessels which departed the Russian Northern Fleet main base on November 20, led by anti-submarine ship Severomorsk, entered English channel for exercises that include anti-sabotage training, damage control in case of fire and water intake, state-run news service RIA Novosti says, citing statement from Navy.

Reuters confirms that a squadron of Russian warships entered the English Channel on Friday to hold exercises, RIA news agency reported, the latest apparent show of military might since ties with the West plunged to Cold War lows over Ukraine.

RIA quoted the Northern Fleet as saying its vessels, led by anti-submarine ship Severomorsk, had passed through the Strait of Dover and were now in international waters in the Seine Bay to wait for a storm to pass.

 

“While it is anchored the crew are undertaking a series of exercises on how to tackle … infiltrating submarine forces and are training on survival techniques in the case of flooding or fire,” RIA quoted the Northern Fleet as saying in a statement.

 

The Russian navy could not reached for comment and the Defence Ministry declined to comment on the report.

The Russian navy frigate Smolny is seen at the STX Les Chantiers
de l’Atlantique shipyard site in Saint-Nazaire, western France, November 25, 2014

Naturally, NATO – afraid of looking even weaker than it is – was quick to downplay the incident since a lack of retaliation would make the defensive alliance appear quite prone to “penetrations” by Russian forces:

France’s navy confirmed the location of the ships and said it was not unusual to have Russian warships in the Channel.

 

“They are not holding exercises. They’re just waiting in a zone where they can be several times a year,” said the French Navy’s information service.

 

Lieutenant-Colonel Jay Janzen, NATO’s military spokesman, also said the alliance was aware of the Russian ships’ location.

 

“Our information indicates that the ships are transiting and have been delayed by weather conditions. They are not exercising in the Channel, as some Russian headlines would have us believe,” he said.

And if they were “exercising” it would simply mean that NATO exercises in the Black Sea miles away from the Russian coast, are finally being met in kind by a Russia which with every passing day is making it clear its “concern” of western reprisal and retaliation to Russian actions, which in turn are a consequence of NATO expansion eastward, is increasingly negligible.




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Frontrunning: November 28

  • Oil Seen in New Era as OPEC Won’t Yield to U.S. Shale (BBG)
  • Alberta Producers With World’s Cheapest Oil Face Cascading Woes (BBG)
  • Bundesbank’s Weidmann Rejects Calls for German Stimulus Plan (WSJ)
  • Google Should Be Broken Up, Say Euro MPs (BBC)
  • Calm comes to troubled Ferguson; protests dwindle across U.S. (Reuters)
  • Russia’s Banks Feel Capital Squeeze in Grip of Sanctions (BBG)
  •  Italian Unemployment Rate Rises to Record, Above Forecasts (BBG)
  • Hedge Funds Seek to Tie Up Money for Longer (WSJ)
  • Laughing Hacker Who Hit Sony, FBI Now Seeks Legal Lols (BBG)
  • China Motorists Exceed 300 Million as Cities Struggle (BBG)
  • WHO advises male Ebola survivors to abstain from sex (Reuters)
  • Why Italy’s stay-home shoppers terrify the euro zone (Reuters)
  • Iron Caps Biggest Monthly Drop Since September as Supply Climbs (BBG)

 

Overnight Media Digest

WSJ

* Two music publishers are taking aim at a new target in the battle against illegal song downloading: the cable industry. Wednesday afternoon, BMG Rights Management LLC and Round Hill Music LP sued cable giant Cox Communications Inc, claiming that Cox, which provides Internet service to millions, is deliberately turning a blind eye to illegal downloading by its subscribers. (http://on.wsj.com/15F673Y)

* Hedge-fund managers are increasingly persuading investors to lock up their money for longer – in many cases more than double the typical one-year period – and dangling lower fees to close the deal. (http://on.wsj.com/1vr7DyZ)

* European politicians are poised to approve a new generation of lower-cost rockets, partly in response to competition from U.S. launch providers, according to government and aerospace-industry officials on both sides of the Atlantic. (http://on.wsj.com/1xY2DEe)

* Manufacturers are taking matters into their own hands to patch up a weak spot of Thailand’s economy: its worsening shortage of skilled labor. A shrinking labor pool and inadequate training for workers are constraining business and industrial growth, investors here say. Now an increasing number of companies – many in the auto industry – are rolling out apprenticeship programs aimed at beefing up the workforce themselves. (http://on.wsj.com/1HJ21Xh)

* Europe escalated its war against U.S. technology superpowers as the Continent’s two largest economies and the European Parliament on Thursday backed fresh efforts to rein in the growing influence of companies such as Apple Inc, Facebook Inc and Google Inc. (http://on.wsj.com/1zZDYhv)

* Outbrain Inc, a provider of “native ads,” filed confidentially with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission earlier this month seeking preliminary approval to list shares on the Nasdaq Stock Market, according to people familiar with the matter. (http://on.wsj.com/1xXb1Uk)

* The financial crisis and its aftermath have revived interest in gold as a monetary policy instrument, especially in Europe, where central banks face public pressure to buy gold or bring back home what they hold overseas. (http://on.wsj.com/1vWk0pg)

* BAIC Motor Corp, a Chinese car maker partly owned by Daimler AG, is planning to start gauging investors’ interest next week in an initial public offering which could raise between $1.2 billion and $1.5 billion in Hong Kong, a person familiar with the situation said. (http://on.wsj.com/1tx1blZ)

 

FT

Two senior executives, Kevin Grace, group commercial director, and Carl Rogberg, UK finance director, of troubled British grocer Tesco, left the company on Wednesday.

Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim is set to become the largest investor in Spanish builder FCC after agreeing to buy top shareholder Esther Koplowitz’s part of a $1.3 billion capital increase. This capital increase will leave Slim with a 25.6 percent stake in the company.

Deutsche Bank AG is winding down its physical precious metals trading business, it said on Thursday, moving to further scale back its exposure to commodities.

Director of Britain’s “Business for New Europe”, a pro-EU lobby group and a non-profit organisation, Alisdair McIntosh, is set to quit after less than a year in office.

 

NYT

* Oil cartel OPEC decided not to cut petroleum production, despite the plunge in prices in recent months that has indicated the diminishing clout of the organization. The price of Brent crude oil fell an additional $4 to a four-year low of about $73. American crude dropped below $70, an even more significant threshold. (http://nyti.ms/1vqEkwq)

* Europe’s resentment of the American technology giant Google Inc reached a new noise level as the European Parliament passed a nonbinding vote to break up the company. European fears of American technology giants have been stoked in the last 18 months by the revelations of Edward Snowden, the former National Security Agency contractor, about American intelligence agencies’ spying activities and perceived easy access to the world’s tech infrastructure. (http://nyti.ms/120xXWO)

* A London high court judge has ordered Chris Hohn, founder of one of Britain’s largest and most successful hedge funds, to pay his former wife $531 million to settle their messy public divorce, according to statements made in court. The figure demonstrates the immense wealth Hohn has accumulated at the helm of the Children’s Investment Fund, known as TCI. (http://nyti.ms/1rB9PQy)

* Cheyne Capital, a $6 billion hedge fund based in London, plans to buy property it will then rent to organizations that deliver services like affordable housing, aid for the elderly or care through the National Health Service. (http://nyti.ms/1zBFfuq)

* Argentina’s tax agency accused HSBC Bank PLC of helping more than 4,000 Argentines evade taxes by placing their money in secret Swiss accounts. The head of the country’s tax agency said Argentine citizens had evaded about $3 billion in taxes. (http://nyti.ms/120UX8i)

* U.S. Bank, a division of U.S. Bancorp, is being accused of failing to engage with borrowers who missed payments. The legal action could mean fresh problems for other big mortgage banks, as well. (http://nyti.ms/1yiVs8p)

* Japan will follow the United States in forcing automakers to recall all vehicles containing potentially dangerous driver’s-side airbags made by Takata Corp. An order from the Transportation Ministry on the airbags would lead to the recall of an additional 200,000 vehicles in Japan. (http://nyti.ms/1zZHY1E)

 

Canada

THE GLOBE AND MAIL

** Canada’s energy sector faces the prospect of a lengthy downturn in oil prices and broad spending cuts after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said it did not intend to cut production – a move that sent crude prices and energy shares plunging. Investors immediately punished Canadian energy companies in reaction to the OPEC’s decision on Thursday to stand firm on its production plans, defying industry hopes for a cut. (http://bit.ly/1zCx9lo)

** It has been a long road to redemption for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, but the lender’s retail banking revamp is finally bearing fruit. For the first time in years, there is a buzz inside CIBC – a confidence instilled in its executives by early signs of above-industry-average growth. After years of lagging its peers, retail banking head David Williamson says he and other executives can’t help but feel a little swagger. (http://bit.ly/121HJIc)

** Patents are a key measure of a country’s ability to turn research into viable products, and Canada is slipping. Per capita patent filings in Canada have been on a steady decline since 2000, according to a study of more than one million applications to the Canadian Intellectual Property Office by the C.D. Howe Institute. (http://bit.ly/11AiBHC)

NATIONAL POST

** Wal-Mart Stores Inc’s Walmart Canada is expanding its ‘grab and go’ locker pickup system for online orders just in time for Christmas, beating Amazon Canada to the punch. Walmart began testing a locker system for web customers at 10 Toronto-area stores in August, offering it as an alternative to home delivery. It allows customers to pick up the goods at a locked unit with a personal PIN code tied to their order, thereby skipping cash register lines and in-store shopping time. (http://bit.ly/1v0D7NH)

** In his blogging about Canada’s hate speech laws, right-wing personality Ezra Levant defamed a young law student as a serial liar, a bigot and a Jew-hating “illiberal Islamic fascist,” bent on destroying Canada’s tradition of free expression, a judge has found. (http://bit.ly/1y7FLmW)

** Canada is sending a team of military medical specialists to Sierra Leone to help combat the spread of Ebola in that country. The government says up to 40 Canadian Armed Forces healthcare and support staff will be deployed to the West African country. (http://bit.ly/1vUeG6z)

 

China

CHINA SECURITIES JOURNAL

– A cut in China’s reserve requirement ratio (RRR) is “imminent” after the central bank slashed interest rates last week, said Wen Bin, senior economist at Minsheng Bank.

CHINA BUSINESS NEWS

– The Legislative Affairs Office of the State Council, or China’s Cabinet, is seeking public comments on draft rules for the country’s social security fund.

– Balance in China’s margin trading accounts reached a record 800 billion yuan ($130.31 billion), the newspaper said, citing a report.

21ST CENTURY BUSINESS HERALD

– The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) will soon release guidelines on Public-Private Partnership (PPP) regarding cooperation between local governments and social capital, said Ou Hong, an NDRC official.

CHINA DAILY

– The people of Hong Kong must respect Beijing’s jurisdiction over the region in order to smoothly implement the “One country, two systems” policy, the China Daily said in an editorial.

 




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PROOF: While The Bank Of Japan Goes ‘Full-QE-Retard’, Japanese Investors Are Hoarding Physical Gold

Shinzo_Abe_-_129590_419777c

Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has had an extremely busy past few weeks. After increasing the sales tax rate earlier this year which caused the GDP to contract by more than 7%, the Bank of Japan announced earlier this month it would step up its game and print money like never before. In a previous column we explained that Japan would print new money at twice the rate the USA was printing cash at the height of its quantitative easing program.

Even though Abe’s economic policy (called Abenomics) seemed to be working in the first phase of the implementation, the progress has stalled and Japan is now back in a recession again. This could be a huge indication that Abenomics is quite dead. In an attempt to resuscitate the policy, the huge money printing program has started and Abe has announced he would postpone a planned increase in the sales tax to 10% by 18 months years as the effect of another increase might have been devastating for the country’s economy. It was already quite weird for someone who wanted to increase the consumption pattern of the Japanese population to increase a sales tax (which obviously reduces the demand for goods) to get the country’s financial situation back in order.

Surprisingly enough, even though Japan’s economy is now officially in recession again Abe has called for new elections within the month. With Abenomics failing and the domestic economy tumbling back into recession, the central bank printing money like crazy leading to a severe depreciation of the Japanese Yen and an unpopular move to increase the sales tax from 5% to 8%, one would definitely not expect a democratic leader to ask the citizens of Japan to vote for him once again.

Japan Abenomics

But Abe has effectively called for elections which will be held on December 14th which is in less than four weeks from now, now that’s an electoral ‘Blitzkrieg’! It’s also quite easy to understand why the sales tax hike has been postponed as the prime minister needs to make himself popular with his citizens. But more than anything else, the elections were called to take the left side of the political landscape by surprise. As elections are a complete surprise for everyone, the left-wing parties haven’t organized and harmonized their opposition against Abe yet. On top of that, with such a short time frame before the elections it’s extremely unlikely the left side will actually be able to organize themselves and take up the glove Abe has dropped.

By adding this element of surprise, Abe just wants to secure another term in office despite his failing economic policy. As he’s a real politician, Shinzo Abe is still upbeat about Abenomics stating ‘it’s working’ but he seems to forget that even though the unemployment rate decreased and the company’s revenues increased, there still isn’t a noticeable increase in consumption and salaries. Realizing one out of three promises isn’t really what you’d call ‘passing’ the test. It’s also a very wise decision to ask the Japanese population for a vote of confidence before the newly-printed money will be felt by the man in the street through an increasing inflation rate.

Gold in Yen 1y chart

Source

The ‘Abenomics -balloon’ is slowly deflating and Abe seems to want to secure his personal future before Japan’s economic situation deteriorates even further. The Japanese Yen has already lost 15% of its value in the past six months and with a failing economy and huge quantitative easing program we are expecting a further depreciation of the Yen. Meanwhile, the gold price in JPY has increased by almost 10% in the same six months, despite a 7.5% drop in the price of gold (expressed in USD). This once again emphasizes every decent investment portfolio should contain some gold and silver to protect yourself against sudden changes in the economic policy.

Our thesis seems to be confirmed as our research has indicated the total amount held in a physical gold ETF issued by Mitsubishi UFJ – “Fruit of Gold” – has increased exponentially since Abenomics went in full force, as can be seen on the following chart.

Mitsubishi UFJ Japan Physical Gold ETF - AUM

Source

The amount of gold is expressed in grams. So whereas this ETF had roughly 1 million grams of gold in 2010 ( 32,150 ounces), this increased exponentially and almost eightfolded in just a few years time. The vertical red line is the moment the Bank of Japan started behaving irrational and you can clearly see the interest to hold physical gold has increased since then. The smart Japanese have mobilized their money and invested it in physical gold to safeguard and protect their purchasing power. And they are right to do so!

>>> Check Out Our Latest Gold Report!

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